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2:20 PM ET, November 3, 2026

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Mike Zapler / Axios:
Democrats could learn wrong message from a blowout victory  —  Democrats are poised to romp in today's election — easily winning the House and, according to most forecasts, flipping the Senate too. … Even the GOP has a better brand. … Confusing the two could tempt Democrats to overread …
RELATED:
Andrew Egger / The Bulwark:
The Alex Pretti Election  —  It's Election Day, and boy, do we have election coverage for you: Tim, Sarah, and JVL will kick off our election night broadcast at 7:00 p.m. EST on Substack, YouTube, Facebook, and Twitch.  Sam and the rest of the Bulwark team will carry us through the night as results come in across the country.
G. Elliott Morris / FiftyPlusOne:
The final polls and race ratings show a late shift toward Democrats  —  The party has gained ground in the generic ballot and several key Senate races, according to both the polls and expert handicappers  —  G. Elliott Morris, FiftyPlusOne, and Katie Marriner
Politico:
'We forgot what it's like to be populist': Republicans see Trump's 2024 crumbling  —  New results from the POLITICO Poll show that one in 10 Trump voters are planning to vote for Democrats on Tuesday.  —  Republicans' 2024 coalition is cracking in real time.
Will Bunch / The Philadelphia Inquirer:
Vote for the lives of immigrants who can't vote  —  One of the joys, or perils, of a weekly Tuesday newsletter is coming out every year on Election Day, right when the world is on hold for those 13 or so hours the polls are open.  If you live, as I do, in a corner of Pennsylvania without …
Discussion: El País
Jonathan Martin / Politico:
Republicans Are About to Pay for Trump's Mistakes … When it becomes clear Tuesday night or Wednesday morning that Republicans have taken “a thumper,” to borrow Bill Clinton's phrase, President Donald Trump will lunge for scapegoats.  —  Trump will claim Republican candidates should have embraced him more …
Discussion: Axios and MM Press
Susan B. Glasser / New Yorker:
Finally, the Beginning of Trump's End  —  In recent decades, the second terms of American Presidents have not ended well.  Ronald Reagan had the Iran-Contra affair; Bill Clinton, after attempting to cover up his affair with a former intern, became the first chief executive impeached since the mid-nineteenth century.
The Atlantic:
The Election Deniers Are in Retreat
Discussion: Talking Points Memo and Votebeat
Sara Fischer / Axios:
Trump vanishes from GOP campaign ads
Discussion: MS NOW
Politico:   ‘The Armageddon of all elections’  —  With help from Eli Okun, Ali Bianco and Irie Sentner
SB Sarah / Smart Bitches, Trashy BooksSmart Bitches …:
The New York Times Terminates Contract with Romance Columnist Olivia Waite After Bluesky Repost  —  Please be advised that the following article discusses rape allegations.  —  ...  The New York Times has terminated their contract with author Olivia Waite, their romance columnist …
Discussion: Lawyers, Guns & Money
E. Lansing / US Department of Justice:
DOJ To Monitor Elections in All 50 States for First Time  —  For Immediate Release  —  One of the Department of Justice's (DOJ) most important missions is ensuring election integrity, supporting free and fair elections, and protecting the right to vote for U.S. citizens across the United States.
RELATED:
Nikki McCann Ramirez / Rolling Stone:
Trump Deploys Election Monitors to Battleground Polling Places
New York Times:
Google Will Turn Off Search for Schools That Reject A.I.  —  Google is making it easier to restrict its A.I. tools for students.  But schools that block A.I. entirely will lose student access to Google's search engine.  —  Google announced Tuesday that early next year it would turn off …
New York Times:
Israeli Claims of Iranian Chemical Weapons Divide U.S. Officials  —  Some administration officials suggested Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is trying to draw President Trump back into military action.  —  Israel has shared intelligence with the United States asserting that Iran is considering …
RELATED:
Wall Street Journal:
U.S. Strikes Iran's Qeshm Island as Trump Talks Down War Risks
New York Times:
U.S. Military Strikes Iran's Qeshm Island in What U.S. Officials Call a Defensive Measure
Alexander Smith / NBC News:
U.S. will stop $4B in aid to Israel at the end of the year, Trump says  —  “The left uses the $4 billion payment that everybody knows about ... as a signal of unfairness, and we can't allow that to happen,” the president said.  —  President Donald Trump said Tuesday that he has made a deal …
RELATED:
Ben Finley / Associated Press:
Trump says US will halt $4B in aid to Israel as the Mideast ally shifts to buying military hardware
G. Elliott Morris / Strength In Numbers:
2026 ELECTION DAY LIVE BLOG  —  What to follow on Election Day and how to watch results come in, Strength In Numbers style  —  Intro  —  Welcome to the Strength In Numbers Election Day live blog!  This page is your one-stop shop for all things data-driven commentary on Election Day 2026.
Discussion: The Downballot
RELATED:
G. Elliott Morris / Strength In Numbers:   FINAL forecast: a blue wave, or a blue tsunami?
Michelle Del Rey / The Washington Sun:
Ballot Scanners Fail Across New York's Westchester County  —  The New York Attorney General's Office said it is monitoring a widespread technical issue with ballot scanning machines in Westchester County that may force the county's election workers to count votes by hand.
RELATED:
Kelsey Brugger / Politico:
Election Day in America  —  Voters are taking to the polls in a midterm election that will define the future of both parties.  —  Collins' office vandalized on Election Eve  —  BANGOR, MAINE - Sen. Susan Collins' Biddeford office was vandalized overnight for the second time in a month …
Discussion: Scripps News and Fox News
RELATED:
Jared Mitovich / Wall Street Journal:
Susan Collins's Office Vandalized Overnight
Discussion: NewsMax.com and The Maine Wire
Gavin J. Quinton / The Washington Sun:
Justice Department Bars Jack Smith From Testifying in Trump's BBC Lawsuit  —  The BBC wants to question the former special counsel about the president's role in Jan. 6.  — Copy  —  The Justice Department has refused to give former special counsel Jack Smith permission to testify …
Discussion: Variety
RELATED:
Kyle Cheney / Politico:
Pardoned Jan. 6 defendant facing new charges for threatening DC federal judges
Discussion: Newsweek and Mediaite
Lisa Needham / Public Notice:
James O'Keefe's Minnesota stunt backfires spectacularly  —  The fraud came from inside the house. … Well, well, well.  —  Do you think those cringy scammers, James O'Keefe and Cam Higby, have enjoyed being hoisted by their own petard, as it were?  Hennepin County Attorney Mary Moriarty …
Discussion: The Mahablog and UNICORN RIOT
Marc Caputo / Axios:
Fired general accused of being source for Wall Street Journal, NYT  —  The Pentagon's former top military planner is under federal investigation and may face a court-martial for allegedly leaking to reporters from the Wall Street Journal and New York Times, according to three sources familiar with the controversy.
Discussion: NewsMax.com and Mediaite
Ken Burns / New York Times:
Why I'm Optimistic About the Midterms  —  There have been three great crises in American history: the Civil War, perhaps the defining event in our history after the Revolution itself, the Great Depression and World War II.  These events tested our republic and our resolve in fundamental ways …
Bret Stephens / New York Times:
What a Vote for Abdul El-Sayed Means  —  On a recent visit to Temple Israel in West Bloomfield Township, Mich., I heard from someone who described the state's U.S. Senate race this year as a choice either against antisemitism or for democracy.  —  What he meant was that a vote for Mike Rogers …
Dan Primack / Axios:
Prediction markets have a lot riding on the blue wave  —  Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket officially don't care which side of a bet wins.  — There is no “house.” … Even if that feels counterintuitive. … It bestowed credibility at a time when public trust in traditional polling had cratered.
Discussion: NewsMax.com, The Guardian and Variety
Alex Isenstadt / Axios:
Inside the White House's Election Day messaging strategy … - “There is nobody who has worked harder than President Trump,” the document states, pointing to his rallies and tele-town halls across the country.  — The document says Trump and Vice President Vance have held more than 50 rallies since …
Sam Sabin / Axios:
States secure vote after federal pullback  —  State officials have largely taken securing the 2026 midterm elections into their own hands after nearly two years of federal program and funding cuts during the second Trump administration. … - Nearly all U.S. elections maintain paper records …
Discussion: New York Times and Scripps News
Jessica Piper / Politico:
Election Day in America  —  Voters are taking to the polls in a midterm election that will define the future of both parties.  —  What time do the polls close?  When we'll start getting key election results.  —  The first polls of the midterms will close at 6 p.m. on the East Coast …
Associated Press:
Man charged with mailing hundreds of letters containing powder to officials ahead of the election  —  Federal authorities have charged an Oklahoma man with sending hundreds of letters containing nonhazardous white powder to public officials ahead of the 2024 and 2026 elections.
Sidney Blumenthal / The Guardian:
Trump's midterm campaign has distilled his vile message  —  The president has spewed vulgar and hateful rhetoric even as he reveals his disdain for his followers  —  Far from veering off his track, Trump in his ceaselessly vile midterm campaign statements has attained an optimal level of Trumpism.
 
