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2:50 PM ET, October 5, 2022


 Top Items: 
Hanna Ziady / CNN:
OPEC announces the biggest cut to oil production since the start of the pandemic
Charlie Sykes / Morning Shots:
Herschel Walker is a Preview of 2024  —  The GOP keeps swallowing.  —  The GOP's reaction to the news that Herschel Walker paid for a girlfriend's abortion is less a revelation than a reminder of what the party has become.  —  It's also a preview of what will happen in 2024.
FOX 5 Poll: Raphael Warnock leads Herschel Walker after abortion allegations
Washington Post:
Republicans cling to Walker's denials
InsiderAdvantage/FOX 5 Poll: Warnock, Walker still in statistical tie
CBS News:
Mark Kelly has edge in Arizona Senate race that hinges on abortion, economy, immigration — CBS News Battleground Tracker  —  Arizona is another battleground where strong opposing forces underpin the race.  —  Democratic candidates enjoy stronger personal ratings, while Republican voters …
Monmouth University Polling Institute:
Common Touch Key to Senate Race  —  Oz makes small gains but Fetterman support solidifies  —  West Long Branch, NJ - Democrat John Fetterman is seen as understanding the concerns of ordinary Pennsylvanians more than Republican Mehmet Oz, according to the latest Monmouth ("Mon-muth") University Poll of the U.S. Senate race.
Republicans have edge on crime, immigration ahead of U.S. midterms -Reuters/Ipsos poll
Discussion: New York Post and The Hill
J. Miles Coleman / Sabato's Crystal Ball:
House Rating Changes: RGV versus RCV  —  Two House rating changes, both in favor of 2022 special election winners  —  KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE  — We are making a couple of House rating changes this week, both of which are to the benefit of members who won recent special elections.
Zoe Tillman / Bloomberg:
Inside Mar-a-Lago: Pardons, White House Emails, Legal Bills  —  The thousands of documents seized from former President Donald Trump's Florida home included a mix of government, business and personal affairs, including analysis about who should get a pardon, call notes marked with a presidential seal …
POLITICO Playbook: What to expect from Elon Musk's Twitter
Discussion: The Hill and Axios
Kevin Roose / New York Times:
Elon Musk's Twitter Will Be a Wild Ride  —  His deal to buy the company is back on.  Here are six predictions about Twitter under Musk's control, if it happens.  —  Buckle up.  —  Elon Musk, who for months has been strenuously trying to back out of a deal to buy Twitter for $44 billion …
Lee Brown / New York Post:
DeSantis blasts ‘illegal alien’ looters after Hurricane Ian in Florida  —  Most of the heartless looters busted in hurricane-ravaged Florida were illegal immigrants, Gov. Ron DeSantis announced Tuesday — as he said he'd like to “drag them out by the collars” and “send them back to where they came from.”
Tom Rogan / Washington Examiner:
Trump's no-hope CNN lawsuit has nothing to do with the law  —  Former President Donald Trump is suing CNN for defamation and demanding $475 million in damages.  His lawsuit has nothing to do with the law.  Instead, it helps Trump mobilize his supporters as he looks toward a 2024 presidential run.
William Saletan / The Bulwark:
Fox News: Putin Propaganda Primetime  —  Here are the top 20 anti-Ukraine, pro-Russia claims and arguments that Fox viewers are hearing.  —  For seven months, Russia has waged a vicious war of aggression in Ukraine, killing thousands of civilians.  To make matters worse, in the past two weeks …
Federal Bureau of Investigation:
FBI Releases 2021 Crime in the Nation Statistics … In anticipation of UCR's evolution to NIBRS, the FBI collaborated with the Bureau of Justice Statistics (BJS) to develop comprehensive methodologies to bring a NIBRS estimation process to fruition and establish 2021 as the first year …
NBC News:
This one demographic has driven much of the GOP's gains with Latino voters  —  Conservative Latinos have gone from Democratic-leaning voters in 2012 to base GOP voters now.  —  Of all the numbers from our recent NBC News/Telemundo poll of Latino voters, this set maybe stands out the most …
Stuart A. Thompson / New York Times:
Election Software Executive Arrested on Suspicion of Theft  —  The executive, Eugene Yu, and his firm, Konnech, have been a focus of attention among election deniers.  —  The top executive of an elections technology company that has been the focus of attention among election deniers …
Yahoo News:
Putin is losing the war in all 4 Ukrainian regions he ‘annexed’  —  KYIV, Ukraine — To hear pro-Russian military analysts tell it, in the last 72 hours Ukraine has managed to simultaneously recapture about 1,000 square kilometers of terrain in the northeast of the country and 2,200 square kilometers in the south.
New York Times:
Talk of ‘Civil War,’ Ignited by Mar-a-Lago Search, Is Flaring Online  —  Soon after the F.B.I. searched Donald J. Trump's home in Florida for classified documents, online researchers zeroed in on a worrying trend.  —  Posts on Twitter that mentioned “civil war” had soared nearly 3,000 percent …
Discussion: Washington Post and Raw Story
New York Times:
U.S. Believes Ukraine Was Behind an Assassination in Russia  —  American officials said they were not aware of the plan ahead of time for the attack that killed Daria Dugina and that they had admonished Ukraine over it.  —  WASHINGTON — United States intelligence agencies believe parts …
Discussion: Political Wire
Wall Street Journal:
Chess Investigation Finds That U.S. Grandmaster ‘Likely Cheated’ More Than 100 Times  —  An internal report reviewed by The Wall Street Journal alleges a previously unknown pattern of likely widespread cheating by Hans Moke Niemann, the player whose September victory over Magnus Carlsen has rocked the chess world
John Frank / Axios:
Lauren Boebert's re-election in jeopardy, new poll shows  —  Republican firebrand Rep. Lauren Boebert is dangerously close to being upset by a little-known Democratic rival, a new poll in Colorado's 3rd Congressional District shows. … - 7% of voters are undecided, per the poll.
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 More Items: 
Martin Austermuhle / DCist:
D.C. Council Gives First Approval To Bills To Let Non-Citizens Vote, Make Mail Voting Permanent
Discussion: The Daily Wire
Deena Winter / Minnesota Reformer:
Congressional candidate Tyler Kistner has repeatedly suggested he saw combat, but he didn't
Radley Balko:
The maddening irrelevance of Charlie Vaughn's innocence
Sarah Ewall-Wice / CBS News:
Weeks before midterm elections, Republicans warn of an army of 87,000 IRS agents that will harass Americans
Discussion: Punchbowl News and Politico
Annie Karni / New York Times:
For Pelosi and McCarthy, a Toxic Relationship Worsens as Elections Approach
Deidre McPhillips / CNN:
90% of US adults say the United States is experiencing a mental health crisis, CNN/KFF poll finds
Discussion: The Hill and KFF
Matt Gertz / Media Matters for America:
STUDY: Fox prime time is covering key Senate races more than CNN and MSNBC — combined
Discussion: RedState
 Earlier Items: 
Dan Froomkin / Press Watch:
The facts need a bullhorn
Burgess Everett / Politico:
Senate Dems face brutal 2024 map with at least eight undecided incumbents
Discussion: Just The News
Ryan J. Reilly / NBC News:
A cop in a MAGA hat and an Oath Keeper: Inside one of Jan. 6's strangest moments