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11:20 AM ET, October 21, 2026

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Nate Cohn / New York Times:
Democrats Have a Wide Lead in Our New Poll as Trump Slides  —  The map favors Republicans, but cracks in their base are leaving them vulnerable in defending House and Senate control.  —  The final New York Times/Siena University national poll of the 2026 midterm campaign finds Democrats leading nationally …
Discussion: RedState and Forbes
RELATED:
G. Elliott Morris / Strength In Numbers:
Poll: Democrats post their biggest generic-ballot lead yet, two weeks out  —  Democrats lead by 10 among registered voters and 12 among likely voters, both highs for our poll, as Trump sets new lows on immigration and border security … Just under two weeks before Election Day …
New York Times:
Trump Approval Hits New Low Two Weeks Before Midterms, Poll Finds  —  Likely voters favored Democratic candidates over Republicans by 11 percentage points in their congressional district, a New York Times/Siena poll found.  —  President Trump's approval rating hit a new low just a few weeks …
Discussion: The Hill, The Guardian and Reason
Marist Poll:
Midterm Elections in Michigan, October 2026
Discussion: Bloomberg, New York Times and Mediaite
Alex Isenstadt / Axios:
Exclusive: Ramaswamy doubles down on explosive ad featuring rival's mother, despite backlash  —  Vivek Ramaswamy's campaign for Ohio governor is pouring $4 million into a bombshell ad in which his opponent's estranged mother attacks her daughter — doubling down on the message despite fierce bipartisan backlash, Axios has learned.
RELATED:
Politico:
Republicans' mom burn messaging  —  With help from Eli Okun, Ali Bianco and Irie Sentner  —  Good Wednesday morning.  Days after Bradley Whitford blew off steam in “The Diplomat's” White House swimming pool, a new round of renovation murmurs are brewing around the briefing room.  Coincidence?
Discussion: The Hill and New York Post
New York Times:
Russia Releases American Who Was Jailed for 4 Years, State Media Reports  —  The move buys good will with President Trump while costing the Russian leader, Vladimir V. Putin, little.  —  Russia on Wednesday released an American man who was held for four years on what the State Department …
RELATED:
Reuters:
US envoy Witkoff arrives in St Petersburg for talks with Putin
Nick Wadhams / Bloomberg:
Russia Releases US Teacher After Trump Freezes Sanctions
Tyler Pager / New York Times:
A Billionaire Wanted a Trump Pardon.  His Family Gave Alina Habba a $50 Million Deal.  —  A Billionaire Wanted a Pardon.  His Family Gave Alina Habba a $50 Million Deal.  —  A prominent Venezuelan was seeking clemency.  He got it not long after his daughter gave Ms. Habba, a lawyer close to President Trump, a lucrative job.
The Washington Sun:
How Rough Is It for Republicans?  Look at This North Carolina District.  —  North Carolina's 11th Congressional District sits in a rural and conservative region of the state, has been held by a Republican for more than a decade and backed Donald Trump by a nearly double-digit margin in 2024.
Discussion: Reuters
RELATED:
Mary Radcliffe / FiftyPlusOne:
FiftyPlusOne just caught a pollster faking data — and they copped to it  —  On Tuesday, Oct. 20, FiftyPlusOne reached out to Wedgewood Polls, a self-professed polling firm, with a request for comment on an investigation we had conducted into their alleged survey research.
Discussion: HotAir, RedState, twitchy.com and Samizdata
Kyle Cheney / Politico:
The House GOP's imminent decision on the Omar raid  —  House Republicans have publicly cheered on the Trump administration's investigation of Rep. Ilhan Omar.  But underneath the posturing, the raid raises thorny nonpartisan questions about how aggressively Congress wants to defend itself from encroaching federal prosecutors.
