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4:15 PM ET, June 7, 2012

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
Election Forecast: Obama Begins With Tenuous Advantage  —  The first look at the 2012 FiveThirtyEight presidential forecast has Barack Obama as a very slight favorite to win re-election.  But his advantage equates to only a two-point lead in the national popular vote, and the edge …
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Detroit Free Press:
Poll: Barack Obama in dead heat with Mitt Romney in Michigan as popularity slips  —  Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney, left, and President Barack Obama / AP  —  President Barack Obama's popularity in Michigan has slipped in recent months, leaving him in a dead heat …
Molly Ball / The Atlantic Online:
The Romney Campaign's ‘Route to 270’ Doesn't Get to 270  —  A pollster's presentation aims at an electoral college victory strategy, but falls a bit short of the goal.  —  If you're a politician who wants people to give money to your campaign — but I repeat myself — it helps to convince those well-off donors that you can win.
Quinnipiac University:
Romney Trails Obama By 5 Points In Virginia, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Gay Marriage Has Little Impact On Presidential Race  —  In the first survey since he clinched the GOP nomination, Gov. Mitt Romney now trails President Barack Obama 47 - 42 percent in Virginia …
Discussion: Ballot Box and GOP 12
Alexander Burns / Politico:
Boom: Romney, RNC beat Obama's May fundraising
George W. Bush / CNN:
CNN Poll: George W. Bush only living ex-president under 50%  —  Washington (CNN) - More than three years after leaving office, former President George W. Bush remains unpopular with the public, according to a new national poll.  —  A CNN/ORC International poll also indicates that two-thirds …
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Politico:
Clinton aides: Bill screwed up  —  Bill Clinton's off-message musings in recent days on Mitt Romney, taxes and the state of the economy prompted a series of urgent and agitated calls between senior aides to both Clinton and President Barack Obama.  —  In the past, these kinds of complaints …
Meena Hart Duerson / NY Daily News:
George W. Bush is the most unpopular living ex-President: poll
Jennifer Rubin / Washington Post:
Obama is killing the Democratic Party  —  President Obama, I have frequently argued, has been fabulous for the conservative movement.  He spurred the creation of the tea party.  He helped the GOP win the House majority in 2010 and make big gains in the Senate.
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Stanley Kurtz / National Review:
Obama's Third-Party History  —  On the evening of January 11, 1996, while Mitt Romney was in the final years of his run as the head of Bain Capital, Barack Obama formally joined the New Party, which was deeply hostile to the mainstream of the Democratic party and even to American capitalism.
Jesse Helfrich / The Hill:
Obama frets after ‘terrifying’ recall vote
Joe Conason / The National Memo:
Did Young Mitt Romney Impersonate A Police Officer?  Another Witness Says Yes  —  Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy  —  When Mitt Romney was a college freshman, he told fellow residents of his Stanford University dormitory that he sometimes disguised himself …
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Frances Martel / Mediaite:
Lawrence O'Donnell Breaks New Mitt Romney Scandal: He Maybe Had A Police Uniform?
Discussion: The Hope For America
Justin Sink / The Hill:
Romney outraises Obama in May
Discussion: CNN, Algemeiner.com and GOP 12
The Caucus:
New Poll: The Supreme Court and the Health Care Law  —  More than two-thirds of Americans hope the Supreme Court will overturn some or all of the 2010 health care law, according to a new poll conducted by The New York Times and CBS News.  Just 24 percent said they hoped the court “would keep the entire health care law in place.”
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Jonathan Allen / Politico:
How SCOTUS could help Congress save billions
Discussion: Vodkapundit
Erika Johnsen / Hot Air:
NYT/CBS News poll: More than 2/3 of Americans hope SCOTUS will bring the pain on ObamaCare
Discussion: Wizbang and The Volokh Conspiracy
Elise Viebeck / The Hill:
Sebelius: 'We'll be ready' if Supreme Court strikes healthcare law
Discussion: Politico and Weasel Zippers
BuzzFeed:
Did President Obama Just Make A Blowjob Joke?  —  So says the pool report from his gay and lesbian fundraiser at L.A.'s Beverly Wilshire tonight.  Incredibly awkward.  —  Obama speaks during a campaign event at the Beverly Wilshire Hotel in Beverly Hills tonight.  —  (Getty Images / JEWEL SAMAD)
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Manu Raju / Politico:
Secret talks under way about ‘fiscal cliff’  —  A growing number of lawmakers are alarmed that Congress's do-nothing posture ahead of the year-end fiscal cliff could provoke a massive voter backlash and economic catastrophe if they don't start laying the groundwork right now to cut a deal.
RELATED:
Cathryn Kulat / The Hill:
Boehner on Europe crisis: 'I don't see any light at the end of the tunnel'
Discussion: The Maddow Blog and New York Times
Michael Barbaro / New York Times:
The Candidate Next Door  —  ON Dunemere Drive, it seems as if just about everyone has a gripe against the owners of No. 311.  —  The elderly woman next door complains that her car is constantly boxed into her driveway.  A few houses over, a gay couple grumbles that their beloved ocean views are in jeopardy.
RELATED:
New York Post:
Stuyvesant HS students hold ‘Slutty Wednesday’ to protest school's strict dress code policy  —  Nearly 100 smarties at the city's top-performing high school bared their bodies in “risque” outfits yesterday to denounce their school's conservative dress code — which bans the exposure of shoulders, midriffs, lower backs, bras and undies.
Nick Allen / Telegraph:
Foie-mageddon: California in one last foie gras binge before statewide ban  —  A foie gras frenzy is under way in California as the state prepares to become the first in America to ban the controversial delicacy.  —  California's decision to ban foie gras - pictured above in its pate form …
Jack Cashill / American Thinker:
What the Media Choose Not to Know about Trayvon  —  Unnerved by an unspoken mix of political bias and racial queasiness, the major media have chosen to know as little about Trayvon Martin as they know about Barack Obama.  —  As a case in point, consider this boy vs. man fable spun by the New York Times' Charles Blow:
John / The City Square:
San Franciscans protest against Obama  —  Barack Obama, America's Fundraiser-in-Chief, visited San Francisco today in search of still more campaign cash.  Because San Francisco, home to Nancy Pelosi, has a reputation as America's most liberal city, one might think that The One would be safe from criticism here.
Wall Street Journal:
Gramm and Hubbard: What a Romney Recovery Might Look Like  —  Given last week's grim jobs report, it's now clearer than ever that the November election will be a referendum on the economy.  Has the president's program worked?  Does Mitt Romney have a better program to promote job creation and prosperity?
 
 
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 More Items: 
Darren Samuelsohn / Politico:
Obama's Cabinet full of surrogates
Pat Garofalo / ThinkProgress:
House Democrats Propose Increasing Minimum Wage To $10
Discussion: The Hill and The Hope For America
Paul Farhi / Washington Post:
Oliver North column raises a veteran's ire
Josh Israel / ThinkProgress:
EXCLUSIVE: GOP Election Supervisor Rebukes Gov. Scott, Refuses To Continue Voter Purge
weaskamerica.com:
Bellwether?  —  When it became clear Tuesday evening that Wisconsin …
Discussion: Ballot Box
Rolling Stone:
America's Last Prisoner of War
Discussion: BuzzFeed and newsfeed.time.com
 Earlier Items: 
Richard Yeselson / The New Republic:
Not With a Bang, But a Whimper: The Long, Slow Death Spiral of America's Labor Movement
BuzzFeed:
Rick Santorum Hits The Speaking Circuit
Discussion: Daily Kos and GOP 12
Alexander Burns / Politico:
Ron Paul: I won't be the nominee