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10:30 AM ET, November 2, 2026

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
New York Times:
Democrats Show Strength in Final Days of Race for the Senate, New Polls Find  —  Democrats are up in Michigan, Texas, Kansas, Maine and Ohio, have an edge in Alaska and are effectively tied with Republicans in Iowa, new New York Times/Siena polls found.  —  Democrats are ahead of Republicans …
RELATED:
Caroline Vakil / The Hill:
Texas, Alaska, Maine Senate races flip blue on DDHQ map  —  Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ) is forecasting Senate races in Texas, Alaska and Maine will flip toward Democrats on Tuesday, enough to put the party in a prime position of winning back the upper chamber.  —  DDHQ forecasts that Democrats …
Discussion: NewsMax.com and Political.org
Nate Cohn / New York Times:
The Final Polls Show a Blue Surge.  Can We Trust Them?  —  New Times/Siena surveys show Democrats leading in all the key battlegrounds that will decide Senate control.  —  Democrats gained ground right to the end in the final New York Times/Siena University polls of the 2026 midterm campaign.
Adam Serwer / The Atlantic:
The Racism Scam  —  Republicans are stoking hatred.  —  Faced with flagging numbers over an unpopular and unnecessary war in Iran, inflation exacerbated by tariffs, lawless immigration enforcement, and corruption, Republicans have gone back to basics for their closing message: stoking hatred against minority groups.
Politico:
AOC's failed Stevens intervention  —  With help from Eli Okun, Ali Bianco and Irie Sentner  —  Good Monday morning.  Any other November surprises we should be looking out for today?  Get in touch.  —  In today's Playbook ...  — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's private attempt to talk Haley Stevens down.
Discussion: New York Times
Erica L. Green / New York Times:   A ‘Pugnacious’ Vance Leans Into Personal Attacks on the Campaign Trail
Semafor:
How Trump's iron grip on the Republican Party put the Senate in play
Discussion: New York Times
Carl Hulse / New York Times:
Senate Control After the Midterms: Party Switches, Ties and Wild Cards
Discussion: NBC News and Bloomberg
Benjamin Wallace-Wells / New Yorker:   How Democrats Are Reclaiming the Politics of Populism
New York Times:
Haley Stevens Abandons El-Sayed, Endorsing Mike Rogers in Michigan  —  Representative Stevens, who has been in a growing feud with Dr. Abdul El-Sayed, the Democratic Senate nominee in Michigan, appeared together with the Republican nominee, Mike Rogers.  —  Representative Haley Stevens …
RELATED:
New York Post:
Haley Stevens' act of bravery as her party abandons Jewish voters  —  Haley Stevens is a “proud Democrat” who bashed GOP candidate Mike Rogers just this past summer.  —  So think about how bad Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed must be for Stevens to cross the political aisle and endorse Rogers …
Meredith Lee Hill / Politico:
Some House Dems are now pushing to kick Haley Stevens out of their caucus
New York Times:
Inside the Abdul El-Sayed-Haley Stevens Meltdown in Michigan
Semafor:
‘Dumbfounded’: Democrats' chaos in Michigan exposes party's divides
Adam Wren / Politico:
El-Sayed raised $1.2 million in hours since Haley Stevens endorsed his rival
Andrew Solender / Axios:
Haley Stevens' staff and colleagues erupt at her “betrayal”
G. Elliott Morris / Strength In Numbers:
Early vote data shows Latinos, young people, Democrats surging in turnout  —  New voters are younger, more Latino and much less Republican than new voters in 2022  —  THE POLLS HAVE SHOWN for months that Democrats are headed for a big midterm.  And now that final early-voting numbers are in from Texas …
RELATED:
Associated Press:
Voters fear the America they've known is slipping away.  On that, the left and right agree  —  The stakes in Tuesday's midterm elections are so high that Shane Dunn voted for the first time in his life, at age 65.  —  After a career as a cook up and down the East Coast …
Isaac Arnsdorf / Washington Post:   Republicans count on Election Day turnout despite enthusiasm gap
Matt Cohen / Democracy Docket:
DOJ points to legal losing streak in bid to toss out Democrats' election interference lawsuit  —  The Department of Justice (DOJ) made a baffling argument when it asked a federal judge to dismiss Democrats' election interference lawsuit*: The department's streak of bruising court losses proves …
Discussion: Bloomberg, Townhall and Crooked Media
RELATED:
Reuters:
Trump Justice Dept breaks with tradition to intervene in midterms  —  President Donald Trump's Justice Department has shown a willingness to intervene directly in Tuesday's midterm elections, breaking with decades of practice meant to avoid the appearance that its law enforcement powers …
Vaughn Hillyard / MS NOW:
Election deniers who have met with Trump urge federal role in midterm vote count
Discussion: The Hill
Politico:
‘A lot of Republicans have held their tongues’: Anger at Trump is growing … Republicans are already privately blaming President Donald Trump as they brace for losses on Tuesday.  —  Even as they race to distance themselves from his actions on tariffs, the unpopular Iran war …
Discussion: CBS News, New Republic and Al Jazeera
New York Times:
Kansas Senator Goes Rogue With Video Response to Medical Debt Lawsuits  —  Roger Marshall, a Republican senator whose re-election bid has grown surprisingly competitive, wanted to push back against attacks.  His team didn't agree.  He ignored the guidance.
Discussion: Politico, Mediaite and Washington Post
Ben Berkowitz / Axios:
Trump vows to protect Musk, floats pre-emptive staff pardons  —  President Trump said Monday he'd move to protect Elon Musk if Democrats investigate the SpaceX and Tesla CEO after midterm elections.  — He also suggested the possibility of pre-emptive pardons for staff and others around him if Democrats win the election.
RELATED:
Thomas English / New York Post:
Trump reveals he'll use preemptive pardons to protect staff, allies if Dems take Congress
Associated Press:
All 9 people aboard a jet that crashed in Florida have died, transportation secretary says  —  A business jet carrying nine people nose-dived into a South Florida neighborhood Sunday and erupted into a giant fireball that appeared to just miss homes before crashing near a busy roadway.
RELATED:
Emma Romano / WPTV News Channel 5 West Palm:
Military Trail closed after deadly Learjet crash; shelters open for hundreds displaced
The Downballot:
Morning Digest: The battlefield makes one last push into unimaginable turf  —  Deep red states and districts that had never looked competitive now have the GOP panicked  —  In the waning days of the 2026 midterms, the electoral battleground has pushed into once unimaginable territory …
Amanda Marcotte / Salon:
Fox News loses its grip on the culture wars  —  Coded bigotry is harder to sell when MAGA gets unfiltered garbage online  —  In any other election cycle, a viral Fox News gaffe would have registered only as a momentary laugh.  Last week, reporter Lucas Tomlinson was covering a South Carolina rally …
Discussion: MS NOW
Washington Post:
Social account linked to former Mike Collins aide posted slurs, calls for violence  —  The staffer works for Rep. Daniel Webster and previously worked for Senate hopeful Collins, who has faced scrutiny for former staffers expressing extreme views online.  —  SummaryLoading...
David R. Lurie / Public Notice:
How Trump destroyed his own dictatorial ambitions  —  Public Notice is proudly celebrating 5 years of independent journalism, and we are running a midterms special through Wednesday.  Click the button to sign up and support our work.  —  PN midterms 2026 special offer
 
