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6:40 PM ET, January 18, 2010

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
David Catanese / The Politico:
New poll: Coakley ‘in freefall’  —  A new InsiderAdvantage poll conducted exclusively for POLITICO shows Republican Scott Brown surging to a 9-point advantage over Martha Coakley a day before Massachusetts voters trek to the ballot box to choose a new senator.
RELATED:
MyFox Boston:
Poll: Scott Brown surges to double-digit lead over Martha Coakley  —  BOSTON (FOX25, myfoxboston) - A poll released a day before the special Senate race shows Senator Scott Brown surging to a double-digit lead over Attorney General Martha Coakley in the race for the open Massachusetts Senate seat.
Charles Franklin / Pollster.com All Content:
What to believe about Massachusetts Senate Polls  —  There has been a wider than normal range of polling results in the last two weeks from the Massachusetts Senate special election.  This has been further clouded by a number of leaked internal polls and polling by relatively unknown and unproven pollsters …
The Rothenberg / The Rothenberg Political Report:
MA Sen Moved to Lean Takeover  —  While special elections often come down to turnout - and they therefore are more difficult to predict than normal elections - the combination of public and private survey research and anecdotal information now strongly suggests that Republican Scott Brown …
Robert Kuttner / The Huffington Post:
A Wake Up Call  —  How could the health care issue have turned from a reform that was going to make Barack Obama ten feet tall into a poison pill for Democratic senators?  Whether or not Martha Coakley squeaks through in Massachusetts on Tuesday, the health bill has already done incalculable political damage and will likely do more.
Grant Bosse / Watchdog News:
Snow Day In Boston: Phone Banks Empty.  —  (BOSTON, MA) On the eve of one of the most anticipated state elections in modern American history, it's still a day off for Massachusetts state employees.  The Secretary of the Commonwealth's Office in downtown B oston is closed to the public for Martin Luther King Day.
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
Trendspotting in Massachusetts  —  Charles Franklin has a typically articulate analysis up at Pollster.com which comes to a somewhat different conclusion than mine about the state of play in Massachusetts.  His analysis works by lumping polls together into different bundles (e.g. “non-partisan” …
Joseph Curl / Washington Times:
Irish bookie pays off Brown bets early
Tom Jensen / Public Policy Polling:
Massachusetts Senate Poll
John Garvey / Boston Herald:
Disdains Scott Brown's conscience
RELATED:
ABCNEWS:
Read the Secret ‘Jesus’ Messages on U.S. Military Weapons  —  Gun sights used in Iraq and Afghanistan have coded Bible references.  —  PHOTOS: Christian Scopes  —  In August of 2005 Trijicon was awarded a $660 million dollar, multi-year contract to provide up to 800,000 …
Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:
Is There An X Factor?  —  It seems pretty clear now that the plan if Martha Coakley loses tomorrow is to get the House to pass the Senate bill with a promise of revisions in a separate bill, to be passed in the Senate through the reconciliation process.  But here's the frightening question …
RELATED:
Political Punch:
Martha Coakley: A Democratic Canary in a Coalmine?
Discussion: The Note and ABCNEWS
Scott Horton / Harper's:
The Guantánamo “Suicides”: A Camp Delta sergeant blows the whistle  —  1. “Asymmetrical Warfare”  —  When President Barack Obama took office last year, he promised to “restore the standards of due process and the core constitutional values that have made this country great.”
Alexander Burns / The Politico:
VP: Constitution ‘on its head’  —  Five U.S. senators attend a hearing on Afghanistan on Capitol Hill on Dec. 8, 2009.  AP  —  Vice President Joe Biden said at a Florida fundraiser Sunday that the 60-seat threshold for passing legislation in the Senate put a dangerous new roadblock in the way of American government.
Discussion: BuzzFlash.org and Weasel Zippers
RELATED:
Ben Smith / Ben Smith's Blog:
Biden derides supermajority rule
Discussion: Washington Monthly
E.J. Dionne Jr / Washington Post:
Mass. Senate race's lesson for Obama  —  In June 2008, a few months before the financial implosions began, I asked two smart financiers who happened to be Republican about the future of the seemingly shaky American economy.  —  Defying the moment's conventional predictions …
Paul Krugman / New York Times:
What Didn't Happen  —  Lately many people have been second-guessing the Obama administration's political strategy.  The conventional wisdom seems to be that President Obama tried to do too much — in particular, that he should have put health care on one side and focused on the economy.  —  I disagree.
 
 
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 More Items: 
Andrew Sullivan / The Daily Dish:
A Looming Landslide For Brown
Discussion: The New Republic
CNN:
Brown expects to head to DC quickly if he wins
Edward Wong / New York Times:
Foreign Journalists in Beijing Hit by E-Mail Hackers
Discussion: CNET News and Gawker
Dexter Filkins / New York Times:
Militants Launch Bold Attack in Kabul
Brian Faughnan / The Daily Caller:
Carville Poll: Only 1/3 of voters support Barack Obama's national health-care plan
Discussion: Hot Air and RedState
 Earlier Items: 
William Booth / Washington Post:
Haiti's elite spared from much of the devastation
Ben Smith / Ben Smith's Blog:
Closing with Obama in Mass.
Rachel E. Stassen-Berger / Minneapolis Star Tribune:
Coleman says he's not going to run for governor
Michael O'Brien / The Hill:
Gun control group gives Obama failing grade; says it's been disappointing year
Discussion: AMERICAblog News and The Page