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4:55 PM ET, January 15, 2010

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Byron York / Washington Examiner:
Massachusetts: ‘Bottom has fallen out’ of Coakley's polls; Dems prepare to explain defeat, protect Obama  —  Here in Massachusetts, as well as in Washington, a growing sense of gloom is setting in among Democrats about the fortunes of Democratic Senate candidate Martha Coakley.
RELATED:
Ben Smith / Ben Smith's Blog:
A Trade Center image in DSCC spot  —  A new ad from the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee uses an unlikely symbol of Wall Street greed: the World Trade Center.  —  The image in the attack on Scott Brown for his alleged closeness to Wall Street pictures the Trade Center and the destroyed Marriott Hotel on its western side.
Jessica Van Sack / Boston Herald:
Poll shocker: Scott Brown surges ahead in Senate race  —  + Recent Articles + Recent Blog Entries + Email + Bio  —  Riding a wave of opposition to Democratic health-care reform, GOP upstart Scott Brown is leading in the U.S. Senate race, raising the odds of a historic upset that would reverberate …
Greg Sargent / The Plum Line:
Scott Brown Voted Against Giving Help To 9/11 Recovery Workers  —  One month after the September 11th attacks, Scott Brown was one of only three Massachusetts State Representatives to vote against a bill to provide financial assistance to Red Cross workers who had volunteered with 9/11 recovery efforts, we've learned.
Josh Kraushaar / Scorecard's Blog:
Obama heading to Massachusetts for Coakley  —  President Barack Obama will be heading to Massachusetts to campaign for Martha Coakley this Sunday, according to two senior sources informed of the president's decision, a last-minute effort to give the Democrat a needed boost in the Senate race.
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
OK, It's a Toss-Up  —  Earlier today I tweeted about how there wasn't enough evidence to describe the Massachusetts special election as a “toss-up”, as some other forecasters have done, based on the information available to us at that time.  —  Well, now there's some new evidence.
Mickey Kaus / Kausfiles:
How Health Care Reform Could Crash  —  Poll watcher Sean Trende (if that really is his name) thinks Massachusetts GOP challenger Scott Brown may have peaked too soon.  Hmm.  Doesn't necessarily look like it. ....  Mark Blumenthal has some guidance for reading and reconciling all the Mass. polls …
Jonathan Martin / Ben Smith's Blog:
Obama to campaign for Coakley  —  BOSTON — President Barack Obama will campaign for Massachusetts Senate candidate Martha Coakley on Sunday, POLITICO has learned, a sign that Democrats believe the seat remains winnable enough that it's worth risking the president's prestige.
Dorothy Rabinowitz / Wall Street Journal:
Martha Coakley's Convictions  —  The role played by the U.S. Senate candidate in a notorious sex case raises questions about her judgment.  —  The story of the Amiraults of Massachusetts, and of the prosecution that had turned the lives of this thriving American family to dust, was well known to the world by the year 2001.
Roger L Simon / Pajamas Media:
Massachusetts shocker: Brown Up 15% in Pajamas Media/CrossTarget Poll  —  A new poll taken Thursday evening for Pajamas Media by CrossTarget - an Alexandria VA survey research firm - shows Scott Brown, a Republican, leading Martha Coakley, a Democrat, by 15.4% in Tuesday's special election for the open Massachusetts US Senate seat.
Marc Ambinder / The Atlantic Politics Channel:
Breaking: Obama To Campaign For Coakley  —  The White House says that President Obama will campaign for Martha Coakley in Massachusetts on Sunday afternoon.  Why?  —  (1) The White House has decided to OWN the race in Massachusetts, despite faulting Coakley for running a sleeper of a campaign since the primary.
RealClearPolitics Video Log:
MA-Sen: DSCC Runs Ad With Scott Brown And World Trade Center
Boston Globe:
Giuliani leads feisty Brown rally in North End
Discussion: Riehl World View and race42008.com
Aaron Blake / The Hill:
Obama to Massachusetts on Sunday
Discussion: Ben Smith's Blog and The Swamp
Reid Wilson / Hotline On Call:
Why Obama Must, And Shouldn't, Go To MA
Discussion: Ben Smith's Blog and Hot Air
David Weigel / The Washington Independent:   The Four-Month Supermajority
Chris Cillizza / The Fix:
Obama to stump for Coakley
Charles Krauthammer / Real Clear Politics:
The Fall of Obama  —  WASHINGTON — What went wrong?  A year ago, he was king of the world.  Now President Obama's approval rating, according to CBS, has dropped to 46 percent — and his disapproval rating is the highest ever recorded by Gallup at the beginning of an (elected) president's second year.
