U.S. PRESIDENT
CNN
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Presidential results by state: County result maps: Enter keywords below: |
Lambert @Corrente: PA projected for Kerry — Phew! I step away from the keyboard to buy fuel and what happens... Good things!
Barry Ritholtz: Interactive Polling Maps — Couple of interesting interactive polling pages: CNN Looks at the full country — you can...
John Emerson: Election day links — Dave Johnson will be posting here for MSNBC: http://msnbc.msn.com/id/5 445086/ And here:...
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Michael Totten: COUNTY MAPS: You can drill down into CNN's state map to find red and blue counties. (Via The Corner.)
KJL: CNN shows counties on online map. Useful
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U.S. PRESIDENT / OHIO / EXIT POLL
CNN
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Updated: 7:32 p.m. ANYONE IN HOUSEHOLD IN A UNION? ARE YOU A UNION MEMBER? |
Richard TPD: Monkey business in Ohio — See Josh Marshall — the Rethuglicans are using lawsuits to force polls to close.
Kevin Drum: OHIO....The final exit polls have Kerry beating Bush in Ohio 52%-48%. And Kerry appears to be winning Pennsylvania 54%-45%.
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Laura Rozen: A long night. Kevin Drum meanwhile reports that exit polls show Kerry beating Bush 52% to 48% in Ohio.
Ken Layne: Kerry Takes Ohio & Pennsylvania? That's what it looks like.
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Elections 2004 Blog
USA Today
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USATODAY.com's Andrew Sherry posts key Election 2004 developments as they happen. 9:30 p.m. ET: No breakout for youth vote It's not turning out to be a breakout year for the youth vote, with 18 to 24-year-olds making up about the same proportion of voters as in 2000, exit polls indicate. |
Lambert @Corrente: UPDATE More from USA Today: [snipped quote] Is this right, readers? Are the polls still open in Ohio?
Andrew Sullivan: YOUTH VOTE DOUBLED: That's what the exit polls are saying. Also: [snipped quote] Yes, the debates. They were critical.
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Susan Madrak: N. Carolina - Bush. S. Carolina - TCTC. Virginia - Bush. USAToday calls Ohio for Kerry via exit polls.
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2004 Not a Breakout for Youth After All
By Siobhan McDonough / AP
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WASHINGTON - This was not the breakout year for young voters that some had anticipated. Fewer than one in 10 voters Tuesday were 18 to 24, about the same proportion of the electorate as in 2000, exit polls indicated. |
Steve M.: AP First-time voters made up about 10 percent of the electorate, about the same as in 2000... —AP In each case,...
KJL: "WASHINGTON - This was not the breakout year for young voters that some had anticipated.
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Bill @INDCJournal: And so much for Rock the Vote's draft scare tactics. UPDATE: More calming ferrets: moreferrets.jpg Ah yes ... that's the stuff.
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U.S. PRESIDENT / ELECTORAL VOTE SCORECARD
CNN
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GEORGE W. BUSH JOHN KERRY GAIN / LOSS --- GEORGE W. BUSH JOHN KERRY GAIN / LOSS from 2000 --- GEORGE W. BUSH JOHN KERRY GAIN / LOSS from 2000 |
Joe Gandelman: As of this writing the race is still too close to call, yet even though it is proving to be the predicted nail-biter...
JD @SouthernAppeal: Interesting page from CNN: Not that anybody needs pointing to CNN, but I wanted to point out this page, which gives vote totals and electoral vote changes.
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Skippy: the story so far as of 6:43 real time, cnn sez awol has 170 ev's and kerry has 112
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Late Afternoon Exit Polls
By Jack Shafer / Slate
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In the national exit poll, Kerry leads Bush 51-48. In Wisconsin he's up by three and in Ohio and Florida he leads by one. Why is Slate running these numbers? See this morning's piece. ... 3:16 p.m. PT |
Eugene Volokh: But the pro-Kerry inference that some people are drawing from 50-49 exit polls strikes me as mighty odd.
Matt Welch: Exits: 51-48 Kerry Nationwide — According to Shafer's latest. Not that this is like crack or anything....
KJL: SLATE has some early polls, less distressing.
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Mathew Gross: Kerry 51, Bush 48? Slate projects Kerry 51 Bush 48 in National Exits.
Medium Lobster: No Exit — The flood of exit polling has begun to arrive, relieving voters of the tedious burden of actually having to vote to effect the outcome of the presidential race.
Hesiod: MORE EXIT POLL DATA: Jack Shafer at Slate posts additional data showing that Ohio and Florida are tightening, with Kerry holding a narrow lead in both.
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Also:
Ace |
2004 not the breakout year for youth vote after all
By Siobhan Mcdonough / AP
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(11-02) 17:59 PST WASHINGTON (AP) — This was not the breakout year for young voters that some had anticipated. Fewer than one in 10 voters Tuesday were 18 to 24, about the same proportion of the electorate as in 2000, exit polls indicated. |
Michelle Malkin: The AP reports on the youth-vote flop: "This was not the breakout year for young voters that some had anticipated.
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Betsy Newmark: The Associated Press is reporting that there hasn't been any increase in the youth vote as the percentage of the electorate from 2000.
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The Exit Poll Charade
By Jack Shafer / Slate
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As this item posts, the first raw exit poll data are streaming from the National Election Pool consortium owned by the Associated Press and the five television networks (CBS, ABC, NBC, Fox, and CNN) to their news divisions and to the newsrooms of NEP subscribers—big city newspapers and other broadcasters. |
Susan Madrak: EDUCATED GUESSES — New Slate exit polls.
Ace: Kerry Holds Lead in Later Exit Polls — Still doesn't mean anything, but that's what the numbers show so far.
Andrew Sullivan: THE LATEST: From Slate: [snipped quote] That's more convincing. Please spare us from endless litigation in Ohio and Florida.
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Robert Garcia Tagorda: Jack Shafer also has must-read analyses. In the blogosphere, check out James Joyner, Dan Drezner, and Real Clear Politics.
Brian Linse: Election Blog Sites & News — I'll not be postng regularly tonight, but I'll be following the action at these sites:...
Jan Haugland: Blue and red — For what it's worth, tight exit polls show a Kerry lead as I go to bed. Remember to read the disclaimer at the bottom of the page.
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Also:
Jeralyn Merritt,
Magpie @PacificViews,
Steve Soto,
David Allan Pell,
Steve Clemons,
Chris Bowers,
Joe Gandelman,
Kos,
Mathew Gross,
Daniel Drezner,
Nick Gillespie,
James Joyner,
Betsy Newmark,
Orrin Judd,
The Poor Man |
Blogs Send Stocks Into Reverse
Reuters
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NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. stocks reversed course suddenly on Tuesday and drifted lower as chatter on the Internet speculated that early exit polls had Sen. John Kerry leading the presidential election in key swing states. |
Joe Gandelman: The Power Of Big Mouths With Computers — THIS will teach them on Wall Street to read blogs: [snipped quote] ETC.
Jeff Jarvis: Online hell... : Been down for two hours... : Wonkette's exit polls looking damned good for Kerry... : Blogs moved...
Will Collier: The Dow Gets Blogged, And Other Comments — The exit-poll controversy that erupted from Drudge and NRO in the...
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Tim Blair: PYJAMA BROKING — Reuters reports: Blogs Send Stocks Into Reverse ... "NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. stocks reversed course...
Michelle Malkin: REASONS TO SMILE — Feeling jumpy?
