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4:25 PM ET, November 5, 2012


 Top Items: 
If Obama loses...  A defeat for Barack Obama on Tuesday would be no ordinary loss for Democrats.  —  It would be a traumatic experience: the death of the dream of liberal realignment embodied in Obama's insurgent 2008 campaign.  And it would be all the more distressing to Democrats …
If Romney loses...  For Republicans, the only thing harder than losing to Barack Obama might be explaining it.  —  By any reasonable standard, Obama is a seriously vulnerable incumbent: a president overseeing a limping economy, whose party got thumped in the 2010 midterm elections …
Latino Decisions:
Final impreMedia-LD tracking poll: if Latino vote is high, Obama will carry 4 key swing states  —  High Latino voter turnout could deliver swing states of Nevada, Colorado, Virginia, and Florida to the Democrats  —  impreMedia & Latino Decisions today released the last in a series …
Jonathan Martin / Politico:
The looming GOP civil war - whether Mitt wins or not  —  WEST CHESTER, Ohio - Mitt Romney's boisterous rally here Friday night featured both the promise of the Republican Party's future and a sharp reminder of why the GOP may lose its second consecutive presidential race on Tuesday.
Johanna Persing /
For Democrats, It's (Ground) Game Over  —  MEMO  —  FROM: RNC Political Director Rick Wiley  —  TO: Interested Parties  —  RE: For Democrats, It's (Ground) Game Over  —  The Obama camp has been firing off a number of memos in desperate attempt to convince the media (and themselves) that they're not losing.
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
Nov. 4: Did Hurricane Sandy Blow Romney Off Course?  —  If President Obama wins re-election on Tuesday, the historical memory of the race might turn on the role played by Hurricane Sandy.  —  Already, some analysts are describing the storm as an “October surprise” that allowed Mr. Obama to regain …
Larry J. Sabato / Sabato's Crystal Ball:
Projection: Obama Will Likely Win Second Term  —  With a slight, unexpected lift provided by Hurricane Sandy, Mother Nature's October surprise, President Barack Obama appears poised to win his second term tomorrow.  Our final Electoral College projection has the president winning …
Bret Baier / Fox News:
What President Obama really said in that ‘60 Minutes’ interview about Benghazi  —  ANALYSIS: Two days before the election, CBS posted additional portions of a Sept. 12 “60 Minutes” interview where President Obama seems to contradict himself on the Benghazi attack.
Julian Pecquet / The Hill:   Republicans pounce on Obama, CBS News over unaired Libya remarks
Paul Krugman / New York Times:
Sandy Versus Katrina  —  As Sandy barreled toward New Jersey, there were hopeful mutters on the right to the effect that it might become President Obama's Katrina, with voters blaming him for the damage, and that this might matter on Tuesday.  Sorry, guys: polls show overwhelming approval …
Peggy Noonan's Blog:
Monday Morning  —  We begin with the three words everyone writing about the election must say: Nobody knows anything.  Everyone's guessing.  I spent Sunday morning in Washington with journalists and political hands, one of whom said she feels it's Obama, the rest of whom said they don't know.
Scott Lemieux / American Prospect:
The No-Brainer Progressive Case For Obama  —  Should it be surprising President Obama has largely maintained the support of the left of the Democratic Party?  According to a number of critics—notably Matt Stoller and David Sirota of Salon—the answer is yes.
Slate Votes  —  Obama wins our staff. … Laura Anderson, assistant editor: Barack Obama
Kevin Robillard / Politico:
Florida early voting: West sees ‘nefarious actions’  —  Rep. Allen West (R-Fla.) accused Democrats of “nefarious actions” during early voting in Florida on Monday, one day after the state's Democratic Party sued to extend the early voting period.  —  “I think you're starting …
Marc Caputo / Naked Politics:
Day before Election Day FL outlook: 4.5m have voted, Ds lead Rs by 167,000 ballots
Discussion: emptywheel and Election 2012
What Your Books And Websites Say About Your Politics  —  Conservative readers love Drudge and Ayn Rand; liberals like the Times and Noam Chomsky; and there's not much in the middle.  The last infographic from Engage .  —  Via:  —  Via:
Discussion: The Greenroom and Roger Ailes
Ben Smith / BuzzFeed:
Axelrod: Dick Morris Is “Delusional”  —  The Democrat-turned-Fox News figure is predicting a Romney landslide and is claiming Obama's top strategist used work for him.  —  Morris addresses the Faith and Freedom Coalition in June in Washington, DC.  —  Image by Win McNamee / Getty Images
Discussion: Taegan Goddard's …
Igor Volsky / ThinkProgress:
McCain Strategist Admits Voter Fraud 'Doesn't Really Exist'  —  Steve Schmidt, a former senior strategist to Sen. John McCain's (R-AZ) 2008 presidential campaign, admitted that widespread voter fraud doesn't exist in the United States and claimed that the GOP-backed voter ID laws are based on “mythology.”
