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2:36 AM ET, November 2, 2010

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
5 Reasons Democrats Could Beat the Polls and Hold the House  —  It was hard to pinpoint exactly when in the night things started to go wrong.  But at some point, a trash can was knocked over in John Boehner's office in the Rayburn House Office Building.  A half-hour later on the other side of town …
RELATED:
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
House Forecast: G.O.P. Plus 54-55 Seats; Significantly Larger or Smaller Gains Possible  —  Republicans are well-positioned to win control of the House of Representatives in tomorrow's elections, and quite possibly to achieve the largest gain made by either party in a Congressional election since World War II.
Benjamin Sarlin / The Daily Beast:
A Midterm Flashback  —  As you may have noticed, we at The Daily Beast have been busily digging into coverage of blowouts past for historical parallels to tomorrow's election.  I wanted to highlight one little gem from the news archives as we head into the final day of the midterms.
Discussion: Firedoglake
The Cook / NationalJournal.com:
The Cook Report Issues Final Forecast: GOP Gains 50 to 60 Seats in the House  —  In its final forecast for the election cycle, The Cook Political Report expects a gain for Republicans of 50 to 60 seats in the House, with six to eight seats in the Senate.  Below are the final outlooks and latest ratings changes.
RELATED:
Michael O'Brien / The Hill:
Top Democrat says party faces ‘bloodbath’ on Election Day  —  Democrats could be facing a political “bloodbath” tomorrow if the polling is accurate, the third-ranking House Democrat said Monday.  —  House Majority Whip James Clyburn (D-S.C.) said Democrats must show up in full force on Nov. 2 …
Allahpundit / Hot Air:
Jim Geraghty and Jay Cost: How does a 70+ seat pick-up tomorrow sound?  —  Alternate headline: “Pessimistic eeyoreblogger thisclose to a nervous breakdown.” … Cost actually isn't predicting a 70+ pick-up, merely noting that according to another statistician's regression analysis …
Jim Geraghty / National Review:
Election 2010 Predictions: The House
Discussion: The Daily Beast
Jonathan Strong / The Daily Caller:
Palin pounds ‘puppy-kicking’ Politico for heavy use of anonymous sources  —  On Monday, former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin mocked her media detractors - Politico, specifically — as “puppy-kicking, chain-smoking porn producers” for their heavy use of anonymous sources in a quote as memorable as Spiro Agnew's …
RELATED:
Alexander Mooney / CNN:
TRENDING: Palin: Politico report is ‘crap’  —  (CNN) - Sarah Palin is making clear she's no fan of Politico - the news organization that published a story Sunday night quoting anonymous Republican sources saying GOP leaders will try to forestall a Palin White House bid.
The Huffington Post:
President Obama To Do Interview With Ryan Seacrest  —  WHAT'S YOUR REACTION? … WASHINGTON — The administration's last-minute push to turn out the vote is spurring some unconventional media outreach efforts.  But none of them have been quite as unlikely as that announced on Monday …
RELATED:
Philip Rucker / Washington Post:
O'Donnell has trouble airing 30-minute TV ad in Delaware  —  Christine O'Donnell is taking a page from the playbook of Barack Obama.  The Republican Senate candidate has produced a 30-minute television advertisement in the form of a documentary chronicling her connection with the people of Delaware.
RELATED:
Mike Allen / The Politico:
Barack Obama preempts John Boehner's salvo  —  Hours before a scheduled scolding by House Republican Leader John Boehner in Ohio, President Barack Obama said Monday that he should have used the word ‘opponents’ instead of 'enemies'" in a Univision radio interview.
RELATED:
Gschwarzcnn / CNN:
Boehner vs. Obama
Jerry Markon / Washington Post:
Judge questions Justice Department's lawsuit against Arizona immigration law  —  A federal appellate judge expressed deep skepticism Monday about a Justice Department lawsuit challenging Arizona's new immigration law, leaving uncertain the Obama administration's chances of stopping the law from taking effect.
RELATED:
Josh Gerstein / The Politico:
'Don't Ask' policy kept in place
Discussion: Power Line
Aharding / CNN:
Appellate panel says 'don't ask, don't tell' should stay during appeal
Discussion: Gawker and The Note
Aharding / CNN:
Morgan Freeman in middle of campaign ad controversy  —  (CNN) - North Carolina Republican congressional candidate B.J. Lawson's campaign said it was “tricked” by a production company after it was revealed that actor Morgan Freeman was not the narrator in Lawson's latest ad, as the campaign had previously claimed.
Discussion: Washington Post
RELATED:
PR Newswire:
Lawson for Congress Confirms Morgan Freeman Narration in Latest TV and Radio Ad
Andy Barr / The Politico:
Lisa Murkowski soft on caucusing with GOP  —  Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska) says she hasn't yet committed to caucusing with Republicans if she wins her write-in bid against GOP nominee Joe Miller.  —  “I am still a Republican I have not changed that.  But I think it's important to recognize …
RELATED:
David Catanese / The Politico:
Joe Miller race now a referendum on Sarah Palin
Discussion: Daily Kos and The Moderate Voice
Kevin Cullum / Ballot Box:
Dems drop $1.5 million in four competitive Senate races
Discussion: National Review
Eric Boehlert / Media Matters for America:
ABC News and Breitbart are now at war  —  It's not like we don't try to warn people.  —  It's not like Media Matters hasn't meticulously detailed the way Andrew Breitbart routinely wrestles with the truth and loses.  We've made it plain to anyone who's interested that Breitbart is a propagandist, plain and simple.
Tommy Christopher / Mediaite:
Rally to Restore ‘Worst Persons in the World’  —  Say it ain't so, Keith!  Say it ain't so!  —  Countdown host Keith Olbermann, in a fit of (toned-down) pique at Jon Stewart's false equivalence of MSNBC with Fox News, announced tonight that he is “suspending” the “Worst Persons in the World” segment, with an eye toward killing it.
Discussion: The Blaze, The Reaction and Hot Air
Larry O'Connor / Breitbart.tv:
MSNBC's Matthews: ‘Elitist’ Obama Not Like ‘Patriotic’ and ‘Inclusive’ Candidate  —  The knives are already coming out and it's not even election day.  MSNBC hosts will be spending a lot of time tomorrow explaining what happened to their dream-doll of a President.  Chris Matthews had a head-start today.
Discussion: Mediaite and Newsalert
Zaid Jilani / ThinkProgress:
To Pay For Mortgage And Health Care, Woman Forced To Sell Letter From Obama Saying ‘Things Will Get Better’  —  Every single day, President Obama receives a special memorandum with “10 pieces of correspondence addressed to” him from Americans of all walks of life, a tradition he has kept …
Sean J. Miller / Ballot Box:
Reid defiant in the face of possible defeat  —  LAS VEGAS — Despite trailing in the polls going into Tuesday's vote, Harry Reid struck a defiant tone at a his final campaign rally that featured first lady Michelle Obama.  —  “I have fought for Nevada my whole life, but you know …
Discussion: The Politico and CNN
ABCNEWS:
U.S. Feared Parcel Bomb Plot Was Coming; Saw September ‘Dry Run’  —  Saudi Intelligence Provided UPS, FedEx Tracking Numbers to Stop ‘Real Thing’  —  US intelligence officials feared that al Qaeda terrorists in Yemen were plotting to attack the United States and actually intercepted …
Star-Telegram / PoliTex:
Proceeds from Perry's book going to think tank (Updated)  —  Regardless of how things pan out tomorrow night, Gov. Rick Perry's latest book will go on sale on Nov. 15.  Excerpts of “Fed Up!:  Our Fight to Save America from Washington” are now available online and provide some details …
wmata.com:
Metro sets new record for highest Saturday Metrorail ridership  —  Preliminary count estimates 825,437 Metrorail trips taken on Saturday, October 30  —  Metro set a new record for highest Saturday Metrorail ridership on Saturday, October 30.  Officials estimate 825,437 Metrorail trips were taken …
Eric Shawn / Fox News:
Stopping Voter Fraud  —  There are multiple watchdogs groups ready to try and prevent voter fraud on Election Day.  —  The U.S. Department of Justice says it will deploy more than 400 election monitors to 18 states to keep tabs on the electoral process.  Their mission is to prevent fraud, intimidation, or voter suppression.
Discussion: The BRAD BLOG and Election Law
Jay Cost / Weekly Standard:
Morning Jay: Special “Hulk Angry!  Hulk Smash!”  Edition  —  My internal conflict between “Bruce Banner,” who predicts a 1994-style scenario, and “The Incredible Hulk,” who thinks 2010 will be as Republican as anything since the 1920s, has been resolved.  —  The generic ballot has become …
Michael Luo / New York Times:
Democrats Outspend G.O.P. in TV Ads in House Races  —  Despite a deluge of campaign spending over the last few months by Republican-leaning outside groups, Democratic candidates and their allies have outspent Republicans over all on television advertising in House races …
Discussion: Hot Air
 
