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9:45 AM ET, November 2, 2026

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
New York Times:
Democrats Show Strength in Final Days of Race for the Senate, New Polls Find  —  Democrats are up in Michigan, Texas, Kansas, Maine and Ohio, have an edge in Alaska and are effectively tied with Republicans in Iowa, new New York Times/Siena polls found.  —  Democrats are ahead of Republicans …
RELATED:
Nate Cohn / New York Times:
The Final Polls Show a Blue Surge.  Can We Trust Them?  —  New Times/Siena surveys show Democrats leading in all the key battlegrounds that will decide Senate control.  —  Democrats gained ground right to the end in the final New York Times/Siena University polls of the 2026 midterm campaign.
Politico:
AOC's failed Stevens intervention  —  With help from Eli Okun, Ali Bianco and Irie Sentner  —  Good Monday morning.  Any other November surprises we should be looking out for today?  Get in touch.  —  In today's Playbook ...  — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's private attempt to talk Haley Stevens down.
Discussion: New York Times
Caroline Vakil / The Hill:
Texas, Alaska, Maine Senate races flip blue on DDHQ map  —  Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ) is forecasting Senate races in Texas, Alaska and Maine will flip toward Democrats on Tuesday, enough to put the party in a prime position of winning back the upper chamber.  —  DDHQ forecasts that Democrats …
Discussion: Political.org
Adam Serwer / The Atlantic:   The Racism Scam  —  Republicans are stoking hatred.  —  Faced with flagging numbers …
Erica L. Green / New York Times:   A ‘Pugnacious’ Vance Leans Into Personal Attacks on the Campaign Trail
Semafor:
How Trump's iron grip on the Republican Party put the Senate in play
Discussion: New York Times
Benjamin Wallace-Wells / New Yorker:   How Democrats Are Reclaiming the Politics of Populism
New York Times:
Haley Stevens Abandons El-Sayed, Endorsing Mike Rogers in Michigan  —  Representative Stevens, who has been in a growing feud with Dr. Abdul El-Sayed, the Democratic Senate nominee in Michigan, appeared together with the Republican nominee, Mike Rogers.  —  Representative Haley Stevens …
RELATED:
New York Post:
Haley Stevens' act of bravery as her party abandons Jewish voters  —  Haley Stevens is a “proud Democrat” who bashed GOP candidate Mike Rogers just this past summer.  —  So think about how bad Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed must be for Stevens to cross the political aisle and endorse Rogers …
Andrew Solender / Axios:
Haley Stevens' staff and colleagues erupt at her “betrayal”  —  Rep. Haley Stevens (D-Mich.) faced fierce backlash from fellow Democrats, party officials and her own staffers after endorsing Republican Mike Rogers for U.S. Senate on Sunday. … - “Pathetic, petty, selfish, unhinged,” …
Semafor:
‘Dumbfounded’: Democrats' chaos in Michigan exposes party's divides
Sophia Vento / The Hill:
Schumer calls Stevens's Rogers endorsement ‘a despicable betrayal’
Calen Razor / Politico:
Stevens mess tests Jeffries, Schumer
Lisa Lerer / New York Times:
The Parties Make Their Closing Arguments: 'This Isn't Just Red Versus Blue'
Discussion: MS NOW and Washington Post
G. Elliott Morris / Strength In Numbers:
Early vote data shows Latinos, young people, Democrats surging in turnout  —  New voters are younger, more Latino and much less Republican than new voters in 2022  —  THE POLLS HAVE SHOWN for months that Democrats are headed for a big midterm.  And now that final early-voting numbers are in from Texas …
RELATED:
Associated Press:
Voters fear the America they've known is slipping away.  On that, the left and right agree  —  The stakes in Tuesday's midterm elections are so high that Shane Dunn voted for the first time in his life, at age 65.  —  After a career as a cook up and down the East Coast …
Isaac Arnsdorf / Washington Post:   Republicans count on Election Day turnout despite enthusiasm gap
Reuters:
Trump Justice Dept breaks with tradition to intervene in midterms  —  President Donald Trump's Justice Department has shown a willingness to intervene directly in Tuesday's midterm elections, breaking with decades of practice meant to avoid the appearance that its law enforcement powers …
RELATED:
Vaughn Hillyard / MS NOW:
Election deniers who have met with Trump urge federal role in midterm vote count
Discussion: The Hill
Politico:
‘A lot of Republicans have held their tongues’: Anger at Trump is growing … Republicans are already privately blaming President Donald Trump as they brace for losses on Tuesday.  —  Even as they race to distance themselves from his actions on tariffs, the unpopular Iran war …
Discussion: CBS News, New Republic and Al Jazeera
Emma Romano / WPTV News Channel 5 West Palm:
Military Trail closed after deadly Learjet crash; shelters open for hundreds displaced  —  Palm Beach County officials say about 600 people in a nearby community are expected to be relocated as the investigation continues.  —  Add WPTV as a Google Preferred Source
RELATED:
Associated Press:
All 9 people aboard a jet that crashed in Florida have died, transportation secretary says
Ben Berkowitz / Axios:
Trump vows to protect Musk, floats pre-emptive staff pardons  —  President Trump said Monday he'd move to protect Elon Musk if Democrats investigate the SpaceX and Tesla CEO after midterm elections.  — He also suggested the possibility of pre-emptive pardons for staff and others around him if Democrats win the election.
Discussion: New York Post
RELATED:
Thomas English / New York Post:
Trump reveals he'll use preemptive pardons to protect staff, allies if Dems take Congress
Discussion: Bloomberg and NewsMax.com
New York Times:
Kansas Senator Goes Rogue With Video Response to Medical Debt Lawsuits  —  Roger Marshall, a Republican senator whose re-election bid has grown surprisingly competitive, wanted to push back against attacks.  His team didn't agree.  He ignored the guidance.
Discussion: Politico, Mediaite and Washington Post
The Downballot:
Morning Digest: The battlefield makes one last push into unimaginable turf  —  Deep red states and districts that had never looked competitive now have the GOP panicked  —  In the waning days of the 2026 midterms, the electoral battleground has pushed into once unimaginable territory …
David R. Lurie / Public Notice:
How Trump destroyed his own dictatorial ambitions  —  Public Notice is proudly celebrating 5 years of independent journalism, and we are running a midterms special through Wednesday.  Click the button to sign up and support our work.  —  PN midterms 2026 special offer
Washington Post:
Social account linked to former Mike Collins aide posted slurs, calls for violence  —  The staffer works for Rep. Daniel Webster and previously worked for Senate hopeful Collins, who has faced scrutiny for former staffers expressing extreme views online.  —  SummaryLoading...
Alex Isenstadt / Axios:
“Arrogance”: 3 GOP senators blasted over costly red-state rescues  —  Republicans are burning tens of millions of last-minute ad dollars to try to rescue three red-state senators who they say ignored months of warnings that their campaigns were in danger.
 