Sheldon G. Adelson / Wall Street Journal:
I Didn't Leave the Democrats.  They Left Me  —  There is an anti-Israel movement among the rank and file, and the party no longer appears to value self-reliance, charity and accountability.  —  When members of the Democratic Party booed the inclusion of God and Jerusalem in their party platform this year, I thought of my parents.
Discussion: CNN
Andrew Cohen / The Atlantic Online:
No One in America Should Have to Wait 7 Hours to Vote  —  What's happening at polling stations in Ohio and Florida isn't some fluke of nature or breakdown in equipment.  It's all part of a partisan design.  —  A line of early voters snakes around a parking lot at a voting location in Columbus, Ohio.
Byron Tau / Politico:
Voting-related giveaways clash with federal law  —  Business owners beware: Offering a discount or a freebie to voters Tuesday is illegal.  But despite a clear federal ban on such activities, they've only proliferated in recent years.  —  A Washington D.C. yoga studio is offering 10 percent off for showing an “I Voted” sticker.
Discussion: Outside the Beltway
Andrew Cain / Richmond Times-Dispatch:
Wilder chooses not to endorse for president  —  Former Gov. L. Douglas Wilder, who backed Democrat Barack Obama for president in 2008, did not endorse Obama or Republican Mitt Romney in an opinion column released days before the election.  —  “I have campaigned for and supported the president …
Ira Boudway / Business Week:
Breaking: Gallup to Show Romney, Obama in Dead Heat  —  Gallup editor-in-chief Frank Newport tells Bloomberg Businessweek that the release of Monday's tracking poll, set for 1 p.m., will show Mitt Romney leading President Obama 49 percent to 48 percent among likely voters nationally.
Alex Fishman / Ynetnews:
Obama's woman in Tehran  —  One of US president's senior advisors is secretly making efforts to establish line of communication with Iran  —  A Chicago lawyer is the key player behind the secret talks between the US and Iran.  Yedioth Ahronoth reported Monday.  A close friend of Michelle Obama,
Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:
This Could Get Weird  —  Listening to a story from a friend this evening.  Guy in a social setting talking to a group of Wall Street heavyweights.  Every single one in the room certain Romney wins.  Has Ohio locked.  Has the whole thing tied up.  No doubt.
Byron Tau / Politico:
Trumka: Card check will happen in second Obama term  —  AFL-CIO President Richard Trumka tells The Atlantic's Molly Ball that so-called card-check legislation will happen in a second Obama term: … The legislation would make it easier for labor unions to organize by abolishing the secret ballot …
Zeke Miller / BuzzFeed:
Ryan Warns Evangelicals: Obama Threatens “Judeo-Christian Values”  —  The Republican vice presidential nominee tries to fire up the Evangelical vote.  In private, a departure from the moderate rhetoric of the closing days.  —  Image by Eric Thayer / Reuters
Brie Zeltner / Plain Dealer:
Huge turnout, long lines for early voting in Ohio  —  CLEVELAND, Ohio— Early voters jammed county election boards across Ohio Sunday on the last weekend day before the election in a state where that presidential election may well be decided.  —  At some sites, lines snaked several city blocks …
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 More Items: 
Michael K. Lavers / Washington Blade:
Pastor: Sandy struck NYC after Bloomberg gave $250,000 to Md. marriage campaign
Discussion: Runnin' Scared and Guardian
Jamie McGonnigal / The Huffington Post:
Obama Responds to 10-Year-Old's Heartfelt Letter About Her Dads
Discussion: Advocate and AMERICAblog
Terence P. Jeffrey / CNSNews:
4 Yrs at Private College = $130,468; Median-Priced Existing Home = $173,100; U.S. Debt Per American Under 18 = $218,676
Discussion: The Jawa Report and protein wisdom
Acid attack girl ‘looked at boy’
The new ‘no comment’: F— off
Discussion: Outside the Beltway
Zeke Miller / BuzzFeed:
Obama-Springsteen Crowd Lower Than Kerry In 2004
Discussion: The Gateway Pundit
A.B. Stoddard / Pundits Blog:
Too close to call
Discussion: CNN
Glenn Cook / Las Vegas Review-Journal:
How many noncitizens are registered to vote?
Discussion: Examiner and Weasel Zippers
 Earlier Items: 
Walter Kirn / The New Republic:
Buckeye Hate  —  Obama and Romney are Telling Ohioans that They're the Greatest.
Economy Set for Better Times Whether Obama or Romney Wins
Justin Sink / The Hill:
Larry Summers: Republican critique of unemployment rate ‘ridiculous’
Discussion: Weekly Standard
Paul Waldman / American Prospect:
Why the Romney Campaign Screwed Up
Discussion: Daily Kos
Harry Siegel / The Daily Beast:
Heck Of a Job, Bloomberg
Discussion: Daily Mail, CNN, Politico and Politicker
Daniel Halper / Weekly Standard:
Video: Sandy Victims Beg For Help
Mark Kirk /
Exclusive: Kirk's First Post-Stroke Interview