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West Virginia elector says he might not vote for President Bush
AP
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CHARLESTON, W.Va. (AP) — If President Bush wins West Virginia, one of the state's five Republican electors says he might not vote for Bush to protest the president's economic and foreign policies. |
Matt Welch: Little Witty Richie Won't, Won't Vote — Everyone's rightly calling West Virginia for Bush, but let's remember: Elector...
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Jesse Walker: Bear in mind that one Republican elector in West Virginia has announced that he might bolt to Kerry or vote None Of The Above.
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Republican Wins Zell Miller's Senate Seat
By David Espo / AP
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WASHINGTON - Majority Republicans pocketed an open Democratic Senate seat in Georgia Tuesday night as they battled for renewed control in a string of races across the South and West. Democratic Leader Tom Daschle faced strong oppposition for a new term in South Dakota. |
Michael Totten: ZELL MILLER did not seek re-election this year. His former seat was won today by Johnny Isakson, a Republican.
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Orrin Judd: Republican Wins Zell Miller's Senate Seat (DAVID ESPO, 11/02/04, AP) "Rep. Johnny Isakson, a five-year veteran of the...
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Ga., Ky., Ohio Vote Against Gay Marriage
By David Crary / AP
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Voters in Georgia, Kentucky and Ohio approved constitutional amendments Tuesday to ban same-sex marriage, with similar results expected in most of the eight other states considering such measures. Early results made clear the amendments would, as expected, win easy approval. |
Jon Henke: On a much worse note, though...this Ohio bill is purely objectionable: it bars "any legal status that "intends to approximate marriage".
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Bird Dog: Ohio also appears to have approved its own version of the Defense of Marriage Act (as did Georgia and Kentucky) which insofar as it gets Christians to the polls should help Bush.
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Networks Vow Not to Make Hasty Calls Tonight
By Jim Rutenberg / NYT
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With memories of their botched calls in the 2000 presidential race still embarrassingly fresh, the major news networks say they are under increased pressure to get it right when they declare a winner tonight. But never before has getting it right posed such a challenge. |
Taegan Goddard: Networks Are Wary — "With memories of their botched calls in the 2000 presidential race still embarrassingly fresh, the...
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Steve Lovelady: Go to comments — November 02, 2004 Hidden Angle Racing to be Last The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, Boston...
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Heavy turnout in New Mexico
By Marsha Walton / CNN
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SANTA FE, New Mexico (CNN) — The New Mexico secretary of state's office is predicting the heaviest turnout in state history. About 46 percent of the state's 1.1 million voters have voted early or by absentee ballot, a result of heavy voter registration drives by both parties, as well as partisan and nonpartisan interest groups. |
Steve Clemons: DEMOCRACY IS BACK: HISTORIC LEVELS OF VOTER TURN-OUT EVERYWHERE — THIS STORY ABOUT HISTORIC VOTER TURN-OUT IN NEW...
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Steve Soto: First, on the good side, New Mexico officials are projecting the heaviest turnout in that state's history, with nearly...
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US presidential election 2004: quiz
Guardian
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Vice presidential candidate John Edwards has spent only one term in the Senate. What was his job before then? Which foodstuff has links to the Kerry campaign? To which English county did historians trace back the Bush and Kerry family trees? |
Radley Balko: Test Yourself — With The Guardians's Campaign '04 quiz. 37 out of 40, here.
Kevin Drum: KILLING TIME....The Guardian has a 2004 election quiz on their site today. I got only 33 out of 40 correct.
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Ken Layne: Presidential Election 2004 Quiz — Hooray, I got 33 of 40 correct! (Maybe I should trade that "hooray" for a "Oh dear god my brain is filled with the worst nonsense.")
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Iraqis have few illusions about U.S. election
By Jim Maceda / MSNBC
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BAGHDAD - If the latest nationwide poll is any indication, Iraqis are also divided when it comes to keeping President George W. Bush in power. According to a mid-October survey conducted by Baghdad's Center for Research and Strategic Studies, about 21 percent of Iraqis polled favor John Kerry for president. |
David Allan Pell: Do you care who wins the U.S. election? More than 60% of Iraqis say no.
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William Swann: Another Tied Poll — Yet another statistically tied poll. Ho-hum.
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Sudan army surrounds Darfur camps
CNN
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GENEVA, Switzerland (CNN) — The Sudanese army has surrounded two refugee camps housing thousands of people in the Darfur region and denied access to groups providing humanitarian aid, a United Nations official said Tuesday. |
Eugene Oregon: Daily Darfur — Just this - but it is important "The Sudanese army has surrounded two refugee camps housing thousands...
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Blackfive: The Sudanese Army has surrounded two refugee camps and is not allowing humanitarian support... It doesn't matter who...
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Votenfraude
By Andrew Sullivan / TNR
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In the inevitable jitters and bitten nails of Election Day, here's a suggestion. Think of someone you really can't stand who favors your candidate. Now imagine how bad he's gonna feel when your guy loses. Feel better? No? Well, it was worth a try. |
Gene @HarrysPlace: Now Kerry supporter Andrew Sullivan writes about the temptation to vote for Bush just to piss of those of the...
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Andrew Sullivan: Dumb, but irresistible. THE ENEMY STRIKES: Another Jihadist murder - this time aimed directly at the West's freedom of...
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The Revolution Will Be Posted
NYT
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Every four years, by journalistic if not political tradition, the presidential election must be accompanied by a "revolution." So what transformed politics this time around? The rise of the Web log, or blog. |
David Adesnik: But look at which bloggers were on the NYT op-ed page today: Djerejian, Cox, Kaus, Drum, DeLong, Hinderaker, Johnson and Reynolds.
DeLong: The Key Moment in This Election — I think the key moment making this election what it has been came last January, with...
Tom Burka: Abandonment of Mars Program Critical Error in Bush Campaign — Bush Soft On Unnecessary Planetary Exploration, Voters...
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Matt Welch: So sayeth the New York Times, the San Francisco Chronicle's a href=[snipped quote]C.W. Nevius, the San Bernardino Sun,...
Avedon Carol: "Tom from Opinions You should Have has an article in the NYT, The Revolution Will Be Posted."
Jeff Alworth: Burka in the Times — Hey, check it out: TAS's own Tom Burka is in the Times this morning.
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Also:
Chris Nolan,
Cori Dauber,
Dave Johnson,
Edward _,
Ann Althouse,
Glenn Reynolds,
Matthew Yglesias,
Skippy,
Jan Haugland,
James Joyner,
Ed Cone,
Mitch Berg,
The Big Trunk,
Betsy Newmark,
Brian Weatherson,
Joe Gandelman,
Joanne Jacobs,
Jesse Taylor,
Orin Kerr,
Tbogg,
Kevin Drum,
Lorie Byrd,
John Hawkins,
Jim Treacher |
The uphill fight is impossible to predict now
By Mark Mellman / The Hill
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You, dear reader, have the advantage over me. I am writing this Sunday, before the election takes place. The opportunities for me to look foolish are legion. So I will resist both predictions and triumphalism. |
Clayton Cramer: Being Magnanimous Before The Victory Is Called — I've decided to write this note to Kerry voters now, partly because...
Max B. Sawicky: Wow. Really? No, not really.
Jonah Goldberg: MELLMAN — Here's his dour column (the one Cliff mentioned earlier).
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Atrios: Of course, he concludes the article with: "You soon will know whether Kerry's appeal was strong enough to overcome the incumbent's strength.
Betsy Newmark: Captain's Quarters links to this article by Mark Mellman, John Kerry's own pollster, predicting a Bush victory.
Pejman Yousefzadeh: But if John Kerry loses, Mark Mellman may have articulated the reasons why. UPDATE: This is interesting too.
