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1:45 PM ET, October 25, 2016

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Jennifer Duffy / The Cook Political Report:
Senate Democrats Poised to Pick Up 5-7 Seats  —  Senate Republicans had been doing a pretty solid job of maintaining their distance from GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump by running their own campaign that focused largely on more local issues or those issues that motivate their base.
RELATED:
Stuart Rothenberg / Washington Post:   House wave still looking more like a ripple for Democrats
NBC News:
Poll: Republican Party Fractured As Hillary Clinton Maintains Solid Lead  —  Hillary Clinton's 5-point lead over Donald Trump remains virtually unchanged since last week—but after prolonged in-fighting among GOP party leaders, a majority of Republicans and Republican-leaning voters (57 percent) …
RELATED:
CNN:
Poll: Most see a Hillary Clinton victory and a fair count ahead  —  (CNN)Almost 7 in 10 voters nationwide say they think Hillary Clinton will win the presidency next month, but most say that if that happens, Donald Trump will not accept the results and concede, according to a new CNN/ORC poll.
Discussion: The Week and Politico
Marc Caputo / Politico:
Florida spirals away from Trump  —  From polling to early voting trends to TV ad spending to ground game, Donald Trump's Florida fortunes are beginning to look so bleak that some Republicans are steeling themselves for what could be the equivalent of a “landslide” loss in the nation's biggest battleground state.
RELATED:
Marc Caputo / Politico:
Florida Democrats poised to overtake Republicans in early votes
Joseph Weber / Fox News:
Early voting suggests tight race in key states despite Clinton camp boast
Discussion: The Point and WND
Cynthia Cox / kff.org:
2017 Premium Changes and Insurer Participation in the Affordable Care Act's Health Insurance Marketplaces  —  , Michelle Long, Ashley Semanskee, Rabah Kamal, Gary Claxton, and Larry Levitt  —  Health insurance premiums on the Affordable Care Act's marketplaces (also called exchanges) …
RELATED:
Matthew Yglesias / Vox:
To work as intended, Obamacare needs a bigger, more unpopular mandate
Discussion: Washington Post and ASPE
Alison Kodjak / NPR:
Rates Up 22 Percent For Obamacare Plans, But Subsidies Rise, Too
Michael Barbaro / New York Times:
What Drives Donald Trump?  Fear of Losing Status, Tapes Show  —  By any measure, Arsenio Hall was a Hollywood success: He had starred in popular films, packed houses as a stand-up comic and hosted a hit late-night television show bearing his name.  —  Donald J. Trump saw it differently by the mid-2000s.
Jeet Heer / New Republic:
The Right Is Giving Up on Democracy  —  It's not just Donald Trump and his fans who think the system is rigged.  —  The single most ominous thing that Donald Trump said in all three presidential debates was a misguided attempt at a quip: “I'll keep you in suspense, okay?”
Discussion: Forbes and Lawyers, Guns & Money
Alexandra Jaffe / NBC News:
Pennsylvania Sen. Pat Toomey Still Won't Answer Trump Question  —  Democrats push hard for a win in Pennsylvania 6:33  —  Sen. Pat Toomey again refused to say whether he would vote for Donald Trump, making him the only vulnerable Republican senator to keep his constituents in the dark on where he stands on the issue.
Discussion: NBC News and alan.com
RELATED:
Michael Gross / The Daily Beast:
Inside Donald Trump's One-Stop Parties: Attendees Recall Cocaine and Very Young Models  —  The morals of Donald J. Trump, as a longtime model lover and then a modeling agency owner, were forged in another era, one in which young girls were used as a sort of currency between men doing business with one another.
Alex Griswold / Mediaite:
Hacked Email Shows Obama Knew About Clinton's Private Email While Claiming He Didn't  —  The same day that President Barack Obama publicly insisted that he learned about Hillary Clinton's use of private email for government business from news reports, internal campaign emails show that Clinton staffers knew he wasn't telling the truth.
RELATED:
Numbers / Pew Research Center:
Oversampling is used to study small groups, not bias poll results  —  Every election year, questions arise about how polling techniques and practices might skew poll results one way or the other.  In the final weeks before this year's election, the practice of “oversampling” …
Hadas Gold / Politico:
Breitbart coordinated with liberal activist and organizer who disrupted GOP primary campaign events  —  A liberal activist and organizer coordinated with reporters from the conservative news site Breitbart during the primaries to cover his disruptions of events for candidates such as Sen. Marco Rubio.
Andrew Kaczynski / CNNMoney:
Donald Trump: ‘I have no interest in Trump TV’  —  Donald Trump says he has no interest in setting up “Trump TV” when the election ends.  —  “No, I have no interest in Trump TV,” Trump said on Cincinnati radio station 700WLW on Tuesday.  “I hear it all over the place.
Jeffrey Toobin / New Yorker:
Clarence Thomas's Twenty-Five Years Without Footprints  —  This month marks the twenty-fifth anniversary of Clarence Thomas's confirmation to the Supreme Court.  Conservatives like Thomas have dominated the Court throughout his tenure, and he has been in the majority in all of their victories.
