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1:20 PM ET, November 3, 2026

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 Top Items: 
Mike Zapler / Axios:
Democrats could learn wrong message from a blowout victory  —  Democrats are poised to romp in today's election — easily winning the House and, according to most forecasts, flipping the Senate too. … Even the GOP has a better brand. … Confusing the two could tempt Democrats to overread …
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G. Elliott Morris / FiftyPlusOne:
The final polls and race ratings show a late shift toward Democrats  —  The party has gained ground in the generic ballot and several key Senate races, according to both the polls and expert handicappers  —  G. Elliott Morris, FiftyPlusOne, and Katie Marriner
G. Elliott Morris / Strength In Numbers:
2026 ELECTION DAY LIVE BLOG  —  What to follow on Election Day and how to watch results come in, Strength In Numbers style  —  Intro  —  Welcome to the Strength In Numbers Election Day live blog!  This page is your one-stop shop for all things data-driven commentary on Election Day 2026.
Discussion: The Downballot
G. Elliott Morris / Strength In Numbers:   FINAL forecast: a blue wave, or a blue tsunami?
Andrew Egger / The Bulwark:
The Alex Pretti Election  —  It's Election Day, and boy, do we have election coverage for you: Tim, Sarah, and JVL will kick off our election night broadcast at 7:00 p.m. EST on Substack, YouTube, Facebook, and Twitch.  Sam and the rest of the Bulwark team will carry us through the night as results come in across the country.
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Politico:
'We forgot what it's like to be populist': Republicans see Trump's 2024 crumbling  —  New results from the POLITICO Poll show that one in 10 Trump voters are planning to vote for Democrats on Tuesday.  —  Republicans' 2024 coalition is cracking in real time.
Discussion: Salon, CBS News and The Independent
Jonathan Martin / Politico:
Republicans Are About to Pay for Trump's Mistakes … When it becomes clear Tuesday night or Wednesday morning that Republicans have taken “a thumper,” to borrow Bill Clinton's phrase, President Donald Trump will lunge for scapegoats.  —  Trump will claim Republican candidates should have embraced him more …
Discussion: MM Press
Susan B. Glasser / New Yorker:
Finally, the Beginning of Trump's End  —  In recent decades, the second terms of American Presidents have not ended well.  Ronald Reagan had the Iran-Contra affair; Bill Clinton, after attempting to cover up his affair with a former intern, became the first chief executive impeached since the mid-nineteenth century.
Politico:   ‘The Armageddon of all elections’  —  With help from Eli Okun, Ali Bianco and Irie Sentner
Mona Charen / The Bulwark:
Trump Was Right. He Is on the Ballot.
Discussion: Financial Times
SB Sarah / Smart Bitches, Trashy BooksSmart Bitches …:
The New York Times Terminates Contract with Romance Columnist Olivia Waite After Bluesky Repost  —  Please be advised that the following article discusses rape allegations.  —  ...  The New York Times has terminated their contract with author Olivia Waite, their romance columnist …
E. Lansing / US Department of Justice:
DOJ To Monitor Elections in All 50 States for First Time  —  For Immediate Release  —  One of the Department of Justice's (DOJ) most important missions is ensuring election integrity, supporting free and fair elections, and protecting the right to vote for U.S. citizens across the United States.
RELATED:
Nikki McCann Ramirez / Rolling Stone:
Trump Deploys Election Monitors to Battleground Polling Places
Ben Berkowitz / Axios:
DOJ sending 1,000 election monitors to all 50 states
Discussion: CBS News
Dan Mangan / CNBC:
Trump midterm election lawsuits, state pushback come to a head Tuesday
Discussion: Political.org
New York Times:
Google Will Turn Off Search for Schools That Reject A.I.  —  Google is making it easier to restrict its A.I. tools for students.  But schools that block A.I. entirely will lose student access to Google's search engine.  —  Google announced Tuesday that early next year it would turn off …
David E. Sanger / New York Times:
Trump Says U.S. to End $4 Billion in Aid to Israel in Favor of New Deal  —  The president's announcement on Election Day, which he said was part of an agreement reached months ago, was a sign of how quickly the politics surrounding Israel have shifted.  —  President Trump said on Tuesday …
RELATED:
Alexander Smith / NBC News:
U.S. will stop $4B in aid to Israel at the end of the year, Trump says
Ben Finley / Associated Press:
Trump says US will halt $4B in aid to Israel as the Mideast ally shifts to buying military hardware
Michelle Del Rey / The Washington Sun:
Ballot Scanners Fail Across New York's Westchester County  —  The New York Attorney General's Office said it is monitoring a widespread technical issue with ballot scanning machines in Westchester County that may force the county's election workers to count votes by hand.
RELATED:
Wall Street Journal:
U.S. Strikes Iran's Qeshm Island as Trump Talks Down War Risks  —  Trump told reporters Monday 'we haven't been doing any fighting for months'  —  The U.S. attacked Iran's Qeshm Island on Monday, U.S. officials said, in the latest of a series of limited strikes Washington has secretly carried …
RELATED:
New York Times:
U.S. Military Strikes Iran's Qeshm Island in What U.S. Officials Call a Defensive Measure
Sidney Blumenthal / The Guardian:
Trump's midterm campaign has distilled his vile message  —  The president has spewed vulgar and hateful rhetoric even as he reveals his disdain for his followers  —  Far from veering off his track, Trump in his ceaselessly vile midterm campaign statements has attained an optimal level of Trumpism.
RELATED:
Sara Fischer / Axios:
Trump vanishes from GOP campaign ads
Discussion: MS NOW
Axios:   GOP's midterm blame game starts early
Gavin J. Quinton / The Washington Sun:
Justice Department Bars Jack Smith From Testifying in Trump's BBC Lawsuit  —  The BBC wants to question the former special counsel about the president's role in Jan. 6.  — Copy  —  The Justice Department has refused to give former special counsel Jack Smith permission to testify …
RELATED:
Kyle Cheney / Politico:
Pardoned Jan. 6 defendant facing new charges for threatening DC federal judges
Discussion: Newsweek and Mediaite
Lisa Needham / Public Notice:
James O'Keefe's Minnesota stunt backfires spectacularly  —  The fraud came from inside the house. … Well, well, well.  —  Do you think those cringy scammers, James O'Keefe and Cam Higby, have enjoyed being hoisted by their own petard, as it were?  Hennepin County Attorney Mary Moriarty …
Discussion: The Mahablog and UNICORN RIOT
Jessica Piper / Politico:
Election Day in America  —  Voters are taking to the polls in a midterm election that will define the future of both parties.  —  What time do the polls close?  When we'll start getting key election results.  —  The first polls of the midterms will close at 6 p.m. on the East Coast …
Bret Stephens / New York Times:
What a Vote for Abdul El-Sayed Means  —  On a recent visit to Temple Israel in West Bloomfield Township, Mich., I heard from someone who described the state's U.S. Senate race this year as a choice either against antisemitism or for democracy.  —  What he meant was that a vote for Mike Rogers …
Ken Burns / New York Times:
Why I'm Optimistic About the Midterms  —  There have been three great crises in American history: the Civil War, perhaps the defining event in our history after the Revolution itself, the Great Depression and World War II.  These events tested our republic and our resolve in fundamental ways …
Marc Caputo / Axios:
Fired general accused of being source for Wall Street Journal, NYT  —  The Pentagon's former top military planner is under federal investigation and may face a court-martial for allegedly leaking to reporters from the Wall Street Journal and New York Times, according to three sources familiar with the controversy.
Discussion: NewsMax.com and Mediaite
Chloe Taylor / CNBC:
Trump is going to get ‘trounced’ in the midterms — and knows it, Anthony Scaramucci tells CNBC … U.S. President Donald Trump will get “trounced” in Tuesday's midterm elections, Anthony Scaramucci, former White House communications director and founder of SkyBridge Capital, told CNBC.
Discussion: The Independent
Associated Press:
Man charged with mailing hundreds of letters containing powder to officials ahead of the election  —  Federal authorities have charged an Oklahoma man with sending hundreds of letters containing nonhazardous white powder to public officials ahead of the 2024 and 2026 elections.
Discussion: Fox News and Political.org
Jacob Wendler / Politico:
K Street's $7 million midterms bet  —  Fifteen PACs associated with major Washington lobbying firms have given more than $7 million to federal candidates and political committees this cycle as the 2026 midterms become the most expensive midterms on record, according to a PI analysis of FEC records.
Alex Leary / Wall Street Journal:
Florida Republicans Uneasy About Byron Donalds's Race for Governor  —  For nervous Florida Republicans, it all comes down to Tuesday.  Gubernatorial candidate Byron Donalds and the rest of the GOP ticket are counting on a big Election Day turnout to overcome strong Democratic early voting.
 