 
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 More Items: 
Cal Revely-Calder / New Yorker:
The Telephone's Tangled History of Intimacy and Control
Ryan Devereaux / ProPublica:
Tribal Leaders Warned Border Wall Construction Would Disturb Native American Remains. They Were Right.
Amanda Marcotte / Salon:
Fox News loses its grip on the culture wars
Discussion: MS NOW
Paul Krugman:
Oligarchy is on the Ballot  —  Can a handful of plutocrats buy an election?
Wall Street Journal:
The U.S. Once Dominated the World's Oceans. China's Xi is Changing That.
Jack Herrera / Washington Post:
Ken Paxton's last stand
Victor Davis Hanson / American Greatness:
Midterm Election Incoherences, Misadventures, and Paradoxes
Henry Farrell / Programmable Mutter:
The foreign policy “Blob” exists
Discussion: Drezner's World
 Earlier Items: 
Wall Street Journal:
U.S. Pushes to Restore Russian Gas Sales to Europe Via Ukraine
Discussion: Political.org
Theodore Schleifer / New York Times:
Elon Musk Tests What Nearly Half a Billion Dollars Can Buy in the Midterms
Carl Hulse / New York Times:
Senate Control After the Midterms: Party Switches, Ties and Wild Cards
Discussion: NBC News and Bloomberg
Claire Cain Miller / New York Times:
We Called Back Young Men Who Voted for Trump. He's Losing Them.
Isabel DeBre / Associated Press:
Argentina's Milei pitches a regulation-free AI haven at the end of the world
Discussion: France 24
The Atlantic:
Trump Searches for a Fall Guy to Blame for Iran
Discussion: emptywheel
 

 
From Techmeme:

Apple:
Apple reports Q4 revenue up 12% YoY to $114.48B, vs. $113.39B est., China revenue up 21% to $17.5B, vs. $18.9B est., in John Ternus' first earnings report

Bailey Lipschultz / Bloomberg:
S-1 update: Anthropic reports Q3 revenue up 12x YoY to nearly $17B, a $23.3B net loss, up from $12.1B in Q3 2025, and operating expenses up 292% YoY to $17.5B

Rikiya Takehi:
Researchers say LLMs can be good at natively reading and writing neural network weights; GPT-6 Astra edited Qwen3.5-0.8B's weights to make it better at math
 
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