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5:05 PM ET, November 2, 2012

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
The Fix:
The Obama defectors  —  Barring some kind of last-minute surge, President Obama is going to fall well shy of the 52.9 percent he won in the 2008 election.  It might still be good enough to win, but it won't be resounding.  —  But just who exactly has deserted Obama over the last four years?
RELATED:
Paul Steinhauser / CNN:
CNN Poll: Obama 50% - Romney 47% in Ohio  —  (CNN) - With four days to go until the presidential election, a new poll indicates the race for arguably the most important battleground state remains very close.  —  According to a CNN/ORC International survey released Friday …
CNN:
TRENDING: Clinton to head to PA  —  Washington (CNN) - Add one more high-profile name to the list of those making surprising, last-minute stops to Pennsylvania just days before Election Day: Former President Bill Clinton.  —  After Mitt Romney's campaign said Thursday that the GOP presidential nominee …
Emily Schultheis / Politico:
Mitt Romney's Pennsylvania gamble
Discussion: Morning Call and Taylor Marsh
Gabriella Schwarz / CNN:
Obama tries to run over Romney's auto claims
Discussion: ABCNEWS and Politico
New York Post:
This is no way to get us up & running  —  Generators should give power to people — not marathon  —  As hundreds of thousands of Big Apple residents suffer in homes left without power by Hurricane Sandy, two massive generators are being run 24/7 in Central Park — to juice a media tent for Sunday's New York City Marathon.
RELATED:
John Moore / ABCNEWS:
‘We Need Food, We Need Clothing’: Staten Island Residents Plead for Help 3 Days After Sandy  —  The residents of Staten Island are pleading for help from elected officials, begging for gasoline, food and clothing three days after Sandy slammed the New York City borough.  —  “We're going to die!
Lynn Zinser / New York Times:
Should the Race Be Run?  —  O.K., let's see if we have this straight …
Discussion: Politicker
New York Times:
Anger Flares as Recovery Inches Ahead
Bureau of Labor Statistics:
Employment Situation Summary  —  Transmission of material in this release is embargoed USDL-12-2164 until 8:30 a.m. (EDT) Friday, November 2, 2012  —  Technical information:  —  Household data: (202) 691-6378 * cpsinfo@bls.gov * www.bls.gov/cps
RELATED:
Jason Lange / Reuters:
Payrolls rise sharply, giving Obama some relief  —  (Reuters) - Employers stepped up hiring in October and the jobless rate ticked higher as more workers restarted job hunts, a hopeful sign for a lackluster economy that has been a drag on President Barack Obama's reelection chances.
Derek Thompson / The Atlantic Online:   Why the October Jobs Report Is Even Better Than It Looks
Benjy Sarlin / Talking Points Memo:
Romney: Elect Me Or House GOP Will Wreck The Economy  —  In what his campaign billed as his “closing argument,” Mitt Romney warned Americans that a second term for President Obama would have apocalyptic consequences for the economy in part because his own party would force a debt ceiling disaster.
Discussion: Firedoglake and The Stranger …
RELATED:
Stephen Dinan / Washington Times:
Reid says he can't work with Romney  —  Five days before the election, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid has ruled out trying to work with Mitt Romney should he win next week.  —  “Mitt Romney's fantasy that Senate Democrats will work with him to pass his ‘severely conservative’ agenda is laughable …
Brian Beutler / Talking Points Memo:
Reid: ‘Laughable’ For Romney To Say Dems Will Help Him Pass His Agenda
Discussion: Mediaite and Shakesville
Antonio Planas / Las Vegas Review-Journal:
Two drivers in Sen. Harry Reid's caravan cited in crash
Discussion: Politico and The Hill
Molly Ball / The Atlantic Online:
Who's Really Winning Early Voting?  —  With both parties spinning early-vote totals, here's the bottom line: Republicans are significantly improving on 2008 in several big early-voting states.  —  Reuters  —  If you're following the presidential election closely, you know that Election …
RELATED:
Hayes Brown / ThinkProgress:
New Details Discredit Fox News Reports On Benghazi Attacks  —  A slew of new reporting this morning debunks Fox News reports claiming that the Obama administration withheld assistance during the Sept. 11 attack on a U.S. diplomatic mission in Libya.  With these revelations …
RELATED:
Jennifer Griffin / Fox News:
Sources, emails point to communication breakdown in Obama administration during Libya attack
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
Nov. 1: The Simple Case for Saying Obama Is the Favorite  —  If you are following some of the same people that I do on Twitter, you may have noticed some pushback about our contention that Barack Obama is a favorite (and certainly not a lock) to be re-elected.