 
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 More Items: 
Tanya Somanader / ThinkProgress:
Senate Candidate Ken Buck: The First Goal In Afghanistan Is To …
Discussion: CNN and Daily Kos
Abel Harding / Florida Times Union:
Corrine Brown campaign offers free meals for early voters
Discussion: Election Law Center
Michael D. Shear / The Caucus:
Democrats Pin Hopes on Turnout Effort
Discussion: Politics Daily and Guardian
Myglesias / Yglesias:
Doing My Part to Boost Voter Apathy
Discussion: AMERICAblog News
Steve Bartin / Newsalert:
Intrade: GOP Odds of Taking Senate Improve to 50-50
Discussion: Gateway Pundit and JOSHUAPUNDIT
ABCNEWS:
EXCERPTS: Charlie Gibson Interviews Sarah Palin
Discussion: Politics Daily
James Fallows / The Atlantic Online:
The Asian Challenge to Jon Stewart's Dominance
 Earlier Items: 
Russell Simmons / The Huffington Post:
Don't Vote and We'll Get the Alice in Wonderland Congress From Hell!
Discussion: Weasel Zippers
Michelle Malkin:
Colorado Democrat Sen. Michael Bennet's disastrous cut-and-run radio interview
 

 
From Techmeme:

Alex Heath / The Verge:
Meta details Llama 3: 8B- and 70B-parameter models, a focus on reducing false refusals, and an upcoming model trained on 15T+ tokens that has 400B+ parameters

Ryan Morrison / Tom's Guide:
Microsoft researchers introduce VASA-1, an AI model that creates a realistic talking face video from a portrait photo and an audio file, in research preview

Raffaele Huang / Wall Street Journal:
Apple removes WhatsApp and Threads from its App Store in China, saying it was ordered to do so by China's cyberspace officials citing national security concerns

 
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