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6:40 PM ET, November 2, 2026

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Greg Sargent / New Republic:
Suddenly, MAGA's Biggest Players in the House Are in Danger of Defeat  —  Here's a potentially momentous development for you: The electoral map appears to have deteriorated so badly for Republicans that a number of MAGA's biggest personalities in the House may be on the verge of a loss.
RELATED:
Nikki McCann Ramirez / Rolling Stone:
Trump Uses Final Pre-Midterm Speech to Ramble About Reflecting Pool  —  The president would like you to reward him for overhauling Washington, D.C., by voting Republican  —  Donald Trump on Monday delivered his closing argument ahead of the midterm elections.
Adam Serwer / The Atlantic:
The Racism Scam  —  Republicans are stoking hatred.  —  Faced with flagging numbers over an unpopular and unnecessary war in Iran, inflation exacerbated by tariffs, lawless immigration enforcement, and corruption, Republicans have gone back to basics for their closing message: stoking hatred against minority groups.
Discussion: The Guardian
Henry Olsen / Washington Post:
A terrible night awaits the GOP, and even that might be an understatement  —  My final midterm prediction is a Democratic House and Senate.  —  Loading...  One message of Christopher Nolan's hit film “The Odyssey” was that even the cleverest of men cannot avoid suffering if they ignore the will of the gods.
William Kristol / The Bulwark:
It Won't Be a Blue Tsunami. It'll Be an Orange Crush.
Julia Manchester / The Hill:
Forecasts of midterm blue wave put Trump's legacy on line
Discussion: Financial Times, Roll Call and Townhall
Steven Nelson / New York Post:
Trump renews promise of $5K payout if GOP retains Congress in Midterm eve speech at Lincoln Reflecting Pool
Discussion: Axios, RedState and The Daily Wire
Jamison Foser / Finding Gravity:
The GOP's election lies have already begun. Their actions give them away.
Discussion: The Washington Sun
Olivia Reingold / The Free Press:
I Interviewed Haley Stevens at 11 PM on Her Fiancé's Couch.  Here's Why She Broke with Abdul El-Sayed.  —  The Michigan congresswoman says she endorsed Republican Mike Rogers because “I think he loves the country.”  —  Upgrade to Listen  —  HUNTINGTON WOODS, Michigan — “I was like, wait a moment, what am I doing?”
RELATED:
Ed Morrissey / HotAir:
WaPo: Big-Tent Party That Embraced Nazi-Tatted Abuser Draws the Line At ...  Remember when Graham Platner's Nazi tattoo and allegations of domestic abuse required “context” and “redemption”?  Recall when Ro Khanna demanded “grace” from Maine voters?  Good times, good times.
Jonathan Cohn / The Bulwark:
A Close-Up View of the Wildest 24 Hours of the El-Sayed Campaign
New York Times:
Inside the Abdul El-Sayed-Haley Stevens Meltdown in Michigan
Salvador Rizzo / Washington Post:
Judge dismisses charges against FBI agents in Hunter Biden laptop investigation  —  The judge said the Justice Department's effort “cannot be described as anything other than weaponization.”  —  SummaryLoading...  A federal magistrate judge on Monday dismissed a criminal case …
RELATED:
NBC News:
Judge dismisses case against ex-FBI agents accused on lying to Congress in Hunter Biden probe
Discussion: Townhall, RedState and Roll Call
Andrew Childers / Democracy Docket:
Voter intimidation ban doesn't apply to federal government, DOJ claims in shocking new argument  —  A landmark voting rights protection that ensures the right of every American to cast their vote without fear of intimidation does not apply to federal law enforcement, the Department of Justice (DOJ) said in a dangerous new argument.
Discussion: Joe.My.God. and Fox News
RELATED:
Quinta Jurecic / The Atlantic:
DOJ's Try-Anything Approach  —  A wide range of last-minute schemes could seed the idea among Trump's supporters that the election results can't be trusted.  —  In the run-up to the 2024 election, Donald Trump complained that Special Counsel Jack Smith's detailed overview of the evidence …
New York Times:   Grand Jury Rejects Bid by Justice Dept. to Bring Charges Over Voter Fraud
Lawrence Hurley / NBC News:
Supreme Court quickly rejects Trump effort to target alleged noncitizen voters in California  —  The Trump administration alleges that about 20,000 noncitizens may be registered to vote in the state, an assertion disputed by the local officials.  —  WASHINGTON — In a loss for President Donald Trump …
RELATED:
Abbie VanSickle / New York Times:
Trump Administration Asks Supreme Court to Intervene in California Ballot Case
Politico:
Chaos and campaigning in the final day before the election
Discussion: Axios, Vox and Democracy Docket
Steve Vladeck / One First:
260. Elections and the Base Rate Fallacy
Discussion: NPR and Civil Discourse …
New York Post:
Learjet co-pilot in fatal Florida crash ID'd as Nathalia Gadelha, 20, who got her license in high school  —  PALM SPRINGS, Florida — The doomed Learjet co-pilot heard pleading for help in harrowing air traffic control audio before the fiery Florida crash has been identified as Nathalia Gadelha …
Jon Seidel / WBEZ:
Ex-Chicago FBI boss sues Trump admin saying he was wrongfully blamed for botched ‘Broadview 6’ case  —  Douglas DePodesta's lawsuit, filed Monday, targets the FBI, the Justice Department, Attorney General Todd Blanche, FBI Director Kash Patel and Chicago U.S. Attorney Andrew Boutros.