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Also:
KJL,
Captain Ed,
The Big Trunk,
John Hawkins,
Orrin Judd,
Roger L. Simon |
Gunman kills Dutch film director
BBC
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Dutch film maker Theo van Gogh, who made a controversial film about Islamic culture recently, has been shot dead in Amsterdam, Dutch police say. Police arrested a man in a nearby park after an exchange of gunfire. |
David Adesnik: FILMMAKER SHOT DEAD: A young man with joint Dutch-Moroccan citizenship has shot dead Theo van Gogh, the Dutch director...
Ace: More Bloody Peace from the Religion of Peace (TM) Dutch director making film critical of Islam is shot dead by what the...
James Joyner: And, please, is there really any doubt as to the motive of the murder? See also the BBC account.
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Bill Hobbs: As America Votes — My London correspondent George Miller, an American living in London (where he spent the latter half...
McQ: Dutch film maker murdered for anti-Islamic film — Islam, the religion of peace and tolerance, has claimed another...
Michelle Malkin: MEANWHILE, AROUND THE WORLD, THE WAR RAGES ON... In Amsterdam: "Gunman kills Dutch film director Dutch film maker Theo...
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Also:
Tim Blair,
David T,
Bird Dog |
'I don't think I can stay if Bush wins'
By Catherine Elsworth / National Post
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LOS ANGELES - Some left-leaning Californians say they would rather leave the United States — and go to Canada or elsewhere — than stay with George W. Bush as president. |
Clayton Cramer: From one of the Canadian newspapers: [snipped quote] Is that a promise? Is there some way to legally enforce these petulant screams?
Ace: Don't Let the Door Hit Ya Where the Good Lord Split Ya — Celebrities leaving us should Bush be re-elected! Oh no!
Joe Gandelman: If You're A Moving Company Don't Get Your Van Ready — Here we go again with people who dramatically threaten to leave...
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McQ: Hollywood left threatens to leave US if Bush wins — I wonder what they'd say if they really lived in a totalitarian state?
Charles Johnson: So Long! We'll Miss You! (Not) When George W. Bush is reelected, some of our moonbats are planning to emigrate.
Baldilocks: UPDATE: A moonbat-free California in the wake of a prospective Bush victory is a nice dream.
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Also:
Will Collier,
Michelle Malkin,
Mrs Greyhawk |
Why Kerry will beat Bush
By Jimmy Breslin / Newsday
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One day last May, I assigned the election to John Kerry. I said it early, and often. As I looked more, I saw that it shouldn't even be close. I said that in this space more than once. Now I am so sure that I am not even going to bother to watch the results tonight. |
Kevin T. Keith: Here's a typically great Jimmy Breslin column pointing out just how significant those numbers are, and confidently predicting a walkover for Kerry.
Susan Madrak: BRESLIN GOES OUT ON A HIGH NOTE — The great Jimmy Breslin announces this will be his last regular column: [snipped quote] Thanks for letting us into your world, Jimmy.
Steve Gilliard: The cellphone factor — The margin of victory Why Kerry will beat Bush November 2, 2004 "One day last May, I assigned the election to John Kerry.
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Avedon Carol: "Jimmy Breslin explains Why Kerry will beat Bush. 18:58 GMT"
Ezra Klein: So go crash their hit counter and make me look good. You need to read Breslin and Fafblog!.
Joe Gandelman: Jimmy Breslin Calls It: The controversial veteran columnist tells you why he is convinced it'll be a big, clean Kerry victory and it won't even be close.
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Also:
Kevin Hayden,
Mathew Gross |
VOTES FOUND ON MACHINES IN PHILLY BEFORE POLLS OPEN
Drudge Report
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Before voting even began in Philadelphia — poll watchers found nearly 2000 votes already planted on machines scattered throughout the city. One incident occurred at the SALVATION ARMY, 2601 N. 11th St., Philadelphia, Pa: Ward 37, division 8. |
Lambert @Corrente: And Drudge publishes a handy map. Just so the wingers can drive in with their SUVs and stage another bourgeios riot, eh?
Robert Garcia Tagorda: What will happen if the campaigns formally question suspicious ballot activities like those reported in Philadelphia?
James Joyner: Update (1100): Drudge now has a story link up but no more information.
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Steve @BeggingToDiffer: EARLY VOTING IN PHILLY — According to Drudge several voting machines in Philadelphia have been observed with votes already registered before the polls opened.
Megan McArdle: According to Drudge, Philadelphia, my former home, is up to its old tricks: voting machines were found rigged with 2000...
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G.O.P. in Ohio Can Challenge Voters at Polls
NYT
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COLUMBUS, Ohio, Tuesday, Nov. 2 - In a day of see-sawing court rulings, a Federal appeals court ruled early Tuesday morning that the Republican Party could place thousands of people inside polling places to challenge the eligibility of voters, a blow to Democrats who argued those challengers will intimidate minority voters. |
Jeffrey Dubner: EYES ON OHIO, BAD NEWS EDITION. I hate being right.
Stirling Newberry: The Fix is In — Once again a Republican controlled court overturns a state court to help Republicans.
David Allan Pell: An Ohio appeals court reversed and earlier ruling and cleared the way for GOP operatives to challenge the eligibility of folks who show up to vote on Tuesday.
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Jerome Armstrong: Republicans challenging Democracy in Ohio, update — As exptected, the GOP tools at the 6th Circuit reverses lower court...
Jack Balkin: JB From the New York Times: "In a day of see-sawing court rulings, a Federal appeals court ruled early Tuesday morning...
James Joyner: Update (11/2 0837): G.O.P. in Ohio Can Challenge Voters at Polls [RSS] (NYT) "In a day of see-sawing court rulings, a...
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Election Day 2004
JSOnline
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At the St. Mark AME church at N. 15th St. & W. Atkinson Ave. in Milwaukee, poll workers are enjoying a momentary calm before the storm. Nancy Hunt, the chief inspector there, said lines were no less than 50 people from when the polls opened until 2 p.m., but at 4 p.m. there were more poll workers than voters and there was no wait. |
Jay Bullock: I like. The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel was blogging the election all day. As results come in, I'll post them. Nothing yet.
Orrin Judd: WI EXIT POLL: More early exit poll results (JS Online: Weblog, 11/02/04) [snipped quote] That GOP 5 point advantage despite a 6 point gender split has to be good for Republicans.
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Hindrocket: The Journal Sentinel says that in its exit polling, 40% say they are Republicans, compared to 35% Democrats. 32% say they are conservative, 20% liberal.
Ann Althouse: The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports that [t]he tires of at least 30 cars and vans rented by the Republican Party to...
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Presidential campaigns, voters upset about misleading calls
By Kathleen Gray / Detroit Free Press
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Some voters on Monday complained of getting misleading automated phone calls over the weekend telling them either that their polling place had changed or that a vote for Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry was a vote to legalize gay marriage. |
Avedon Carol: "The Detroit Free Press on dirty Republican tricks in Michigan. Jimmy Breslin explains Why Kerry will beat Bush. 18:58 GMT"
James Joyner: Sleazy Campaign Phone Calls — Presidential campaigns, voters upset about misleading calls (Detroit Free Press) "Some...
Josh Marshall: And the polling place shenanigans are happening in Ohio too. All according to the Detroit Free Press.
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Jeanne D'Arc: I'm optimistic because bigotry, racism, and intimidation, even legally sanctioned intimidation are going to backfire this time.
Joe Gandelman: UPDATE: — And there is a lot of reprehensible fraud going around involving Republicans allegedly posing as Democrats in basically gay-bashing calls.
