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11:45 AM ET, February 1, 2016

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Philip Klein / Washington Examiner:
Iowa poll reveals a line of attack that could sink Trump  —  DES MOINES — The final poll ahead of Monday's caucuses showed Donald Trump rallying to a five-point lead over Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, with two days to go before voting, but it also revealed a line of attack that could sink Trump.
RELATED:
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
Hillary Clinton May Win Iowa After All  —  It would be entirely reasonable to presume that Bernie Sanders has momentum in Iowa.  He's gained on Hillary Clinton in national polls.  He keeps pulling further ahead of Clinton in New Hampshire.  And he's made substantial gains in Iowa relative to his position late last year.
Meridith McGraw / ABC News:
Donald Trump Admits Being a ‘Little Bit Nervous’ About Today's Iowa Caucuses
Charlie Spiering / Breitbart:
Bloomberg's Joshua Green: There Is No Rubio ‘Surge’ In Iowa
John Wagner / Washington Post:
O'Malley secured loan to stay afloat, has staff working without pay in Iowa
Discussion: Mashable
John Wagner / Washington Post:
A more agitated Sanders tries to fend off attacks of nervous establishment
Glenn Thrush / Politico:
How Clinton is plotting to go after Trump  —  DES MOINES, Iowa — It's tunnel-vision time for Hillary Clinton as she battles Bernie Sanders here — but she's casting some serious side-eye in Donald Trump's direction.  —  After months of laughing off Trump — and assuming his ascent would propel …
RELATED:
Justin Wolfers / New York Times:
Now a Solid Bet: Donald Trump's Nomination Chances Are Better Than 50 Percent  —  Donald Trump is now more likely than not to win the Republican nomination.  —  On the day of the Iowa caucuses, the political prediction markets, where traders bet on the outcome of the election …
Discussion: The Week and PredictWise
Associated Press:
Bush Doing Whatever It Takes to Stay Relevant  —  Jeb Bush's supporters have spent $15 million on slickly produced ads to win over Iowa voters.  Barely registering in the polls and increasingly desperate in the shadow of the Iowa caucuses, he's now trying a cost-free, personal tactic: hugs.
Bloomberg Business:
The Power of the Super-PAC Wanes as Trump Prepares for Iowa Test  —  With billionaire Donald Trump sitting firmly atop the Republican field, the willingness of big establishment donors to underwrite his competitors' war chests has fizzled.  —  About 17 donors gave $1 million …
RELATED:
New York Times:
Rival Factions of Top Donors Get Behind Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz
Discussion: Politico
CNN:   Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, Marco Rubio are money race winners
Matea Gold / Washington Post:
Donations, big and small, continue to pour into 2016 race
Discussion: Outside the Beltway
Kenneth P. Vogel / Politico:
George Soros donates $8 million to boost Hillary
Discussion: Slantpoint and Business Insider
Hugh Hewitt / Washington Examiner:
Hillary's emails disqualify her from the presidency  —  How fast does information move through the Iowa caucus electorate?  —  Hillary Clinton is hoping very, very slowly, because Friday's bombshell news about 22 of her emails — stored on her private, illegal, compromised …
RELATED:
Fox News:
Official: Withheld Clinton emails contain ‘operational’ intel, put lives at risk  —  EXCLUSIVE: Highly classified Hillary Clinton emails that the intelligence community and State Department recently deemed too damaging to national security to release contain “operational intelligence” …
Discussion: Mediaite, Hot Air and The Right Scoop
Ben Schreckinger / Politico:
How Trump Did It  —  What they heard as they ate deli sandwiches around Donald Trump's hulking, wooden conference table sounded like the businessman's typical bravado.  These 25 New York political operatives had come to ask him to run for governor.  But Trump had another plan—a very specific plan—to run for president.
RELATED:
Alex Isenstadt / Politico:
GOP braces for a post-Iowa collision  —  DES MOINES, Iowa — The bruised and battered Republican Party establishment is bracing for a collision — with the candidates running under its banner.  —  With the GOP political class growing increasingly worried that insurgents Donald Trump …
RELATED:
Isaac Arnsdorf / Politico:
GOP candidates start limping in the money race
Discussion: The Week
Associated Press:
Among GOP Rivals to Trump and Cruz, Rubio Has Most Cash
Discussion: ABC News and Washington Monthly
Caitlin Cruz / Talking Points Memo:
Trump Condemns Cruz's ‘Most Disgraceful’ Voter Violation Mailers  —  Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump condemned mailers sent by Sen. Ted Cruz's (R-TX) presidential campaign over the weekend, which implied Iowa voters had violated election law.  —  The mailer, which uses social pressure …
Discussion: BuzzFeed
RELATED:
Ryan Lizza / New Yorker:
Ted Cruz's Iowa Mailers Are More Fraudulent Than Everyone Thinks
Bradford Richardson / The Hill:
Iowa secretary of State scolds Cruz over controversial mailers
Discussion: NBC News
Paul Krugman / New York Times:
Wind, Sun and Fire  —  So what's really at stake in this year's election?  Well, among other things, the fate of the planet.  —  Last year was the hottest on record, by a wide margin, which should — but won't — put an end to climate deniers' claims that global warming has stopped.
RELATED:
Joe Romm / ThinkProgress:
Why The Renewables Revolution Is Now Unstoppable
Dan Bilefsky / New York Times:
Benoît Violier, Top French-Swiss Chef, Dies at 44  —  LONDON — The French-Swiss chef Benoît Violier, who scaled the heights of gastronomy to preside over a small Swiss restaurant that was named the best in the world in December, has died in what seems to have been suicide, according to the police.
Discussion: Eater and The Week
Joe Weisenthal / Bloomberg Business:
BofA: The Oil Crash Is Kicking Off One of the Largest Wealth Transfers In Human History  —  A $3 trillion shift.  —  Economists are still hotly debating whether the oil crash has been a net positive for advanced economies.  —  Optimists argue that cheap oil is a good thing for consumers …
Discussion: FiveThirtyEight
 
 
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 More Items: 
John Markoff / New York Times:
Microsoft Plumbs Ocean's Depths to Test Underwater Data Center
Discussion: Engadget, VentureBeat and The Verge
Kevin D. Williamson / National Review:
Tenured Thugs and Thieves
Discussion: Shot in the Dark
Mary Beth Rogers / Salon:
Turning Texas blue?: …
Joel Kotkin / Orange County Register:
Serfs up with California's new feudalism
John B. Judis / Vox:
This election could be the birth of a Trump-Sanders constituency
 Earlier Items: 
Ben Knight / Guardian:
Teenage girl ‘made up’ migrant rape claim that outraged Germany
Discussion: Mashable and Dean's World
Ban Ki-Moon / New York Times:
Don't Shoot the Messenger, Israel
Discussion: The Week
Jay Caruso / RedState:
On Eve Of The Caucus, Read How Donald Trump Ripped Off An Iowan Using Trump University
Mario Trujillo / The Hill:
Microsoft on the hot seat in Iowa
Discussion: Breitbart, Washington Post and Hot Air
Quentin Fottrell / MarketWatch:
This is the atheist capital of America
David Edwards / Raw Story:
Fox host shreds Ted Cruz over Obamacare falsehoods: ‘More people have jobs and health insurance’
Discussion: ACASignups.net and Hullabaloo