Discussion: Althouse
Jamelle Bouie / Slate:
The Most Astute Analysis of American Politics in 2016?  SNL's “Black Jeopardy!”  Sketch.  —  It had more to say about class and race than a thousand tenderly crafted portraits of the white working class.  —  For the past year, political journalists across the ideological spectrum have worked …
Betta Stothart / Washington Post:
How angry does Donald Trump make me?  Angry enough to steal 40 Trump signs.  —  How a middle-aged mom became a political vandal. … Donald Trump campaigns in Bangor, Maine, on Oct. 15.  (Photo by Sarah Rice/Getty Images)  —  FALMOUTH, Maine — I committed a crime this month, along with two of my friends.
Discussion: Althouse and Central Maine
Kenneth Lipp / The Daily Beast:
AT&T Is Spying on Americans for Profit  —  On Nov. 11, 2013, Victorville, California, sheriff's deputies and a coroner responded to a motorcyclist's report of human remains outside of town.  —  They identified the partially bleached skull of a child, and later discovered the remains …
Discussion: Hit & Run and Consumerist
Adam Liptak / New York Times:
Fearing Trump, Bar Association Stifles Report Calling Him a ‘Libel Bully’  —  WASHINGTON — Alarmed by Donald J. Trump's record of filing lawsuits to punish and silence his critics, a committee of media lawyers at the American Bar Association commissioned a report on Mr. Trump's litigation history.
Andrew Kaczynski / CNN:
Despite denials of business ties, Democrat Patrick Murphy's dad was pictured with Trump at groundbreaking  —  (CNN)Patrick Murphy, the Democrat in Florida seeking to unseat Sen. Marco Rubio in November, has flat-out denied he and his family have ever done business with Donald Trump …
Josh Israel / ThinkProgress:
James O'Keefe quietly employs convicted felon who tried to blackmail David Letterman  —  Former TV producer Robert “Joe” Halderman now helping Project Veritas with guerrilla filmmaking  —  With $10,000 in funding from Donald Trump's “charitable” foundation, guerrilla filmmaker James O'Keefe …
Ari Berman / The Nation:
A CITY CLERK OPPOSED AN EARLY-VOTING SITE AT UW-GREEN BAY BECAUSE ‘STUDENTS LEAN MORE TOWARD THE DEMOCRATS’  —  New e-mails released to The Nation reveal ongoing GOP attempts to suppress the vote.  —  By ,  —  Students wait in long lines to register and vote at UW-Eau Claire Davies Center on Tuesday, April 5, 2016.
Discussion: Raw Story, Law News and New York Times
PRRI:
The Divide Over America's Future: 1950 or 2050?  —  Pessimism about the direction of the country is considerably higher today (74%) than it was at this time during the 2012 presidential race, when 57% of the public said the country was off on the wrong track.
Brian Beutler / New Republic:
Obama Was Right About Republican Extremism All Along  —  They should've listened to his warnings about the dangers of right-wing rhetoric.  Now they're going to pay for it.  —  It has been a long time since a popular, term-limited president has campaigned vigorously on behalf of his presumptive heir.
Discussion: Business Insider
Allegra Kirkland / Talking Points Memo:
Trump Spent $300K Of Donor Money On Books From ‘Art Of The Deal’ Publisher  —  It looks like Donald Trump's book sales got a boost from his own presidential campaign.  —  The Republican nominee directed $300,000 of small donors' money to the publisher of his bestselling business book …
Matea Gold / Washington Post:
Pro-Clinton super PAC Priorities USA Action breaks fundraising records  —  The top super PAC flanking Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton has raised more money than any super PAC in history, scooping up nearly $175 million to finance its efforts, the group announced Tuesday.
Discussion: CNN
 
 
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 More Items: 
Larry O'Connor / Hot Air:
Jay Z will headline a concert for Hillary; Here are some of the vile things he's rapped about women
Discussion: CNN, twitchy.com and BuzzFeed
Rob Tornoe / Philly.com:
Friday violence as teen mob attacks Temple students, police; four arrested
Danielle Keeton-Olsen / Talking Points Memo:
Clinton Leads By Eight Points In Siena/NYT Upshot North Carolina Poll
Melissa Leon / The Daily Beast:
‘The Walking Dead’ Just Isn't Fun Anymore
Discussion: Shakesville and USA Today
Pippa Norris / Washington Post:
How will Trump supporters react if he loses?
Discussion: Guardian
Patrick Svitek / The Texas Tribune:
Top Hispanic Republican in Texas says he will vote for Clinton
Discussion: Politicus USA
Dana Milbank / Washington Post:
The lap dogs of democracy who didn't bark at Trump
 Earlier Items: 
Jim Hoft / The Gateway Pundit:
WOW! Tim Kaine Holds Rally and ONLY 30 PEOPLE Show Up!
Discussion: twitchy.com, TruthFeed and The Week
Lukas Mikelionis / Heat Street:
Left-Wing Berkeley Protesters Demand ‘Spaces of Color’, Harass White Students Trying to Pass
Kent Justice / WJXT-TV:
Trump quieter, but makes similar points in one-on-one interview
Discussion: CNBC and Business Insider
Mark Hensch / The Hill:
Obama reads round two of ‘mean tweets’ on Kimmel
Discussion: Politico, Vox, ABC News and Raw Story