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12:45 AM ET, January 4, 2012

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 Top Items: 
John Garver / The Daily Caller:
The trouble with my uncle, Rick Santorum  —  If you want another big-government politician who supports the status quo to run our country, you should vote for my uncle, Rick Santorum.  America is based on a strong belief in individual liberty.  My uncle's interventionist policies …
RELATED:
Robert Stacy McCain / The Other McCain:
Santorum Surge in Precinct Numbers Exceeds Poll Projections  —  UPDATE 8:55 p.m. CT: The latest with 31% of precincts:  —  Mitt Romney ...... 7,844 (23%)  —  Rick Santorum .... 7,726 (23%)  —  Ron Paul ............. 7,655 (23%)  —  Newt Gingrich ..... 4,440 (13%)  —  Rick Perry ........... 3,433 (10%)
Robert Wright / The Atlantic Online:
The Greatness of Ron Paul  —  By introducing moral imagination to the foreign-policy conversation, the Republican candidate is doing the nation an important service.  —  A dispute has broken out among fans of Ron Paul's non-interventionist foreign policy about whether he's a strategic liability.
Ta-Nehisi Coates / The Atlantic Online:
The Messenger  —  They too needed emancipation.  —Ulysses S. Grant  —  As I often do on this blog, I'd like journey back to the Crack era—the late 80's and early 90's —when the general sense was that the black youth of America had lost their minds.  All across our cities, young black men were bleeding in the streets.
David Frum / FrumForum:
Ron Paul's Personal Responsibility  —  Andrew Sullivan complained yesterday that I had engaged in a “McCarthyite” attack on Ron Paul by writing the following: … Andrew's riposte: … Ron Paul's supporters ask that their candidate not be judged by his associates.  Or by the people he chose to employ.
New York Times:
Backers Hope Paul's Iowa Strategy Will Move His Message  —  Ron Paul Tuesday night.  “This movement is going to continue and we are going to keep scoring,” he told supporters.  More Photos »  —  ANKENY, Iowa — Before the voting began in Iowa, Ron Paul was asked by an ABC correspondent …
Discussion: Mediaite and The Caucus
A.Killough / CNN:
Last-day Ron Paul ad is his sharpest anti-Romney attack yet  —  Des Moines (CNN) - Hours before Iowa caucuses, the Ron Paul campaign has launched its sharpest anti-Romney attack ad yet, a one-minute radio spot calling the former Massachusetts governor a “liberal” who has supported government bailouts …
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
Live Blogging the Iowa Caucuses  —  Welcome to FiveThirtyEight's live blog of the Iowa caucuses.  —  The real action will not get underway until 8 p.m. New York time, when caucuses convene around the state — and it is likely to be at least another hour or so after that before we start seeing the first results.
RELATED:
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
Why I'd Bet on Santorum (and Against My Model)  —  The official version of FiveThirtyEight's polling-based forecasts project Rick Santorum to receive about 19 percent of the vote in the Iowa caucuses on Tuesday night.  It translates this to an 18 percent chance of Mr. Santorum's overcoming …
Cameron Joseph / Ballot Box:
Ron Paul supporters heckle Santorum
Discussion: The Politico, CNN and New York Times
Washington Examiner:
York: In GOP ad war, why did Romney get off easy?
Allahpundit / Hot Air:
“We have nearly reached the Rubicon when the ‘not Romney’ crowd is pining for Jon Huntsman”  —  So says Erick Erickson.  Is he right? … Can he atone for that flipping of the bird before next Tuesday?  Ninety-five percent of you will say “NO” in the comments, but let's …
Discussion: Erick's blog, ABCNEWS and CBS News
RELATED:
Ezra Klein / Washington Post:
Why Iowa gets to go first, and other facts about tonight's caucus
Guardian:
Release deal for Taliban leaders at Guantánamo  —  US agrees in principle to releasing top officials from Afghanistan insurgent group in exchange for starting process of negotiations  —  The US has agreed in principle to release high-ranking Taliban officials from Guantánamo Bay …
RELATED:
John Hinderaker / Power Line:
Obama's Surrender of Afghanistan Continues Apace?
