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4:00 PM ET, March 3, 2008

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Matthew Yglesias:
Good News for People Who Like Bad Predictions  —  I know a number of readers have been perturbed by my predictions of an Obama win, figuring that since I'm always wrong I'd jinxed things and put Hillary Clinton in a commanding position.  Well, I was reading Chris Bowers' analysis of the polls …
RELATED:
Quinnipiac University:
Clinton Leads Obama By 4 Points In Ohio Dem Primary Quinnipiac University Likely Voter Poll Finds; Big Split Among Men, Women Voters  —  New York Sen. Hillary Clinton's margin over Sen. Barack Obama among Ohio likely Democratic primary voters has shrunk to 49 - 45 percent on the eve …
Discussion: Daily Kos and Buckeye State Blog
Michael Calderone / The Politico:
Wash Post editor says controversial piece was ‘tongue-in-cheek’  —  On the front of Sunday's Outlook section, in the Washington Post, two articles were placed under the banner, “Women vs. Women.”  —  It's the second piece, titled “We Scream, We Swoon.  How Dumb Can We Get?” …
RELATED:
Peter Nicholas / Los Angeles Times:
How did the Clinton campaign get here?  —  Just a few months ago, few imagined she'd be struggling to catch up to Obama.  But her team has been riddled with feuding and second-guessing at the top.  —  WASHINGTON — As they mapped out a campaign schedule for Bill Clinton …
RELATED:
NY Daily News:
Goodwin: Tuesday night might be Barack Obama's last chance to knock Hil out  —  You hear it everywhere: Tuesday is Hillary Clinton's last stand.  If she can't win Ohio and Texas, she's history.  —  True, mostly.  But it's not the whole story.  The rest goes like this: This is Barack Obama's third chance to knock her out.
Chris Cillizza / The Fix:
Penn Credits “3 AM” Ad With Momentum  —  UPDATE, 3 pm: Following up on their conference call earlier today, the Clinton campaign released a memo entitled: “Why Hillary Clinton is Ready to be Commander-in-Chief.”  —  In the memo, Mark Penn, the chief strategist for Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton's …
RELATED:
Noam Scheiber / The New Republic:
NAFTA-Gate, Take Two  —  Okay, scratch what I said about Goolsbee and Canada.  I still don't think it's substantively a big deal, but between hearing CNN's reports from Ohio this morning, and listening in on a Clinton conference call just now (and hearing reporters' questions on the subject) …
Marc Ambinder:
Bottom Line From The Clinton Spin Call  —  Is that if Clinton wins the popular vote in Ohio and Texas, she's staying in the race.  —  Even if she loses the delegate race in Texas.  —  No doubt, this will make heads explode in Chicago.
Discussion: Open Left and Booman Tribune
RELATED:
Marc Ambinder:
Clinton Spin Call: “We Have Momentum”
Discussion: MyDD
Ben Smith / Ben Smith's Blogs:
A campaign mystery solved: HillaryIs44  —  I wrote in December about a mysterious pro-Clinton, anti-Obama website called HillaryIs44, a site that floated sharply negative information about Obama long before the word “Rezko” passed the lips of Clinton and her campaign, and that has been the subject …
Discussion: Taylor Marsh and Bang the Drum
ABCNEWS:
Obama: Witness for the Defense?  —  Chicago Lawyers Say Sen. Barack Obama Could Be Called to Testify in the Rezko Trial  —  Sen. Barack Obama could be called as a witness for his longtime friend and accused Illinois fixer Tony Rezko, according to Chicago lawyers following the case.
Matthew Yglesias:
McCain and Thimerosol  —  Diagnoses of autism are unquestionably on the rise in the United States, and parents and other friends and family of autistic children are understandably looking for answers.  At a time, there was some plausible speculation that thimerosal, an additive in some vaccines, might be a cause of autism.
RELATED:
Bob Davis / Wall Street Journal:
McCain's Economy Platform: Big Tax Cuts, With Caveats  —  WASHINGTON — Imagining how John McCain, the Navy war hero, would play the role of commander in chief has been easy.  Imagining how John McCain, the policy maverick, would lead as chief executive of the U.S. economy has been tougher.
Karen DeYoung / Washington Post:
Obama Tends Toward Mainstream on Foreign Policy  —  When Sen. Barack Obama ruled out using nuclear weapons against terrorist targets during an interview last summer, several of his most experienced foreign policy advisers reacted with alarm.  —  The idea had never come up during their discussions …
Discussion: Power Line and Commentary
RELATED:
Samir Al-Saadi / Arab News:
Man Butchers 15-Month-Old Nephew in Jeddah Supermarket  —  Early morning shoppers at a supermarket in Jeddah were left reeling yesterday, with some falling unconscious, after a well-built Syrian man clinched a knife and decapitated his 15-month-old nephew in front of his mother in the store's fruit and vegetable section.
Terence P. Jeffrey / CNSNews:
Obama: Sermon on Mount Justifies Same-Sex Unions  —  (CNSNews.com) - Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) told a crowd at Hocking College in Nelsonville, Ohio, Sunday that he believes the Sermon on the Mount justifies his support for legal recognition of same-sex unions.
CNN:
Gun incident near President Bush's ranch  —  CRAWFORD, Texas (CNN) — A Danish journalist came this close to getting shot Saturday by an elderly woman packing a pistol near President Bush's ranch here in what was easily the strangest incident I've ever witnessed covering the White House.
Discussion: Wonkette and Confederate Yankee
David Rose / Vanity Fair:
The Gaza Bombshell  —  After failing to anticipate Hamas's victory over Fatah in the 2006 Palestinian election, the White House cooked up yet another scandalously covert and self-defeating Middle East debacle: part Iran-contra, part Bay of Pigs.  With confidential documents …
Discussion: PoliGazette
Patrick Healy / New York Times:
Clinton Campaigns as if Momentum Is Hers  —  AKRON, Ohio — Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton does not look like a candidate who might drop out of the presidential race as early as Wednesday.  —  In a weekend dash of campaigning in Texas and Ohio before those states vote on Tuesday …
Fareed Zakaria / Newsweek:
What the World Is Hearing  —  A senior Latin American diplomat says, ‘We might find ourselves nostalgic for Bush, who is brave on trade.’  —  Despite their spirited squabbling, the two Democratic candidates are united in the view that one of the big benefits of electing either …
 
 
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 More Items: 
Sara Mead / The New America Foundation:
The Problem with Gender-Based Education
Matthew Yglesias:
The Race and the Media  —  The Clinton campaign is pushing hard …
Mcjoan / Daily Kos:
FISA Fight: Communications trade group opposed to amnesty
David Weigel / Reason Magazine:
Republicans for Hillary: The Anecdotal Evidence Builds
CNN:
No news, just ribs at McCain barbecue
Discussion: Wonkette and WSJ.com
Andrew Sullivan / The Daily Dish:
It's 3.02 am  —  And Clinton has another commercial:
Discussion: PoliBlog (TM)
Matthew Yglesias:
The Dread Base  —  The best thing about David Ignatius hit …
Discussion: Blogometer and RADAMISTO
 Earlier Items: 
Chicago Tribune:
The latest from the Rezko trial
Discussion: Washington Wire and The Swamp
Ben Smith / Ben Smith's Blogs:
Clinton: ‘True’  —  Another ad hitting Obama hard on national security …
Discussion: FOX Embeds and Hot Air
CBS News:
The Pentagon's Ray Gun
Discussion: BuzzFlash.org
Paul Krugman / New York Times:
Deliverance or Diversion?