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11:00 AM ET, November 3, 2026

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Mike Zapler / Axios:
Democrats could learn wrong message from a blowout victory  —  Democrats are poised to romp in today's election — easily winning the House and, according to most forecasts, flipping the Senate too. … Even the GOP has a better brand. … Confusing the two could tempt Democrats to overread …
RELATED:
The Bulwark:
The Alex Pretti Election  —  Plus: Vivek Ramaswamy's closing harangue.  —  It's Election Day, and boy, do we have election coverage for you: Tim, Sarah, and JVL will kick off our election night broadcast at 7:00 p.m. EST on Substack, YouTube, Facebook, and Twitch.
G. Elliott Morris / FiftyPlusOne:
The final polls and race ratings show a late shift toward Democrats  —  The party has gained ground in the generic ballot and several key Senate races, according to both the polls and expert handicappers  —  G. Elliott Morris, FiftyPlusOne, and Katie Marriner
G. Elliott Morris / Strength In Numbers:
2026 ELECTION DAY LIVE BLOG  —  What to follow on Election Day and how to watch results come in, Strength In Numbers style  —  Intro  —  Welcome to the Strength In Numbers Election Day live blog!  This page is your one-stop shop for all things data-driven commentary on Election Day 2026.
Discussion: The Downballot
Politico:
'We forgot what it's like to be populist': Republicans see Trump's 2024 crumbling  —  New results from the POLITICO Poll show that one in 10 Trump voters are planning to vote for Democrats on Tuesday.  —  Republicans' 2024 coalition is cracking in real time.
Discussion: CBS News and The Independent
Susan B. Glasser / New Yorker:
Finally, the Beginning of Trump's End  —  In recent decades, the second terms of American Presidents have not ended well.  Ronald Reagan had the Iran-Contra affair; Bill Clinton, after attempting to cover up his affair with a former intern, became the first chief executive impeached since the mid-nineteenth century.
Jonathan Martin / Politico:
Republicans Are About to Pay for Trump's Mistakes … When it becomes clear Tuesday night or Wednesday morning that Republicans have taken “a thumper,” to borrow Bill Clinton's phrase, President Donald Trump will lunge for scapegoats.  —  Trump will claim Republican candidates should have embraced him more …
Politico:   ‘The Armageddon of all elections’  —  With help from Eli Okun, Ali Bianco and Irie Sentner
G. Elliott Morris / Strength In Numbers:   FINAL forecast: a blue wave, or a blue tsunami?
Mona Charen / The Bulwark:
Trump Was Right. He Is on the Ballot.
Discussion: Financial Times
Annabella Rosciglione / The Daily Beast:
Election ‘Nostradamus’ Reveals Final Midterm Prediction
Discussion: The Spectator
Kyle Cheney / Politico:
Election Day in America  —  Voters are taking to the polls in a midterm election that will define the future of both parties.
Discussion: Truthout
Ali Swenson / Associated Press:
Election Day arrives after a surge in early voting, with observers keeping close watch at the polls
Charles Lane / Washington Post:
The GOP's midterms meltdown has one author
Michael Podhorzer / Weekend Reading:   The Confederate Realignment  —  Note: Much of what follows is drawn from a larger book-length project I've been working on.
E. Lansing / US Department of Justice:
DOJ To Monitor Elections in All 50 States for First Time  —  For Immediate Release  —  One of the Department of Justice's (DOJ) most important missions is ensuring election integrity, supporting free and fair elections, and protecting the right to vote for U.S. citizens across the United States.
RELATED:
Jacob Knutson / Democracy Docket:
Ninth Circuit wipes out ruling allowing Trump administration to threaten election officials  —  The 9th Circuit Court of Appeals canceled a prior order that briefly permitted the Trump administration to threaten to prosecute state and local election officials who do not follow the department's directives for handling ballots.
Discussion: Fox News
Dan Mangan / CNBC:
Trump DOJ election lawsuits and monitors loom over 2026 midterms
Discussion: Political.org
Politico:
Election Day in America  —  Voters are taking to the polls in a midterm election that will define the future of both parties.
Discussion: Bloomberg
Lawrence Hurley / NBC News:
Supreme Court quickly rejects Trump effort to target alleged noncitizen voters in California
Wall Street Journal:
U.S. Strikes Iran's Qeshm Island as Trump Talks Down War Risks  —  Trump told reporters Monday 'we haven't been doing any fighting for months'  —  The U.S. attacked Iran's Qeshm Island on Monday, U.S. officials said, in the latest of a series of limited strikes Washington has secretly carried …
RELATED:
NBC News:
U.S. military carries out limited strikes on Iran's Qeshm Island, U.S. officials say
SB Sarah / Smart Bitches, Trashy BooksSmart Bitches …:
The New York Times Terminates Contract with Romance Columnist Olivia Waite After Bluesky Repost  —  Please be advised that the following article discusses rape allegations.  —  ...  The New York Times has terminated their contract with author Olivia Waite, their romance columnist …
Ben Finley / Associated Press:
Trump says US will halt $4B in aid to Israel as the Mideast ally shifts to buying military hardware  —  The United States will stop providing $4 billion in aid each year to Israel in 2027 but will sell arms to its closest ally in the Middle East, President Donald Trump said on Tuesday.
RELATED:
Bret Stephens / New York Times:
What a Vote for Abdul El-Sayed Means  —  On a recent visit to Temple Israel in West Bloomfield Township, Mich., I heard from someone who described the state's U.S. Senate race this year as a choice either against antisemitism or for democracy.  —  What he meant was that a vote for Mike Rogers …
Lisa Needham / Public Notice:
James O'Keefe's Minnesota stunt backfires spectacularly  —  The fraud came from inside the house. … Well, well, well.  —  Do you think those cringy scammers, James O'Keefe and Cam Higby, have enjoyed being hoisted by their own petard, as it were?  Hennepin County Attorney Mary Moriarty …
Discussion: UNICORN RIOT
Ken Burns / New York Times:
Why I'm Optimistic About the Midterms  —  There have been three great crises in American history: the Civil War, perhaps the defining event in our history after the Revolution itself, the Great Depression and World War II.  These events tested our republic and our resolve in fundamental ways …
Shawn McCreesh / New York Times:
Trump Delivers a Closing Midterm Message.  Mostly About Landscaping.  —  On the eve of the election, the president held forth in great detail on columns, drain pipes and granite at the newly refilled Reflecting Pool.  —  President Trump was standing in front of the Reflecting Pool on Monday afternoon …
RELATED:
Wall Street Journal:
Trump Surprises Republicans With Election Eve Speech About Reflecting Pool
Michelle Del Rey / The Washington Sun:
Ballot Scanners Fail Across New York's Westchester County  —  The New York Attorney General's Office said it is monitoring a widespread technical issue with ballot scanning machines in Westchester County that may force the county's election workers to count votes by hand.
Miles Klee / Wired:
The Online Right's Closing Campaign Argument: Fascist Anakin Skywalker Memes  —  With Democrats poised to make significant gains in Tuesday's midterm elections, Trump supporters have been reduced to posting bizarre Star Wars fan fiction.  —  If you quit checking X months ago …
Discussion: Gizmodo and Reason
Ellie Quinlan Houghtaling / New Republic:
Pete Hegseth Makes Over Half the Military Want to Quit Early … The Trump administration's hyperpoliticized military environment apparently has thousands of active-duty military members looking toward the exit.  —  A survey by Common Defense Civic Engagement, a grassroots veterans organization …
Marc Caputo / Axios:
Fired general accused of being source for Wall Street Journal, NYT  —  The Pentagon's former top military planner is under federal investigation and may face a court-martial for allegedly leaking to reporters from the Wall Street Journal and New York Times, according to three sources familiar with the controversy.
Discussion: Mediaite
Sidney Blumenthal / The Guardian:
Trump's midterm campaign has distilled his vile message  —  The president has spewed vulgar and hateful rhetoric even as he reveals his disdain for his followers  —  Far from veering off his track, Trump in his ceaselessly vile midterm campaign statements has attained an optimal level of Trumpism.
 
