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3:20 PM ET, November 3, 2026

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Mike Zapler / Axios:
Democrats could learn wrong message from a blowout victory  —  Democrats are poised to romp in today's election — easily winning the House and, according to most forecasts, flipping the Senate too. … Even the GOP has a better brand. … Confusing the two could tempt Democrats to overread …
RELATED:
Andrew Egger / The Bulwark:
The Alex Pretti Election  —  It's Election Day, and boy, do we have election coverage for you: Tim, Sarah, and JVL will kick off our election night broadcast at 7:00 p.m. EST on Substack, YouTube, Facebook, and Twitch.  Sam and the rest of the Bulwark team will carry us through the night as results come in across the country.
G. Elliott Morris / FiftyPlusOne:
The final polls and race ratings show a late shift toward Democrats  —  The party has gained ground in the generic ballot and several key Senate races, according to both the polls and expert handicappers  —  G. Elliott Morris, FiftyPlusOne, and Katie Marriner
Jonathan Martin / Politico:
Republicans Are About to Pay for Trump's Mistakes … When it becomes clear Tuesday night or Wednesday morning that Republicans have taken “a thumper,” to borrow Bill Clinton's phrase, President Donald Trump will lunge for scapegoats.  —  Trump will claim Republican candidates should have embraced him more …
Politico:
'We forgot what it's like to be populist': Republicans see Trump's 2024 crumbling  —  New results from the POLITICO Poll show that one in 10 Trump voters are planning to vote for Democrats on Tuesday.  —  Republicans' 2024 coalition is cracking in real time.
Will Bunch / The Philadelphia Inquirer:
Vote for the lives of immigrants who can't vote
Discussion: El País
Susan B. Glasser / New Yorker:   Finally, the Beginning of Trump's End
Politico:   ‘The Armageddon of all elections’  —  With help from Eli Okun, Ali Bianco and Irie Sentner
SB Sarah / Smart Bitches, Trashy BooksSmart Bitches …:
The New York Times Terminates Contract with Romance Columnist Olivia Waite After Bluesky Repost  —  Please be advised that the following article discusses rape allegations.  —  ...  The New York Times has terminated their contract with author Olivia Waite, their romance columnist …
Discussion: Lawyers, Guns & Money
New York Times:
Google Will Turn Off Search for Schools That Reject A.I.  —  Google is making it easier to restrict its A.I. tools for students.  But schools that block A.I. entirely will lose student access to Google's search engine.  —  Google announced Tuesday that early next year it would turn off …
E. Lansing / US Department of Justice:
DOJ To Monitor Elections in All 50 States for First Time  —  For Immediate Release  —  One of the Department of Justice's (DOJ) most important missions is ensuring election integrity, supporting free and fair elections, and protecting the right to vote for U.S. citizens across the United States.
RELATED:
New York Times:
Israeli Claims of Iranian Chemical Weapons Divide U.S. Officials  —  Some administration officials suggested Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is trying to draw President Trump back into military action.  —  Israel has shared intelligence with the United States asserting that Iran is considering …
RELATED:
Wall Street Journal:
U.S. Strikes Iran's Qeshm Island as Trump Talks Down War Risks
New York Times:
U.S. Military Strikes Iran's Qeshm Island in What U.S. Officials Call a Defensive Measure
Kyle Cheney / Politico:
Pardoned Jan. 6 defendant facing new charges for threatening DC federal judges … Now Cleveland Meredith is facing new federal charges for allegedly threatening to murder the federal judges who presided over his — and thousands of other — criminal cases stemming from the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol.
Discussion: Mediaite, New Republic and Newsweek
RELATED:
Gavin J. Quinton / The Washington Sun:
Justice Department Bars Jack Smith From Testifying in Trump's BBC Lawsuit
Discussion: Variety
Alexander Smith / NBC News:
U.S. will stop $4B in aid to Israel at the end of the year, Trump says  —  “The left uses the $4 billion payment that everybody knows about ... as a signal of unfairness, and we can't allow that to happen,” the president said.  —  President Donald Trump said Tuesday that he has made a deal …
RELATED:
David E. Sanger / New York Times:
Trump Says U.S. to End $4 Billion in Aid to Israel in Favor of New Deal
Discussion: Daily Mail
Ben Finley / Associated Press:
Trump says US will halt $4B in aid to Israel as the Mideast ally shifts to buying military hardware
Glenn Thrush / New York Times:
Justice Dept. Sends Target Letters to Democrats in Escalation of Alaska Inquiry  —  The move is a highly unusual action to take at the decisive moment in a close race between the incumbent, Dan Sullivan, and his Democrat rival, Mary Peltola.  —  The Justice Department is intensifying …
Herb Scribner / Axios:
Voting machine chaos hits key House battleground  —  Voting machines across New York's Westchester County are rejecting paper ballots on Election Day, raising concerns about potential delays in one of the nation's most competitive House races. … - The Board of Elections said it is speaking …
RELATED:
Michelle Del Rey / The Washington Sun:
Ballot Scanners Fail Across New York's Westchester County
G. Elliott Morris / Strength In Numbers:
2026 ELECTION DAY LIVE BLOG  —  What to follow on Election Day and how to watch results come in, Strength In Numbers style  —  Intro  —  Welcome to the Strength In Numbers Election Day live blog!  This page is your one-stop shop for all things data-driven commentary on Election Day 2026.
Discussion: The Downballot
Jacob Rosen / CBS News:
Oklahoma man charged with mailing letters with white powder to hundreds of officials  —  Washington — An Oklahoma man faces federal charges after allegedly sending hundreds of letters containing white powder to public officials and media outlets ahead of both the 2024 and 2026 elections.
RELATED:
Ted Widmer / The Guardian:
America has been witnessing the worst speeches in presidential history  —  The US has seen plenty of terrible speeches over the centuries.  But Trump's midterm rallies are a new low  —  In a sense, history has already been made.  We do not know the result of the election yet …
Ken Burns / New York Times:
Why I'm Optimistic About the Midterms  —  There have been three great crises in American history: the Civil War, perhaps the defining event in our history after the Revolution itself, the Great Depression and World War II.  These events tested our republic and our resolve in fundamental ways …
Discussion: The Hill
Lisa Needham / Public Notice:
James O'Keefe's Minnesota stunt backfires spectacularly  —  The fraud came from inside the house. … Well, well, well.  —  Do you think those cringy scammers, James O'Keefe and Cam Higby, have enjoyed being hoisted by their own petard, as it were?  Hennepin County Attorney Mary Moriarty …
Discussion: The Mahablog and UNICORN RIOT
Marc Caputo / Axios:
Fired general accused of being source for Wall Street Journal, NYT  —  The Pentagon's former top military planner is under federal investigation and may face a court-martial for allegedly leaking to reporters from the Wall Street Journal and New York Times, according to three sources familiar with the controversy.
Discussion: NewsMax.com and Mediaite
Bret Stephens / New York Times:
What a Vote for Abdul El-Sayed Means  —  On a recent visit to Temple Israel in West Bloomfield Township, Mich., I heard from someone who described the state's U.S. Senate race this year as a choice either against antisemitism or for democracy.  —  What he meant was that a vote for Mike Rogers …
Jared Mitovich / Wall Street Journal:
Susan Collins's Office Vandalized Overnight  —  PRESQUE ISLE, Maine—The Biddeford office of Republican Sen. Susan Collins was vandalized overnight for the second time in the past two months.  —  Vandals poured a pool of red paint and scrawled “BLOOD on her HANDS” on the front steps to the office …
RELATED:
Kelsey Brugger / Politico:
Election Day in America  —  Voters are taking to the polls in a midterm election that will define the future of both parties.
Jessica Piper / Politico:
Election Day in America  —  Voters are taking to the polls in a midterm election that will define the future of both parties.  —  What time do the polls close?  When we'll start getting key election results.  —  The first polls of the midterms will close at 6 p.m. on the East Coast …
The Atlantic:
The Election Deniers Are in Retreat  —  Standing next to Donald Trump at a rally in 2022, Pennsylvania State Treasurer Stacy Garrity told the crowd that Trump had “won” the 2020 election.  Garrity is now running for governor—and she has a very different view of the contest …
Dan Primack / Axios:
Prediction markets have a lot riding on the blue wave  —  Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket officially don't care which side of a bet wins.  — There is no “house.” … Even if that feels counterintuitive. … It bestowed credibility at a time when public trust in traditional polling had cratered.
Discussion: NewsMax.com, The Guardian and Variety
Edward Wong / New York Times:
Trump Pushes Venezuela for Agreement Allowing U.S. Troops to Stay  —  The two countries have long been adversaries, and the United States attacked Venezuela this year, but Secretary of State Marco Rubio is starting talks on a legal agreement.  —  The Trump administration is negotiating …
Alex Isenstadt / Axios:
Inside the White House's Election Day messaging strategy … - “There is nobody who has worked harder than President Trump,” the document states, pointing to his rallies and tele-town halls across the country.  — The document says Trump and Vice President Vance have held more than 50 rallies since …
 
