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8:10 AM ET, February 6, 2008

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
MSNBC:
Clinton wins Calif.; Obama wins in South  —  But party's delegate rules mean Democratic race to end up virtually tied  —  Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton greets supports as she enters her Super Tuesday primary night rally in New York.  —  It's far from over  —  Feb. 5: NBC News Washington …
RELATED:
New York Times:
Clinton and McCain Win in California; Obama Stays Close as G.O.P. Rivals Lag  —  Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton won primaries in New York, New Jersey and Arizona and captured the biggest prize of all, California, while Senator Barack Obama strung together nearly a dozen victories from Georgia …
The Politico:
Clinton's big-state wins give her an edge  —  The clarity Democrats so desperately sought escaped them on Super Tuesday, as both candidates found cause to claim victory even as one of them cemented her front-runner status.  —  By winning critical contested strongholds in Massachusetts …
Discussion: Captain's Quarters
Patrick Healy / New York Times:
Support Divided, Top Democrats Trade Victories
Discussion: MyDD and Suburban Guerrilla
The Politico:
Berman's count: 606-534  —  David Plouffe, on a conference call just now, offered the Obama campaign's estimate of where they stand at this moment in terms of delegates.  —  “We are, in terms of delegates, ahead currently: about 606 to 534, in terms of pledged delegates awarded tonight,” he said.
RELATED:
Ari Melber / The Nation:
OBAMA CAMPAIGN PROJECTS 72 DELEGATE LEAD (FOR NOW)...  Barack Obama's presidential campaign is claiming an early lead in pledged delegates for Super Tuesday.  —  In a media conference call at 10:30pm, Campaign Manager David Plouffe estimated that Obama leads Hillary Clinton in pledged delegates by 606 to 534.
Domenico Montanaro / MSNBC:
CLINTON ‘TALKING POINTS’ MEMO
Discussion: Live Coverage and Spin Cycle
The Campaign Spot:
Latest Exits Include One Massive ‘Wow.’ I Mean, ‘WOW.’  —  Here's a later round of exits.  It includes an absolute shocker that, I suspect, will have Hugh Hewitt jumping out of his chair...  Arizona: McCain 36 percent, Romney 36 percent, Huckabee 7 percent.
RELATED:
The Campaign Spot:
The Great Big Early Exit Poll Report  —  I just got a big pile of exit poll data.  —  The early wave in California: McCain 40 percent, Romney 36 percent, Huckabee 10 percent.  —  Fascinating and fun as it is, I remind my readers that this doesn't tell us that much, as we don't know what the district-by-district breakdown is.
Mark Steyn / The Corner:
The Morning After  —  I think John O'Sullivan is right.  There was an explicit anti-Romney vote in the south.  A mere month ago, in the wake of Iowa and New Hampshire, I received a ton of emails from southern readers saying these pansy northern states weren't the “real” conservative heartland …
Jonathan Weisman / The Trail:
Romney's Expenses Per Delegate Top $1M  —  Republican campaign operatives call it the Gramm-o-meter, the money a candidate spends per delegate won, in honor of Phil Gramm, the former Texas senator who spent $25 million and won just 10 delegates, or $2.5 million per, in 1996.
ABCNEWS:
CIA Chief: We Waterboarded  —  Gen. Hayden Confirms the Agency Waterboarded Three ‘High-Value’ Detainees  —  CIA director Michael Hayden confirmed in an open session of Congress Tuesday his agency's use of an interrogation technique many consider torture — a technique at the center …
Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:
SUMMING IT UP  —  Before we give way to the night, let me try to pull together some rough thoughts on what happened here tonight.  It's probably best to start with the indisputable facts.  I haven't had a chance to look at the popular vote.  But every estimate I've seen says this was close to an exact tie in delegates.
Discussion: Lance Mannion
John Bresnahan / The Politico:
NRCC probe scares GOP  —  Top House Republicans were told in recent days that a former employee of their campaign committee may have forged an official audit during the contentious 2006 election cycle and that they should brace for the possibility that an unfolding investigation …
The New Republic:
Who Won Super Tuesday?  —  It's hard to say, but if you put a gun in my head, I'd say John McCain and (very slightly) Hillary Clinton, but the elections revealed weaknesses in McCain and in both of the leading Democratic candidates.  McCain blunted Mitt Romney's challenge, but he failed consistently to win over conservative voters.
Andrew Sullivan / The Daily Dish:
The Biggest News  —  I'd say it's Huckabee's astonishing resilience, with so few dollars and so little organization.  The Bush-Rove party is a disproportionately religious organization and the pastor cannot be denied.  The GOP's natural ticket is obviously McCain-Huckabee.
 
 
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The best of the worst  —  US elections 2008: Conservative Republicans …
Hugh Hewitt / Townhall.com:
The Arizona GOP Primary
vote.ss.ca.gov:
President - Democratic  —  Explanation: Each candidate …
Ken Wheaton / AdAge:
My Adventures in Voting Irregularities
Matthew Yglesias:
The Wrap Up  —  The Obama campaign points out that their man won …
Stanley Kurtz / The Corner:
No-Mentum, Democrat-Style  —  Something about the Obama campaign …
Discussion: Matthew Yglesias
Townhall.com:
ROMNEY: CO, MA, MN, MT, ND, UT
Discussion: alicublog
CNN:
Severe weather in Tenn., Ark. forces early poll closures
Discussion: Lean Left
 Earlier Items: 
Financial Times:
Risk of property defaults growing
Los Angeles Times:
Glitches are the early front-runner in California
Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:
BETTER SPIN PLEASE
Discussion: Donklephant
Andy McCarthy / The Corner:
Re: The Die Has Been Cast
Associated Press:
Clinton Wins American Samoa Caucus
Mark Blumenthal / Pollster.com:
SUPER TUESDAY LIVE BLOGGING
Ed Morrissey / Captain's Quarters:
The Coming Meltdown For The Democrats
Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:
DEM EXITS, SECOND WAVE