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5:55 PM ET, June 7, 2012

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
Election Forecast: Obama Begins With Tenuous Advantage  —  The first look at the 2012 FiveThirtyEight presidential forecast has Barack Obama as a very slight favorite to win re-election.  But his advantage equates to only a two-point lead in the national popular vote, and the edge …
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Molly Ball / The Atlantic Online:
The Romney Campaign's ‘Route to 270’ Doesn't Get to 270  —  A pollster's presentation aims at an electoral college victory strategy, but falls a bit short of the goal.  —  If you're a politician who wants people to give money to your campaign — but I repeat myself — it helps to convince those well-off donors that you can win.
The Huffington Post:
Mitt Romney, RNC Raise $76.8 Million In May
Discussion: The New Republic and Mediaite
Jennifer Rubin / Washington Post:
Obama is killing the Democratic Party  —  President Obama, I have frequently argued, has been fabulous for the conservative movement.  He spurred the creation of the tea party.  He helped the GOP win the House majority in 2010 and make big gains in the Senate.
RELATED:
Alex Pareene / Salon:
An urgent plea to political reporters  —  Let's all stop pretending imaginary “gaffes” are real  —  Let's all agree to just not pretend the president made an “oral sex joke” at his gay fundraiser last night, because that's stupid.  It's stupid, and most of the people with jobs …
Stanley Kurtz / National Review:
Obama's Third-Party History  —  On the evening of January 11, 1996, while Mitt Romney was in the final years of his run as the head of Bain Capital, Barack Obama formally joined the New Party, which was deeply hostile to the mainstream of the Democratic party and even to American capitalism.
Mark Halperin / Time:
Between the Lines: By Mark Halperin
Discussion: Power Line
Detroit Free Press:
Poll: Barack Obama in dead heat with Mitt Romney in Michigan as popularity slips  —  Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney, left, and President Barack Obama / AP  —  President Barack Obama's popularity in Michigan has slipped in recent months, leaving him in a dead heat …
RELATED:
Quinnipiac University:
Romney Trails Obama By 5 Points In Virginia, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Gay Marriage …
Discussion: CNN, Ballot Box, Guardian and GOP 12
The Caucus:
New Poll: The Supreme Court and the Health Care Law  —  More than two-thirds of Americans hope the Supreme Court will overturn some or all of the 2010 health care law, according to a new poll conducted by The New York Times and CBS News.  Just 24 percent said they hoped the court “would keep the entire health care law in place.”
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Erika Johnsen / Hot Air:
NYT/CBS News poll: More than 2/3 of Americans hope SCOTUS will bring the pain on ObamaCare
Discussion: The Volokh Conspiracy and Wizbang
Jonathan Allen / Politico:
How SCOTUS could help Congress save billions
Discussion: Vodkapundit
Elise Viebeck / The Hill:
Sebelius: 'We'll be ready' if Supreme Court strikes healthcare law
Discussion: Politico and Weasel Zippers
George W. Bush / CNN:
CNN Poll: George W. Bush only living ex-president under 50%  —  Washington (CNN) - More than three years after leaving office, former President George W. Bush remains unpopular with the public, according to a new national poll.  —  A CNN/ORC International poll also indicates that two-thirds …
RELATED:
Bill Clinton / CNN:
Clinton: 'I'm very sorry'  —  (CNN) - Bill Clinton regrets …
Discussion: Hot Air
American Center for Law and Justice ACLJ:
Bloggers' Free Speech Rights Under Attack  —  Free speech is under attack.  Conservative writers are now facing threats against themselves, their families, and their livelihoods merely because they've aggressively investigated the history and funding of radical liberals.
RELATED:
Michelle Malkin:
ACLJ steps up to defend bloggers targeted over Brett Kimberlin coverage
Joe Conason / The National Memo:
Did Young Mitt Romney Impersonate A Police Officer?  Another Witness Says Yes  —  Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy  —  When Mitt Romney was a college freshman, he told fellow residents of his Stanford University dormitory that he sometimes disguised himself …
Josh Gerstein / Politico:
Holder and lawmakers spar over Fast & Furious  —  Attorney General Eric Holder sparred Thursday with Republican lawmakers who demanded to know why Justice Department officials haven't been fired over the Operation Fast and Furious gunrunning scandal and the botched prosecution of the late Sen. Ted Stevens.
