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9:30 AM ET, November 3, 2026

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Mike Zapler / Axios:
Democrats could learn wrong message from a blowout victory  —  Democrats are poised to romp in today's election — easily winning the House and, according to most forecasts, flipping the Senate too. … Even the GOP has a better brand. … Confusing the two could tempt Democrats to overread …
RELATED:
Politico:
'We forgot what it's like to be populist': Republicans see Trump's 2024 crumbling  —  New results from the POLITICO Poll show that one in 10 Trump voters are planning to vote for Democrats on Tuesday.  —  Republicans' 2024 coalition is cracking in real time.
Discussion: The Independent
G. Elliott Morris / FiftyPlusOne:
The final polls and race ratings show a late shift toward Democrats  —  The party has gained ground in the generic ballot and several key Senate races, according to both the polls and expert handicappers  —  G. Elliott Morris, FiftyPlusOne, and Katie Marriner
Susan B. Glasser / New Yorker:
Finally, the Beginning of Trump's End  —  In recent decades, the second terms of American Presidents have not ended well.  Ronald Reagan had the Iran-Contra affair; Bill Clinton, after attempting to cover up his affair with a former intern, became the first chief executive impeached since the mid-nineteenth century.
Politico:
‘The Armageddon of all elections’  —  With help from Eli Okun, Ali Bianco and Irie Sentner  —  THAT'S HOW THE COALITION CRUMBLES: If you're looking for a sign of how dire the environment looks for Republicans in November 2026, stark new results from The POLITICO Poll show the bloc …
Jonathan Martin / Politico:
Republicans Can Blame Trump for Their Midterm Woes … When it becomes clear Tuesday night or Wednesday morning that Republicans have taken “a thumper,” to borrow Bill Clinton's phrase, President Donald Trump will lunge for scapegoats.  —  Trump will claim Republican candidates should have embraced …
Discussion: Wall Street Journal
Kyle Cheney / Politico:
Election Day in America  —  Voters are taking to the polls in a midterm election that will define the future of both parties.  —  ‘He is the threat’: Dem AGs brace for Trump moves after polls close  —  They've spent months “war gaming” and “table-topping” for this moment.
Discussion: Truthout
Glenn Kessler / MS NOW:
I've spent years fact-checking Trump.  Here are 5 election claims he's already making — and the facts undercutting them.  —  Consistency has never been President Donald Trump's strong suit, but he has been consistent about one thing: If Republicans do poorly in Tuesday's midterm elections …
Annabella Rosciglione / The Daily Beast:
Election ‘Nostradamus’ Reveals Final Midterm Prediction … Presidential guru Allan Lichtman has revealed his final prediction on the upcoming midterm election.  —  With President Donald Trump and the GOP's approval rating at historic lows, Lichtman, who correctly predicted …
Discussion: The Spectator
Mona Charen / The Bulwark:
Trump Was Right. He Is on the Ballot.
Michael Podhorzer / Weekend Reading:   The Confederate Realignment  —  Note: Much of what follows is drawn from a larger book-length project I've been working on.
John F. Harris / Politico:   The Told-You-So Primary Starts Tomorrow
Wall Street Journal:
U.S. Strikes Iran's Qeshm Island as Trump Talks Down War Risks  —  Trump told reporters Monday 'we haven't been doing any fighting for months'  —  The U.S. attacked Iran's Qeshm Island on Monday, U.S. officials said, in the latest of a series of limited strikes Washington has secretly carried …
RELATED:
New York Times:
U.S. Military Strikes Iran's Qeshm Island in What U.S. Officials Call a Defensive Measure  —  The action was limited, the officials said, with no immediate plans to escalate.  The strikes come on the eve of the midterm elections.  —  The U.S. military struck Iran's Qeshm Island on Monday …
Shawn McCreesh / New York Times:
Trump Delivers a Closing Midterm Message.  Mostly About Landscaping.  —  On the eve of the election, the president held forth in great detail on columns, drain pipes and granite at the newly refilled Reflecting Pool.  —  President Trump was standing in front of the Reflecting Pool on Monday afternoon …
RELATED:
Wall Street Journal:
Trump Surprises Republicans With Election Eve Speech About Reflecting Pool
Associated Press:
Live updates: Supreme Court rejects Trump's push for California to set aside thousands of disputed mail ballots
Mira Bhakta / The Hill:
Stevens shares rationale for endorsing Rogers over El-Sayed  —  Rep. Haley Stevens (D-Mich.) shared her rationale for her recent decision to endorse former Rep. Mike Rogers (R-Mich.) over Democrat Abdul El-Sayed in the state's contested Senate race, citing campaign ads, among other reasons.
RELATED:
Olivia Reingold / The Free Press:
I Interviewed Haley Stevens at 11 PM on Her Fiancé's Couch. Here's Why She Broke with Abdul El-Sayed.
E. Lansing / US Department of Justice:
DOJ To Monitor Elections in All 50 States for First Time  —  For Immediate Release  —  One of the Department of Justice's (DOJ) most important missions is ensuring election integrity, supporting free and fair elections, and protecting the right to vote for U.S. citizens across the United States.
Discussion: CNBC, Axios, Reuters, Fox News and NBC News
RELATED:
RELATED:
Sophie Austin / Associated Press:
California could become the first state to tax billionaires' wealth
Discussion: France 24 and The Independent
Miles Klee / Wired:
The Online Right's Closing Campaign Argument: Fascist Anakin Skywalker Memes  —  With Democrats poised to make significant gains in Tuesday's midterm elections, Trump supporters have been reduced to posting bizarre Star Wars fan fiction.  —  If you quit checking X months ago …
Discussion: Gizmodo and Reason
Don Moynihan / Can We Still Govern?:
Accountability Day for Musk?  —  Can American government live up to the Spider-man principle?  —  Democracy depends upon a simple rule, what we might call the Spider-Man principle: with great power comes great responsibility.  And responsibility in a democracy includes accountability …
Discussion: Raw Story
Lisa Needham / Public Notice:
James O'Keefe's Minnesota stunt backfires spectacularly  —  The fraud came from inside the house. … Well, well, well.  —  Do you think those cringy scammers, James O'Keefe and Cam Higby, have enjoyed being hoisted by their own petard, as it were?  Hennepin County Attorney Mary Moriarty …
Politico:
Election Day in America  —  Voters are taking to the polls in a midterm election that will define the future of both parties.  —  Trump admin's win short-lived as appeals court restores DOJ restrictions overnight  —  In a rush of overnight activity, a federal appeals court left …
Discussion: Bloomberg
Oliver Darcy / Status:
Murdochs' MAGA Math … The analyst, Michael Morris of Guggenheim Securities, pressed Murdoch about the staggering ratings declines Fox News is experiencing ahead of the midterm elections—a troubling trend for the pro-MAGA network that Status first reported on last week.
Ellie Quinlan Houghtaling / New Republic:
Pete Hegseth Makes Over Half the Military Want to Quit Early … The Trump administration's hyperpoliticized military environment apparently has thousands of active-duty military members looking toward the exit.  —  A survey by Common Defense Civic Engagement, a grassroots veterans organization …
New York Post:
Mamdani raises eyebrows with new look, ditching beard and sporting surprising mustache  —  Stache the rich!  —  Mayor Zohran Mamdani debuted an hair-raising new look over the weekend — ditching his signature beard in favor of a striking mustache.  —  But the socialist's shaving shake …
G. Elliott Morris / Strength In Numbers:
FINAL forecast: a blue wave, or a blue tsunami?  —  Democrats lead the final polls and the early vote.  Here's what to watch on Tuesday to see who's winning before everyone else … At this point, it is statistically undeniable that Democrats are set up for a big election night.
Lawrence Hurley / NBC News:
Supreme Court quickly rejects Trump effort to target alleged noncitizen voters in California  —  The Trump administration alleges that about 20,000 noncitizens may be registered to vote in the state, an assertion disputed by the local officials.  —  WASHINGTON — In a loss for President Donald Trump …
Zeteo:
How Elon Musk Bought the Midterms.  We Did the Math  —  Musk has spent $474 million to help Trump and the GOP win the midterms.  For everyday Americans, it's the equivalent of buying a few IMAX tickets or a DoorDash dinner for two.  —  ∙ Paid  —  Elon Musk, the world's richest man …
Discussion: MS NOW and New York Times
 
