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12:20 PM ET, November 2, 2026

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
New York Times:
Democrats Show Strength in Final Days of Race for the Senate, New Polls Find  —  Democrats are up in Michigan, Texas, Kansas, Maine and Ohio, have an edge in Alaska and are effectively tied with Republicans in Iowa, new New York Times/Siena polls found.  —  Democrats are ahead of Republicans …
RELATED:
Caroline Vakil / The Hill:
Texas, Alaska, Maine Senate races flip blue on DDHQ map  —  Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ) is forecasting Senate races in Texas, Alaska and Maine will flip toward Democrats on Tuesday, enough to put the party in a prime position of winning back the upper chamber.  —  DDHQ forecasts that Democrats …
Discussion: NewsMax.com and Political.org
William Kristol / The Bulwark:
It Won't Be a Blue Tsunami.  It'll Be an Orange Crush.  —  One day to go.  Happy Monday.  —  A Time for Voting  —  by William Kristol  —  Abraham Lincoln's second inaugural address is justly famous for the soaring, biblical cadences and the complex philosophical arguments of its great third paragraph.
Nate Cohn / New York Times:
The Final Polls Show a Blue Surge.  Can We Trust Them?  —  New Times/Siena surveys show Democrats leading in all the key battlegrounds that will decide Senate control.  —  Democrats gained ground right to the end in the final New York Times/Siena University polls of the 2026 midterm campaign.
Politico:
AOC's failed Stevens intervention
Discussion: New Republic and New York Times
Semafor:
How Trump's iron grip on the Republican Party put the Senate in play
Discussion: New York Times
Matt Cohen / Democracy Docket:
DOJ points to legal losing streak in bid to toss out Democrats' election interference lawsuit  —  The Department of Justice (DOJ) made a baffling argument when it asked a federal judge to dismiss Democrats' election interference lawsuit*: The department's streak of bruising court losses proves …
Discussion: Bloomberg, Townhall and Crooked Media
RELATED:
Quinta Jurecic / The Atlantic:   DOJ's Try-Anything Approach
Steve Vladeck / One First:
260. Elections and the Base Rate Fallacy
Discussion: NPR and Civil Discourse …
Reuters:
Trump Justice Dept breaks with tradition to intervene in midterms
Discussion: Daily Kos
New York Times:
Haley Stevens Abandons El-Sayed, Endorsing Mike Rogers in Michigan  —  Representative Stevens, who has been in a growing feud with Dr. Abdul El-Sayed, the Democratic Senate nominee in Michigan, appeared together with the Republican nominee, Mike Rogers.  —  Representative Haley Stevens …
RELATED:
New York Post:
Haley Stevens' act of bravery as her party abandons Jewish voters
Semafor:
‘Dumbfounded’: Democrats' chaos in Michigan exposes party's divides
New York Times:
Inside the Abdul El-Sayed-Haley Stevens Meltdown in Michigan
Eric Tucker / Associated Press:
Judge dismisses complaint against 2 ex-FBI officials accused of lying to Congress about Hunter Biden  —  A federal judge on Monday dismissed a criminal complaint against two former FBI officials accused of falsely downplaying their knowledge of a laptop the Justice Department says belonged to Hunter Biden.
RELATED:
Salvador Rizzo / Washington Post:
Judge dismisses charges against FBI agents in Hunter Biden laptop investigation  —  The judge said the Justice Department's effort “cannot be described as anything other than weaponization.”  —  SummaryLoading...  A federal magistrate judge on Monday dismissed a criminal case …
Jon Seidel / WBEZ:
Ex-Chicago FBI boss sues Trump admin saying he was wrongfully blamed for botched ‘Broadview 6’ case  —  Douglas DePodesta's lawsuit, filed Monday, targets the FBI, the Justice Department, Attorney General Todd Blanche, FBI Director Kash Patel and Chicago U.S. Attorney Andrew Boutros.
Adam Serwer / The Atlantic:
The Racism Scam  —  Republicans are stoking hatred.  —  Faced with flagging numbers over an unpopular and unnecessary war in Iran, inflation exacerbated by tariffs, lawless immigration enforcement, and corruption, Republicans have gone back to basics for their closing message: stoking hatred against minority groups.
