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1:15 PM ET, September 17, 2014

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Megan Thee-Brenan / New York Times:
G.O.P. Gains Strength and Obama Gets Low Marks, Poll Finds  —  A New York Times/CBS News poll shows that President Obama's approval ratings are similar to those of President George W. Bush in 2006 when Democrats swept both houses of Congress in the midterm elections.
RELATED:
CBS News:
Is Obama tough enough in dealing with ISIS?  —  President Obama delivers a prime time address from the Cross Hall of the White House on September 10, 2014 in Washington, D.C. SAUL LOEB/AFP/GETTY IMAGES  —  Shares -  —  Despite his speech announcing his strategy to “degrade and ultimately destroy” …
Ed Kilgore / Washington Monthly:
November Gets Iffier  —  Just when much of the punditocracy was settling in for a few happy weeks of arguing over the extent of the Republican “wave” in November, while Mitch McConnell figuratively measured curtains for the Majority Leader's offices, the worm has turned a bit …
Discussion: Booman Tribune
NY Daily News:
Sorry, Hillary, things are breaking the GOP's way  —  Those picking Hillary Clinton as the odds-on favorite are ignoring some powerful political trends  —  Hillary Clinton's creepy “I'm baack” announcement in Iowa this weekend should be enough to scare any good Republican.
Matthew Weaver / Guardian:
Islamic State video threatens to target White House and US troops  —  Video purports to be trailer for film entitled Flames of War with strapline ‘fighting has just begun’  —  Islamic State militants have threatened to target the White House and kill US troops in a new slickly made video response …
RELATED:
Michael S. Schmidt / New York Times:
Islamic State Issues Video Challenge to Obama
Discussion: democrats.com and Weekly Standard
CNN:
A failure to communicate?
Discussion: Scared Monkeys
Yahoo! News:
Jewish group brands Biden's Shylock comment ‘offensive’  —  Yahoo News 16 hrs ago  —  Vice President Joe Biden drew fire from a prominent Jewish group on Tuesday after he described unscrupulous bankers who prey on servicemen and servicewomen deployed overseas as “Shylocks” — a term frequently condemned as an anti-Semitic caricature.
RELATED:
Jennifer Jacobs / Des Moines Register:
Biden, nuns in Des Moines for voter turnout tour
Discussion: Fox News and NBC News
Bradley Klapper / Associated Press:
Benghazi Select Committee Holding 1st Open Hearing  —  The House Select Committee on Benghazi gets its public debut Wednesday, two years after militants in the eastern Libyan city killed a U.S. ambassador and three other Americans, and four months after Republicans launched their special investigation.
RELATED:
Alex Seitz-Wald / msnbc.com:
It's Benghazi day again on Capitol Hill
David Corn / Mother Jones:
This GOP Benghazi Hearing Is Actually Worth Having
Discussion: Daily Kos and Wonkette
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
How The FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecast Model Works  —  The FiveThirtyEight Senate forecast model launched earlier this month.  Right now, it shows Republicans with about a 53 percent chance of picking up the Senate next year.  We owe you a lot more detail about how that forecast is calculated …
RELATED:
Linda Killian / The Daily Beast:
Meet the One Numbers-Cruncher Who Foresees Democrats Holding the Senate
James Hohmann / Politico:
NRA goes big in key Senate, governor's races  —  The National Rifle Association has reserved $11.4 million for its initial fall advertising campaign and will begin airing its first TV commercials Wednesday in three Senate races crucial to determining which party controls the chamber next year.
RELATED:
CNN:
NRA focuses on three major Senate races
Discussion: The Daily Caller
Peter Sullivan / The Hill:
Rubio: ISIS could be entering US from Mexico  —  Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) said late Tuesday that ISIS militants could be crossing the Mexican border into the United States.  —  Asked by Fox News host Sean Hannity if ISIS “would use the southern border to cross,” Rubio said “Sure, potentially.”
RELATED:
Thomas L. Friedman / New York Times:
ISIS and the Arab World
Discussion: emptywheel
David Nather / Politico:
Obamacare: From game-changer to background noise  —  A year ago, it looked like Obamacare was going to have a huge role in this year's elections.  And not in a good way — as a symbol of government incompetence and the Republicans' main case against President Barack Obama's record.
Discussion: Wall Street Journal and Hot Air
RELATED:
Abby Goodnough / New York Times:
In Kentucky, Health Law Helps Voters but Saps Votes
Discussion: Washington Post
Tom Holbrook / The Numbers:
Another Look at Electoral Change  —  Last fall, I posted some data on the changes in Democratic and Republican support in the states in presidential elections, in part in response to observations made by a number of pundits and politicians that there is an increasing Democratic “lock” on the Electoral College.
Discussion: Bloomberg View
Jeffrey Toobin / New Yorker:
The Disappearing “Undue Burden” Standard for Abortion Rights  —  Those words—"undue burden"—represent Justice Sandra Day O'Connor's most important triumph during her long and consequential tenure on the U.S. Supreme Court.  Almost single-handedly, O'Connor rewrote abortion law.
John Frank / Denver Post:
POLL: IN BIG SHIFT, BEAUPREZ POSTS 10-POINT LEAD ON HICKENLOOPER  —  Republican Bob Beauprez holds a 10-point lead against Gov. John Hickenlooper, according to a new poll, marking a major shift in a governor's race deadlocked for months.  —  The Quinnipiac University Poll, released Wednesday …
Peter Sullivan / The Hill:
Boehner: ‘I have a few knuckleheads in my conference’  —  Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio) on Tuesday said he has “a few knuckleheads” in his conference.  As a result, Boehner described his House majority as being a “paper majority.”  —  “On any given day, 16 of my members decide they're going to go this way …
Discussion: Talking Points Memo
 
 
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 More Items: 
Wall Street Journal:
Ebola's Warning for an Unprepared America
Jessica Valenti / Guardian:
How many young women can a school legally punish for dress code violations?
Discussion: Althouse
Jonathan Topaz / Politico:
Bill Clinton: Vote ‘no’ in Scotland
Dan Good / ABC News:
Minnesota Vikings Reverse Course, Suspend Adrian Peterson
Andrew Kaczynski / BuzzFeed:
Oregon Doctor GOP Senate Candidate's Health Plan Plagiarized From Karl Rove Group's Survey
Jeanne Whalen / Wall Street Journal:
Read Slowly to Benefit Your Brain and Cut Stress
 Earlier Items: 
Washington Post:
From outside voice to inside player: Rise of Steve Scalise reflects changing House GOP
Discussion: ABC News
Elise Viebeck / The Hill:
Official: Rogue state could weaponize Ebola
Daily Mail:
US to send 3,000 troops to Ebola danger zone as Obama administration shuffles military's mission in Africa
Discussion: Pat Dollard
Eliana Johnson / National Review:
Jindal's Gamble  —  Bobby Jindal is making a bet …
Discussion: Power Line and Real Clear Politics
Gail Sullivan / Washington Post:
Study: Liberals and conservatives sniff out like-minded mates by body odor
NBC News:
Angry Mob Tosses Ukrainian Politician Into Trash