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6:35 PM ET, September 3, 2014

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
FiveThirtyEight's Senate Model Is Back And It Gives Republicans The Edge  —  The FiveThirtyEight Senate model is launching Wednesday.  We'll be rolling it out in stages, with additional features, functionality and further methodological detail.  We'll also be unveiling our new set …
RELATED:
Chris Cillizza / Washington Post:
Our Senate model is moving in Democrats' direction all of a sudden.  Why?  —  On July 15, Election Lab, WaPo's election model, gave Republicans an 86 percent chance of winning the six seats they needed to take over the Senate majority.  Today — 50 days later — it gives Republicans only a 52 percent chance of winning the majority.
James Hohmann / Politico:
Senate control 'on knife's edge'
Discussion: Roll Call
Jonathan Karl / ABC News:
Obama Suggests ISIS Must Be Destroyed (or Maybe Not)  —  ANALYSIS:  —  TALLINN, Estonia - President Obama has condemned the beheading of U.S. journalist Steven Sotloff, saying “we will not be intimidated ... justice will be done.”  —  But he offered a mixed message today about what exactly the United States wants to do about ISIS.
RELATED:
Kendall Breitman / Politico:
Geraldo Rivera: Behead the ISIL ‘butchers’
Andrew Kaczynski / BuzzFeed:
Joe Biden On ISIS: “We Will Follow Them To The Gates Of Hell Until They Are Brought To Justice”
Chris Geidner / BuzzFeed:
Louisiana Marriage Ban Is Constitutional, Federal Judge Rules  —  “The State of Louisiana has a legitimate interest under a rational basis standard of review for addressing the meaning of marriage through the democratic process.”  The first federal court ruling upholding a ban in the past year.
RELATED:
Ian Millhiser / ThinkProgress:
Louisiana Judge Breaks Marriage Equality's Unbroken Winning Streak In Federal Court
Discussion: ABC News
Sahil Kapur / Talking Points Memo:   Gay Marriage Suffers First Defeat In Federal Court Since SCOTUS Ruling
Dexter Filkins / New Yorker:
The Death of Steven Sotloff  —  In the final moments before an ISIS executioner beheaded the American journalist Steven Sotloff, the masked man offered up, in an English accent, a message to his viewers: “We take this opportunity to warn those governments that enter this evil alliance of America …
RELATED:
Josh Rogin / The Daily Beast:
After Steven Sotloff Murder, Congress Demands a Vote on Obama's ISIS War
Tom Lyden / myfoxtwincities.com:
EXCLUSIVE: ISIS fighter worked at Minneapolis airport  —  He was the second known American killed while fighting for ISIS in Syria, and the second from Minnesota — and a Fox 9 exclusive uncovering his employment history is raising a few eyebrows.  —  An airport is probably the last place anyone …
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Carolyn Kaster / JSOnline:
DNC chair Wasserman Schultz rips Scott Walker on women's issues  —  Democratic National Committee Chair Debbie Wasserman Schultz, a member of the U.S. House from Florida, is shown speaking at the University of Miami in Coral Gables in 2012.  On Wednesday in Milwaukee, she criticized Gov. Scott Walker for his record on women's issues.
Michael Brown / St. Louis Post-Dispatch:
Juvenile court: Michael Brown had no serious felony convictions, did not face felony charges  —  • By Jeremy Kohler jkohler@post-dispatch.com 314-340-8337  —  Updated with more details.  —  CLAYTON  • Michael Brown was never found delinquent of the juvenile equivalents …
Alexander Bolton / The Hill:
Sen. Coburn: Let's change Constitution  —  Sen. Tom Coburn is pushing for a national convention to amend the Constitution.  —  The Oklahoma Republican, who has grown disenchanted with gridlock in Washington, will officially launch his effort after he retires from the Senate in a few months.
Discussion: Washington Post and Daily Kos
Office of Media Relations:
GW Battleground Poll  —  An overwhelming majority of American voters feels that the nation is on the wrong track and the economy will be a key factor in November's elections, according to the latest George Washington University Battleground Poll.  Read the full press release.  —  Previous Polls
RELATED:
Office of Media Relations:
Economy Will Drive Midterm Elections, GW Battleground Poll Shows
Scott Clement / Washington Post:
New poll says large majority of Americans believe Redskins should not change name  —  (Post Sports Live/The Washington Post)  —  A large but shrinking majority of Americans say the Washington Redskins should not change their team's name, according to a poll released Tuesday finding …
Pascal-Emmanuel Gobry / The Week:
Why so many Christians won't back down on gay marriage  —  A traditional view of marriage is about much more than today's politics.  It's deeply woven into the 2,000-year-old ethic at the heart of our faith.  —  A majority of Americans already favor same-sex marriage …
Discussion: Lawyers, Guns & Money
Jennifer Rubin / Washington Post:
Rand Paul's remarkable metamorphosis  —  After declaring certain Christian defenders of Israel to be “warmongers,” arguing we could not defeat the Islamic State without being an air force for Iran, opining we didn't have a national security interest in Syria or Iraq, accusing interventionists …
Daniel Strauss / Talking Points Memo:
Scott Brown: It's Not My Job To Create Jobs (VIDEO)  —  Former Sen. Scott Brown (R-MA), now a U.S. Senate candidate in New Hampshire, said that his job isn't to create jobs.  That's for other Americans.  —  Instead, he said, his job is to get the government out of the way.
Catherine Thompson / Talking Points Memo:
Phil Robertson's Plan For Combating ISIS: ‘Convert Them Or Kill Them’  —  “Duck Dynasty” patriarch Phil Robertson put forward a strategy Tuesday for combating militants with the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria: “convert them or kill them.”  —  Robertson was asked to opine on Fox News' …
Discussion: ThinkProgress, Daily Kos and Gawker
Ken White / Popehat:
Did Sundance Vacations Forge A Court Order To Suppress Online Criticism?  —  Sundance Vacations would like to bill itself as a purveyor of wholesale and discount vacations.  But on the internet, it is widely described as a sleazy hard-sell telemarketer selling sales presentations.
Discussion: Techdirt
 
 
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 More Items: 
The White House:
Remarks by President Obama and President Ilves of Estonia in Joint Press Conference
Discussion: American Spectator
Natasha Korecki / Chicago Sun Times:
Rauner admits $100K wine club; Quinn whines of banana breakfast
Dana Milbank / Washington Post:
President Obama's unnerving happy talk
Discussion: Fox News and alicublog
Jeffrey Toobin / New Yorker:
Will Textualism Kill Obamacare?
Discussion: Business Insider
Pew Research Center:
Who runs for office? A profile of the 2%
Discussion: Washington Post
 Earlier Items: 
Emily Bazelon / Slate:
A Huge Abortion Win in Texas
James Hohmann / Politico:
The 5 sleeper Senate races
Kaitlin Stack Whitney / The Atlantic Online:
The Secret Pot-Growing Operations in America's Cornfields
TIME:
5 Feminist Myths That Will Not Die
Discussion: The Other McCain