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6:20 PM ET, November 2, 2026

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Greg Sargent / New Republic:
Suddenly, MAGA's Biggest Players in the House Are in Danger of Defeat  —  Here's a potentially momentous development for you: The electoral map appears to have deteriorated so badly for Republicans that a number of MAGA's biggest personalities in the House may be on the verge of a loss.
RELATED:
Adam Serwer / The Atlantic:
The Racism Scam  —  Republicans are stoking hatred.  —  Faced with flagging numbers over an unpopular and unnecessary war in Iran, inflation exacerbated by tariffs, lawless immigration enforcement, and corruption, Republicans have gone back to basics for their closing message: stoking hatred against minority groups.
Discussion: The Guardian
Nikki McCann Ramirez / Rolling Stone:
Trump Uses Final Pre-Midterm Speech to Ramble About Reflecting Pool  —  The president would like you to reward him for overhauling Washington, D.C., by voting Republican  —  Donald Trump on Monday delivered his closing argument ahead of the midterm elections.
Jason Lange / Reuters:
Trump approval near record low ahead of elections, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds  —  President Donald Trump's approval rating held near a record low as a broad swath of the US electorate saw their vote in Tuesday's congressional elections as a way to oppose the Republican president, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll completed on Monday.
Discussion: Daily Mail and The Guardian
William Kristol / The Bulwark:
It Won't Be a Blue Tsunami. It'll Be an Orange Crush.
Julia Manchester / The Hill:
Forecasts of midterm blue wave put Trump's legacy on line
Discussion: Financial Times, Roll Call and Townhall
Steven Nelson / New York Post:
Trump renews promise of $5K payout if GOP retains Congress in Midterm eve speech at Lincoln Reflecting Pool
Discussion: Axios, RedState and The Daily Wire
Olivia Reingold / The Free Press:
I Interviewed Haley Stevens at 11 PM on Her Fiancé's Couch.  Here's Why She Broke with Abdul El-Sayed.  —  The Michigan congresswoman says she endorsed Republican Mike Rogers because “I think he loves the country.”  —  Upgrade to Listen  —  HUNTINGTON WOODS, Michigan — “I was like, wait a moment, what am I doing?”
RELATED:
Ed Morrissey / HotAir:
WaPo: Big-Tent Party That Embraced Nazi-Tatted Abuser Draws the Line At ...  Remember when Graham Platner's Nazi tattoo and allegations of domestic abuse required “context” and “redemption”?  Recall when Ro Khanna demanded “grace” from Maine voters?  Good times, good times.
New York Times:
Inside the Abdul El-Sayed-Haley Stevens Meltdown in Michigan
Andrew Childers / Democracy Docket:
Voter intimidation ban doesn't apply to federal government, DOJ claims in shocking new argument  —  A landmark voting rights protection that ensures the right of every American to cast their vote without fear of intimidation does not apply to federal law enforcement, the Department of Justice (DOJ) said in a dangerous new argument.
Discussion: Joe.My.God. and Fox News
RELATED:
Quinta Jurecic / The Atlantic:
DOJ's Try-Anything Approach  —  A wide range of last-minute schemes could seed the idea among Trump's supporters that the election results can't be trusted.  —  In the run-up to the 2024 election, Donald Trump complained that Special Counsel Jack Smith's detailed overview of the evidence …
New York Times:   Grand Jury Rejects Bid by Justice Dept. to Bring Charges Over Voter Fraud
Salvador Rizzo / Washington Post:
Judge dismisses charges against FBI agents in Hunter Biden laptop investigation  —  The judge said the Justice Department's effort “cannot be described as anything other than weaponization.”  —  SummaryLoading...  A federal magistrate judge on Monday dismissed a criminal case …
RELATED:
NBC News:
Judge dismisses case against ex-FBI agents accused on lying to Congress in Hunter Biden probe
Discussion: Townhall, RedState and Roll Call
Andrew Goudsward / Reuters:
Judge dismisses case against ex-FBI officials, says DOJ rushed charges before midterms
Lawrence Hurley / NBC News:
Supreme Court quickly rejects Trump effort to target alleged noncitizen voters in California  —  The Trump administration alleges that about 20,000 noncitizens may be registered to vote in the state, an assertion disputed by the local officials.  —  WASHINGTON — In a loss for President Donald Trump …
RELATED:
Politico:
Chaos and campaigning in the final day before the election
Discussion: Axios, Vox and Democracy Docket
Steve Vladeck / One First:
260. Elections and the Base Rate Fallacy
Discussion: NPR and Civil Discourse …
Jon Seidel / WBEZ:
Ex-Chicago FBI boss sues Trump admin saying he was wrongfully blamed for botched ‘Broadview 6’ case  —  Douglas DePodesta's lawsuit, filed Monday, targets the FBI, the Justice Department, Attorney General Todd Blanche, FBI Director Kash Patel and Chicago U.S. Attorney Andrew Boutros.
RELATED:
Sam Levin / The Guardian:
Ex-FBI chief in Chicago sues DoJ, claiming he was pressured to investigate Trump's foes  —  Douglas DePodesta says he was made ‘scapegoat’ after collapse of case against Broadview Six anti-ICE protesters  —  The former head of the FBI in Chicago has accused the Trump administration of pressuring …
New York Post:
Learjet co-pilot in fatal Florida crash ID'd as Nathalia Gadelha, 20, who got her license in high school  —  PALM SPRINGS, Florida — The doomed Learjet co-pilot heard pleading for help in harrowing air traffic control audio before the fiery Florida crash has been identified as Nathalia Gadelha …
RELATED:
Wall Street Journal:
America's Gulf Allies Prepare for New Round of Strikes on Iran—and the Blowback
Bloomberg:
Khamenei Empowers Talks as Trump Says Iran Deal Could Happen
Discussion: The Guardian and Semafor
Dave Levinthal / The Washington Sun:
Trump Has Gotten Richer — It's Not Going to Republican Campaigns  —  The president hasn't tapped his personal riches to boost his party's odds of controlling Congress.  — Copy  —  President Donald Trump hasn't spent a penny of his 10-figure wealth to boost fellow Republicans this cycle.
RELATED:
Jamison Foser / Finding Gravity:   The GOP's election lies have already begun. Their actions give them away.
Alex Isenstadt / Axios:
“Arrogance”: 3 GOP senators blasted over costly red-state rescues
Discussion: Daily Kos and Fox News
Stephen Wolf / The Downballot:
How Tuesday's elections could lead to the president getting elected by popular vote  —  Democrats need to win just a handful of states to activate a long-awaited agreement  —  Tuesday's elections could have a major—yet largely overlooked—consequence for American democracy …
Erin Reed / Erin In The Morning:
El-Sayed Refused To Hedge On Trans People Again In Hostile 60-Minutes Interview  —  Understand that a failure to show up and fight for that right is a failure to show up and fight for your own … Abdul El-Sayed, the Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in Michigan, has long been a vocal ally to transgender people.
Survey 160:
Survey 160 pre-election surveys in four states  —  By Kevin Collins, Alex Dawahare, Oscar Castorena, and Alejandro Frydman  —  Survey 160's final poll of 2026 focused on four states with elections for both United States Senate and Governor: Kansas, Ohio, Maine, and Minnesota.
Discussion: New York Times
Katherine Plummer / Military.com:
79% of Veterans and Service Members Say Politicians and Society Are Leaving Them Behind: Poll  —  “Active-duty troops are telling us that politicization is pushing them toward the exit.  That's not a talking point; it's a readiness crisis.”  —  Add us on  —  Roughly 79% of veterans …
Discussion: Military Times and New Republic
Bianca Quilantan / Politico:
Judge tosses Trump administration's admissions records lawsuit against Harvard  —  A federal judge on Monday dismissed a Trump administration lawsuit seeking Harvard University's admissions records, the latest win for the Ivy League school in its battle with the White House.
New York Times:
Ken Paxton Campaigns With Free Beer, Trump and a Plea: ‘Pray for Me’  —  Facing an energized Democratic opponent, the Texas attorney general is testing whether party loyalty can overcome voters' reservations about him.  —  Scores of Ken Paxton supporters filled the main dining area …
Discussion: Talking Points Memo
Associated Press:
Kennedy Center names the 2026 honorees as Trump renovation battle moves the show offsite  —  The Kennedy Center said Monday that Paul Anka, David Foster, Andy Garcia, David Mamet and Barbara Mandrell would be recognized at this year's Kennedy Center Honors, which will be held away …
Michael Podhorzer / Weekend Reading:
The Confederate Realignment  —  Note: Much of what follows is drawn from a larger book-length project I've been working on.  Today, I'll offer the core arguments that matter most right now, on the eve of the midterms and at the start of the Roberts Court's new term.
 