Andrew Sullivan: VOTER-SUPPRESSION: Using homophobia to suppress the black vote. It's been going on in Michigan.
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Desertion In the Field
By Tim Cavanaugh / Reason
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One of the most dramatic and least surprising developments of Election 2004's final period has been President Bush's abandonment by the "liberal hawks," the collection of left-leaning thinkers, commentators, and pundits who approved of the invasion of Iraq as... |
Jeff Jarvis: The flock of hawks : Reason's Tim Cavanaugh breaks out his arsenal and shoots at the liberal hawks — listing me — who aren't voting for Bush.
Virginia Postrel: Liberal Hawks and Hawkish Liberalism One of the added bonuses of Tim Cavanaugh's devastating takedown of the molting...
Orrin Judd: IF YOU CAN'T STAND THE HEAT, LEAVE THE COCKTAIL PARTY: Desertion In the Field: Twilight of the liberal hawks (Tim...
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Matthew Yglesias: A Promissory Note — There's an election on, so there's no time for a thoughtful response, but libertarian doves...
Jim Henley: Faithless Electors - Tim Cavanaugh takes the hide off the "liberal hawks." Cavanaugh is a libertarian dove like me, but less willing to forgive and forget.
Glenn Reynolds: TIM CAVANAUGH IS PRETTY HARD ON THE LIBERAL HAWKS who have abandoned their earlier positions as the election drew nigh:...
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Also:
Ed Driscoll,
Ramesh Ponnuru |
Rehnquist Fails to Return, and Speculation Increases
By Linda Greenhouse / NYT
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WASHINGTON, Nov. 1 - Chief Justice William H. Rehnquist disclosed Monday that his thyroid cancer was being treated with both chemotherapy and radiation, and he did not return to work despite his previously announced plan to do so. |
Kevin T. Keith: Chief Justice Rehnquist has not returned from treatment for thyroid cancer, and some are speculating that his condition is much more serious that previously thought.
Stirling Newberry: What this sets up is a series of lower court battles - because as of now One of "The Five" is not there.
Steve Dillard: Rehnquist Fails to Return, and Speculation Increases: I know that today is the Super Bowl of Politics, but I would...
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Jeanne D'Arc: An ugly era is passing away. And it's passing because millions of Americans recognize how important this is.
Howard Kurtz: Here's a Supreme subject that would be getting 100 times more attention if it hadn't happened in the campaign's final...
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N.H. mountain hamlets cast first votes
AP
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HART'S LOCATION, N.H. - The nation's first Election Day votes were cast and counted just after midnight Tuesday in this mountain hamlet, with President Bush and John Kerry each receiving 15 votes. Ralph Nader received one. |
Joe Gandelman: THE FIRST VOTES ARE IN — Is it a bad omen for George Bush?
Mathew Gross: Because if Dixville Notch and Hart's Location are any indication of national trends, George Bush will lose reelection today.
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Mark Kleiman: This year, the score was Bush 34, Kerry 19, with one stubborn fool — perhaps the very same one — still voting for Nader.
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Campaign waning, Kerry looks to luck
By Patrick Healy / Boston Globe
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MILWAUKEE — Call it the Tangle on the Tarmac. For 20 minutes in a slow, steady rain yesterday, George W. Bush kept John F. Kerry cooling his heels at Milwaukee's airport as the presidential motorcade wended through the city toward Air Force One. |
H.D. Miller: A Black Cat... ..just crossed John Kerry's path. All Kerry's got left at this point is superstition.
Tim Blair: John Kerry's aides, according to the Boston Globe, have become "increasingly superstitious": "The Massachusetts senator...
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Howard Kurtz: The Boston Globe describes him campaigning in Wisconsin with his lucky Red Sox hat—he does look far more relaxed in...
Betsy Newmark: John Kerry believes in superstitions and lucky hats. Is that his plan for fighting terror? And they make fun of Bush for having faith.
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Tires slashed on 30 GOP vehicles, Milwaukee police report
By Derrick Nunnally / JSOnline
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Permalink
The tires of at least 30 cars and vans rented by the Republican Party to carry voters to the polls were slashed, Milwaukee police said this morning. The discovery was made at 6:30 a.m., said Sgt. Mark Wroblewski. |
Brian Montopoli and Zachary Roth: In Milwaukee, police stated that tires had been slashed on at least 30 cars and vans rented by Republicans for their get-out-the-vote operation.
KJL: MORE ON TIRE SLASHING here.
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Captain Ed: In Milwaukee, thirty rental vans that were intended to help GOP voters get to the polls to exercise their franchise...
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If Bush goes, I go
Spectator
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Permalink
What's up with Hawaii? Two polls in two Honolulu newspapers over the weekend showed George W. Bush with a small lead over John Kerry. That's not supposed to be happening. Hawaii's solidly Democrat. |
SLZoll: Yes, yesterday's mystery guest, the guy who promised that he would stop punditing and start garroting palace guards in Africa if Kerry won, was Mark Steyn.
Peter Robinson: SWEET DREAMS ARE MADE OF THESE — Just finished Mark Steyn's latest column, for which, a hat tip to Ramesh, and then...
Glenn Reynolds: Some, however, have made rather abrupt changes in position: Mark Steyn refers to them as "moulting hawks."
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Andrew Sullivan: STEYN THREATENS TO QUIT: If Kerry wins today, Mark Steyn has said he won't wrote again for a while.
Donald Sensing: Everyone except journalist Mark Steyn says the vote will be close. I tend to side with Mark.
Ed Driscoll: [quote]Some, however, have made rather abrupt changes in position: Mark Steyn refers to them as "moulting hawks."[end quote]
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Also:
Ezra Klein,
James Joyner,
Mark Kleiman,
Belle Waring,
Betsy Newmark,
Dean Esmay,
Michael Totten,
H.D. Miller,
Matt Welch,
Ramesh Ponnuru |
French Push Limits in Fight On Terrorism
By Craig Whitlock / WaPo
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Permalink
PARIS — In many countries of Europe, former inmates of the U.S. military prison at Guantanamo Bay, Cuba, have been relishing their freedom. In Spain, Denmark and Britain, recently released detainees have railed in public about their treatment at Guantanamo, winning sympathy from local politicians and newspapers. |
James Joyner: France Rearrests Former Guantanimo Detainees — French Push Limits in Fight On Terrorism - Wide Prosecutorial Powers...
Cori Dauber: CHARITY BEGINS AT HOME — The WaPo reports this morning that while various European countries are treating returned...
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Michael Totten: GUANTANAMO IN FRANCE? OUI. You can't make this stuff up.
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Record Turnout Forecast; Vote Drives Intensify
By Robert D. McFadden / NYT
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Permalink
Legions of get-out-the-vote volunteers, the bloodhounds of democracy, pursued the electorate across a dozen states yesterday as the most expensive and successful voter drive in history drew to a resounding close with experts predicting a record turnout at the polls today. |
Chris Nolan: Across the web and throughout Big Media, there is plenty of evidence that voter turn-out will reach a level not seen...
Jon Henke: Things like this: "Record Turnout Forecast". As P.J. O'Rourke once said, voters don't turn out in record numbers to maintain the status quo.
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Sarah Wildman: Granted D.C. is not up for grabs, but if turnout in the District is any indication the record numbers predicted to vote in this election are on target.
