Top Items:
Mike Zapler / Axios:
Democrats could learn wrong message from a blowout victory — Democrats are poised to romp in today's election — easily winning the House and, according to most forecasts, flipping the Senate too. … Even the GOP has a better brand. … Confusing the two could tempt Democrats to overread …
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G. Elliott Morris / FiftyPlusOne:
The final polls and race ratings show a late shift toward Democrats — The party has gained ground in the generic ballot and several key Senate races, according to both the polls and expert handicappers — G. Elliott Morris, FiftyPlusOne, and Katie Marriner
Discussion:
MS NOW, Paul Krugman, Political.org and Newsweek
Susan B. Glasser / New Yorker:
Finally, the Beginning of Trump's End — In recent decades, the second terms of American Presidents have not ended well. Ronald Reagan had the Iran-Contra affair; Bill Clinton, after attempting to cover up his affair with a former intern, became the first chief executive impeached since the mid-nineteenth century.
Politico:
'We forgot what it's like to be populist': Republicans see Trump's 2024 crumbling — New results from the POLITICO Poll show that one in 10 Trump voters are planning to vote for Democrats on Tuesday. — Republicans' 2024 coalition is cracking in real time.
Discussion:
The Independent
Politico:
‘The Armageddon of all elections’ — With help from Eli Okun, Ali Bianco and Irie Sentner — THAT'S HOW THE COALITION CRUMBLES: If you're looking for a sign of how dire the environment looks for Republicans in November 2026, stark new results from The POLITICO Poll show the bloc …
Jonathan Martin / Politico:
Republicans Can Blame Trump for Their Midterm Woes … When it becomes clear Tuesday night or Wednesday morning that Republicans have taken “a thumper,” to borrow Bill Clinton's phrase, President Donald Trump will lunge for scapegoats. — Trump will claim Republican candidates should have embraced …
Discussion:
Wall Street Journal
Glenn Kessler / MS NOW:
I've spent years fact-checking Trump. Here are 5 election claims he's already making — and the facts undercutting them. — Consistency has never been President Donald Trump's strong suit, but he has been consistent about one thing: If Republicans do poorly in Tuesday's midterm elections …
Discussion:
KSTP-TV, The Guardian, CBS News, Democracy Docket and Votebeat
Kyle Cheney / Politico:
Election Day in America — Voters are taking to the polls in a midterm election that will define the future of both parties. — ‘He is the threat’: Dem AGs brace for Trump moves after polls close — They've spent months “war gaming” and “table-topping” for this moment.
Discussion:
Truthout
Annabella Rosciglione / The Daily Beast:
Election ‘Nostradamus’ Reveals Final Midterm Prediction
Discussion:
The Spectator
Mona Charen / The Bulwark:
Trump Was Right. He Is on the Ballot.
Trump Was Right. He Is on the Ballot.
Discussion:
Financial Times and Associated Press
Nicole Belcastro / The Washington Sun:
‘Prepare Yourself’: Election Day Doomsday Messages Hit a Crescendo
‘Prepare Yourself’: Election Day Doomsday Messages Hit a Crescendo
Discussion:
Charlie Cook Politics, Archive of Political Emails and Washington Post
John F. Harris / Politico:
The Told-You-So Primary Starts Tomorrow
Michael Podhorzer / Weekend Reading:
The Confederate Realignment — Note: Much of what follows is drawn from a larger book-length project I've been working on.