RELATED:
Charlie Cook / National Journal Online:
Colossal Miscalculation On Health Care  —  OBAMA AND HILL DEMOCRATS SHOULD HAVE FOCUSED MUCH MORE ON THE ECONOMY.  —  Honorable and intelligent people can disagree over the substance and details of what President Obama and congressional Democrats are trying to do on health care reform and climate change.
David Brooks / New York Times:
The Underlying Tragedy  —  On Oct. 17, 1989, a major earthquake with a magnitude of 7.0 struck the Bay Area in Northern California.  Sixty-three people were killed.  This week, a major earthquake, also measuring a magnitude of 7.0, struck near Port-au-Prince, Haiti.
Ben Smith / Ben Smith's Blog:
Coakley's conscience clause  —  Martha Coakley is taking fire this morning for her explanation to a radio interviewer of her attack on her opponent's support for a religous exemption that would, she said, allow medical staffers to deny emergency contraception to a rape victim.
RELATED:
Andy Barr / The Politico:
Rush ‘meant’ what he said about Haiti  —  Rush Limbaugh is not backing down from his claim that President Barack Obama is trying to score political points off the earthquake in Haiti.  —  Challenged by a caller during his show Thursday, Limbaugh said: “If I said it, I meant to say it …
RELATED:
Ben Armbruster / Think Progress:
Beck: Obama is ‘dividing the nation’ by reacting ‘so rapidly to Haiti.’
Discussion: The Reaction and Political Byline
Ezra Klein:
Cynicism on the excise tax  —  “Unions get a special two-year exclusion from the [excise] tax,” comments Megan McArdle.  “Presumably, the unions plan to go back and get their exclusion extended every few years.”  Tyler Cowen agrees with her, commenting that this will “increase the rate of unionization …
RELATED:
Ezra Klein:
The idea that would've been better than the excise tax
Discussion: Senator Ron Wyden and TalkLeft
Mark Silva / The Swamp:
Bill Clinton: Haiti's rebirth, an opportunity  —  In the sobering controversy that has arisen this week - say it isn't so - over the contribution of humanitarian and U.S. aid to Haiti, some question what will become of all the money.  —  They're suggesting, basically, that some or much of the money …
Discussion: La Plaza
RELATED:
Jordan Fabian / The Hill:
Obama to meet with Bush, Clinton on Haitian relief
Discussion: Ben Smith's Blog
David Axelrod / Washington Post:
What Karl Rove got wrong on the U.S. deficit  —  For its Topic A feature last Sunday, The Post invited a panel of political operatives to offer their advice to the Democratic Party on strategy for 2010 [Sunday Opinion, Jan. 10].  Improbably, one of the operatives asked was Karl Rove …
New York Times:
Pentagon Report on Fort Hood Shooting Details Failures  —  WASHINGTON — The military's defenses against threats from inside its own ranks are outdated and ineffective, Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates said on Monday as he described the findings of an Army review of the Nov. 5 shooting spree at Fort Hood, Texas.
Roxana Tiron / The Hill:
Skelton opposes repeal of 'Don't ask, don't tell'  —  The leading House Democrat on military policy said Friday that he opposes repealing the law that bans openly gay people from serving in the military.  —  Seventeen years ago, Rep. Ike Skelton (D-Mo.) played a major role in crafting …
 
 
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 More Items: 
Ben Smith / Ben Smith's Blog:
Goldfarb to Orion  —  The Weekly Standard blogger and former …
Discussion: The New Republic
Carl Campanile / New York Post:
Unions will dodge O's health tax
Discussion: Townhall.com and New York Times
Laura Rozen / Laura Rozen's Blog:
New development appointment mulled as reviews advance
Jordan Fabian / The Hill:
Pelosi: Claims about GOP midterm momentum are ‘hype and hyperbole’
Myglesias / Matthew Yglesias:
Historical Sex Scandals
 Earlier Items: 
Wall Street Journal:
Don't Shoot the Pollster  —  Attacks on Scott Rasmussen …
Discussion: Think Progress and Commentary
CNN:
Powell: ‘Very impressed’ with Obama administration
The Politico:
‘Very angry’ Dem sounds alarm
Discussion: Hot Air