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Hope and Frustration
By David Brooks / NYT
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Permalink
As I look back over the course of this campaign, I should confess I've gone through several periods convinced I should vote against President Bush. I know I'm not the only conservative to think this way. I look at my favorite conservative bloggers and see many coming out for John Kerry. |
Ramesh Ponnuru: E. J. Dionne Jr. and David Brooks argue that Bush squandered an opportunity to remake American politics.
Laura Rozen: And I agree with the whole first half of his piece today: [snipped quote] So on domestic policy, ideological blindness,...
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Steve M.: CHARACTER — It's possible that your right-wing or centrist friends will quote you David Brooks's assessment of John...
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Late Ruling Allows GOP to Challenge Ohio Voters
By Henry Weinstein / LAT
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Permalink
CINCINNATI — Ruling early this morning, a divided federal court of appeals handed Republicans a potentially significant election day legal victory in this fiercely contested state, clearing the way for the party to challenge thousands of newly registered voters. |
Paul Glastris: Guest: Paul Glastris — AMONG THE THUGS... So, it seems the GOP has won the first legal battle of the 2004 election.
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Joe Gandelman: GOP Wins Appeal: It Can Challenge New Voters In Ohio — Ohio promises to be the Florida of 2004 where chaos,...
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Court OKs Voter Challengers at Ohio Polls
By Lisa Cornwell / AP
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Permalink
CINCINNATI - A federal appeals court has cleared the way for challengers to be present at polling places throughout Ohio, ruling early Tuesday that their presence on Election Day was allowed under state law. |
Mathew Gross: Ohio Ruling Reversed — The big news this morning: Court OKs Voter Challengers at Ohio Polls.
Magpie @PacificViews: A federal appeals court has ruled that political parties can put voter challengers inside Ohio polling places.
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Steve Gilliard: Ohio voter to be challenged — People voting in Michigan Court OKs Voter Challengers at Ohio Polls 23 minutes ago BY...
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Fraud File: Ohio Challenges Continue
Fox News
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Permalink
WASHINGTON — The Ohio Supreme Court issued a 4-3 ruling late Monday that gives a partial victory to Republican poll watchers who earlier had been denied by two federal judges. The court ruled that state law allows one challenger per political party at each precinct. |
PoliPundit: Lawsuits — This year, Democrat lawsuits seem to be going nowhere. They lost in Ohio and Michigan.
Steve Dillard: The GOP wins the first major legal battle of the campaign: Fox News has the details.
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Lorie Byrd: Fox News reports: [snipped quote] UPDATE: The quotes pulled from the Fox News story are no longer there.
James Joyner: Judge Reversed: Ohio Challenges Restored — Fraud File: Ohio Challenges Continue (Fox News) "The Ohio Supreme Court...
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Kerry's Discharge Is Questioned by an Ex-JAG Officer
By Thomas Lipscomb / New York Sun
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Permalink
A former officer in the Navy's Judge Advocate General Corps Reserve has built a case that Senator Kerry was other than honorably discharged from the Navy by 1975, The New York Sun has learned. |
KJL: DISCHARGE — This is what the SwiftVets have been buzzing about.
William J. Dyer: Former Navy Sec'y Middendorf delivers broad hints on Kerry's discharge — Art Moore at WorldNetDaily.com just put up a...
Tom Maguire: Kerry's Puzzling Discharge — Ths Sun has a late-breaker speculating that Kerry received a less-than-honorable discharge which was later upgraded to Honorable status.
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Ed Driscoll: Quote of the Day — [snipped quote] —Thomas Lipscomb, New York Sun
Charles Johnson: Kerry's Discharge Is Questioned by an Ex-JAG Officer — Thomas Lipscomb is practically the only journalist doing any...
Greg Ransom: THE LATEST on John Kerry's other than honorable discharge. Quotable: [snipped quote] (via N.Z. Bear who has background linkage and blogosphere reactions).
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Also:
Ace,
H.D. Miller,
Joe Gandelman,
James Joyner,
Tim Blair,
Mitch Berg,
Stuart Buck,
PoliPundit,
Glenn Reynolds,
The Big Trunk,
Captain Ed |
Suing Your Way to Defeat
By Joseph Bottum / Weekly Standard
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Permalink
LAST NIGHT, Tom Daschle threw his campaign into the shredder. What is it that makes South Dakota politicians do this kind of thing? There must be something in that Missouri River water that makes even the best of political pros tuck their thumbs into their armpits and squawk like demented chickens. |
Stuart Buck: , Daschle's complaint that someone was "taking notes" in a polling place, while someone else "rolled his eyes").
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Tim Blair: Joseph Bottum on South Dakota Tom: "Last night, Tom Daschle threw his campaign into the shredder.
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Bin Laden Lauds Costs Of War to U.S.
By John Mintz / WaPo
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Permalink
Osama bin Laden boasted that the invasion of Iraq has bogged down the United States in a hopeless war that advances al Qaeda's recruitment goals and bin Laden's aim of bankrupting the U.S. economy, according to a translation of the full text of the terrorist leader's remarks on a videotape that surfaced last week. |
Hesiod: BIN LADEN TAUNTS BUSH: The full text of Osama's videtape message shows that he's taunting Bush and bragging about how easily maipulated Bush is.
Megan McArdle: But Osama Bin Laden's equally wrong if he thinks that this war is going to weaken our economy [snipped quote] Iraq and...
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Jeralyn Merritt: Today, Al Jazeera released the remainder of the tape. You can read the U.S. translator's version or Al Jazeera's version.
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Transcript: Translation of Bin Laden's Videotaped Message
WaPo
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Permalink
The following is a translated full transcript, provided by the U.S. government, of Osama bin Laden's videotaped message aired on the al-Jazeera satellite television network. The prohibited month, for the prohibited month, and so for all things prohibited, there is the law of equality. |
The Poor Man: Osama Special Edition DVD — One of the most mysterious things about the new Osama tape is how little comment it...
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Gary Farber: THE FULL TRANSCRIPT OF BIN LADEN'S latest, hot new vid, the one all the kids are dancing to, is here, as provided by the U.S. government, to be sure.
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Justice Ends Democratic Push to Stop G.O.P. Challenges in Ohio
By James Dao / NYT
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Permalink
COLUMBUS, Ohio, Nov. 2 - Justice John Paul Stevens of the United States Supreme Court refused today to set aside an early-morning Ohio appeals court ruling that allowed Republicans to send challengers to polling places, effectively ending Democrats' efforts to block what they had cast as an effort to intimidate minority voters in this key battleground state. |
Robert Garcia Tagorda: The Legal Dimension — At this moment, 3,500 Republican monitors and 2,000 Democratic counterparts are inside Ohio poll...
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Dan Gillmor: Intimidation Gets Court OK In Ohio — NY Times: G.O.P. Can Challenge Voters at Ohio Polls, Court Rules.
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The Other Incumbent Rule
By Chris Suellentrop / Slate
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Permalink
LA CROSSE, Wis.—The past six years have not been kind to political rules of thumb. During the primary season, a candidate who leads in both the polls and in fund raising on Jan. 1 is supposed to be guaranteed the nomination. Ask Howard Dean about that one. |
Kevin Drum: CAMPAIGN UPDATE....Chris Suellentrop writes about the mood of the campaign teams in Slate: [snipped quote] That seems about right.
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Hesiod: Both Chris Suellentrop at Slate, and The Washington Post report similar insider buzz.
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Why even a hawk like me is backing Kerry
By David Aaronovitch / Guardian
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Permalink
I am, as some Guardian readers know, just about the only gay in this village. When it came time to decide for or against the invasion of Iraq, the huge majority of my colleagues could not support it, and many bitterly opposed it. |
Matthew Yglesias: Name Names! This is no way to write a newspaper column: [snipped quote] But which American blogger?