 
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 More Items: 
Judd Legum / Popular Information:
$1.4 billion in dark money
Discussion: The Guardian and New York Times
Ta-Nehisi Coates / Vanity Fair:
Ta-Nehisi Coates on Haley Stevens, Abdul El-Sayed, and the Right's “Campaign of Hate”
Ken Burns / New York Times:
Why I'm Optimistic About the Midterms  —  There have been three great crises in American history …
Jonathan Levin / Bloomberg:
The Dollar Is Reasserting Itself as the King of Global Finance
New York Times:
For Midterms Night, a TV Schedule Overflowing With Options
more at Mediagazer »
Lydia DePillis / New York Times:
William Nordhaus Has Died. Nobelist Influenced Climate Policy.
 Earlier Items: 
Jesse Wegman / New York Times:
Justice Kagan Sounds an Alarm About the Court
Discussion: MS NOW and National Review
Axios:
GOP's midterm blame game starts early
William Vaillancourt / The Daily Beast:
Why Trump Is Entering His Worst-Ever Doom Spiral: Political Guru
New York Times:
Trump Administration Said to Plan Rolling Back Pregnancy-Related Job Protections
Discussion: Joe.My.God.
New York Times:
Grand Jury Rejects Bid by Justice Dept. to Bring Charges Over Voter Fraud
Discussion: Joe.My.God.
 

 
From Mediagazer:

Blake Brittain / Reuters:
The NYT, the New York Daily News, and others sue browser maker Brave for allegedly scraping their articles for AI training and letting users bypass paywalls

Adam Chitwood / The Wrap:
Cinemark and Regal won't show Netflix's Cliff Booth, a two-week Imax release; Cinemark says the release model isn't “constructive” for the theatrical ecosystem

New York Times:
A profile of Laura Belin, an openly liberal Iowa journalist long shut out by state Republicans who says Democrats also favor friendly influencers over reporters
 
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