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1:20 PM ET, November 1, 2010

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Gallup:
Republicans Appear Poised to Win Big on Tuesday  —  Lead in generic ballot large enough to give Republicans solid majority control of U.S. House  —  PRINCETON, NJ — The final USA Today/Gallup measure of Americans' voting intentions for Congress shows Republicans continuing to hold …
RELATED:
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
5 Reasons Republicans Could Do Even Better Than Expected  —  Dawn breaks over New York City on Wednesday, Nov. 3.  Democrats catching the early train to work are thinking about adding a little whiskey to their morning coffee.  Because the headlines they are reading are truly terrible.
Alexander Burns / The Politico:
What if it's a massacre?  - Gallup: ‘Unprecedented’ GOP lead - Monday stakes: Pelosi, Obama, Barbour in hot seat - Dems bank on GOTV - Ralston predicts Reid win  —  THE DAY BEFORE - WHAT IF IT'S A MASSACRE?  Remember over the summer, when we were debating whether House Republicans needed …
Tom Jensen / Public Policy Polling:
Miller leads in Alaska  —  Joe Miller is favored heading into the final two days of the US Senate campaign in Alaska.  37% of voters say they'll pick him while 30% plan to vote for Scott McAdams and another 30% plan to write in Lisa Murkowski.  —  Miller is winning despite having …
RELATED:
Scott Rasmussen / Wall Street Journal:
A Vote Against Dems, Not for the GOP  —  Voters don't want to be governed from the left, right or center.  They want Washington to recognize that Americans want to govern themselves.  —  In the first week of January 2010, Rasmussen Reports showed Republicans with a nine-point lead on the generic congressional ballot.
John Harwood / New York Times:
With Victory, Republicans Would Face Uncertainty  —  MIAMI — If voters engineer the Congressional makeover that strategists in both parties now expect, the implications for governance over the next two years, and for America's political future, remain a mystery.
Tom Jensen / Public Policy Polling:
GOP headed for PA sweep
Discussion: Hot Air
The Politico:
Next for GOP leaders: Stopping Sarah Palin  —  Top Republicans in Washington and in the national GOP establishment say the 2010 campaign highlighted an urgent task that they will begin in earnest as soon as the elections are over: Stop Sarah Palin.  —  Interviews with advisers …
RELATED:
Scott Wong / The Politico:
Michael Steele to GOP Sarah Palin critics: ‘Shut up’
Discussion: CNN, The Note and Taylor Marsh
The Huffington Post:
Is Rick Perry The Next Sarah Palin?
Discussion: Off the Kuff
David Carr / New York Times:
Rally to Shift the Blame  —  In his new role as a political leader, which is what you call somebody if he hosts a rally on the Washington Mall for over 200,000 people, Jon Stewart was a little hemmed at the Rally to Restore Sanity on Saturday.  Because sanity should know no party, partisan rhetoric was not on the teleprompter.
RELATED:
David Weigel / Weigel:
What I Saw at the Rally to Restore Sanity and/or Fear
Discussion: This Just In and CNN
Sam Youngman / The Hill:
Obama prepared to dust off veto pen should GOP take the House  —  President Obama is ready to flex some muscle by using the veto pen if Republicans win back a majority in the House.  —  Democrats and White House aides said that Obama is prepared to wield his veto pen and effectively stare …
RELATED:
Jim Hoft / Gateway Pundit:
BUMMER. Kid Dresses Up as Obama Joker For White House Halloween Party
Mike Allen / The Politico:
John Boehner to hit President Obama on ‘enemies’
Robin Bravender / The Politico:
Harry Reid loss could reopen nuke debate  —  Opponents of a Nevada nuclear waste dump thought they'd finally managed to kill the Yucca Mountain project.  Then came Sharron Angle.  —  The tea party-backed Republican stands a good chance at ousting Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid …
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Tom Jensen / Public Policy Polling:
Nevada going down to the wire...  The Nevada Senate race is headed …
Paul Krugman / New York Times:
Mugged by the Moralizers  —  “How many of you people want to pay for your neighbor's mortgage that has an extra bathroom and can't pay their bills?”  That's the question CNBC's Rick Santelli famously asked in 2009, in a rant widely credited with giving birth to the Tea Party movement.