Andrew Sullivan: A HAWK FOR KERRY: A Brit who faced the wrath of his fellow Guardian readers for supporting the Iraq war says he's now for Kerry.
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Brownie @HarrysPlace: Dovish hawks for Kerry — Aaronovitch comes out of the closet in this morning's Guardian... I am, as some Guardian readers know, just about the only gay in this village.
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Lines of Voters Try to Cast Ballots Early
By Roger Petterson / AP
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Permalink
Voters trying to beat the rush turned out early to cast ballots in many precincts as Election Day opened, forming long lines that snaked out the doors, waiting in rain and even taking along chairs for expected long waits. |
Magpie @PacificViews: The AP has more on voting early this morning around the US: [quote] "Some polling places voted 25 percent of their entire...[end quote]
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James Joyner: Lines of Voters Try to Cast Ballots Early — Lines of Voters Try to Cast Ballots Early (Newsday - AP) [snipped quote] I...
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Bush Confident but Busy
WaPo
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Permalink
SIOUX CITY, Iowa, Nov. 1 — President Bush ended his $273 million reelection campaign Monday with a soggy six-state sprint focused on the small towns and fervent supporters that were the linchpin of his strategy. "On to victory!" |
Josh Marshall: From tomorrow's Post ... [snipped quote] The reports I get from sources inside that operation paint a similar picture.
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Mathew Gross: Mood in Bush Campaign: Low — WaPo: [snipped quote] GOTV!
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Kerry Leads in 4 Pivotal States, Bush Ahead in 2, Zogby Says
Bloomberg
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Permalink
Nov. 2 (Bloomberg) — Senator John Kerry leads President George W. Bush in four of 10 states that both campaigns agree may tip today's election and Bush is ahead in two, Reuters/Zogby polls show. The candidates are tied in the other four. |
Laura Rozen: "Kerry Leads in 4 Pivotal States, Bush Ahead in 2," Zogby Says: "Senator John Kerry leads President George W. Bush in...
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Joe Gandelman: Latest Zogby Tracking On Swing States: Pollster John Zogby, whose polling has come closest to the final results in some...
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Justice Ends Effort to Stop G.O.P. Challenges in Ohio
By James Dao / NYT
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Permalink
COLUMBUS, Ohio, Nov. 2 - Justice John Paul Stevens of the United States Supreme Court refused today to set aside an early-morning Ohio appeals court ruling that allowed Republicans to send challengers to polling places, effectively ending Democrats' efforts to block what they had cast as an effort to intimidate minority voters in this key battleground state. |
Stirling Newberry: Update: Stevens refuses to grant relief. Once again, the system sides with the powerful against the people.
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James Joyner: Update - Confirmation: Justice Ends Effort to Stop G.O.P. Challenges in Ohio "Justice John Paul Stevens of the United...
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Candidates Make Most of 11th Hour
By Liza Porteus / Fox News
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Permalink
In an 11th-hour stumpfest through prime battleground states, President Bush (search) and Sen. John Kerry (search) ratcheted up their campaigning Monday, stressing that this year's election was all about making a choice that could make or break the future of America. |
Jeff Goldstein: Kerry to America: "Your betters have their eye on you. Behave yourselves."
Mathew Gross: The final Fox News poll shows Kerry winning by two points among both registered and likely voters, with Bush pulling 45% among registered voters.
Josh Marshall: The final Fox — News poll — with calls on Saturday and Sunday only — has Kerry over Bush 48% to 46% among likely voters.
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Daniel Drezner: A question for polling geeks — This Josh Marshall post raises a question that's been bugging me for the last 48 hours:...
Andrew Sullivan: (Slate shows a tiny tilt back toward Bush.) Fox shows a small Kerry lead nationally. All of these are so close they could go either way.
Steve Soto: Update: Fox's last poll shows the same thing. Call in the vans, Laura.
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Good enough for Tonto
By Rachel Boomer / National Post
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Permalink
HALIFAX - A Nova Scotia Human Rights Commission panel spent a full day watching Lone Ranger episodes before deciding being called kemosabe did not demean a Mi'kmaq woman. |
Nick Gillespie: Meanwhile in Canada... From the National Post (tip from Neil Hrab): [snipped quote] Whole thing here.
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Peter Burnet: NO, IT'S THE....... Good enough for Tonto (Rachel Boomer, National Post, November 2nd, 2004) [snipped quote] Rachel who?
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'AMERICA CAN'T DO A THING'
By Amir Taheri / New York Post
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Permalink
AMERICANS will certainly have 9/11 in mind when they vote today. But they should keep another date in mind, too — one almost exactly a quarter-century ago: Nov. 4, 1979. A clear path runs to 9/11 from the day of the raid on the U.S. embassy in Tehran and the seizure of American hostages. |
Bill Hobbs: For in John Kerry's world, terrorism before September 11, 2001 - including the attack on the U.S.S. Cole, the bombings...
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Glenn Reynolds: AMIR TAHERI: [snipped quote] — Read the whole thing.
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Terror top voter issue; Bush leads most polls
By Ralph Z. Hallow / Washington Times
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Permalink
Terrorism is a top concern for many of the more than 100 million Americans expected to cast their ballots today, with President Bush leading Sen. John Kerry in most national polls and, most important, in most of the battleground states. |
Ace: You don't really need to be above 50%; you need to be above around 49%. The Washington Times digests the final polls.
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Captain Ed: Zogby Bounces Back To 2000 — In what must be a crushing blow to those on the Left who crowed about the positive Zogby...
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For a decisive victory
Guardian
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Permalink
As the blogger Steven Den Beste wrote: "I was tired of the November 2004 election in November 2003." Me, too. By this time tomorrow, God willing and the creeks don't rise (as we say in these parts), we'll know who won. |
Jim Lindgren: Glenn Reynolds' column for the Guardian newspaper makes this observation: [snipped quote] In one of his essays, George...
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Glenn Reynolds: ELECTIONS AND POLITICAL DIVISIONS: My Guardian column is up.
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Bush wins vote in New Hampshire hamlet
AFP
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Permalink
WASHINGTON (AFP) - President George W. Bush won an early election day victory in the small New Hampshire hamlet of Dixville Notch which is renowned for casting the country's first ballots in US presidential elections. |
Charles Johnson: For George W. Bush. Meanwhile, the first results are in from Dixville Notch, New Hampshire.
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Captain Ed: Bush Wins First Scrimmage While Daschle Melts Down — The French press service AFP reports that George Bush has won the...
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German tabloid demands apology from Queen for wartime air raids
Guardian
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Permalink
Germany's biggest selling tabloid, Bild, yesterday called on the Queen to apologise for Britain's wartime destruction of German cities, ahead of her state visit to Germany today. |
Orrin Judd: German tabloid demands apology from Queen for wartime air raids (Luke Harding, November 2, 2004, The Guardian)
Jeff Jarvis: Dear Mr. Hitler, so sorry : The German tabloid Bild demands that the visiting Queen Elizabeth apologize for bombing Germany.
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Michael Totten: UNCLEAR ON THE CONCEPT: Germany's largest newspaper demands the Queen of England apologize for Britain's bombing of Germany in the war against Hitler.
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Faith in America
By Paul Krugman / NYT
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Permalink
Florida's early polling was designed to make voting easier, but enormous voter turnout swamped the limited number of early polling sites. Over the weekend, people in some polling places had to stand in line for four, five, even six hours, often in the hot sun. |
Susan Madrak: Krugman: [snipped quote] I was watching this morning's local news.