 
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 More Items: 
Alex Kaplan / Media Matters for America:
Election denial activists promote dubious database to catch supposed voter fraud
Axios:
Scoop: Senate GOP makes massive bet on streaming
New York Times:
How a Beleaguered U.S. Cyber Agency Retreated From Election Security Work
Discussion: Votebeat and KRDO
Owen Dahlkamp / Politico:
Chaos and campaigning in the final day before the election
Discussion: NewsMax.com and Legal Insurrection
Politico:
No clear challengers for Chuck Schumer's post, barring a midterm catastrophe
Josephine Walker / Axios:
The internet's latest obsession: The end of the world
Discussion: Washington Examiner and Mediaite
 Earlier Items: 
Brian Beutler / Off Message:
29 Thoughts On Election Eve
Julie Ingwersen / Reuters:
Nine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say
Judd Legum / Popular Information:
The media blackout of the new rape allegation against Trump
Ana Marie Cox / New Republic:
Weirdly, There's One Blue State the Blue Wave Might Not Reach
Caroline Vakil / The Hill:
Texas, Alaska, Maine Senate races flip blue on DDHQ map
 

 
From Techmeme:

Apple:
Apple reports Q4 revenue up 12% YoY to $114.48B, vs. $113.39B est., China revenue up 21% to $17.5B, vs. $18.9B est., in John Ternus' first earnings report

Bailey Lipschultz / Bloomberg:
S-1 update: Anthropic reports Q3 revenue up 12x YoY to nearly $17B, a $23.3B net loss, up from $12.1B in Q3 2025, and operating expenses up 292% YoY to $17.5B

Rikiya Takehi:
Researchers say LLMs can be good at natively reading and writing neural network weights; GPT-6 Astra edited Qwen3.5-0.8B's weights to make it better at math
 
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