Discussion: Pat Dollard and Guardian
Brian Tashman / Right Wing Watch:
God Tells Robertson that ‘Radical’ Obama will Bring Down America  —  Last year, Robertson claimed God told him that America's future will be bleak because of debt and divisions, and today on The 700 Club said that God again communicated to him that financial problems and partisan politics are going to bring America into decline.
David Brooks / New York Times:
Workers of the World, Unite!  —  The Republican Party is the party of the white working class.  This group — whites with high school degrees and maybe some college — is still the largest block in the electorate.  They overwhelmingly favor Republicans.  —  It's a diverse group, obviously …
A.Killough / CNN:
TRENDING: Obama talks to Iowa supporters on caucus night  —  (CNN) - President Barack Obama addressed via video conference several Democratic caucus sites in Iowa Tuesday, four years after winning the state's contest in a surprise victory that fueled his campaign on a path to the nomination.
Discussion: Weasel Zippers and Taylor Marsh
RELATED:
Amie Parnes / The Hill:   Obama addresses Iowa caucuses, credits them with ‘change’ campaign
Graham Bowley / New York Times:
3 In-Laws of Afghan Girl, 15, Are Held in Her Torture  —  KABUL, Afghanistan — The Afghan girl's nails had been pulled out, her skin on her ear and nose had been twisted with pliers, and she had been kept in a dark, filthy basement bathroom without proper food or water for five months …
Discussion: msnbc.com and The Moderate Voice
Brian Bakst / Associated Press:
Campaign manager says Bachmann may drop out  —  WEST DES MOINES, Iowa (AP) — Michele Bachmann's campaign manager says it's hard to tell whether she will continue her campaign after a bleak showing in the Iowa caucuses.  —  Asked if he could say with certainty whether she would go forward …
Perry Chiaramonte / Fox News:
New York City Police Arrest Suspect in String of Firebomb Attacks  —  Police arrested a suspect Tuesday in connection with the firebombing of an Islamic cultural center and four other New York City area sites.  —  The suspect confessed to five incidents in total, including the attack …
Ann Althouse / Althouse:
The Wisconsin Democratic Party chairman declines to update us on the number of Recall Walker signatures gathered.  —  Hmmm. … Why not tell us the numbers?  Why did they previously announce the number they had for Walker but clam up about Kleefisch?  Could they be reserving the option to say they failed to get enough signatures?
Discussion: Hot Air and Power Line
James Taranto / Wall Street Journal:
Bad-Faith Journalism  —  PolitiFact tacks right, further illustrating why its approach is wrong.  —  It's not as eagerly awaited as Time's “Man of the Year” was back when people paid attention to Time, but PolitiFact's “Lie of the Year” nonetheless manages to generate a lot of chatter, aimed as it is at those who chatter for a living.
Discussion: ThinkProgress
Greg Bluestein / Associated Press:
Carter's Advice to Obama: Don't Alienate Voters  —  Former President Jimmy Carter has some advice for Barack Obama as he gears up for the 2012 election: Don't alienate voters with controversial positions.  —  The Georgia Democrat told The Associated Press on Tuesday that just about everything …
Thomas Erdbrink / Washington Post:
Iran warns U.S. carrier not to return to Persian Gulf  —  Handout/Reuters - Iranian naval ships take part in a naval parade on the last day of the Velayat-90 war game in the Sea of Oman near the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday.  Iran's army chief has warned an American aircraft carrier not to return to the Persian Gulf.
Tyler Cowen / Marginal Revolution:
Krugman's response to Alex  —  You'll read it here, see also various (mostly weak) responses in the comments to Alex's original post.  Most of you, including Krugman, are missing Alex's point.  The issue is not that Krugman changed his mind (I've done that plenty, Alex too).
