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4:30 PM ET, November 4, 2014

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
Final Update: Republicans Have A 3 In 4 Chance Of Winning The Senate  —  After two months of forecasting, it comes down to this: Republicans are favored to win the Senate.  Their chances of doing so are 76 percent, according to FiveThirtyEight's Senate forecast, which is principally based …
RELATED:
New York Times:
What to Watch For as G.O.P. Expects Big Night at Polls  —  WASHINGTON — It is a recipe for sensory overload: Election returns will start flooding every device and screen Tuesday evening, capturing the outcomes of 36 governors' contests, the battle for control of the Senate …
David Brooks / New York Times:
Death by Data  —  Over the past decade or so, political campaigns have become more scientific.  Campaign consultants use sophisticated data to micro-target specific demographic slices.  Consultants select their ad buys more precisely because they know which political niche is watching which TV show.
Patrick Howley / The Daily Caller:
BOMBSHELL MEMO: Jeanne Shaheen Conspired With White House Insider On IRS Targeting Scandal  —  Democratic New Hampshire Sen. Jeanne Shaheen was principally involved in a plot with Lois Lerner and President Barack Obama's political appointee at the IRS to lead a program of harassment …
RELATED:
Matthew Boyle / BREITBART.COM:
REPORT: ELECTION-EVE BOMBSHELL MEMO EMBROILS JEANNE SHAHEEN IN IRS TARGETING SCANDAL
Sabato's Crystal Ball:
The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks  —  Who we favor in all 507 of Tuesday's Senate, gubernatorial, and House races  —  If you're in Charlottesville tonight, please join the Crystal Ball team — Larry J. Sabato, Kyle Kondik, and Geoffrey Skelley — for a free presentation on the 2014 midterms …
RELATED:
Daniel Halper / Weekly Standard:
Biden Blows Greg Orman's Cover: He ‘Will Be With Us’  —  Vice President Joe Biden blew Kansas independent Greg Orman's cover in a radio interview today.  Orman hasn't stated which party he'll caucus with in the Senate—actively avoiding announcing whether he'll be with Republicans or Democrats …
TIME:
Lena Dunham: ‘I Do Not Condone Any Kind of Abuse’  —  In an exclusive statement to TIME, the author addresses recent controversy over a passage in her book, Not That Kind of Girl, regarding her relationship with her younger sister  —  I am dismayed over the recent interpretation of events described in my book Not That Kind of Girl.
Stephanie Ando / myfox8.com:
Burlington man eating Olive Garden every day, twice a day for seven weeks  —  BURLINGTON, N.C. — A Burlington man has used his “Never Ending Pasta Pass” from Olive Garden to eat 95 meals over the last six weeks.  —  Alan Martin bought it for $100 and he says he's gotten $1,510 worth of food so far.
Paul Bond / Hollywood Reporter:
Former CBS News Reporter Sharyl Attkisson Claims Existence of Obama Enemies' List  —  “I kind of assume I'm on a list.  I don't think I'm the only one”  —  Sharyl Attkisson is an investigative journalist who became the story when she quit CBS News after two decades amid allegations …
Jeffrey Rosen / The New Republic:
The Supreme Court Will Be a Disaster If a Justice Dies During a Republican Congress  —  On Friday, New York magazine's Jon Chait argued that the media has “wildly overstated the legislative importance of Republican Senate control” while at the same time understating its judicial importance.
RELATED:
Jess Bravin / Wall Street Journal:
Supreme Court Rejects Challenge to Senate Filibuster Rule
Discussion: Outside the Beltway and Hot Air
Adam Taylor / Washington Post:
Map: The Africa without Ebola  —  Ebola is a frightening, unpredictable disease.  Nearly 5,000 West Africans have died from the current outbreak with more than 13,000 people thought infected.  —  However, so far the problem remains largely limited to Liberia, Guinea and Sierra Leone.
Discussion: ECHIDNE OF THE SNAKES
Stephanie Ballesteros / WAVY-TV:
Virginia Beach, Newport News report voting machine calibration issues  —  VIRGINIA BEACH, Va. (WAVY) — The Virginia Department of Elections has confirmed Virginia Beach and Newport News have experienced technical difficulties with the calibration of some touch-screen voting machines, Tuesday.
