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3:10 PM ET, October 3, 2026

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Nate Cohn / New York Times:
Democrats May Have Found the Recipe for Flipping Red-State Senate Seats  —  New Times/Siena polls continue a run of strong results for the party in states that President Trump won easily in 2024.  —  On paper, the Democrats' path to winning the Senate in November is daunting.
Discussion: Alternet.org
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Alice Miranda Ollstein / Politico:
Republicans tried to punt health care cuts until after the midterms.  It didn't work.  —  The political bill for Republicans' health care agenda is coming due earlier than they'd hoped.  —  Republicans' signature legislation from Trump 2.0 — 2025's One Big Beautiful Bill Act …
Discussion: Washington Post
Paul Krugman:
The Midterms!  —  Talking with G. Ellliott Morris and David Nir  —  TRANSCRIPT:  —  Paul Krugman in Conversation with David Nir and G. Elliott Morris  —  Paul Krugman: Like almost everybody I know, I spend about 17 hours a day thinking about the midterms, and I've got G. Elliott Morris …
New York Times:
Cross-Tabs: September 2026 Times/Siena Polls of the Likely Electorate in Battleground Senate Races  —  Results of New York Times/Siena polls conducted among 2,946 voters from Sept. 21 to Oct. 1, 2026. … ‹ ›  —  Do you think [state] is on the right track, or is it headed in the wrong direction?
Lauren McGaughy / New York Times:
As She Divorces Ken Paxton, His Wife Urges Texans to Vote for Him  —  In a new ad, Angela Paxton tells voters to focus on the “whole team,” not “individual players.”  —  Angela Paxton wants to clear the air.  —  Mrs. Paxton, the estranged wife of Ken Paxton, a conservative firebrand locked …
New York Times:
Senate Races in Republican States Tilt Toward Democrats, Polls Find  —  Democrats are performing strongly in five reliably Republican states where they are trying to flip Senate seats to win control of the chamber, new New York Times/Siena polls found.  —  A month before the midterm elections …
Jonathan Martin / Politico:
Democrats Are Underfunding the Races That Could Remake the Map … The Florida Democrat may well have to test that argument.  —  He is confronting the same daunting predicament as other gubernatorial candidates around the country: Democrats are poised to enjoy their best midterm election in two decades …
Discussion: Newsweek
Irie Sentner / Politico:
DOJ subpoenas Gallego's PAC for Disneyland records
Discussion: NewsMax.com
Politico:
Kansas enters the chat as Senate map tilts further into red territory
New York Times:
U.S.-Russia Talks on Ukraine Now Involve an Oil Deal Tied to Trump Allies  —  President Vladimir V. Putin brought up a sale of Russian energy assets with President Trump's envoys, Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, pushing a deal that raises new questions about conflicts of interest.
Ben Berkowitz / Axios:
Trump promises $100 checks for 20 million seniors for Medicare  —  President Trump late Friday night said the administration would send just under $100 to more than 20 million senior citizens to help pay for Medicare benefits. … - Trump said the money would come from the Medicare Improvement Fund …
Discussion: MeidasTouch
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Josh Boak / Associated Press:
A gut punch in Ohio: Nearly 1,400 laid off at truck factory just days before Trump rally  —  Sipping tea from beer mugs with his co-workers, Kyle Bos listed the ways his life is changing.  Bos has two daughters, with a third due in January.  At the grocery store, five items cost as much as a full cart once did.
Abbie VanSickle / New York Times:
As Midterms Near, Justice Alito Says He Considers Each Year Whether to Retire  —  The justice, the second oldest on the court at 76, told CBS News that he decided against stepping down last term.  He could face pressure should Democrats win the Senate in November.
Steven Hale / Nashville Banner:
Tennessee Prison Commissioner Resigns After Failed Christa Pike Execution  —  Frank Strada's department has botched two executions this year  — Email a link to a friend (Opens in new window) Email … Tennessee Department of Correction Commissioner Frank Strada has resigned as head …
Shawn McCreesh / New York Times:
In Alabama, Trump Relives His Glory Days (This Time With Some Empty Seats)  —  The Deep South was the birthplace of the mega MAGA rally.  How do people on the Gulf feel about President Trump now?  —  On Friday night, President Trump turned up in Mobile, Ala., to give a campaign rally five weeks ahead of the midterm elections.