 
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 More Items: 
Ted Widmer / The Guardian:
America has been witnessing the worst speeches in presidential history
Brian Beutler / Off Message:
What We Should Hear From The Winners Tonight
Hudson Crozier / Washington Examiner:
Alaska PAC accused of sending voter guide replacing Sen. Dan Sullivan with spoiler candidate
Discussion: NewsMax.com, PolitiFact and Joe Hoft
Martin Beckford / Daily Mail:
Jail threat if you insist a human can't be a cat: Absurdity of Labour's ‘unworkable’ gay and trans Bill
Discussion: Louder With Crowder
Chloe Taylor / CNBC:
Trump is going to get ‘trounced’ in the midterms — and knows it, Anthony Scaramucci tells CNBC
Discussion: The Independent
Jacob Wendler / Politico:
K Street's $7 million midterms bet
 Earlier Items: 
Ta-Nehisi Coates / Vanity Fair:
Ta-Nehisi Coates on Haley Stevens, Abdul El-Sayed, and the Right's “Campaign of Hate”
Don Moynihan / Can We Still Govern?:
Accountability Day for Musk?  —  Democracy depends upon a simple rule, what we might call …
Discussion: Silver Bulletin and Raw Story
Miles Klee / Wired:
The Online Right's Closing Campaign Argument: Fascist Anakin Skywalker Memes
Discussion: Salon, Gizmodo and Reason
Ellie Quinlan Houghtaling / New Republic:
Pete Hegseth Makes Over Half the Military Want to Quit Early
 

 
From Mediagazer:

Aisha Malik / TechCrunch:
Netflix begins rolling out an “AI Discover” tab on TVs in the US, starting with a feature that offers recommendations based on a user's mood

Blake Brittain / Reuters:
The NYT, the New York Daily News, and others sue browser maker Brave for allegedly scraping their articles for AI training and letting users bypass paywalls

Thomas Buckley / Bloomberg:
Sources: Disney eyes laying off thousands, asking some managers to target 20% in annual cost savings, which could come from job cuts and expense reductions
 
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