Josh Rogin / The Daily Beast:
Coach K: Obama Is a Bad Coach in the ISIS War  —  The legendary Duke coach said Obama is foolishly telling ISIS what the U.S. team will or won't do - a bad strategy in both war and basketball.  —  Barack Obama is a bad coach in the U.S. military war against ISIS, according …
David Ferguson / Raw Story:
Georgia Republican Secretary of State's voter info website abruptly crashes on Election Day  —  DON'T MISS STORIES.  FOLLOW RAW STORY!  —  Voters looking for their polling place information before work on Tuesday were out of luck in the state of Georgia.  The state's “My Voter Page” …
Charlie Cook / National Journal:
How Big a Night Will It Be for the GOP?  —  At this point, a seven-seat gain would seem the most likely outcome for Senate Republicans.  —  The odds of Republicans winning a Senate majority are obviously getting very high.  Indeed, it would be a real shocker if Democrats held the GOP …
Discussion: ABC News and ABC News
Katrina vanden Heuvel / Washington Post:
The midterm minimum-wage mandate  —  For the national Democratic Party, there are only two possible outcomes in today's elections: bad and worse.  Even in the best-case scenario, Democrats will barely hang onto a narrow Senate majority that is virtually powerless in the face of Republican obstruction.
Discussion: Daily Kos and New York Times
RELATED:
Washington Post:
The spread of state minimum-wage laws is making Congress look bad
David Ferguson / Raw Story:
Ferguson protester: No one can find the bullet police say they didn't fire into my head  —  DON'T MISS STORIES.  FOLLOW RAW STORY!  —  A Florissant, Missouri woman says that police in Ferguson shot her in the head while she was leaving a rally supporting slain teen Michael Brown.
Discussion: Addicting Info and Balloon Juice
Elizabeth A. Harris / New York Times:
De Blasio Unveils New Plans for Troubled Schools in New York  —  In the packed auditorium of an East Harlem high school, Mayor Bill de Blasio announced a new approach to fixing New York City's most troubled public schools on Monday, offering them more money and staffing, extending the length of their day …
Discussion: Eduwonk
Andy Cush / Gawker:
Toddler-on-Toddler Shooting Leaves Three-Year-Old Hospitalized  —  Last night, a three-year-old boy was shot in the leg by another toddler as the two played with a shotgun they found inside a Baltimore home.  Further details are scant, but one takeaway is clear: it wouldn't have happened if there wasn't a gun in the house.
Zachary Roth / msnbc.com:
Texas sees surge of disenfranchised voters  —  HOUSTON - A day before Texans go to the polls, an unusual group gathered for lunch at a Mexican restaurant not far from downtown: an unemployed African-American grandmother; a University of Houston student originally from Pennsylvania …
Discussion: Daily Kos, alicublog and The BRAD BLOG
Washington Post:
Where did Obama go wrong?  —  The week after his reelection, President Obama was a man full of promise and promises: His job-approval rating stood at 54 percent, the 2010 tea party wave that had knocked his first term off balance appeared to have receded and he seemed as sober about the future as he was hopeful.
Discussion: The Dish
Matt Higgins / CBS DC:
McConnell: ‘This Is A Chance To Begin To Save This Country’  —  WASHINGTON (CBS News/CBSDC/AP) — Public campaigning gives way to the privacy of the voting booth today with control of the Senate, the makeup of the House and three dozen governorships at stake.
Discussion: FOX News Radio and Shakesville
Karoli / Latest from Crooks and Liars:
Utah Cops Exonerated For Shooting Darien Hunt Seven Times In The Back  —  Is it any wonder at all that the black community is angry?  —  Darien Hunt received the death penalty for the crime of carrying a toy sword, and his killers were absolved of any criminal wrongdoing after they shot him seven times as he fled.
Discussion: Los Angeles Times
David K. Li / Page Six:
Is Angelina Jolie ready to run for office?  —  She has won an Oscar and regularly conquers the box office — so how hard could winning an election be?  —  Globe-trotting Hollywood do-gooder Angelina Jolie hints in a new interview that she's ready to enter politics.
 
 
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 More Items: 
Ben Domenech / The Federalist:
This Was An Election About A Failed Presidency
Michael Barone / Washington Examiner:
Obama will leave the Democrats in shambles
Discussion: Power Line and Chicago Boyz
Paul Lewis / Guardian:
Congressman warns of ‘civil war’ among Democrats unless Obama acts on immigration
Discussion: FOX News Radio
Washington Post:
Election Lab  —  The Monkey Cage's political scientists forecast …
Discussion: Political Wire
John Dickerson / Slate:
The Governing Class  —  Why the fate of Republican governors matters …
Discussion: Washington Post and The Dish
 Earlier Items: 
Erik Eckholm / New York Times:
Election Tests New Rules on Voting
Matea Gold / Washington Post:
Election 2014: A new level of collaboration between candidates and big-money allies
Edward-Isaac Dovere / Politico:
A midterm referendum on Barack Obama
Discussion: Firedoglake, Washington Post and NPR
Ronald Brownstein / National Journal:
The Tectonic Plates of 2014  —  Several key structural factors …
Discussion: Washington Monthly
Tarini Parti / Politico:
Obama cuts radio ad for Kay Hagan
Thomas Fuller / New York Times:
In Malaysia, ‘Allah’ Is Reserved for Muslims Only
Discussion: The Dish and Religion Clause