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Brian Weatherson: (Well, there was this conference on the west coast I was at, and this long lunch with a few friends where we solved a...
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Political thuggery in vogue
By Howell Raines / St. Petersburg Times
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Permalink
If George Bush wins the presidential election, Americans can mark it down as a triumph of thug politics. If John Kerry wins, as I believe he will, that conversely will not mean that thug politics will be finished as the dominant style of modern American presidential campaigns. |
Howard Kurtz: Those who believed that Howell Raines was biased against Bush when he was executive editor of the New York Times will be...
Ken Layne: Stupid & Delusional — Howell Raines — the jackass who made a total joke of the New York Times, the fool who randomly...
Matt Welch: Call it Journalism — Exiled New York Times editor Howell Raines has issued a final pre-election message to his 12 followers.
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Steve Bainbridge: Two Stories Juxtaposed — Howell Raines: "If George Bush wins the presidential election, Americans can mark it down as a triumph of thug politics."
Jon Henke: And, of course, that criticism—that Halliburton has "profiteered"—has proliferated throughout the media. [and here, and here.....and Paul Krugman, too!
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Bush wins Dixville Notch hamlet vote
By Greg Frost / Reuters
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Permalink
DIXVILLE NOTCH, New Hampshire (Reuters) - President George W. Bush has scored a symbolic victory, capturing the first Election Day votes in a tiny New Hampshire hamlet whose residents traditionally cast the first ballots in the U.S. presidential race. |
KJL: BUSH WINS! Well, in Dixville Notch.
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Hugh Hewitt: OK, Dixville Notch is in the bag for Bush. It is late here in Dallas, as my flight was delayed leaving Denver.
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U.N. manipulation?
By Clifford D. May / Washington Times
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Permalink
Last Monday, the New York Times carried a front-page story that could change the outcome of the 2004 elections. According to the Times, a cache of powerful explosives used to "make missile warheads and detonate nuclear weapons" was missing from an... |
Steve Clemons: Compare Henry Nau's advocacy for George Bush — tempered with the maturity that a loss for his candidate means democracy...
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Josh Marshall: The excuses begin ... In tomorrow's Washington Times, Cliff May says that if Bush loses it will be because of "UN manipulation" behind the al Qaqaa story.
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Election Day unfolds with midnight votes
CNN
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Permalink
(CNN) — Election Day 2004 is officially under way, with dozens of New Hampshire residents casting their traditional midnight votes. The rest of the nation will go to the polls starting early Tuesday morning. President George W. Bush is seeking a second term as the 43rd president of the United States. |
David Allan Pell: Those results are already in: Bush: 15 Kerry: 15 Nader: 1 Mathew Gross has the early Hart's Location analysis.
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John Quiggin: Eight per cent swing to Kerry! The results for Dixville Notch are in !. Bush 19, Kerry 7. In 2000, Bush got 21 to Gore's 5.
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Misleading Calls Made to Michigan Voters
By Kathy Barks Hoffman / AP
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Permalink
LANSING, Mich. - Some Michigan voters have received phone calls falsely claiming that Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry would make gay marriage legal, Kerry's Michigan campaign said Monday. |
Orin Kerr: Last Minute Election Slime: This is ugly.
Nick Confessore: The Associated Press reports on some automated telephone calls going out in Michigan in a last-ditch effort to turn that...
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Andrew Sullivan: MORE GOP GAY-BAITING: The Republicans are at it again in Michigan. And Florida too. Ugh.
Steve M.: They have phony gay-rights activists trying to dissuade Florida voters from voting for Kerry and they're making phony...
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Rehnquist Undergoing Radiation and Chemo
By Gina Holland / AP
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Permalink
Chief Justice William H. Rehnquist disclosed Monday that he's undergoing radiation and chemotherapy for thyroid cancer and said he is delaying his expected return to the Supreme Court, a sign he may have a more serious form of the illness. |
Joe Gandelman: Will Chief Justice William H. Rehnquist's apparently-graver-than-we -thought illness motivate partisans from both sides to make sure they vote today?
Skippy: but then who's going to pick the president? talkleft tells us that chief justice william rhenquist may be sicker than previously thought.
James Joyner: Chief Justice Rehnquist Thyroid Caner Serious — Rehnquist Undergoing Radiation and Chemo (AP) "Chief Justice William...
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Andrew Sullivan: Probably sicker than we have been told. Here's some interesting data: [snipped quote] Why does this matter?
Jeralyn Merritt: He has announced he is undergoing chemotherapy and radiation and is delaying his return to the Supreme Court.
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My Endorsement and Osama's Video
By Christopher Hitchens / Slate
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Permalink
Correction, Nov. 1, 2004: Due to an editing error, Christopher Hitchens' entry in the "Slate Votes" survey was mistakenly classified as an endorsement of John Kerry. As Hitchens explains below, he did not intend his contribution as a statement of support for either candidate. |
Gene @HarrysPlace: Hitchens to voters: calm down — Turns out Hitchens didn't endorse Kerry last week after all; it was an editor's mistake.
Michael Totten: Slate was wrong. I thought that might be the case. I could hardly believe he was going to vote for John Kerry after all he has written over the past two years.
Ann Althouse: CHRISTOPHER HITCHENS DIDN'T ENDORSE KERRY AFTER ALL. Slate misinterpreted him.
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Andrew Sullivan: His wisest words are the following, it seems to me: "If I could choose the person whose attitude toward the immediate foe was nearest to mine, I would pick Bush (and Blair).
Stephen Green: Hangover — Hitchens didn't endorse Kerry, and Zogby never said Bush was going to win. Corrections abound in the blogosphere - and pretty damn fast, too.
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Thousands of registrations in Milwaukee unprocessed
By Greg J. Borowski / JSOnline
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Permalink
Between 15,000 and 20,000 Milwaukee residents who registered to vote in recent months have not had their forms processed and may find themselves unregistered at the polls Tuesday, Mayor Tom Barrett said today. |
Garance Franke-Ruta: From the Milwaukee Journal Sentinal yesterday: "Between 15,000 and 20,000 Milwaukee residents who registered to vote...
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Jim Lindgren: The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports (quick registration required): "Between 15,000 and 20,000 Milwaukee residents...
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Girls turn out for Kerry
NEWS.com.au
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Permalink
THE US Democrats have unleashed their girl power to battleground Florida, deploying the daughters of presidential hopeful John Kerry and those of former presidents John F. Kennedy and Bill Clinton. |
Tim Blair: TWISTED AND RETARDED — If Arthur Chrenkoff could vote in the US election, he'd vote for: [snipped quote] Nice people.
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Arthur Chrenkoff: If I could vote in the US elections... I would vote for George Bush - an election-stealing cokehead with a...
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The Vanishing Nonvoter
By Chris Suellentrop / Slate
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Permalink
FORT LAUDERDALE—Republicans love to criticize Democrats for failing to use "dynamic scoring" when assessing the impact of tax cuts on budget revenues. But if President Bush loses the 2004 presidential election, it may be because Karl Rove failed to use dynamic scoring when assessing the impact of his political strategy on the electorate. |
Garance Franke-Ruta: If Kerry supporters were more likely to be voting early than Bush backers — one possible scenario for which there's...
Daniel Drezner: That was not only a slight decline, but lower than the 80% to 90% support that Bush campaign officials had been...
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Nick Confessore: Aside from the fact that he doesn't look very closely at Karl Rove's totally unproven "4 million evangelicals didn't...
