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10:15 PM ET, November 2, 2026

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Greg Sargent / New Republic:
Suddenly, MAGA's Biggest Players in the House Are in Danger of Defeat  —  Here's a potentially momentous development for you: The electoral map appears to have deteriorated so badly for Republicans that a number of MAGA's biggest personalities in the House may be on the verge of a loss.
RELATED:
Michael Podhorzer / Weekend Reading:
The Confederate Realignment  —  Note: Much of what follows is drawn from a larger book-length project I've been working on.  Today, I'll offer the core arguments that matter most right now, on the eve of the midterms and at the start of the Roberts Court's new term.
Aaron Zitner / Wall Street Journal:
What the Midterms Campaign Tells Us About Where Our Politics Are Headed
Discussion: The Moderate Voice and Al Jazeera
Axios:   GOP's midterm blame game starts early
Zolan Kanno-Youngs / New York Times:
Trump's Election Fraud Reward Raises Fears of Vigilantism, Local Officials Say
Discussion: Votebeat and Scripps News
Jamison Foser / Finding Gravity:
The GOP's election lies have already begun. Their actions give them away.
Discussion: The Washington Sun
William Kristol / The Bulwark:
It Won't Be a Blue Tsunami. It'll Be an Orange Crush.
Lawrence Hurley / NBC News:
Supreme Court quickly rejects Trump effort to target alleged noncitizen voters in California  —  The Trump administration alleges that about 20,000 noncitizens may be registered to vote in the state, an assertion disputed by the local officials.  —  WASHINGTON — In a loss for President Donald Trump …
RELATED:
Associated Press:
Live updates: Supreme Court rejects Trump's push for California to set aside thousands of disputed mail ballots
Natalie Hausmann / Democracy Docket:
Supreme Court swiftly rejects Trump administration bid to block California voters
Nikki McCann Ramirez / Rolling Stone:
Trump Uses Final Pre-Midterm Speech to Ramble About Reflecting Pool
Ian Millhiser / Vox:
Trump makes one last attempt to get the Supreme Court to interfere with the midterms
Olivia Reingold / The Free Press:
I Interviewed Haley Stevens at 11 PM on Her Fiancé's Couch.  Here's Why She Broke with Abdul El-Sayed.  —  The Michigan congresswoman says she endorsed Republican Mike Rogers because “I think he loves the country.”  —  Upgrade to Listen  —  HUNTINGTON WOODS, Michigan — “I was like, wait a moment, what am I doing?”
RELATED:
Jonathan Cohn / The Bulwark:
A Close-Up View of the Wildest 24 Hours of the El-Sayed Campaign  —  ABDUL EL-SAYED STOOD on the steps of a small brick church, staring at the dozens of cameras and microphones pointed in his direction—and strangely defiant in what was shaping up to be the worst day of his U.S. Senate campaign.
New York Post:
Michigan Dems join Haley Stevens in abandoning Abdul El-Sayed on Election Day eve: ‘Consider voting a split ticket’  —  DETROIT — Trouble is mounting for Michigan Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed as members of his own Democratic Party are lining up behind his Republican opponent, former Rep. Mike Rogers.
Lucy Campbell / The Guardian:
Abdul El-Sayed's campaign reports record fundraising day as Haley Stevens faces backlash for endorsing his opponent - live
Wall Street Journal:
Trump Surprises Republicans With Election Eve Speech About Reflecting Pool  —  The president delivered remarks in front of the Lincoln Memorial on Monday that focused on his construction projects  —  WASHINGTON—It was a picture-perfect setting for the closing argument of a contentious campaign season.
RELATED:
Sam Levin / The Guardian:
Ex-FBI chief in Chicago sues DoJ, claiming he was pressured to investigate Trump's foes  —  Douglas DePodesta says he was made ‘scapegoat’ after collapse of case against Broadview Six anti-ICE protesters  —  The former head of the FBI in Chicago has accused the Trump administration of pressuring …
RELATED:
Matt Novak / Gizmodo:
California's Billionaire Tax Slips From 52% Support to 42%  —  Tech oligarchs have raised over $379 million to fight Prop 40, the one-time 5% tax on billionaires.  —  California's Proposition 40 would impose a one-time 5% tax on all billionaires in the state if more than 50% of voters fill in the box for “yes” by Tuesday.
