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8:55 AM ET, November 3, 2026

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Mike Zapler / Axios:
Democrats could learn wrong message from a blowout victory  —  Democrats are poised to romp in today's election — easily winning the House and, according to most forecasts, flipping the Senate too. … Even the GOP has a better brand. … Confusing the two could tempt Democrats to overread …
RELATED:
G. Elliott Morris / FiftyPlusOne:
The final polls and race ratings show a late shift toward Democrats  —  The party has gained ground in the generic ballot and several key Senate races, according to both the polls and expert handicappers  —  G. Elliott Morris, FiftyPlusOne, and Katie Marriner
Jonathan Martin / Politico:
Republicans Can Blame Trump for Their Midterm Woes … When it becomes clear Tuesday night or Wednesday morning that Republicans have taken “a thumper,” to borrow Bill Clinton's phrase, President Donald Trump will lunge for scapegoats.  —  Trump will claim Republican candidates should have embraced …
Discussion: Wall Street Journal
Susan B. Glasser / New Yorker:
Finally, the Beginning of Trump's End  —  In recent decades, the second terms of American Presidents have not ended well.  Ronald Reagan had the Iran-Contra affair; Bill Clinton, after attempting to cover up his affair with a former intern, became the first chief executive impeached since the mid-nineteenth century.
Politico:   ‘The Armageddon of all elections’  —  With help from Eli Okun, Ali Bianco and Irie Sentner
Michael Podhorzer / Weekend Reading:   The Confederate Realignment  —  Note: Much of what follows is drawn from a larger book-length project I've been working on.
Politico:   'We forgot what it's like to be populist': Republicans see Trump's 2024 crumbling
John F. Harris / Politico:   The Told-You-So Primary Starts Tomorrow
Mona Charen / The Bulwark:
Trump Was Right. He Is on the Ballot.
Wall Street Journal:
U.S. Strikes Iran's Qeshm Island as Trump Talks Down War Risks  —  Trump told reporters Monday 'we haven't been doing any fighting for months'  —  The U.S. attacked Iran's Qeshm Island on Monday, U.S. officials said, in the latest of a series of limited strikes Washington has secretly carried …
RELATED:
New York Times:
U.S. Military Strikes Iran's Qeshm Island in What U.S. Officials Call a Defensive Measure  —  The action was limited, the officials said, with no immediate plans to escalate.  The strikes come on the eve of the midterm elections.  —  The U.S. military struck Iran's Qeshm Island on Monday …
Olivia Reingold / The Free Press:
I Interviewed Haley Stevens at 11 PM on Her Fiancé's Couch.  Here's Why She Broke with Abdul El-Sayed.  —  The Michigan congresswoman says she endorsed Republican Mike Rogers because “I think he loves the country.”  —  Upgrade to Listen  —  HUNTINGTON WOODS, Michigan — “I was like, wait a moment, what am I doing?”
RELATED:
Politico:
Michigan Republicans wish Haley Stevens had flipped earlier
Mira Bhakta / The Hill:
Stevens shares rationale for endorsing Rogers over El-Sayed
Jonathan Cohn / The Bulwark:
A Close-Up View of the Wildest 24 Hours of the El-Sayed Campaign
Wall Street Journal:
Trump Surprises Republicans With Election Eve Speech About Reflecting Pool  —  The president delivered remarks in front of the Lincoln Memorial on Monday that focused on his construction projects  —  WASHINGTON—It was a picture-perfect setting for the closing argument of a contentious campaign season.
RELATED:
Shawn McCreesh / New York Times:
Trump Delivers a Closing Midterm Message.  Mostly About Landscaping.  —  On the eve of the election, the president held forth in great detail on columns, drain pipes and granite at the newly refilled Reflecting Pool.  —  President Trump was standing in front of the Reflecting Pool on Monday afternoon …
Matt Novak / Gizmodo:
California's Billionaire Tax Slips From 52% Support to 42%  —  Tech oligarchs have raised over $379 million to fight Prop 40, the one-time 5% tax on billionaires.  —  California's Proposition 40 would impose a one-time 5% tax on all billionaires in the state if more than 50% of voters fill in the box for “yes” by Tuesday.
RELATED:
Sophie Austin / Associated Press:
California could become the first state to tax billionaires' wealth
Discussion: France 24 and The Independent
E. Lansing / US Department of Justice:
DOJ To Monitor Elections in All 50 States for First Time  —  For Immediate Release  —  One of the Department of Justice's (DOJ) most important missions is ensuring election integrity, supporting free and fair elections, and protecting the right to vote for U.S. citizens across the United States.
