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9:05 PM ET, January 18, 2010

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
David Catanese / The Politico:
New poll: Brown up 9  —  A new InsiderAdvantage poll conducted exclusively for POLITICO shows Republican Scott Brown surging to a 9-point advantage over Martha Coakley a day before Massachusetts voters trek to the ballot box to choose a new senator.  —  According to the survey conducted Sunday evening …
RELATED:
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
538 Model Posits Brown as 3:1 Favorite  —  The FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecasting Model, which correctly predicted the outcome of all 35 Senate races in 2008, now regards Republican Scott Brown as a 74 percent favorite to win the Senate seat in Massachusetts on the basis of new polling from ARG …
MyFox Boston:
Poll: Scott Brown surges to double-digit lead over Martha Coakley  —  BOSTON (FOX25, myfoxboston) - A poll released a day before the special Senate race shows Senator Scott Brown surging to a double-digit lead over Attorney General Martha Coakley in the race for the open Massachusetts Senate seat.
Boston Globe:
Sen. Kerry says Scott Brown supporters engaged in bullying, threats  —  Brown greeting supporters on Main Street in North Andover.  Kerry says some supporters have gone too far.  —  By Martin Finucane, Globe Staff  —  Massachusetts Senator John F.Kerry is calling on Republican Scott Brown …
Mike Allen / The Politico:
Obama plans combative turn  —  President Barack Obama plans a combative response if, as White House aides fear, Democrats lose Tuesday's special Senate election in Massachusetts, close advisers say.  —  “This is not a moment that causes the president or anybody who works for him to express any doubt …
Charles Franklin / Pollster.com All Content:
What to believe about Massachusetts Senate Polls  —  There has been a wider than normal range of polling results in the last two weeks from the Massachusetts Senate special election.  This has been further clouded by a number of leaked internal polls and polling by relatively unknown and unproven pollsters …
Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:
Is There An X Factor?  —  It seems pretty clear now that the plan if Martha Coakley loses tomorrow is to get the House to pass the Senate bill with a promise of revisions in a separate bill, to be passed in the Senate through the reconciliation process.  But here's the frightening question …
Steve Kornacki:
Coakley internals: +1, with a catch  —  There is a report that Martha Coakley's internals for Sunday night put her ahead by two points, 48 to 46 percent.  For what it's worth, my little birdie tells me that her Sunday night poll put her ahead by one point and that the three-night average for Friday …
The Rothenberg / The Rothenberg Political Report:
MA Sen Moved to Lean Takeover  —  While special elections often come down to turnout - and they therefore are more difficult to predict than normal elections - the combination of public and private survey research and anecdotal information now strongly suggests that Republican Scott Brown …
Joseph Curl / Washington Times:
Irish bookie pays off Brown bets early
Fox News:
Voter Enthusiasm a Problem for Coakley, Polls Suggest
Discussion: The Jawa Report
Ben Smith / Ben Smith's Blog:
Coakley invokes King: ‘Tomorrow we act on the dream’
The Note:
Pelosi: We Will Have Health Care - One Way Or Another  —  ABC News' Jonathan Karl reports: Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi says Democrats will charge ahead with health care reform regardless of what happens in the Massachusetts Senate race.  —  “Let's remove all doubt, we will have health care …
RELATED:
New York Times:
Democrats Seeking to Push Health Bill Through House  —  WASHINGTON — The White House and Democratic Congressional leaders, scrambling for a backup plan to rescue their health care legislation if Republicans win the special election in Massachusetts on Tuesday, have begun laying the groundwork …
Discussion: Hot Air and AmSpecBlog
Jane Hamsher / Firedoglake:
Should Dems Give the Money Back If They Don't Keep Their Public Option Pledge?
Steve Benen / Washington Monthly:
THE BACKUP PLAN.... No one can say with confidence what voters …
ABCNEWS:
U.S. Military Weapons Inscribed With Secret ‘Jesus’ Bible Codes  —  Pentagon Supplier for Rifle Sights Says It Has ‘Always’ Added New Testament References  —  Coded references to New Testament Bible passages about Jesus Christ are inscribed on high-powered rifle sights provided …
RELATED:
Scott Horton / Harper's:
The Guantánamo “Suicides”: A Camp Delta sergeant blows the whistle  —  1. “Asymmetrical Warfare”  —  When President Barack Obama took office last year, he promised to “restore the standards of due process and the core constitutional values that have made this country great.”
Andrew Sullivan / The Daily Dish:
A Looming Landslide For Brown  —  Democrats can stop hoping at this point.  —  I can see no alternative scenario but a huge - staggeringly huge - victory for the FNC/RNC machine tomorrow.  They crafted a strategy of total oppositionism to anything Obama proposed a year ago.
Discussion: The New Republic
Jeff Zelenyand Jackie Calmes / The Caucus:
Obama to Deliver State of the Union Address Jan. 27  —  .  —  Update |  6:49 p.m. President Obama will deliver his first State of the Union address on Jan. 27.  —  The White House announced Monday afternoon that the president would speak to a joint session of Congress next Wednesday at 9 p.m.
Discussion: Online NewsHour
RELATED:
Walter Alarkon / The Hill:
Obama to give State of the Union speech on Wednesday, Jan. 27
Discussion: The Swamp
 
 
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 More Items: 
William A. Jacobson / Le·gal In·sur·rec· tion:
Brown Hometown Rally Tonight (Pics)
Discussion: Instapundit
New York Times:
How Retirees Saved the Banks
Discussion: The Moderate Voice
Chicago Tribune:
Facebook group 'I'm With Coco' plans rally outside NBC Tower …
Discussion: The Huffington Post
David Saltonstall / NY Daily News:
Harold Ford, mulling an NY Senate run, says Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand is ‘weak’
CNN:
Brown expects to head to DC quickly if he wins
 Earlier Items: 
Edward Wong / New York Times:
Foreign Journalists in Beijing Hit by E-Mail Hackers
Discussion: CNET News and Gawker
Brian Faughnan / The Daily Caller:
Carville Poll: Only 1/3 of voters support Barack Obama's national health-care plan
Discussion: RedState and Hot Air
Alexander Burns / The Politico:
VP: Constitution ‘on its head’
Discussion: BuzzFlash.org and Weasel Zippers