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8:10 PM ET, January 18, 2010

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
David Catanese / The Politico:
New poll: Brown up 9  —  A new InsiderAdvantage poll conducted exclusively for POLITICO shows Republican Scott Brown surging to a 9-point advantage over Martha Coakley a day before Massachusetts voters trek to the ballot box to choose a new senator.  —  According to the survey conducted Sunday evening …
RELATED:
MyFox Boston:
Poll: Scott Brown surges to double-digit lead over Martha Coakley  —  BOSTON (FOX25, myfoxboston) - A poll released a day before the special Senate race shows Senator Scott Brown surging to a double-digit lead over Attorney General Martha Coakley in the race for the open Massachusetts Senate seat.
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
538 Model Posits Brown as 3:1 Favorite  —  The FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecasting Model, which correctly predicted the outcome of all 35 Senate races in 2008, now regards Republican Scott Brown as a 74 percent favorite to win the Senate seat in Massachusetts on the basis of new polling from ARG …
Boston Globe:
Sen. Kerry says Scott Brown supporters engaged in bullying, threats  —  Brown greeting supporters on Main Street in North Andover.  Kerry says some supporters have gone too far.  —  By Martin Finucane, Globe Staff  —  Massachusetts Senator John F.Kerry is calling on Republican Scott Brown …
Charles Franklin / Pollster.com All Content:
What to believe about Massachusetts Senate Polls  —  There has been a wider than normal range of polling results in the last two weeks from the Massachusetts Senate special election.  This has been further clouded by a number of leaked internal polls and polling by relatively unknown and unproven pollsters …
The Rothenberg / The Rothenberg Political Report:
MA Sen Moved to Lean Takeover  —  While special elections often come down to turnout - and they therefore are more difficult to predict than normal elections - the combination of public and private survey research and anecdotal information now strongly suggests that Republican Scott Brown …
Jim Hoft / Gateway Pundit:
AWESOME... Scott Brown Responds to Elitist Obama's Attack on Truck Owners  —  Republican Scott Brown has been running ads in Massachusetts where he is out driving around in his old pickup truck while campaigning for US Senator.  Brown released this ad on January 3.
Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:
Is There An X Factor?  —  It seems pretty clear now that the plan if Martha Coakley loses tomorrow is to get the House to pass the Senate bill with a promise of revisions in a separate bill, to be passed in the Senate through the reconciliation process.  But here's the frightening question …
Steve Kornacki:
Coakley internals: +1, with a catch  —  There is a report that Martha Coakley's internals for Sunday night put her ahead by two points, 48 to 46 percent.  For what it's worth, my little birdie tells me that her Sunday night poll put her ahead by one point and that the three-night average for Friday …
Joseph Curl / Washington Times:
Irish bookie pays off Brown bets early  —  BOSTON —With 24 hours to go before Massachusetts' special election for a U.S. Senate seat, an Irish bookie already has paid off bettors who wagered that state Sen. Scott Brown, a conservative Republican, would win the seat held for nearly 50 years by liberal Democratic icon Edward M. Kennedy.
Grant Bosse / Watchdog News:
Snow Day In Boston: Phone Banks Empty.  —  (BOSTON, MA) On the eve of one of the most anticipated state elections in modern American history, it's still a day off for Massachusetts state employees.  The Secretary of the Commonwealth's Office in downtown B oston is closed to the public for Martin Luther King Day.
Joe Garofoli / SFGate:
Pelosi: Whatever happens in MA Senate race, health care will pass (VIDEO)
Fox News:
Voter Enthusiasm a Problem for Coakley, Polls Suggest
Discussion: The Jawa Report
John Garvey / Boston Herald:
Disdains Scott Brown's conscience
The Note:
Pelosi: We Will Have Health Care - One Way Or Another  —  ABC News' Jonathan Karl reports: Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi says Democrats will charge ahead with health care reform regardless of what happens in the Massachusetts Senate race.  —  “Let's remove all doubt, we will have health care …
Discussion: Ben Smith's Blog
RELATED:
Mike Allen / The Politico:
Obama plans combative turn
Discussion: Gawker and Weasel Zippers
Walter Alarkon / The Hill:
Obama to give State of the Union speech on Wednesday, Jan. 27
Discussion: The Swamp
Jeff Zelenyand Jackie Calmes / The Caucus:
Obama to Deliver State of the Union Address Jan. 27
Discussion: Online NewsHour
RELATED:
Scott Horton / Harper's:
The Guantánamo “Suicides”: A Camp Delta sergeant blows the whistle  —  1. “Asymmetrical Warfare”  —  When President Barack Obama took office last year, he promised to “restore the standards of due process and the core constitutional values that have made this country great.”
Andrew Sullivan / The Daily Dish:
A Looming Landslide For Brown  —  Democrats can stop hoping at this point.  —  I can see no alternative scenario but a huge - staggeringly huge - victory for the FNC/RNC machine tomorrow.  They crafted a strategy of total oppositionism to anything Obama proposed a year ago.
Discussion: The New Republic
Robert Kuttner / The Huffington Post:
A Wake Up Call  —  How could the health care issue have turned from a reform that was going to make Barack Obama ten feet tall into a poison pill for Democratic senators?  Whether or not Martha Coakley squeaks through in Massachusetts on Tuesday, the health bill has already done incalculable political damage and will likely do more.
Paul Krugman / New York Times:
What Didn't Happen  —  Lately many people have been second-guessing the Obama administration's political strategy.  The conventional wisdom seems to be that President Obama tried to do too much — in particular, that he should have put health care on one side and focused on the economy.  —  I disagree.
 
 
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 More Items: 
New York Times:
How Retirees Saved the Banks
Discussion: The Moderate Voice
Chicago Tribune:
Facebook group 'I'm With Coco' plans rally outside NBC Tower …
Discussion: The Huffington Post
Jane Hamsher / Firedoglake:
Should Dems Give the Money Back If They Don't Keep Their Public Option Pledge?
David Saltonstall / NY Daily News:
Harold Ford, mulling an NY Senate run, says Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand is ‘weak’
CNN:
Brown expects to head to DC quickly if he wins
 Earlier Items: 
Edward Wong / New York Times:
Foreign Journalists in Beijing Hit by E-Mail Hackers
Discussion: CNET News and Gawker
Brian Faughnan / The Daily Caller:
Carville Poll: Only 1/3 of voters support Barack Obama's national health-care plan
Discussion: Hot Air and RedState
Ben Smith / Ben Smith's Blog:
Closing with Obama in Mass.
Alexander Burns / The Politico:
VP: Constitution ‘on its head’
Discussion: BuzzFlash.org and Weasel Zippers