Discussion: The Big Picture
Brian Stelter / New York Times:
A Donation Clouds Fox News Report  —  The Fox Business Network focused on what it called “The War on Business” all last week, but on Tuesday its coverage was decidedly more focused — with a series of reports about a California ballot initiative that its parent company, the News Corporation, had spent $1.3 million to defeat.
David Weigel / Weigel:
Evan Bayh, Get Off the Air  —  It's not usually a good idea to write off of a negative reaction to a TV show.  It works for recaps of reality shows, perhaps, but not politics.  But I have watched Evan Bayh, the retiring senator from Indiana, bring his Eeyore act to Morning Joe and I'm not sure …
Vicki Needham / The Hill:
First congressional face-off of new year could be over tax cuts  —  Congressional inertia on the George W. Bush-era tax cuts could push action into January, setting up the first face-off on a major issue between Republicans and Democrats in the new year.  —  A day before the midterm elections …
Discussion: YID With LID
RELATED:
Josh Barro / National Review:
Obama's “Decoupling” Proposal Is a Trap
BBC:
Alcohol ‘more harmful than heroin’ says Prof David Nutt  —  Professor David Nutt: “In terms of the cost to society, alcohol causes the biggest harm”  —  Alcohol is more harmful than heroin or crack, according to a study published in medical journal the Lancet.
RELATED:
CNN:
Study: Alcohol ‘most harmful drug,’ followed by crack and heroin
Discussion: Shakesville and Prairie Weather
Jim Hoft / Gateway Pundit:
CROWD ROARS AT WORLD SERIES As Bush Zings a Strike to Start Game 4 (Video)  —  What a moment!  —  George Bush 41 and George Bush 43 entered the stadium together tonight to throw out the first ball at the World Series.  —  THE CROWD ROARED.  —  Then GW threw a strike to home plate catcher Nolan Ryan to start off game 4.
Beth Reinhard / St. Petersburg Times:
232 media outlets to cover Marco Rubio on Election Night  —  Perhaps the most sought-after press credential in the country on Nov. 2: Republican Senate frontrunner Marco Rubio's party at the Biltmore Hotel in Coral Gables.  —  As of yesterday, the campaign had received requests from 232 media outlets.
Discussion: Hotline On Call
WNYMedia.net:
Carl Paladino's Halloween Drunktacular  —  While Andrew Cuomo was in Monroe County rallying supporters and actually campaigning, Carl Paladino was having himself a helluva time at South Buffalo watering hole, Potter's Field.  The bar, just down the block from Carl's house is one of his favorite places …
Damien Cave / New York Times:
Young Voters Say They Feel Abandoned  —  MIAMI — Two years ago, the University of Miami could not get enough Barack Obama.  The campaign rally he held here felt like a rock concert, his face appeared on T-shirts all over campus, and pro-Obama volunteers registered 2,000 new voters.
 
 
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 More Items: 
Jordan Fabian / The Hill:
Gov. Rendell: Clinton more effective in Pa. than Obama
Discussion: Fox News and Weasel Zippers
Scott / Power Line:
Investigate this  —  In a series of posts on Obama administration …
Discussion: BLACKFIVE and Chicago Boyz
Darrel Rowland / DispatchPolitics:
Kasich by a hair  —  The governor's race is tight; voter turnout will be the key.
Discussion: The Fix, Talking Points Memo and TPMDC
Ezra Klein:
Military stimulus  —  I'm pretty skeptical that a war with Iran …
Elise Viebeck / The Hill:
New Senate unlikely to include black members; few candidates ran in 2010
Discussion: Chicago Tribune
CNN:
Is it really that bad? 75 percent say yes
Discussion: Weasel Zippers
Byron Tau / Ben Smith's Blog:
Tacos for all  —  A Maryland-based restaurant is offering free food …
 Earlier Items: 
Vanity Fair:
The 60 Minutes/Vanity Fair Poll
Discussion: The Hill and Weasel Zippers
Neil King Jr / Wall Street Journal:
Vote Hints at Historic Political Volatility
Jordan Fabian / The Hill:
Sen. Bayh: GOP wins could improve chances of Obama reelection
Discussion: The Politico
Tom Jensen / Public Policy Polling:
Rossi holds small lead
Discussion: Firedoglake, Hot Air and Daily Kos
Neil Irwin / Washington Post:
Federal Reserve's, Bernanke's credibility on line with new move to boost economy
Discussion: Yglesias
Tom Jensen / Public Policy Polling:
GOP ahead in Illinois
Discussion: Lynn Sweet