Discussion: Paul Krugman and Brad DeLong
Elizabeth Weise / USA Today:
Meteor shower to kick off 2012  —  If you snooze you'll lose Wednesday morning, when a little known but active meteor shower will start 2012 for people stalwart enough to brave the chilly hours before dawn.  —  The Quadrantids, named for a now-extinct constellation, will be visible …
Discussion: MyFox DC, Nation Now and The Impolitic
Igor Volsky / ThinkProgress:
Santorum: States Should Have The Right To Outlaw Birth Control  —  Rick Santorum reiterated his belief that states should have the right to outlaw contraception during an interview with ABC News yesterday, saying, “The state has a right to do that, I have never questioned that the state has a right to do that.
Ry Rivard / Charleston Daily Mail:
Three-judge federal panel says W.Va. Congressional redistricting is not constitutional.  —  CHARLESTON, W.Va. — West Virginia lawmakers must redraw the state's three congressional districts by Jan. 17 or a federal court will do it for them, a three-judge federal panel said Tuesday.
Discussion: Hotline On Call
BREITBART.COM:
Muslims clash with China police who destroyed mosque  —  Hundreds of Muslims fought with armed police who demolished a mosque in north China, local police and a human rights group said on Monday, with several people injured in the “riot”.  —  The violence between local Muslims …
Discussion: Weasel Zippers
Josh Lederman / Ballot Box:
RNC: Five states to lose half their delegates  —  The five states that bucked national Republican Party rules by moving up their primary or caucus dates have been penalized with the loss of half their delegates to the August nominating convention in Tampa, Fla. — and there is no chance they're getting them back.
Discussion: CNN
Mary C. Curtis / Washington Post:
Michelle Obama's backside is your business how?  —  Can you imagine how the incident would play out if an African American congressman made a crude remark about First Lady Laura Bush's body?  It certainly would have taken more than an insincere apology to wash that sin away.
Daniel Strauss / The Hill:
Wasserman Schultz: Clinton ‘absolutely’ won't be on 2012 ticket  —  Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D-Fla.), in no uncertain terms, shot down the possibility that Secretary of State Hillary Clinton would be on the 2012 Democratic presidential ticket alongside President Obama.
Discussion: Weasel Zippers
Ezra Klein / Washington Post:
Wonkbook: How Keynes would explain Iowa  —  John Maynard Keynes famously likened playing the stock market to judging a beauty contest where, rather than choosing the most beautiful girl, you had to choose the girl you thought everyone else would choose as most beautiful.
 
 
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 More Items: 
Stephen G. Bloom / The Atlantic Online:
Observations From 20 Years of Iowa Life
Discussion: Michelle Malkin
Tyler Durden / ZeroHedge:
US Closes 2011 With Record $15.22 Trillion In Debt, Officially At 100.3% Debt/GDP, $14 Billion …
Discussion: Weasel Zippers
Maggie Haberman / The Politico:
Sources: Perry starts buying S.C. television time
Rick Perlstein / Crooks and Liars:
Forget Iowa: GOP Always Nominates ‘Next in Line’
Justin Sink / The Hill:
Gingrich would not support rape, incest abortion exceptions
Discussion: LifeNews.com
NBC's Carrie Dann / msnbc.com:
Perry: ‘This is Omaha Beach’
 Earlier Items: 
Joshua Spivak / The Recall Elections Blog:
Wisconsin: No Roger, No Rerun, No Recall?  Barrett and the unusual nature of the recall Rematch/Rerun
MyFox DC:
Iran Missile Drill Results Exaggerated, Images Photoshopped Previously
Discussion: Don Surber
Ciara Torres-Spelliscy / The Huffington Post:
Double Barrel Blast From Big Sky Country: Montana Rejects Citizens United
Greg Sargent / Washington Post:
When will media demand that Mitt Romney back up his claims about jobs?
Robert Wright / The Atlantic Online:
The Trouble With Time's ‘Person of the Year’
CBS News:
Gingrich: Mitt Romney is a liar