 
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Nikki McCann Ramirez / Rolling Stone:
Trump Deploys Election Monitors to Battleground Polling Places   Find
 
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 More Items: 
Martin Beckford / Daily Mail:
Jail threat if you insist a human can't be a cat: Absurdity of Labour's ‘unworkable’ gay and trans Bill10 minutes ago
Discussion: Louder With Crowder
Judd Legum / Popular Information:
$1.4 billion in dark money
Discussion: The Guardian and New York Times
Ta-Nehisi Coates / Vanity Fair:
Ta-Nehisi Coates on Haley Stevens, Abdul El-Sayed, and the Right's “Campaign of Hate”
Don Moynihan / Can We Still Govern?:
Accountability Day for Musk?  —  Democracy depends upon a simple rule, what we might call …
Discussion: Silver Bulletin and Raw Story
 Earlier Items: 
Miles Klee / Wired:
The Online Right's Closing Campaign Argument: Fascist Anakin Skywalker Memes
Discussion: Gizmodo and Reason
Jonathan Levin / Bloomberg:
The Dollar Is Reasserting Itself as the King of Global Finance
Mira Bhakta / The Hill:
Stevens shares rationale for endorsing Rogers over El-Sayed
Ellie Quinlan Houghtaling / New Republic:
Pete Hegseth Makes Over Half the Military Want to Quit Early
Shawn McCreesh / New York Times:
Trump Delivers a Closing Midterm Message. Mostly About Landscaping.
Jesse Wegman / New York Times:
Justice Kagan Sounds an Alarm About the Court
Discussion: Reuters, MS NOW, Slate and National Review
 

 
From Mediagazer:

Thomas Buckley / Bloomberg:
Sources: Disney eyes laying off thousands, asking some managers to target 20% in annual cost savings, which could come from job cuts and expense reductions

Blake Brittain / Reuters:
The NYT, the New York Daily News, and others sue browser maker Brave for allegedly scraping their articles for AI training and letting users bypass paywalls

Rohan Goswami / Semafor:
Sources: Fox's $22B Roku acquisition is poised to clear DOJ scrutiny and proceed under a consent decree, despite Newsmax CEO Chris Ruddy's efforts to block it

 
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