RELATED:
Erica L. Green / New York Times:   A ‘Pugnacious’ Vance Leans Into Personal Attacks on the Campaign Trail
G. Elliott Morris / Strength In Numbers:
Early vote data shows Latinos, young people, Democrats surging in turnout  —  New voters are younger, more Latino and much less Republican than new voters in 2022  —  THE POLLS HAVE SHOWN for months that Democrats are headed for a big midterm.  And now that final early-voting numbers are in from Texas …
RELATED:
Associated Press:   Voters fear the America they've known is slipping away. On that, the left and right agree
Isaac Arnsdorf / Washington Post:   Republicans count on Election Day turnout despite enthusiasm gap
Politico:
‘A lot of Republicans have held their tongues’: Anger at Trump is growing … Republicans are already privately blaming President Donald Trump as they brace for losses on Tuesday.  —  Even as they race to distance themselves from his actions on tariffs, the unpopular Iran war …
Ben Berkowitz / Axios:
Trump vows to protect Musk, floats pre-emptive staff pardons  —  President Trump said Monday he'd move to protect Elon Musk if Democrats investigate the SpaceX and Tesla CEO after midterm elections.  — He also suggested the possibility of pre-emptive pardons for staff and others around him if Democrats win the election.
RELATED:
Magan Crane / Bloomberg:
Trump Says He Would Offer Pardons to Musk, Aides If Necessary
Matt Gertz / Media Matters for America:
Fox hawks say new Iran strikes are coming “after the midterms”  —  Fox News hawks who suggested in June that President Donald Trump should “slow-walk” the Iran war to preserve the GOP's political standing in the months leading up to the midterms and then resume combat operations after Election …
RELATED:
Judd Legum / Popular Information:
The media blackout of the new rape allegation against Trump  —  On October 26, the Democratic members of the House Judiciary Committee released a report that contains a new, detailed allegation of rape against President Trump.  The committee interviewed Beatrice Keul, a Swiss model who met Trump …
Ana Marie Cox / New Republic:
Weirdly, There's One Blue State the Blue Wave Might Not Reach  —  In this run-up to the midterms, Democrat-Farmer-Labor Party candidate Brad Tabke has knocked on thousands of doors in order to keep his seat as the state representative for Shakopee, Minnesota.  “It's going really well,” he insists.
Sonny Bunch / The Bulwark:
Blue Texas Is a Mirage—Until It Isn't  —  In the reddest of states, a perfect storm offers Democrats their best chance in two generations.  —  Weatherford, Texas  —  “It's not the heat, it's the humidity.”  —  When used to describe the outdoors, this phrase is scary enough.
Discussion: Washington Post
New York Post:
Learjet co-pilot in fatal Florida crash ID'd as Nathalia Gadelha, 20, who got her license in high school  —  PALM SPRINGS, Florida — The doomed Learjet co-pilot heard pleading for help in harrowing air traffic control audio before the fiery Florida crash has been identified as Nathalia Gadelha …
Richard Pollina / New York Post:
Crazed University of Michigan student pushes conservative influencer to the ground in unhinged attack: 'I should've f-king killed you'  —  A lunatic University of Michigan student went berserk and attacked a conservative influencer, shoving her to the ground before being arrested …
RELATED:
Amanda Marcotte / Salon:
Fox News loses its grip on the culture wars  —  Coded bigotry is harder to sell when MAGA gets unfiltered garbage online  —  In any other election cycle, a viral Fox News gaffe would have registered only as a momentary laugh.  Last week, reporter Lucas Tomlinson was covering a South Carolina rally …
Discussion: MS NOW
The Downballot:
Morning Digest: The battlefield makes one last push into unimaginable turf  —  Deep red states and districts that had never looked competitive now have the GOP panicked  —  In the waning days of the 2026 midterms, the electoral battleground has pushed into once unimaginable territory …
 
 
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 More Items: 
Financial Times:
Petrol prices set to hit record high under Trump on eve of US elections
Georgia Clelland / New York Post:
California college caves to woke students by canceling mascot after 90 years
Discussion: Breitbart, American Greatness and SFist
J.B. Shurk / American Thinker:
End the Democrats' Horror Movie
Ryan Devereaux / ProPublica:
Tribal Leaders Warned Border Wall Construction Would Disturb Native American Remains. They Were Right.
Vaughn Hillyard / MS NOW:
Election deniers who have met with Trump urge federal role in midterm vote count
Discussion: The Hill
Paul Krugman:
Oligarchy is on the Ballot  —  Can a handful of plutocrats buy an election?
 Earlier Items: 
Victor Davis Hanson / American Greatness:
Midterm Election Incoherences, Misadventures, and Paradoxes
David R. Lurie / Public Notice:
How Trump destroyed his own dictatorial ambitions
Wall Street Journal:
U.S. Pushes to Restore Russian Gas Sales to Europe Via Ukraine
Discussion: GZERO and Political.org
Alex Isenstadt / Axios:
“Arrogance”: 3 GOP senators blasted over costly red-state rescues
Discussion: Fox News
Washington Post:
Social account linked to former Mike Collins aide posted slurs, calls for violence
Claire Cain Miller / New York Times:
We Called Back Young Men Who Voted for Trump. He's Losing Them.
Associated Press:
All 9 people aboard a jet that crashed in Florida have died, transportation secretary says