Annabella Rosciglione / The Daily Beast:
Election ‘Nostradamus’ Reveals Final Midterm Prediction … Presidential guru Allan Lichtman has revealed his final prediction on the upcoming midterm election.  —  With President Donald Trump and the GOP's approval rating at historic lows, Lichtman, who correctly predicted …
Discussion: The Spectator
New York Post:
Mamdani raises eyebrows with new look, ditching beard and sporting surprising mustache  —  Stache the rich!  —  Mayor Zohran Mamdani debuted an hair-raising new look over the weekend — ditching his signature beard in favor of a striking mustache.  —  But the socialist's shaving shake …
Zeteo:
How Elon Musk Bought the Midterms.  We Did the Math  —  Musk has spent $474 million to help Trump and the GOP win the midterms.  For everyday Americans, it's the equivalent of buying a few IMAX tickets or a DoorDash dinner for two.  —  ∙ Paid  —  Elon Musk, the world's richest man …
Discussion: New York Times
Politico:
Election Day in America  —  Voters are taking to the polls in a midterm election that will define the future of both parties.  —  Trump admin's win short-lived as appeals court restores DOJ restrictions overnight  —  In a rush of overnight activity, a federal appeals court left …
Discussion: Bloomberg
Miles Klee / Wired:
The Online Right's Closing Campaign Argument: Fascist Anakin Skywalker Memes  —  With Democrats poised to make significant gains in Tuesday's midterm elections, Trump supporters have been reduced to posting bizarre Star Wars fan fiction.  —  If you quit checking X months ago …
Discussion: Gizmodo and Reason
Lawrence Hurley / NBC News:
Supreme Court quickly rejects Trump effort to target alleged noncitizen voters in California  —  The Trump administration alleges that about 20,000 noncitizens may be registered to vote in the state, an assertion disputed by the local officials.  —  WASHINGTON — In a loss for President Donald Trump …
Ellie Quinlan Houghtaling / New Republic:
Pete Hegseth Makes Over Half the Military Want to Quit Early … The Trump administration's hyperpoliticized military environment apparently has thousands of active-duty military members looking toward the exit.  —  A survey by Common Defense Civic Engagement, a grassroots veterans organization …
Don Moynihan / Can We Still Govern?:
Accountability Day for Musk?  —  Can American government live up to the Spider-man principle?  —  Democracy depends upon a simple rule, what we might call the Spider-Man principle: with great power comes great responsibility.  And responsibility in a democracy includes accountability …
Discussion: Raw Story
Axios:
GOP's midterm blame game starts early  —  Republicans don't know if they'll lose big or small on Tuesday, but they're already bracing for an epic blame game. … The leading suspect: Mr. President, in the Oval Office, with an assortment of weapons — and one war.
William Vaillancourt / The Daily Beast:
Why Trump Is Entering His Worst-Ever Doom Spiral: Political Guru … President Donald Trump could be headed for a drawn-out meltdown as he confronts his waning political power and his own mortality, according to political analyst David Rothkopf.  —  On , The Daily Beast Podcast …
Jesse Wegman / New York Times:
Justice Kagan Sounds an Alarm About the Court  —  Like a lot of Americans, I've grown accustomed to Supreme Court justices speaking out much more frequently and informally than they once did.  Yet still there was more than one moment in a public conversation Elena Kagan had at Catholic University …
Discussion: National Review
Lisa Needham / Public Notice:
James O'Keefe's Minnesota stunt backfires spectacularly  —  The fraud came from inside the house. … Well, well, well.  —  Do you think those cringy scammers, James O'Keefe and Cam Higby, have enjoyed being hoisted by their own petard, as it were?  Hennepin County Attorney Mary Moriarty …
 
 
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 More Items: 
Financial Times:
US, Russia and China discuss meeting between Trump, Putin and Xi
G. Elliott Morris / Strength In Numbers:
FINAL forecast: a blue wave, or a blue tsunami?
Jonathan Levin / Bloomberg:
The Dollar Is Reasserting Itself as the King of Global Finance
New York Times:
For Midterms Night, a TV Schedule Overflowing With Options
Holly Ramer / Associated Press:
Establishment candidates John E. Sununu and Chris Pappas pitch change in New Hampshire Senate race
Discussion: PBS NewsHour and The Guardian
 Earlier Items: 
Lydia DePillis / New York Times:
William Nordhaus Has Died. Nobelist Influenced Climate Policy.
The Washington Sun:
Democrats Face a Dilemma: What to Do With Haley Stevens
The Washington Sun:
Trump Unlocks Disaster Funds for Republican Districts in California and Minnesota
Discussion: KSTP-TV
New York Times:
Trump Administration Said to Plan Rolling Back Pregnancy-Related Job Protections
Discussion: Joe.My.God.
New York Times:
Grand Jury Rejects Bid by Justice Dept. to Bring Charges Over Voter Fraud
Discussion: Joe.My.God.