Discussion: Washington Post, Political.org and Puck
RELATED:
Wall Street Journal:
U.S. Strikes Iran's Qeshm Island as Trump Talks Down War Risks  —  Trump told reporters Monday 'we haven't been doing any fighting for months'  —  The U.S. attacked Iran's Qeshm Island on Monday, U.S. officials said, in the latest of a series of limited strikes Washington has secretly carried …
RELATED:
Zeteo:
How Elon Musk Bought the Midterms.  We Did the Math  —  Musk has spent $474 million to help Trump and the GOP win the midterms.  For everyday Americans, it's the equivalent of buying a few IMAX tickets or a DoorDash dinner for two.  —  ∙ Paid  —  Elon Musk, the world's richest man …
Discussion: New York Times
Annabella Rosciglione / The Daily Beast:
Election ‘Nostradamus’ Reveals Final Midterm Prediction … Presidential guru Allan Lichtman has revealed his final prediction on the upcoming midterm election.  —  With President Donald Trump and the GOP's approval rating at historic lows, Lichtman, who correctly predicted …
William Vaillancourt / The Daily Beast:
Why Trump Is Entering His Worst-Ever Doom Spiral: Political Guru … President Donald Trump could be headed for a drawn-out meltdown as he confronts his waning political power and his own mortality, according to political analyst David Rothkopf.  —  On , The Daily Beast Podcast …
New York Times:
Grand Jury Rejects Bid by Justice Dept. to Bring Charges Over Voter Fraud  —  The rejection demonstrates the department's harried push to prove President Trump's unsubstantiated claims of rampant voter fraud.  —  A federal grand jury in Washington on Friday rejected an effort by the Justice Department …
New York Post:
Learjet co-pilot in fatal Florida crash ID'd as Nathalia Gadelha, 20, who got her license in high school  —  PALM SPRINGS, Florida — The doomed Learjet co-pilot heard pleading for help in harrowing air traffic control audio before the fiery Florida crash has been identified as Nathalia Gadelha …
Salvador Rizzo / Washington Post:
Judge dismisses charges against FBI agents in Hunter Biden laptop investigation  —  The judge said the Justice Department's effort “cannot be described as anything other than weaponization.”  —  SummaryLoading...  A federal magistrate judge on Monday dismissed a criminal case …
RELATED:
New York Post:
Mamdani raises eyebrows with new look, ditching beard and sporting surprising mustache  —  Stache the rich!  —  Mayor Zohran Mamdani debuted an hair-raising new look over the weekend — ditching his signature beard in favor of a striking mustache.  —  But the socialist's shaving shake …
Stephen Wolf / The Downballot:
How Tuesday's elections could lead to the president getting elected by popular vote  —  Democrats need to win just a handful of states to activate a long-awaited agreement  —  Tuesday's elections could have a major—yet largely overlooked—consequence for American democracy …
New York Times:
Trump Administration Said to Plan Rolling Back Pregnancy-Related Job Protections  —  The Biden era law was meant to help women stay in the workplace, but some conservatives say rules to enact it went too far with coverage for abortion and fertility treatment.
Gavin J. Quinton / The Washington Sun:
Judge Throws Out Trump Administration's Affirmative Action Lawsuit Against Harvard  —  U.S. District Judge Myong J. Joun's dismissal allows the DOJ to reopen the case once it fixes some procedural issues.  — Copy  —  A federal judge has thrown out the Justice Department's case accusing …
RELATED:
Bianca Quilantan / Politico:   Judge tosses Trump administration's admissions records lawsuit against Harvard
Survey 160:
Survey 160 pre-election surveys in four states  —  By Kevin Collins, Alex Dawahare, Oscar Castorena, and Alejandro Frydman  —  Survey 160's final poll of 2026 focused on four states with elections for both United States Senate and Governor: Kansas, Ohio, Maine, and Minnesota.
Discussion: New York Times
The Washington Sun:
Trump Unlocks Disaster Funds for Republican Districts in California and Minnesota  —  House Speaker Mike Johnson helped advocate for funds for vulnerable Rep. David Valadao's district.  — Copy  —  Four days before the midterm elections, the Trump administration unlocked …
Discussion: KSTP-TV
 
 
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 More Items: 
Gregory Svirnovskiy / Politico:
Chaos and campaigning in the final day before the election
Discussion: New York Times and Joe.My.God.
Joseph Goldstein / New York Times:
Child Dies From Measles in New York State's First Fatal Case in 30 Years
Discussion: Reuters, KRDO and The Guardian
Rose Horowitch / The Atlantic:
The Push to Lead the Working Class Without Workers
Andrew Lawrence / Media Matters for America:
The bro-casts are barely talking about Trump or hosting his allies ahead of the midterms
Veronica Riccobene / The Lever:
Big AI's $140 Million Election Machine Stalls Out
Tom Perkins / Drop Site News:
Mike Rogers Earned $420,000 From Firm Now Helping Hegseth Plan Iran War's Next Phase
Discussion: The Daily Caller and New Republic
 Earlier Items: 
Axios:
Scoop: Senate GOP makes massive bet on streaming
Discussion: NewsMax.com
Associated Press:
Kennedy Center names the 2026 honorees as Trump renovation battle moves the show offsite
Andrew Childers / Democracy Docket:
Voter intimidation ban doesn't apply to federal government, DOJ claims in shocking new argument
Discussion: Joe.My.God. and Fox News
Katherine Plummer / Military.com:
79% of Veterans and Service Members Say Politicians and Society Are Leaving Them Behind: Poll
Discussion: Army Times and New Republic
New York Times:
Ken Paxton Campaigns With Free Beer, Trump and a Plea: ‘Pray for Me’
Discussion: Talking Points Memo