Jay Cost / Weekly Standard:
Morning Jay: Why Romney Is Likely to Win  —  When I started making election predictions eight years ago, I had a very different perspective than I do today.  I knew relatively little about the history of presidential elections or the geography of American politics.  I had a good background in political science and statistics.
Discussion: GOP 12 and American Prospect
Mark Thornhill / WAFF-TV:
Nonunion Ala. crews turned away from Sandy recovery  —  The hurricane-ravaged east coast has been receiving north Alabama help, but crews from Huntsville Utilities learned they'll be doing work in Long Island, New York instead of in New Jersey.  —  Crews from Huntsville …
Charles Krauthammer / Washington Post:
The choice  —  “Ronald Reagan changed the trajectory of America in a way that Richard Nixon did not and in a way that Bill Clinton did not.”  That was Barack Obama in 2008.  And he was right.  Reagan was an ideological inflection point, ending a 50-year liberal ascendancy and beginning a 30-year conservative ascendancy.
RELATED:
ProPublica:
Obama Has Granted Clemency More Rarely Than Any Modern President
Discussion: Hit & Run and Business Insider
Daniel Halper / Weekly Standard:
Biden: 'There's Never Been A Day In The Last Four Years I've Been Proud To Be His Vice President'  —  Joe Biden, at a campaign event today said, “There's never been a day in the last four years I've been proud to be his vice president.”
Barack Obama / CNN:
President Barack Obama: My vision for America  —  Editor's note: Barack Obama is president of the United States.  —  (CNN) — For the past few days, all of us have been properly focused on one of the worst storms of our lifetimes.  We mourn those who were lost.
 
 
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 More Items: 
Paul Krugman:
Karl Rove's Mission Accomplished
Discussion: The Daily Beast
Radley Balko / The Huffington Post:
Supreme Court Considers Two Drug Dog Cases
Justin Sink / The Hill:
Romney slams Obama in closing argument
Discussion: CNN
David Taintor / Talking Points Memo:
Biden Presents Top 10 Reasons To Vote Early On Letterman
Ellie Krupnick / The Huffington Post:
Obama's Leather Bomber Jacket Is One Pair Of Aviators Away From ‘Top Gun’ (PHOTOS)
Discussion: protein wisdom
Business Insider:
The Board Room  —  Finally.  Anyone not living in manhattan has not seen any response.
New England College:
NEW POLL GIVES PRESIDENT OBAMA SOME DAYLIGHT IN NEW HAMPSHIRE
Discussion: GOP 12 and Washington Post
 Earlier Items: 
Mark Blumenthal / The Huffington Post:
2012 Polls And The Long-Dormant ‘Incumbent Rule’
Discussion: Washington Monthly
Rasmussen Reports:
An Unpredictable End to a Very Predictable Election
Discussion: Business Insider
Dean Baker / Salon:
Get ready for the phony debt fight
Discussion: Wonkblog and Hullabaloo
Matthew Vadum / Front Page Magazine:
Benghazi Investigator Slams America and ‘Islamophobes’
Eline Gordts / The Huffington Post:
Mitt Romney's Italy Comments Spark Anger
Discussion: AMERICAblog and Guardian