 
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 More Items: 
David Nir / The Downballot:
Morning Digest: Join us for our election night livestream!
Discussion: Survey 160
Judd Legum / Popular Information:
$1.4 billion in dark money
Discussion: The Guardian and New York Times
Ta-Nehisi Coates / Vanity Fair:
Ta-Nehisi Coates on Haley Stevens, Abdul El-Sayed, and the Right's “Campaign of Hate”
Don Moynihan / Can We Still Govern?:
Accountability Day for Musk?  —  Democracy depends upon a simple rule, what we might call …
Discussion: Silver Bulletin and Raw Story
Jonathan Levin / Bloomberg:
The Dollar Is Reasserting Itself as the King of Global Finance
New York Times:
For Midterms Night, a TV Schedule Overflowing With Options
more at Mediagazer »
 Earlier Items: 
Mira Bhakta / The Hill:
Stevens shares rationale for endorsing Rogers over El-Sayed
Jesse Wegman / New York Times:
Justice Kagan Sounds an Alarm About the Court
Discussion: Reuters, MS NOW, Slate and National Review
Axios:
GOP's midterm blame game starts early
William Vaillancourt / The Daily Beast:
Why Trump Is Entering His Worst-Ever Doom Spiral: Political Guru
New York Post:
Mamdani raises eyebrows with new look, ditching beard and sporting surprising mustache
 

 
From Mediagazer:

Blake Brittain / Reuters:
The NYT, the New York Daily News, and others sue browser maker Brave for allegedly scraping their articles for AI training and letting users bypass paywalls

Adam Chitwood / The Wrap:
Cinemark and Regal won't show Netflix's Cliff Booth, a two-week Imax release; Cinemark says the release model isn't “constructive” for the theatrical ecosystem

New York Times:
A profile of Laura Belin, an openly liberal Iowa journalist long shut out by state Republicans who says Democrats also favor friendly influencers over reporters
 
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