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U.S. Troops Take Backseat on Frontline with N.Korea
By You Sung-ho / Reuters
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Permalink
PANMUNJOM, South Korea (Reuters) - The United States has relinquished its last outpost in the Demilitarized Zone to South Korea and cut troops there as part of a deal to give Seoul more responsibility for guarding the tense border with the North. |
Donald Sensing: Now the 51-year era is ended, as the US and South Korea agreed last spring. I wrote early last year on what it was like to serve on the DMZ "back in the day."
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Michael Totten: END OF AN ERA: The American tripwire dividing North and South Korea is no more.
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On the Ground, a Slight Swing Toward Kerry
By Michael Moss / NYT
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Permalink
DES MOINES, Oct. 31 - With both parties fiercely focused on getting their likely backers out to vote in Iowa on Tuesday, a new poll suggests that President Bush's support in this battleground state waned last week. |
Garance Franke-Ruta: The New York Times concurs; it's reporting that the Bush base appears to be a bit deflated in Iowa: "A survey released...
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Kos: Ground games, compared — Us [snipped quote] Them [snipped quote] GOTV!
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Speculators Bet on Kerry Win, Oil Falls
By Richard Mably / Reuters
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Permalink
LONDON (Reuters) - Oil prices fell sharply on Monday on speculation that a U.S. election win for Senator John Kerry could ease the geopolitical friction that has helped fuel this year's record-breaking rally. |
Mathew Gross: Markets Bet on Kerry Win — If the Red Sox, the Red Skins and the Red Moon weren't enough: Speculators Bet on Kerry Win, Oil Falls.
Kenneth Quinnell: If This Is What Happens When People Just Think Kerry is Going to Win... What will happen when he really wins:...
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Tarek @LiquidList: Politics: Oilmen for Kerry — I'm not reading into anything here, but the people who buy and sell oil futures on the...
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Study finds press pro-Kerry
By Jennifer Harper / Washington Times
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Permalink
Sen. John Kerry has gotten the white-glove treatment from the press, garnering more praise from journalists than any other presidential candidate in the last quarter-century, according to a new analysis of almost 500 news stories released today by the Center for Media and Public Affairs. |
John Cole: What a waste of time and money this study was: "Sen. John Kerry has gotten the white-glove treatment from the press,...
Michael Totten: SHOCKING HEADLINE in the Washington Times: Study find press pro-Kerry.
Tim Blair: Hey, here's a shock: "Sen. John Kerry has gotten the white-glove treatment from the press, garnering more praise from...
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Ed Driscoll: You Don't Say! The Washington Times explains the obvious. (Via The Blogfather.)
Jeff Goldstein: Because what I'm showing is that the media may just be helping John Kerry this election cycle.
Captain Ed: Mainstream Media's Love Affair With Kerry — The Center for Media and Public Affairs conducted a study confirming what...
|
Also:
Betsy Newmark,
Ace |
Media Timing and the October Surprise
NYT
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Permalink
Every election season, a debate over a journalistic October surprise takes place. Four years ago, a television station in Portland, Me., reported five days before the presidential election that George W. Bush had been arrested for driving under the influence of alcohol back in 1976. |
Avedon Carol: Various stuff — There's this weird article in the NYT about whether or not you should do a major investigative piece about a candidate immediately before an election.
Jeff Jarvis: The New York Times belatedly gets around to covering the story of the story of the "missing explosives" and how the...
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Tom Maguire: Lots more folks will miss their latest effort, tucked back on the front page of the Business Section (do political junkies go there first?)
Cori Dauber: The Times runs a sober piece this morning, discussing the propriety of releasing news stories close to an election.
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Rebuffing G.O.P., 2 Judges Bar Challengers at Polls in Ohio
By Terence Neilan / NYT
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Permalink
In a double blow to the Republicans on the final day of campaigning in the presidential race, two federal judges today barred challengers representing any political party from polling places in Ohio during Tuesday's election. |
Joe Gandelman: GOP Ohio Vote Challenges Are (For Now) Halted — The name of this game in this election is getting out the vote and...
Megan McArdle: THE CHALLENGERS CHALLENGED: Two federal judges have ruled that parties may not have challengers at the polls in Ohio.
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David Allan Pell: In that case and one other, the judges ruled that the challengers would not be allowed to set up shop at polling places.
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After 4 Years, Bush Is No Closer to Building a GOP Majority
By Ronald Brownstein / LAT
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Permalink
It's a testament to the strength of President Bush's connection with his base that he's still running stride for stride with Democrat John F. Kerry, and possibly half a step ahead, in the presidential campaign's final hours. |
Matthew Yglesias: In today's column Ron Brownstein reminds us that Karl Rove once had much grander ambitions than trying (and most likely...
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Kevin Drum: COMPASSIONATE CONSERVATISM...Today in the LA Times, Ron Brownstein writes on the same theme that I did last night: even...
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Sorting Friends From Foes
By David Zucchino / LAT
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Permalink
MAGAR, Afghanistan — "No Taliban here," the police chief said. "No, never," the sub-governor added. "This is the safest place in all Afghanistan." Marine 1st Lt. Jeremy Wilkinson, the snuff-dipping commander of Whiskey Company, was skeptical. |
Greyhawk: That said, when I see David Zucchino's name on a story I read it: [quote] MAGAR, Afghanistan — "No Taliban here," the police chief said.[end quote]
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Phillip Carter: Pulling duty in a far-flung place — One company of Marines can teach us a lot about America ought to fight its future...
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Fear and Loathing, Campaign 2004
Rolling Stone
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Permalink
Armageddon came early for George Bush this year, and he was not ready for it. His long-awaited showdowns with my man John Kerry turned into a series of horrible embarrassments that cracked his nerve and demoralized his closest campaign advisers. |
Jack K.: Gonzo Endorsement ...over at The Sideshow, Avedon Carol provides a link to this year's contribution by the good Doctor, Hunter S. Thompson.
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Avedon Carol: In Rolling Stone, Fear and Loathing, Campaign 2004 by Dr. Hunter S. Thompson. From kid oakland at Daily Kos, the politics of Mosh.
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FOX National Poll: Voters Split
By Dana Blanton / Fox News
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Permalink
NEW YORK — Final pre-election polling shows Sen. John Kerry (search) with a razor-thin edge over President George W. Bush (search) with just one day to go before Election Day. |
Garance Franke-Ruta: Check out the internals — especially the absence of significant gender gap: [snipped quote] Among actual voters — and...
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Daniel Drezner: Among those who've already voted, it's Kerry 48%, Bush 43%. (emphasis added)" Here's a more in-depth story by Dana...
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A Failed Presidency
LAT
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If elections were solely a job performance review, President George W. Bush would lose in a landslide. He has been a reckless steward of the nation's finances and its environment, a divisive figure at home and abroad. It's fair to say that Bush has devalued the American brand in the global marketplace. |
Kevin Roderick: The L.A. Times, meanwhile, did not endorse, but runs a long editorial today titled A Failed Presidency that begins: "If...
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Tarek @LiquidList: Politics: Reading List — Two items of required reading for the countdown to victory: A Failed Presidency by the Los Angeles Times Editorial Board.
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Cat in a spin
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Curiosity nearly killed the cat after a kitten climbed into a washing machine that was then switched on. Eight-week-old Milo disappeared at Ginny Troth's house in Astwood Bank, Redditch, Worcestershire, and bedded down in the laundry for a cat-nap. |
Wind Rider: A different kind of spin — We now take a break from the current climate of political spin, to point out a spin of another sort.
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Rich Lowry: NINE LIVES MINUS ONE — From Drudge—tabby survives washing machine ordeal.
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