Discussion: New York Post
RELATED:
Jamelle Bouie / New York Times:   The Hunting of Ilhan Omar
Emma Graham-Harrison / The Guardian:
Israeli military detains US politician Brad Lander and rabbis at olive harvest  —  About 80 US, Israeli and British volunteers held near Nahalin in West Bank and taken to police station  —  The Israeli military has detained about 80 US, Israeli and British volunteers helping Palestinians …
RELATED:
Alexander Cornwell / Reuters:
US Democratic congressional nominee Lander detained by Israeli authorities in West Bank
Discussion: Washington Examiner and Reuters
American Greatness:
Bank on It: Elissa Slotkin Was Speaking for the Entire Democrat Party … In a previous piece for American Greatness, I said accountability would be the dividing issue in the fast-approaching midterm elections.  On the one hand are Democrats, seeking to hold Trump himself and those around him …
RELATED:
David Kaye / Slate:   America Needs to Reckon With What Trump 2.0 Has Done. Planning Should Start Now.
New York Times:
Trump Pushes to Evict the Press From the White House  —  President Trump has talked about replacing the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room with an indoor swimming pool.  —  In late August, during one of Karoline Leavitt's final meetings with President Trump in the Oval Office …
RELATED:
Andrew Feinberg / The Independent:
Trump lost control and ordered me to be ‘quiet’ in the Oval Office.  Then it got personal  —  What was supposed to be an announcement on fraud quickly devolved into Trump vs The Independent.  Andrew Feinberg details how it all happened in the Oval Office  —  Leer en Español
Whitney Curry Wimbish / American Prospect:
ICE Profiteers Trying To Buy the Senate for Republicans  —  Their targets include multiple GOP candidates in tight races and incumbents whose seats are in danger, including chair of the Senate Appropriations Committee Susan Collins (R-ME), Rep. Mike Rogers (R-MI), and Rep. María Elvira Salazar (R-FL).
MS NOW:
Trump is the ‘principal enemy of the U.S.’ for helping Russia, veteran foreign analyst says  —  Lawrence: Trump and Hegseth ‘not telling how much damage there really was’ by Iran war to Navy base  —  Trump desperate to save ‘yes man’ senator in Kansas, says Democratic Senate candidate
Thomas Frank / Politico:
FEMA tells states to handle disasters on their own  —  The Trump administration's disaster chief told state officials Tuesday they must increase their financial reserves and emergency capabilities to handle most disasters on their own, without federal help.  —  Federal Emergency Management …
Meg Kinnard / Associated Press:
Trump brings a last-minute rally boost to Darline Graham in South Carolina's US Senate race  —  President Donald Trump will visit South Carolina on Wednesday to boost Sen. Darline Graham, whose stumbles in her first campaign since replacing her late brother have Democratic voters hopeful …
RELATED:
MS NOW:   'There's a lot of worry': GOP sounds the alarm about Darline Graham as Trump swoops in — again
Washington Post:
How ex-cops gained access to a massive surveillance network … When Andrae Wright left his job as an investigator at the Effingham County Sheriff's Office in 2021, he handed in his gun and badge.  But he kept something powerful: his log-in credentials for Flock, a police tool he used to search …
Madeleine May / CBS News:
Federal agents knock on doors to track down possible noncitizen voters ahead of midterms  —  Armed and in uniform, federal agents from the Department of Homeland Security have been knocking on doors in several states to ask residents about their immigration status — and to inquire …
Lindsay Whitehurst / Associated Press:
Justice Kagan Warns Supreme Court Rulings Are Fueling Polarization  —  The liberal-leaning justice said both political parties are “in a race to the bottom” with partisan gerrymanders.  — Copy  —  Justice Elena Kagan on Tuesday said voting and elections decisions from her conservative …
Jeff Green / Bloomberg:
Trump Voters Who Listen to Joe Rogan Take a Page From The Matrix for Midterms  —  Frustrated by the war in Iran and rising costs, the coalition of young men courted by the GOP is poised to sit out the midterms  —  “I've checked out.”  —  That's how Dallas Cruze sums up his political journey …
Paul Krugman:
Trump is Destroying Americans' Healthcare  —  Twelve million have lost coverage — and it's getting worse  —  On the eve of the midterm election, American families are feeling financially stressed As the chart above shows, the percentage of families who say that their financial situation is good has plunged.