 
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 More Items: 
Sam Sabin / Axios:
States secure vote after federal pullback
Discussion: New York Times and Scripps News
Brian Beutler / Off Message:
What We Should Hear From The Winners Tonight
Discussion: Puck
Hudson Crozier / Washington Examiner:
Alaska PAC accused of sending voter guide replacing Sen. Dan Sullivan with spoiler candidate
Discussion: NewsMax.com and PolitiFact
Chloe Taylor / CNBC:
Trump is going to get ‘trounced’ in the midterms — and knows it, Anthony Scaramucci tells CNBC
Discussion: The Independent
Jacob Wendler / Politico:
K Street's $7 million midterms bet
Sara Fischer / Axios:
Trump vanishes from GOP campaign ads
Discussion: MS NOW
 Earlier Items: 
Sidney Blumenthal / The Guardian:
Trump's midterm campaign has distilled his vile message
Ta-Nehisi Coates / Vanity Fair:
Ta-Nehisi Coates on Haley Stevens, Abdul El-Sayed, and the Right's “Campaign of Hate”
Don Moynihan / Can We Still Govern?:
Accountability Day for Musk?  —  Democracy depends upon a simple rule, what we might call …
Discussion: Silver Bulletin and Raw Story
Miles Klee / Wired:
The Online Right's Closing Campaign Argument: Fascist Anakin Skywalker Memes
Discussion: Salon, Gizmodo and Reason
Ellie Quinlan Houghtaling / New Republic:
Pete Hegseth Makes Over Half the Military Want to Quit Early
 

 
From Techmeme:

Jeff John Roberts / Fortune:
Binance says North Korean hackers stole $6.3B through a months-long scheme with fake LinkedIn job interviews and an ad campaign to deliver malicious software

Tom Wilson / Financial Times:
The UK NCSC says AI is “transforming cyber operations” and expects China and Russia to “routinely use AI cyber to achieve their geopolitical goals” by 2028

Michael Acton / Financial Times:
Apple expects Q1 revenue to rise 7%-10% YoY, above 6% est., and gross margins of 45%-46%, below 47% est., as John Ternus says memory pricing “is unprecedented”
 
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