Greg Sargent / New Republic:
Suddenly, MAGA's Biggest Players in the House Are in Danger of Defeat
Suddenly, MAGA's Biggest Players in the House Are in Danger of Defeat
Discussion:
Washington Examiner, New York Post, Radio Iowa, The Independent and GZERO
Wall Street Journal:
U.S. Strikes Iran's Qeshm Island as Trump Talks Down War Risks — Trump told reporters Monday 'we haven't been doing any fighting for months' — The U.S. attacked Iran's Qeshm Island on Monday, U.S. officials said, in the latest of a series of limited strikes Washington has secretly carried …
Discussion:
Washington Post, Mediaite, The Free Press, Stars & Stripes, Breitbart, CNN, Semafor, Foreign Policy, RedState, Reuters, CBS News, Forbes, The Guardian, New York Post, The Hill, Joe.My.God., Vox, Associated Press and Bloomberg
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New York Times:
U.S. Military Strikes Iran's Qeshm Island in What U.S. Officials Call a Defensive Measure — The action was limited, the officials said, with no immediate plans to escalate. The strikes come on the eve of the midterm elections. — The U.S. military struck Iran's Qeshm Island on Monday …
Discussion:
NBC News, Straight Arrow, Meidas+, CBS News, The Hill, Associated Press, Al Jazeera, Political.org, France 24, NewsMax.com, Mediaite, Reuters, Fox News and Middle East Monitor
Lara Jakes / New York Times:
Why Trump Often Mentioned Iran in the Midterm Campaign
Discussion:
Reuters, New York Post, Washington Post, CBS News, France 24 and IJR News
E. Lansing / US Department of Justice:
DOJ To Monitor Elections in All 50 States for First Time — For Immediate Release — One of the Department of Justice's (DOJ) most important missions is ensuring election integrity, supporting free and fair elections, and protecting the right to vote for U.S. citizens across the United States.
Discussion:
Democracy Docket, Axios, Reuters, Fox News and NBC News
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Politico:
Election Day in America — Voters are taking to the polls in a midterm election that will define the future of both parties. — Trump admin's win short-lived as appeals court restores DOJ restrictions overnight — In a rush of overnight activity, a federal appeals court left …
Discussion:
Bloomberg
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Jacob Knutson / Democracy Docket:
Ninth Circuit wipes out ruling allowing Trump administration to threaten election officials — The 9th Circuit Court of Appeals canceled a prior order that briefly permitted the Trump administration to threaten to prosecute state and local election officials who do not follow the department's directives for handling ballots.
Discussion:
Fox News
Mira Bhakta / The Hill:
Stevens shares rationale for endorsing Rogers over El-Sayed — Rep. Haley Stevens (D-Mich.) shared her rationale for her recent decision to endorse former Rep. Mike Rogers (R-Mich.) over Democrat Abdul El-Sayed in the state's contested Senate race, citing campaign ads, among other reasons.
Discussion:
Washington Post, Wall Street Journal, Joe.My.God., New York Post, Al Jazeera, Washington Examiner, HuffPost, The Daily Wire, Deseret News, Fox News, Rolling Stone, Townhall, CNN, Vox, Axios and PoliticusUSA
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Laura Beveridge / Washington Post:
Cook says El-Sayed is favored to win in Michigan despite Stevens's defection
Cook says El-Sayed is favored to win in Michigan despite Stevens's defection
Discussion:
Newsweek, Fox News, NewsMax.com, Mediaite and HuffPost
New York Post:
Michigan Dems join Haley Stevens in abandoning Abdul El-Sayed on Election Day eve: ‘Consider voting a split ticket’
Michigan Dems join Haley Stevens in abandoning Abdul El-Sayed on Election Day eve: ‘Consider voting a split ticket’
Discussion:
Informed Comment, RedState, The Wrap, MS NOW, 930 WFMD Free Talk and The Daily Caller
Olivia Reingold / The Free Press:
I Interviewed Haley Stevens at 11 PM on Her Fiancé's Couch. Here's Why She Broke with Abdul El-Sayed.
I Interviewed Haley Stevens at 11 PM on Her Fiancé's Couch. Here's Why She Broke with Abdul El-Sayed.
Discussion:
Wall Street Journal, CNN, The Washington Sun, RedState, Townhall, New York Post, MS NOW, The Atlantic, New York Magazine, New Republic, HotAir, The Hill, Newsbusters, The Daily Wire, The Guardian, CBS News, NBC News and Daily Mail
G. Elliott Morris / Strength In Numbers:
2026 ELECTION DAY LIVE BLOG — What to follow on Election Day and how to watch results come in, Strength In Numbers style — Intro — Welcome to the Strength In Numbers Election Day live blog! This page is your one-stop shop for all things data-driven commentary on Election Day 2026.