Discussion: Mediaite
RELATED:
New York Post:
Stuyvesant HS students hold ‘Slutty Wednesday’ to protest school's strict dress code policy  —  Nearly 100 smarties at the city's top-performing high school bared their bodies in “risque” outfits yesterday to denounce their school's conservative dress code — which bans the exposure of shoulders, midriffs, lower backs, bras and undies.
Luke Johnson / The Huffington Post:
Jeb Bush: I Hope Mitt Romney Would Accept 10-To-1 Spending Cuts To Revenue Deal … REACT:  —  FOLLOW:  —  Elections 2012, Elections 2012, Video, Election 2012, Grover Norquist, Bush Spending Cuts, Bush Tax Increases, Jeb Bush, Jeb Bush Spending Cuts, Jeb Bush Taxes, Politics News
RELATED:
CBS News:
Unshackled, Jeb Bush offers light praise, advice for Obama
Manu Raju / Politico:
Secret talks under way about ‘fiscal cliff’  —  A growing number of lawmakers are alarmed that Congress's do-nothing posture ahead of the year-end fiscal cliff could provoke a massive voter backlash and economic catastrophe if they don't start laying the groundwork right now to cut a deal.
Chairman Ben S. Bernanke / Board of Governors …:
Testimony  —  Economic Outlook and Policy  —  Before the Joint Economic Committee, U.S. Congress, Washington, D.C.  —  Chairman Casey, Vice Chairman Brady, and other members of the Committee, I appreciate this opportunity to discuss the economic outlook and economic policy.
Nick Allen / Telegraph:
Foie-mageddon: California in one last foie gras binge before statewide ban  —  A foie gras frenzy is under way in California as the state prepares to become the first in America to ban the controversial delicacy.  —  California's decision to ban foie gras - pictured above in its pate form …
BuzzFeed:
Did President Obama Just Make A Blowjob Joke?  —  So says the pool report from his gay and lesbian fundraiser at L.A.'s Beverly Wilshire tonight.  Incredibly awkward.  —  Obama speaks during a campaign event at the Beverly Wilshire Hotel in Beverly Hills tonight.  —  (Getty Images / JEWEL SAMAD)
James Eng / msnbc.com:
Steve Smith, reputed white supremacist, causes stir by winning election to Pennsylvania county GOP seat  —  Leaders of the Republican Committee of Luzerne County, Pa., are trying to figure out whether they can oust a reputed white supremacist who was elected to the committee with one vote - his own.
Discussion: The Huffington Post
Michael Barbaro / New York Times:
The Candidate Next Door  —  ON Dunemere Drive, it seems as if just about everyone has a gripe against the owners of No. 311.  —  The elderly woman next door complains that her car is constantly boxed into her driveway.  A few houses over, a gay couple grumbles that their beloved ocean views are in jeopardy.
Jack Cashill / American Thinker:
What the Media Choose Not to Know about Trayvon  —  Unnerved by an unspoken mix of political bias and racial queasiness, the major media have chosen to know as little about Trayvon Martin as they know about Barack Obama.  —  As a case in point, consider this boy vs. man fable spun by the New York Times' Charles Blow:
 
 
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 More Items: 
Jonathan Easley / Ballot Box:
Obama campaign goes after Romney's personal finances
Discussion: CNN
Julia Preston / New York Times:
Deportations Continue Despite U.S. Review of Backlog
Discussion: Immigration Impact
Dan Mitchell / International Liberty:
Estonia and Austerity: Another Exploding Cigar for Paul Krugman
Alan Grayson / The Huffington Post:
11 Years Ago Today
Matt Katz / Philly.com:
Town puts Christie on blast
Discussion: Politico and msnbc.com
 Earlier Items: 
Pat Garofalo / ThinkProgress:
House Democrats Propose Increasing Minimum Wage To $10
Paul Farhi / Washington Post:
Oliver North column raises a veteran's ire
Josh Israel / ThinkProgress:
EXCLUSIVE: GOP Election Supervisor Rebukes Gov. Scott, Refuses To Continue Voter Purge
weaskamerica.com:
Bellwether?  —  When it became clear Tuesday evening that Wisconsin …
Discussion: Ballot Box
Wall Street Journal:
Gramm and Hubbard: What a Romney Recovery Might Look Like