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12:50 PM ET, December 14, 2015

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Carrie Dann / NBC News:
NBC Poll: Clinton Would Trounce Trump But Lose to Rubio, Carson  —  Hillary Clinton would defeat Ted Cruz and trounce Donald Trump in a hypothetical head-to-head general election matchup, but she would lose to Marco Rubio or Ben Carson, a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll finds.
RELATED:
Nomiki Konst / The Hill:
Ted Cruz isn't just surging — he's winning  —  Every show has an end.  Just like “The Apprentice” — gripping the first few few seasons, tired and contrived in the last — Donald Trump's campaign is aging toward death, one reckless outburst at at time.  Although the casual political junkie …
Nick Gass / Politico:
Trump hits a new high in national poll  —  Donald Trump just got a little more vault in his ceiling.  Nationwide, the polling-obsessed Manhattan multi-billionaire and leading Republican presidential candidate broke into the 40s on Monday.  —  According to the results of the latest Monmouth …
Tom Hamburger / Washington Post:
Cruz campaign credits psychological data and analytics for its rising success  —  URBANDALE, Iowa — As Cecil Stinemetz walked up to a gray clapboard house in suburban Des Moines last week wearing his “Cruz 2016” cap, a program on his iPhone was determining what kind of person would answer the door.
Discussion: The Daily Caller, The Week and Althouse
Joshua Green / Bloomberg Business:
Cruz Poised to Steal Even More Trump Supporters in Iowa  —  The crosstabs of the latest Bloomberg Politics/Des Moines Register Iowa Poll reveal some encouraging findings for the Texas senator.  —  JoshuaGreen  —  Ted Cruz shot to a 10-point lead over Donald Trump in the latest Bloomberg …
Tony Leys / Des Moines Register:
Clinton builds lead over Sanders, new Iowa Poll shows
Eli Stokols / Politico:   GOP contenders prep for loud, ugly holiday season
Janet Hook / Wall Street Journal:
Trump, Cruz Lead GOP Field; Support for Carson Plummets, Poll Finds
Discussion: Common Dreams, Vox and Spectator
RELATED:
David Remnick / New Yorker:
Negotiating the Whirlwind  —  John Kerry, the sixty-eighth Secretary of State of the United States, was born to a temperament of wintry rectitude.  He is descended from the Winthrops, who helped found the Massachusetts Bay Colony, and the Forbeses, a Brahmin clan that made its money in railways …
RELATED:
Mike Allen / Politico:
POLITICO Playbook, presented by Qualcomm …
Ben Smith / BuzzFeed:
What The Hell Happened To Mickey Kaus?  —  Mickey Kaus was sitting at Superba Food + Bread in Venice Beach, California, an expensive coffee place where an expensive-looking person was yelling at the counter staff about a housefly on a cookie.  —  Kaus was sorry about the location …
S.L. Price / SI.com:
2015 Sportsperson of the Year: Serena Williams  —  Real life?  For Serena Williams that's the easy part now.  That's how it works when you zoom—beyond tennis, beyond $74 million in prize money, beyond one of the greatest late-career runs in sports history—into celebrity hyperspace.
Elizabeth Kolbert / New Yorker:
The Siege of Miami  —  The city of Miami Beach floods on such a predictable basis that if, out of curiosity or sheer perversity, a person wants to she can plan a visit to coincide with an inundation.  Knowing the tides would be high around the time of the “super blood moon,” in late September …
Discussion: Taylor Marsh
Amber Jamieson / New York Post:
Plumber's old truck spotted in ISIS video  —  A Texas plumber who was flooded with threats after his old truck — still emblazoned with his company's name — was seen driven by ISIS thugs in Syria has armed himself and is suing a Ford dealer.  —  Mark Oberholtzer of Mark-1 Plumbing …
Discussion: BizPac Review and Fox News Insider
Kenneth P. Vogel / Politico:
The Kochs' war on poverty  —  The political operation created by the billionaire conservative mega-donors Charles and David Koch is quietly investing millions of dollars in programs to win over an unlikely demographic target for their brand of small-government conservatism ― poor people.
Daniel Strauss / Politico:
Santorum super PAC ad warns ‘WWIII is upon us’  —  The super PAC supporting Rick Santorum has a warning: “World War III is upon us.”  —  That message comes in the form of a radio ad from the pro-Santorum Working Again PAC, which is beginning to air the spot statewide in Iowa this week.
Discussion: Talking Points Memo and SoundCloud
Josh Zumbrun / Wall Street Journal:
The Mystery of Missing Inflation Weighs on Fed Rate Move  —  U.S. near full employment, but inflation hasn't risen as predicted; Fed officials can't figure out why  —  Federal Reserve officials this week are expected to raise interest rates for the first time in nine years on the expectation …
Discussion: Power Line
Joby Warrick / Washington Post:
How one word nearly killed the climate deal  —  PARIS — The proposed accord was just hours from a final vote when the glitch was spotted.  Someone had changed a single word in the draft text — from a “should” to a “shall” — and suddenly the entire climate deal appeared at risk of faltering.
 
 
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 More Items: 
Aurelien Breeden / New York Times:
French Teacher Lied About ISIS Stabbing, Prosecutors Say
Discussion: The Daily Caller
Gabrielle Giffords / USA Today:
After Sandy Hook and San Bernardino, optimism can still change gun politics: Gabby Giffords
Discussion: Mediaite and ACS Blog
Gabriel Sherman / New York Magazine:
Republican Billionaires Just Can't Seem to Buy This Election
Paul Walsh / Star Tribune:
Minn. man charged in firebombing of Somali restaurant in Grand Forks
Discussion: Talking Points Memo and Raw Story
Rebecca Riffkin / Gallup:
Americans Name Terrorism as No. 1 U.S. Problem
New York Post:
ACLU leader resigns after threatening to shoot Trump supporters
Discussion: Truth Revolt and SOOPERMEXICAN
 Earlier Items: 
Jethro Mullen / CNN:
More than 700,000 evacuated as Typhoon Melor batters Philippines
Discussion: WAVY-TV
Michael Safi / Guardian:
Sydney woman found cash ‘meant for Islamic State’ in son's shorts
Discussion: ABC and abc13.com
Rebecca Leber / New Republic:
The Paris talks have given us a long-shot chance to save the planet.
Discussion: New York Times
Sylvan Lane / The Hill:
Rubio is still insured under Obamacare: report
Paul Mirengoff / Power Line:
Diversity: Seven notes
Travis Gettys / Raw Story:
'Libtard'-hating ex-police chief accused of pointing gun at woman who passed his Hummer
Discussion: alan.com