Lydia Polgreen / New York Times:
Zohran Mamdani Is Showing the World How It's Done  —  A few days before the leaders of the world streamed into the cavernous, marble-lined General Assembly Hall to deliver their speeches on the grave crises convulsing our combustible world, Mayor Zohran Mamdani offered his own …
Rebecca Santana / Associated Press:
Judge temporarily blocks border wall construction in Texas' Big Bend region  —  A federal court in Texas on Friday temporarily blocked the Trump administration from building a border wall and other infrastructure across the state's Big Bend region, in a victory for opponents who have pushed …
Patricia Mazzei / New York Times:
How a Provocative Ad on Trump and Immigration Stirred a Florida House Race  —  Representative María Elvira Salazar, a Republican, ran an ad criticizing the Trump administration.  It may have jolted other Republicans — and drawn attention to her Democratic opponent.
Discussion: Politico
RELATED:
The Hill:
GOP walks tightrope on immigration ahead of midterms
Discussion: NewsMax.com
Shane Galvin / New York Post:
Boston-bound medical plane carrying 6 plunged over 10K feet before ‘losing contact’ with FAA  —  A plane carrying six people has disappeared off the coast of Nantucket, leading the Coast Guard to launch an extensive rescue mission.  —  The Gulfstream G100, a medical transfer aircraft …
Geoff Earle / New York Post:
Rep. Burchett planning to block NYC socialist Chevalier from Congress after she claimed to use American flag as napkin  —  Rep. Tim Burchett (R-Tenn.) plans to try to block Democratic nominee and New York socialist Darializa Avila Chevalier from taking her seat in Congress if she wins the Nov. 3 election …
Tom Schaller / Public Notice:
Diesel Don is tanking the GOP  —  Ahead of PN's 5th anniversary next week, we're offering paid subscriptions at the special yearly rate of $40 (or about 16¢ per edition).  This newsletter is only possible thanks to the support of paid subscribers.  If you're not already one of them …
Lingling Wei / Wall Street Journal:
Unusual Rest Breaks for Xi Jinping Sucked Hours Out of Summit With Trump  —  Beijing pared back the schedule and insisted on private downtime for China's 73-year-old leader  —  Chinese officials made unusual demands that the U.S. accommodate Xi Jinping's need for rest during a summit with President Trump …
Discussion: Daily Mail
Barak Ravid / Axios:
Scoop: Trump's top national security aides meet secretly at Camp David on Iran, Yemen  —  President Trump's top cabinet members huddled for hours at Camp David on Friday to discuss next steps in the Iran war and the Saudi-Houthi conflict in Yemen, three U.S. officials told Axios.
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 More Items: 
Richard Rubin / Wall Street Journal:
IRS Employees Looked at Celebrities' Tax Records, Report Says
Samuel A. Alito Jr / Wall Street Journal:
Justice Samuel Alito: Even Originalists Make Mistakes
Melissa Goldin / Associated Press:
Trump urges calls to Arkansas Sen. Tom Cotton in push for permanent daylight saving time
Brentin Mock / Democracy Docket:
Montana court blocks onerous mail voting law that caused thousands of rejected absentee ballots last year
Mike Scarcella / Reuters:
US appeals court blocks Minnesota law barring ‘nudified’ photos in XAI lawsuit
 Earlier Items: 
Mira Bhakta / The Hill:
US suspends consular services in Brazil due to security concerns
Discussion: Washington Post, Reuters and Bloomberg
ABC News:
Top Democrats battle over California's proposed billionaire tax
Discussion: twitchy.com
Nicholas Kristof / New York Times:
Trump's ‘March of Folly’ Empowers Iranian Extremists
Alice Miranda Ollstein / Politico:
The Fall of Roe Changed Doctors. Now They're Changing Politics.
Discussion: Houston Public Media
Josephine Walker / Axios:
The AI deepfake election is starting to get litigious
Discussion: Truthout
Katherine Hapgood / Politico:
Senior House Republican says Trump's ‘lack of favorability’ creating ‘tough’ politics
 

 
From Techmeme:

Robert McMillan / Wall Street Journal:
A look at the Swarmchasers forum, which has 400 members, including the Nightingale Collective and Transluce, who comb the web for traces of rogue AI agents

Reuters:
Sources: ShinyHunters member Saif al-Din Khader, aka “Rey,” was detained in Jordan and is cooperating to identify other hackers involved in the FBI breach

Business Insider:
David Robinson, who worked on OpenAI's Safety Systems team and had previously led policy planning, left OpenAI last week
 
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