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12:20 PM ET, January 18, 2010

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Felicia Sonmez / Hotline On Call:
After Obama Rally, Dems Pin Blame On Bush  —  As audience members streamed out of Pres. Obama's rally on behalf of AG Martha Coakley (D) here tonight, the consensus was that the fault for Coakley's now-floundering MA SEN bid lies with one person — George W. Bush.
RELATED:
Tom Jensen / Public Policy Polling:
Massachusetts Senate Poll  —  Scott Brown leads Martha Coakley 51-46 in our final Massachusetts Senate poll, an advantage that is within the margin of error for the poll.  —  Over the last week Brown has continued his dominance with independents and increased his ability to win over Obama voters …
Byron York / Washington Examiner:
Two factors will decide Massachusetts Senate race  —  After all the speeches, politicking, and attack ads, there are just two issues that will determine the winner of the Massachusetts Senate seat in Tuesday's special election.  The first is health care and the second is one-party government.
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
Trendspotting in Massachusetts  —  Charles Franklin has a typically articulate analysis up at Pollster.com which comes to a somewhat different conclusion than mine about the state of play in Massachusetts.  His analysis works by lumping polls together into different bundles (e.g. “non-partisan” …
The Rothenberg / The Rothenberg Political Report:
MA Sen Moved to Lean Takeover  —  While special elections often come down to turnout - and they therefore are more difficult to predict than normal elections - the combination of public and private survey research and anecdotal information now strongly suggests that Republican Scott Brown …
John Garvey / Boston Herald:
Disdains Scott Brown's conscience  —  Reading James Madison's “Memorial and Remonstrance” last week, I was struck by how timely it is after 225 years.  —  Madison wrote it as a protest against a bill to provide tax support for teachers of the Christian religion.
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
538 Still Rates Massachusetts as Toss-up  —  Please don't be too enthralled with/scared by the specific numbers below.  They're based a number of assumptions which may not be valid.  However, I agree with the characterization that the model comes to, which is that the Massachusetts special election …
Political Punch:
Martha Coakley: A Democratic Canary in a Coalmine?
Discussion: ABCNEWS, Hot Air and TD Blog
insidemedford.com:
Brown Has 9.6% Lead in New Poll
Charles Franklin / Pollster.com All Content:
What to believe about Massachusetts Senate Polls
Discussion: Power Line and FiveThirtyEight
Alex Isenstadt / The Politico:
Mass. race lacks key element: Romney
Roger L Simon / Pajamas Media:
Sunday PJM/CrossTarget Poll: Brown up 9.6% among likely voters
Discussion: TPMDC, Hot Air, CNN and The Strata-Sphere
CNN:
Sources: Obama advisers believe Coakley will lose
Ben Smith / Ben Smith's Blog:
Coakley invokes King: ‘Tomorrow we act on the dream’  —  Martha Coakley spoke to the Boston Martin Luther King Day Breakfast this morning, making the case to a subdued crowd of dignitaries at the Hynes convention center that voting for her tomorrow will help carry on King's legacy.
RELATED:
Robert Kuttner / The Huffington Post:
A Wake Up Call  —  How could the health care issue have turned …
Discussion: AMERICAblog News
Jeff Zeleny / New York Times:
Democrats Push to Salvage a Flailing Candidacy
Discussion: Big Brass Blog
Scott Horton / Harper's:
The Guantánamo “Suicides”: A Camp Delta sergeant blows the whistle  —  1. “Asymmetrical Warfare”  —  When President Barack Obama took office last year, he promised to “restore the standards of due process and the core constitutional values that have made this country great.”
E.J. Dionne Jr / Washington Post:
Mass. Senate race's lesson for Obama  —  In June 2008, a few months before the financial implosions began, I asked two smart financiers who happened to be Republican about the future of the seemingly shaky American economy.  —  Defying the moment's conventional predictions …
Patricia Cohen / New York Times:
Professor Is a Label That Leans to the Left  —  The overwhelmingly liberal tilt of university professors has been explained by everything from outright bias to higher I.Q. scores.  Now new research suggests that critics may have been asking the wrong question.
Robert Booth / Guardian:
Cruise ships still find Haitian berth  —  Luxury liners are still docking at private beaches near Haiti's devastated earthquake zone for holidaymakers to enjoy the water  —  Sixty miles from Haiti's devastated earthquake zone, luxury liners dock at private beaches where passengers enjoy jetski rides …
Paul Krugman / New York Times:
What Didn't Happen  —  Lately many people have been second-guessing the Obama administration's political strategy.  The conventional wisdom seems to be that President Obama tried to do too much — in particular, that he should have put health care on one side and focused on the economy.  —  I disagree.
Washington Post:
Fewer Americans think Obama has advanced race relations, poll shows  —  Soaring expectations about the effect of the first black president on U.S. race relations have collided with a more mundane reality, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll.  —  On the eve of President Obama's inauguration …
Discussion: Shakesville and The Page
Alexander Burns / The Politico:
VP: Constitution ‘on its head’  —  Five U.S. senators attend a hearing on Afghanistan on Capitol Hill on Dec. 8, 2009.  AP  —  Vice President Joe Biden said at a Florida fundraiser Sunday that the 60-seat threshold for passing legislation in the Senate put a dangerous new roadblock in the way of American government.
Minneapolis Star Tribune:
Text of Norm Coleman's statement on Facebook  —  I love Minnesota and I love public service, but this is not the right time for me and my family to conduct a campaign for Governor.  —  Timing is everything.  The timing on this race is both a bit too soon and a bit too late.
Discussion: The Fix and msnbc.com
RELATED:
CNN:
Taliban attack in downtown Kabul  —  Kabul, Afghanistan (CNN) — An attack in which the Taliban claimed to have infiltrated key government sites in central Kabul killed five people on Monday morning, hospital officials said.  —  Thirty-eight other people were injured, said Dr. Kabir Amiri, head of Kabul hospitals.
RELATED:
Guardian:
US accused of annexing airport  —  Priority landing for Americans forces flights carrying emergency supplies to divert to Dominican Republic  —  The US military's takeover of emergency operations in Haiti has triggered a diplomatic row with countries and aid agencies furious at having flights redirected.
RELATED:
msnbc.com:
Jan. 17: Clinton, Bush, Shah, Keen, roundtable
Discussion: Washington Monthly
 
 
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 More Items: 
Michael O'Brien / The Hill:
Gun control group gives Obama failing grade; says it's been disappointing year
Discussion: The Page
David D. Kirkpatrick / New York Times:
Intended to Rein in Lobbyists, Law Sends Them Underground
Pundit Review Radio / BLACKFIVE:
Rubicon Rescue - Mission Haiti
Discussion: Vox Popoli and Wizbang
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Discussion: Politics Daily
TigerHawk:
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