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3:06 AM ET, November 3, 2008

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 Top Items: 
On Politics:
Final USA TODAY/Gallup estimate: Obama, 53%; McCain, 42%  —  Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama leads Republican John McCain by 11 percentage points in the last USA TODAY/Gallup national poll of likely voters before Election Day.  —  With less than two days to go before polls open, the contenders' support is estimated to be:
RELATED:
Gallup:
Final Presidential Estimate: Obama 55%, McCain 44%  —  Independents break for Obama, boosting Obama's broad Democratic base  —  PRINCETON, NJ — The final Gallup 2008 pre-election poll — based on Oct. 31-Nov. 2 Gallup Poll Daily tracking — shows Barack Obama with a 53% to 42% advantage over John McCain among likely voters.
Brian Montopoli / CBS News:
CBS Poll: Obama Maintains 13 Point Lead
Discussion: AMERICAblog News, Spin Cycle and CNN
CNN:
Poll: Palin may be hurting more than helping McCain
Discussion: The Moderate Voice
Gallup:
Gallup Daily: Obama Continues to Outpace McCain
Discussion: Donklephant, MyDD and Below The Beltway
Scott Conroy / CBS News:
Palin Unleashes New Attack Against Obama On Coal  —  From CBS News' Scott Conroy:  —  (MARIETTA, OHIO) - Seizing on a newly released audio tape picked up by the Drudge Report, Sarah Palin took the opportunity here in coal country to accuse Barack Obama of “talking about bankrupting the coal industry.”
RELATED:
Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:
JOE THE SKINHEAD  —  When he was just the topic du jour because of his question to Barack Obama back in the neighborhood in Ohio, that was one thing.  But “Joe the Plumber” is now actively campaigning with and for John McCain, appearing on stage with him at multiple events, etc.
RELATED:
Ali Frick / Think Progress:
McCain surrogate Joe the Plumber questions Obama's loyalty to the U.S.»  —  Recently, Joe “the Plumber” Wurzelbacher has been hitting the campaign trail for and with Sen. John McCain (R-AZ).  Last week, he was sharply rebuked by Fox News's Shep Smith for agreeing that a vote for Sen. Barack Obama …
Discussion: Spin Cycle, 24Ahead and News Hounds
Myglesias / Matthew Yglesias:
Myths and Realities  —  Jay Nordlinger writes at The Corner: … That may what “the evidence of [Nordlinger's] lived experience” says, but it would be strongly at odds with the historical pattern.  Here's Andrew Gelman's map of voting patterns among the top third of the income distribution in 2004:
Discussion: Eschaton
RELATED:
Jay Nordlinger / The Corner:   Dept. of Enduring Myths
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight.com:
The Cellphone Effect, Continued  —  These are Barack Obama's leads in the likely voter models presently included in the Real Clear Politics average, plus the Research 2000 poll which they arbitrarily exclude.  —  The polls in the Cingular-y orange color include cellphones in their samples; the polls in gray do not.
Allahpundit / Hot Air:
How soon will we know on election night?  —  Answer: Pretty soon, potentially.  Via CNN, a rundown of when the polls in various battleground states close (all times ET): … I didn't include Iowa because it's not a battleground anymore, assuming it ever was, but that's also a 10 p.m. close for what it's worth.
RELATED:
Joe Gandelman / The Moderate Voice:
Obama McCain Race Gets Uglier By The Hour
Discussion: MSNBC and Below The Beltway
Pamela Geller / Atlas Shrugs:
ATLAS EXCLUSIVE: JERROLD NADLER “OBAMA DIDN'T HAVE THE POLITICAL COURAGE TO MAKE A STATEMENT AND WALK OUT [OF REVEREND WRIGHT'S RACIST CHURCH]” … One of my stops on THE GREAT SCHLEP.  —  I just came from an Jerrold Nadler event at the Boca Raton synagogue where he was lying through his teeth …
Discussion: Political Punch and Israpundit
RELATED:
John McCormack / Weekly Standard:   Dem.  Congressman: “Let [Russia] Invade Georgia.  It's Right Next to Them.”