Discussion: Mercury News
CNN:
Pentagon grants DHS permission to test heat ray weapon for potential use at border  —  Federal agencies US military Pete Hegseth National security  —  The Pentagon has given the Department of Homeland Security permission to test a military-grade heat ray and develop tactics to potentially use …
Robert E. Rubin / New York Times:
In Six Decades of Public Life, I Never Thought I Would Write This Piece  —  The economy has been voters' top issue in four of the six midterm elections this century — and 2026 appears all but certain to make it five of seven.  Beyond the cost of living, the war in Iran and tariffs …
Chinmayi Sharma / Lawfare:
The Immigration Enforcement Hydra Without a Kill Switch  —  Automated immigration enforcement sidesteps institutional accountability and does so with no kill switch.  —  Meet The Authors  —  After OpenAI's models hacked Hugging Face in July, two members of Congress promptly proposed the AI Kill Switch Act.
Kevin Frey / MS NOW:
Weeks before Election Day, Sen. Roger Marshall's campaign still had no one on payroll  —  An MS NOW analysis of FEC filings finds the Kansas Republican reported no payroll last quarter, unlike most Senate incumbents of both parties.  —  Sen. Roger Marshall's re-election campaign spent $5 million …
Discussion: The Hill
Harrison Ray / Media Matters for America:
Local Iowa broadcast stations largely failed to contextualize increasing diesel prices  —  Only 41% of segments connected increased prices to the Trump administration's Iran war, while only 13% connected prices to President Trump … The war in Iran has disrupted crude and fuel shipments through …
Discussion: Axios
Liz Dye / Public Notice:
Trump bulldozes a golf course and the rule of law  —  Public Notice is proudly celebrating 5 years of independent journalism.  Our coverage is possible thanks for paid subscribers.  Become one ⬇️  —  ⛳️ Subscribe to PN ⛳️  —  Who gives a shit about a golf course?
Alex Miller / Fox News:
Thune makes bold prediction about Republicans' Senate chances as GOP pulls millions from key races  —  The Senate majority leader acknowledged headwinds in North Carolina, Georgia and Kansas as campaign cash shifts  —  FREMONT, Neb. — Senate Majority Leader John Thune, R-S.D. …
 
 
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 More Items: 
Camille Mumford / Emerson Polling:
California 2026 Poll: Xavier Becerra Holds 27-Point Lead over Steve Hilton
Discussion: New York Post, The Hill and NewsMax.com
Aitor Hernández-Morales / Politico:
Spanish left-wing leader accuses Trump of denying her travel visa to Puerto Rico
Discussion: Middle East Monitor
Bojan Pancevski / Wall Street Journal:
Airfield Attack Marked Opening Shot in Putin's Stepped-Up Sabotage Campaign
Discussion: Washington Examiner
John McCormick / Wall Street Journal:
Minnesota's Democratic U.S. Senate Nominee Inflated Academic Record
Vox:
Has Susan Collins's political luck finally run out?
Riley Rogerson / Politico:
This member is so frustrated with Congress he wants voters to sidestep it
Dan Diamond / Washington Post:
Trump orders up cameras to monitor construction projects for ‘vandals’
 Earlier Items: 
Natasha Sarin / New York Times:
Everything Feels So Expensive. Here's What's Really Going On.
Patrick Djordjevic / The Hill:
Republican-aligned PAC spends $1.2M to boost socialist
Discussion: Daily Kos and MS NOW
Franco Ordoñez / NPR:
Trump leans into unprecedented power ahead of midterm elections
Associated Press:
FACT FOCUS: When it comes to Trump's economy, these are the numbers that matter before Nov. 3
Gareth Vipers / Wall Street Journal:
Trump Says Data Centers Must Provide Their Own Electricity
Elizabeth Spiers / The Nation:
Can James Carville Please Just Be Quietly Wrong Somewhere Else?
Discussion: The Daily Beast
ProPublica:
The Secret Terms of Trump's Venezuelan Oil Deal
Discussion: Associated Press