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10:40 AM ET, November 5, 2012

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
State and National Polls Come Into Better Alignment  —  It appears that President Obama is likely to go into Election Day with a very modest lead in the average of national polls.  —  As of this writing, on Sunday evening, Mr. Obama led by an average of 1.3 percentage points across 12 national polls …
RELATED:
CNN:
CNN National Poll: Dead heat between Obama and Romney  —  Washington (CNN) - It's all tied up, according to a new national poll released two days before the presidential election.  —  And the CNN/ORC International survey not only indicates a dead heat in the race for the White House …
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
Nov. 4: Did Hurricane Sandy Blow Romney Off Course?  —  If President Obama wins re-election on Tuesday, the historical memory of the race might turn on the role played by Hurricane Sandy.  —  Already, some analysts are describing the storm as an “October surprise” that allowed Mr. Obama to regain …
Pew Research Center for the People and the Press:
Obama Gains Edge in Campaign's Final Days
Politico:
If Obama loses...  A defeat for Barack Obama on Tuesday would be no ordinary loss for Democrats.  —  It would be a traumatic experience: the death of the dream of liberal realignment embodied in Obama's insurgent 2008 campaign.  And it would be all the more distressing to Democrats …
RELATED:
Joel B. Pollak / BREITBART.COM:
ROMNEY GAINS 3 TO TIE OBAMA IN CNN'S D+11 POLL  —  The latest CNN national poll of likely voters, which shows a 49%-49% tie between Republican challenger Mitt Romney and incumbent President Barack Obama, is either absurd, or very good news for the GOP—or both.
Politico:   If Romney loses...  For Republicans, the only thing harder …
Associated Press:   Republican Mitt Romney sprinted through battleground states …
Reuters:
New Jersey Governor pledges to vote Romney despite plug for Obama
Discussion: Outside the Beltway
MiamiHerald.com:
A voting debacle in Doral causes chaos and confusion  —  Mayor Carlos Gimenez said part of the reason the county elections headquarters temporarily shut down Sunday with a crowd waiting outside to vote was because he had not authorized the additional hours.  —  PMAZZEI@MIAMIHERALD.COM
RELATED:
New York Times:
Obama and Romney Campaigns Begin Skirmish Over Balloting
Discussion: Washington Wire and The Caucus
Amanda Terkel / The Huffington Post:
Florida Early Voting Fiasco: Voters Wait For Hours At Polls As Rick Scott Refuses To Budge
Judd Legum / ThinkProgress:
South Florida County Extends Early Voting — But Only In One GOP Stronghold
Justin Sink / The Hill:
Toomey: 'I think Gov. Romney's going to carry Pennsylvania'  —  Sen. Pat Toomey (R-Pa.) predicted Monday that Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney would carry the state of Pennsylvania, pushing back against Obama campaign adviser David Plouffe's suggestion that GOP efforts in the state were a …
Discussion: Politico
RELATED:
Zeke Miller / BuzzFeed:
Don't Blame Mitt Romney
Discussion: AMERICAblog
Marc Levy / Associated Press:
Election blitz focuses on Philadelphia, suburbs  —  YARDLEY, Pa. - Philadelphia and its heavily populated suburbs were the big focus of candidates' attention on Sunday in Pennsylvania, just two days before voters pull the lever in a state that has emerged as a battleground for control of the White House and the U.S. Senate.
RELATED:
Paul Krugman / New York Times:
Sandy Versus Katrina  —  As Sandy barreled toward New Jersey, there were hopeful mutters on the right to the effect that it might become President Obama's Katrina, with voters blaming him for the damage, and that this might matter on Tuesday.  Sorry, guys: polls show overwhelming approval …
BREITBART.COM:
ROBERT THE BRUCE  —  Today marks the final installment of our weekly feature #WAR.  Combing through footage of Andrew over the past few months is something I have not taken lightly.  And now, on the eve of this historic election, I have been tasked with selecting one more video.
Larry J. Sabato / Sabato's Crystal Ball:
Projection: Obama Will Likely Win Second Term  —  With a slight, unexpected lift provided by Hurricane Sandy, Mother Nature's October surprise, President Barack Obama appears poised to win his second term tomorrow.  Our final Electoral College projection has the president winning …
Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:
The Wisdom of Politico  —  From an article just out from Politico ...  As I've written many times before, the second rate product.  If this is a subject that interests you, I'd encourage you to read the piece I linked right there.  —  Or to be more specific, Obama's winning but not with the best votes.
Slate:
Slate Votes  —  Obama wins our staff. … Laura Anderson, assistant editor: Barack Obama  —  Full disclosure: There is probably a 0-percent chance I will ever vote for a Republican presidential candidate in my life.  But Romney is particularly unappealing; I'm appalled by his apparent inability …
Discussion: Politico, Hit & Run and Poynter
Latino Decisions:
Final impreMedia-LD tracking poll: if Latino vote is high, Obama will carry 4 key swing states  —  High Latino voter turnout could deliver swing states of Nevada, Colorado, Virginia, and Florida to the Democrats  —  impreMedia & Latino Decisions today released the last in a series …
Mark Kirk / nbcchicago.com:
Exclusive: Kirk's First Post-Stroke Interview  —  U.S. Senator Mark Kirk hoped to send a message on Sunday when he tackled stairs and his first public appearance since suffering a stroke.  —  “I hope this gives a message to people across Illinois that may face stroke,” …
Discussion: Roll Call and Hotline On Call
Robert Creamer / The Huffington Post:
Why Should You Vote?  Visualize Romney World  —  My wife, Jan Schakowsky, and I are friends with a wonderful woman named Bea.  Bea is now 95 years old.  Bea was born in 1917.  —  She was born in a country where women couldn't vote.  In some areas of the country, just fifty years before, slavery had been legal.
Justin Sink / The Hill:
McCain: Veterans anger over Benghazi will cost Obama at the polls  —  Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) argued in a trio of early show interviews Monday that veterans would punish President Barack Obama at the polls for the administration's handling of the terrorist attack on the U.S. diplomatic mission …
Discussion: CNN
Washington Post:
Video revives debate over Mitt Romney's Mormon faith  —  Mitt Romney has largely avoided discussing the details of his Mormon faith throughout this year's presidential race, speaking in general terms about his church-related values and charitable deeds.  But the revival this week …
Evan McMorris-Santoro / Talking Points Memo:
Linda McMahon Doorhanger: Vote For Obama ... And Me  —  Connecticut Republican Senate nominee Linda McMahon has been telling voters lately that it's okay to vote for President Obama as well as her.  Now she's taking it a step further — and getting about as far away from her own party's nominee …
Antonio Antenucci / New York Post:
Marathon canceled, but generators and supplies still sit unused in park  —  What a run-around!  —  The city left more than a dozen generators desperately needed by cold and hungry New Yorkers who lost their homes to Hurricane Sandy still stranded in Central Park yesterday.
 