RELATED:
Sam Levin / The Guardian:
Ex-FBI chief in Chicago sues DoJ, claiming he was pressured to investigate Trump's foes  —  Douglas DePodesta says he was made ‘scapegoat’ after collapse of case against Broadview Six anti-ICE protesters  —  The former head of the FBI in Chicago has accused the Trump administration of pressuring …
Erin Reed / Erin In The Morning:
El-Sayed Refused To Hedge On Trans People Again In Hostile 60-Minutes Interview  —  Understand that a failure to show up and fight for that right is a failure to show up and fight for your own … Abdul El-Sayed, the Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in Michigan, has long been a vocal ally to transgender people.
Stephen Wolf / The Downballot:
How Tuesday's elections could lead to the president getting elected by popular vote  —  Democrats need to win just a handful of states to activate a long-awaited agreement  —  Tuesday's elections could have a major—yet largely overlooked—consequence for American democracy …
Katherine Plummer / Military.com:
79% of Veterans and Service Members Say Politicians and Society Are Leaving Them Behind: Poll  —  “Active-duty troops are telling us that politicization is pushing them toward the exit.  That's not a talking point; it's a readiness crisis.”  —  Add us on  —  Roughly 79% of veterans …
Discussion: Military Times and New Republic
Survey 160:
Survey 160 pre-election surveys in four states  —  By Kevin Collins, Alex Dawahare, Oscar Castorena, and Alejandro Frydman  —  Survey 160's final poll of 2026 focused on four states with elections for both United States Senate and Governor: Kansas, Ohio, Maine, and Minnesota.
Discussion: New York Times
RELATED:
Bloomberg:
Khamenei Empowers Talks as Trump Says Iran Deal Could Happen
Axios:
Scoop: Senate GOP makes massive bet on streaming  —  The top Senate GOP super PAC has nearly tripled its spending on streaming and social media platforms this election cycle to more than $200 million, Axios has learned. … - In some states, streaming and social media have swallowed half …
Discussion: NewsMax.com
Bianca Quilantan / Politico:
Judge tosses Trump administration's admissions records lawsuit against Harvard  —  A federal judge on Monday dismissed a Trump administration lawsuit seeking Harvard University's admissions records, the latest win for the Ivy League school in its battle with the White House.
Associated Press:
Kennedy Center names the 2026 honorees as Trump renovation battle moves the show offsite  —  The Kennedy Center said Monday that Paul Anka, David Foster, Andy Garcia, David Mamet and Barbara Mandrell would be recognized at this year's Kennedy Center Honors, which will be held away …
Michael Podhorzer / Weekend Reading:
The Confederate Realignment  —  Note: Much of what follows is drawn from a larger book-length project I've been working on.  Today, I'll offer the core arguments that matter most right now, on the eve of the midterms and at the start of the Roberts Court's new term.
New York Times:
Ken Paxton Campaigns With Free Beer, Trump and a Plea: ‘Pray for Me’  —  Facing an energized Democratic opponent, the Texas attorney general is testing whether party loyalty can overcome voters' reservations about him.  —  Scores of Ken Paxton supporters filled the main dining area …
Discussion: Talking Points Memo
New York Times:
How a Beleaguered U.S. Cyber Agency Retreated From Election Security Work  —  Protecting the vote was once considered among the top priorities of the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency.  Now it barely mentions the issue.  —  Two years ago, the government agency at the forefront …
Discussion: The Good in Us, Votebeat and KRDO
Andrew Lawrence / Media Matters for America:
The bro-casts are barely talking about Trump or hosting his allies ahead of the midterms  —  RESEARCH CONTRIBUTIONS FROM KAYLA GOGARTY, NOAH VANDOWE, HANNE MACDONALD & JACK WINSTANLEY … Guests  — President Donald Trump has not appeared as a guest on any of the studied podcasts in 2026 …
Alex Kaplan / Media Matters for America:
Election denial activists promote dubious database to catch supposed voter fraud … ELLY, a tool that supposedly analyzes voter rolls, was developed by election denial activists and is reportedly “being marketed to county officials” in Georgia, Missouri, and North Carolina ahead of the midterm elections.
 
 
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 More Items: 
Veronica Riccobene / The Lever:
Big AI's $140 Million Election Machine Stalls Out
Tom Perkins / Drop Site News:
Mike Rogers Earned $420,000 From Firm Now Helping Hegseth Plan Iran War's Next Phase
Discussion: The Daily Caller and New Republic
Cara Tabachnick / CBS News:
A sheriff defeated by 300 votes, a write-in campaign and an Alabama county divided: “It's chaotic”
Owen Dahlkamp / Politico:
Chaos and campaigning in the final day before the election
Discussion: NewsMax.com and Legal Insurrection
Politico:
No clear challengers for Chuck Schumer's post, barring a midterm catastrophe
Discussion: The Hill
Brian Beutler / Off Message:
29 Thoughts On Election Eve
 Earlier Items: 
Judd Legum / Popular Information:
The media blackout of the new rape allegation against Trump
Ana Marie Cox / New Republic:
Weirdly, There's One Blue State the Blue Wave Might Not Reach
Alex Isenstadt / Axios:
“Arrogance”: 3 GOP senators blasted over costly red-state rescues
Discussion: Daily Kos and Fox News