Discussion:
The Downballot
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G. Elliott Morris / Strength In Numbers:
FINAL forecast: a blue wave, or a blue tsunami?
Shawn McCreesh / New York Times:
Trump Delivers a Closing Midterm Message. Mostly About Landscaping. — On the eve of the election, the president held forth in great detail on columns, drain pipes and granite at the newly refilled Reflecting Pool. — President Trump was standing in front of the Reflecting Pool on Monday afternoon …
Discussion:
New York Post, Financial Times, HuffPost, The Washington Sun, Rolling Stone, Axios, Mediaite, Puck, PoliticusUSA, NBC News, Forbes, Washington Examiner, MS NOW, Joe.My.God., The Gateway Pundit and Semafor
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Lisa Needham / Public Notice:
James O'Keefe's Minnesota stunt backfires spectacularly — The fraud came from inside the house. … Well, well, well. — Do you think those cringy scammers, James O'Keefe and Cam Higby, have enjoyed being hoisted by their own petard, as it were? Hennepin County Attorney Mary Moriarty …
Discussion:
UNICORN RIOT and The Gateway Pundit
Miles Klee / Wired:
The Online Right's Closing Campaign Argument: Fascist Anakin Skywalker Memes — With Democrats poised to make significant gains in Tuesday's midterm elections, Trump supporters have been reduced to posting bizarre Star Wars fan fiction. — If you quit checking X months ago …
Don Moynihan / Can We Still Govern?:
Accountability Day for Musk? — Democracy depends upon a simple rule, what we might call the Spider-Man principle: with great power comes great responsibility. And responsibility in a democracy includes accountability: answering for actions taken using public power and resources.
Discussion:
Silver Bulletin and Raw Story
Bret Stephens / New York Times:
What a Vote for Abdul El-Sayed Means — On a recent visit to Temple Israel in West Bloomfield Township, Mich., I heard from someone who described the state's U.S. Senate race this year as a choice either against antisemitism or for democracy. — What he meant was that a vote for Mike Rogers …
Discussion:
Washington Examiner, Jewish Telegraphic Agency and The Gateway Pundit
Ellie Quinlan Houghtaling / New Republic:
Pete Hegseth Makes Over Half the Military Want to Quit Early … The Trump administration's hyperpoliticized military environment apparently has thousands of active-duty military members looking toward the exit. — A survey by Common Defense Civic Engagement, a grassroots veterans organization …
Discussion:
Military Times, The Hill and Military.com
Oliver Darcy / Status:
Murdochs' MAGA Math … The analyst, Michael Morris of Guggenheim Securities, pressed Murdoch about the staggering ratings declines Fox News is experiencing ahead of the midterm elections—a troubling trend for the pro-MAGA network that Status first reported on last week.
Discussion:
Joe.My.God., Los Angeles Times, KRDO, Barrett Media and The Hollywood Reporter, more at Mediagazer »
Ben Finley / Associated Press:
Trump says US will halt $4B in aid to Israel as the Mideast ally shifts to buying military hardware — The United States will stop providing $4 billion in aid each year to Israel in 2027 but will sell arms to its closest ally in the Middle East, President Donald Trump said on Tuesday.
Discussion:
The Hill, New York Post, Fox News, Associated Press, Political.org, The Independent, Al Jazeera and News Talk 105.9 WMAL-FM
Mike Catalini / Associated Press:
When will we know who controls Congress? It could be a while — The stakes in Tuesday's election — which party will control Congress — are crystal clear. But when that will be known is impossible to say. — The Associated Press will be calling races in all 435 House districts …
Discussion:
New York Post, The Independent, Political.org and KSTP-TV
Ken Burns / New York Times:
Why I'm Optimistic About the Midterms — There have been three great crises in American history: the Civil War, perhaps the defining event in our history after the Revolution itself, the Great Depression and World War II. These events tested our republic and our resolve in fundamental ways …