 
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 More Items: 
Jodi Rudoren / New York Times:
Israeli Report Cites a Thwarted 2010 Move on Iran
Discussion: WorldViews and The Atlantic Online
Matthew Purdy / New York Times:
As Scandal Flared, BBC's Leaders Missed Red Flags
Discussion: Telegraph and New York Magazine
Reid J. Epstein / Politico:
Obama interrupted by heckler
Josh Marshall / Talking Points Memo:
This Could Get Weird  —  Listening to a story from a friend this evening.
Chris Strauss / USA Today:
Did Cam Newton and the Panthers predict a Romney win?
Discussion: JONATHAN TURLEY and Philly.com
Ilyse Hogue / CNN:
GOP's push to suppress vote threatens democracy
Alex Isenstadt / Politico:
Dems' drive to retake House falters
Wall Street Journal:
Health-Care Law Spurs a Shift to Part-Time Workers
 Earlier Items: 
Matt Dixon / Florida Times Union:
Mitt Romney has 5-point lead in Florida, Times-Union/InsiderAdvantage poll says
Discussion: Ballot Box and Wake up America
Joe Battenfeld / Boston Herald:
UMass Lowell/Herald poll: Senate race deadlocked
Discussion: Weasel Zippers and Weekly Standard
Sara Murray / Wall Street Journal:
Romney Calls Obama Re-Election ‘Possible, but Not Likely’
Discussion: The Raw Story
John Hinderaker / Power Line:
Ryan Rocks Minnesota [Updated]
Discussion: The Gateway Pundit
Washington Examiner:
November surprise: EPA planning major post-election anti-coal regulation
John Aravosis / AMERICAblog:
Romney staff refusing to let frostbitten children leave PA rally
Discussion: Firedoglake
Chris Geidner / BuzzFeed:
In Ohio Vote, A Form-Checking Nightmare
John Hinderaker / Power Line:
MSNBC: Joke Network, Cont'd
 

 
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Sarah Frier / Bloomberg:
Facebook stock surges to record high of $76 in early trading, doubling its IPO price

 
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