 
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 More Items: 
Alex Roarty / The Washington Sun:
The NRCC Is Spending Over $100 Million on Coordinated Campaign Ads
Georgia Clelland / New York Post:
California college caves to woke students by canceling mascot after 90 years
Discussion: Breitbart, American Greatness and SFist
J.B. Shurk / American Thinker:
End the Democrats' Horror Movie
Cal Revely-Calder / New Yorker:
The Telephone's Tangled History of Intimacy and Control
Ryan Devereaux / ProPublica:
Tribal Leaders Warned Border Wall Construction Would Disturb Native American Remains. They Were Right.
Paul Krugman:
Oligarchy is on the Ballot  —  Can a handful of plutocrats buy an election?
Wall Street Journal:
The U.S. Once Dominated the World's Oceans. China's Xi is Changing That.
 Earlier Items: 
Jack Herrera / Washington Post:
Ken Paxton's last stand
Victor Davis Hanson / American Greatness:
Midterm Election Incoherences, Misadventures, and Paradoxes
Henry Farrell / Programmable Mutter:
The foreign policy “Blob” exists
Discussion: Drezner's World
Phillips P. OBrien / Phillips's Newsletter:
The USA Has Not Been So Insecure Since The US Civil War
Wall Street Journal:
U.S. Pushes to Restore Russian Gas Sales to Europe Via Ukraine
Discussion: GZERO and Political.org
Alex Isenstadt / Axios:
“Arrogance”: 3 GOP senators blasted over costly red-state rescues
Claire Cain Miller / New York Times:
We Called Back Young Men Who Voted for Trump. He's Losing Them.
The Atlantic:
Trump Searches for a Fall Guy to Blame for Iran
Discussion: emptywheel
 

 
From Mediagazer:

Todd Spangler / Variety:
Fox closes its $22B Roku acquisition well ahead of the expected 2027 date; Anthony Wood joins Fox's board and co-chairs a new unit with Tubi, Fox One, and Roku

Ethan Gach / Kotaku:
Valnet agrees to a $2M settlement to end a 2023 suit accusing it of misclassifying some workers as contractors rather than full-time employees to deny them pay

Denise Petski / Deadline:
Amazon Prime Video sets November 20 for the premiere of “Melania, The Series”, the two-episode follow-up to Brett Ratner's “Melania” documentary
 
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