Jonathan Curley / Christian Science Monitor:
My wife made me canvas for Obama; here's what I learned  —  This election is not about major policies.  It's about hope. … There has been a lot of speculation that Barack Obama might win the election due to his better “ground game” and superior campaign organization.
Frank James / The Swamp:
Palin misstates anti-Obama data source  —  COLUMBUS, Ohio — At Gov. Sarah Palin's Sunday rallies, she's earned big responses by repeating the line that an independent organization has found that Sen. Barack Obama's proposed policies “would destroy 6 million jobs over the next decade.”
Mark Blumenthal / Pollster.com:
Morning Status Update for Sunday 11/02  —  The most important thing to keep in mind about pre-election polls is that they come with random variability built-in.  That mostly predictable variation — known to most of us as “the margin of error' — comes from interviewing what we hope amounts …
Discussion: Spin Cycle, Salon and Donklephant
Jim Lindgren / The Volokh Conspiracy:
Obama's first fulltime employer, Business International, had substantial SDS ties in the 1960s.  —  After graduating from Columbia in 1983, Obama's first fulltime job was to work for an international business newsletter firm, Business International.  From all accounts (including Obama's) …
Discussion: 24Ahead
Jay Newton-Small / Time:
A Long Campaign, And a Changed Barack Obama  —  Left to Right: Barack Obama announces his run for the presidency in February of 2007 ; Barack Obama at a campaign rally this week..  —  Almost two years ago, in the first months of Barack Obama's campaign for the presidency …
Discussion: Obsidian Wings
Hillary Clinton / NY Daily News:
The man for the moment: Hillary Clinton makes the case for Barack Obama  —  On Tuesday, New Yorkers and Americans have a big decision to make.  Do we continue to pursue the policies of the past eight years or do we chart a new course?  I believe we can and we must chart a new course led by President Barack Obama.
Jennifer Agiesta / Washington Post:
WaPo-ABC Tracking: Advantage Obama  —  Sen. Barack Obama holds a sizable advantage over John McCain just two days before the longest and most expensive presidential campaign in history comes to a close.  —  After nearly two years of ads, rallies, debates and barnstorming …
Discussion: The Numbers
Bill Dyer / Townhall.com:
Obama's Redistribution for iTunes  —  A “Better Government” under Obama's plan means you can buy the latest tune from Bruce Springsteen once we “spread the wealth.”.  “A New Politics for a New Time” from an Obama speech minutes ago in Cleveland, Ohio tells us why redistribution is so important and what justifies his tax policy:
Discussion: Say Anything and The Corner
 
 
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 More Items: 
Ian Urbina / New York Times:
Voting Experts Say High Turnout May Add to Problems at the Polls
Michael Luo / New York Times:
What Happens to Public Financing, When Obama Thrived Without It?
Paul / Power Line:
INSIDE THE MIND OF AN “OBAMACON”
Byron York / National Review:
Loving Sarah in Middle America
Little Green Footballs:
Soviet Doggies Bark for Barack
Discussion: zomblog
Jay Nordlinger / The Corner:
A Reason to Elect McCain
Discussion: The Heretik and Power Line
Jill Zuckman / The Swamp:
John McCain's lucky charms
 Earlier Items: 
John / Power Line:
CHAVEZ'S NEW FRIEND  —  Hugo Chavez, Communist dictator of Venezuela …
Michael Cooper / The Caucus:
From McCain, Warm Words for Bush
Discussion: TIME.com, Think Progress and Eschaton
Keith Thomson / The Huffington Post:
The Most Accurate Election Forecast? Hardcore Gamblers
Discussion: The Buzz
The Huffington Post:
McCain Did Not Disclose Keating Business Deal To Investigators
Discussion: The New Republic and Campaign Silo
CNN:
Townsfolk stuff Palin effigy with explosives
Discussion: Right Wing News