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2:55 AM ET, November 8, 2016

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Politico:
Clinton wins Dixville Notch  —  Dixville Notch, the quirky northern New Hampshire town that traditionally votes early on Election Day, has tallied this year's results — and Hillary Clinton is the local winner.  —  Clinton won four votes, while Donald Trump picked up two.
Discussion: ABC News and Taylor Marsh
RELATED:
Todd Spangler / Detroit Free Press:
Will Michigan voters decide whether Trump or Clinton wins it all? … A month ago, the presidential race in Michigan was over: Hillary Clinton had an 11-point lead over Donald Trump, fueled by a 20-point margin among women, a 30-point lead in metro Detroit and history — no Republican has won the state since 1988 — on her side.
Tara Golshan / Vox:
Where early voting stands going into Election Day  —  As the candidates make their closing arguments before Election Day, millions of Americans have already cast their ballots for the presidential election.  —  At least 42 million citizens have voted early, with more than 18 million ballots cast in battleground states.
Scott Wong / The Hill:
Ryan: GOP not Donald Trump's party  —  won the nomination “fair and square,” the GOP is not his party, Speaker Paul Ryan  —  (R-Wis.) said Monday on a local radio show.  —  “It is no one person's party.  Donald Trump won the primary fair and square,” Ryan said during an interview on WTMJ …
Discussion: bradford-delong.com
Ana Navarro / CNN:
I'm voting for Hillary Clinton — and against Donald Trump  —  Navarro to party leaders: ‘Disown Donald Trump tonight’  —  Ana Navarro, a Republican strategist and commentator, was national Hispanic campaign chairwoman for John McCain in 2008, national Hispanic co-chair for Jon Huntsman's 2012 campaign …
RELATED:
Tal Kopan / CNN:
Live election coverage  —  Washington (CNN)Who will be the next president of the United States?  Follow here for the latest updates on Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton and the race to 270.  —  What you need to know now  — The CNN Poll of Polls shows that Clinton is leading Trump by four points.
Greg Sargent / Washington Post:
A group of political scientists says Trump's attacks on our democracy are unprecedented and dangerous  —  As a general rule, political scientists tend to shy away from taking public stands for — or against — candidates that might make them appear partisan or somehow lacking in scientific objectivity.
Discussion: Business Insider
Gabriel Debenedetti / Politico:
Obamas combine forces with the Clintons to fend off Trump  —  PHILADELPHIA — Silencing the vast Philadelphia crowd with his final campaign trail address as president, Barack Obama framed Hillary Clinton as a guardian of his legacy as the clock ticked down on her long, turbulent ride to the White House.
Discussion: Political Wire
RELATED:
New York Times:   Clinton Campaigns in Philadelphia
Media Matters for America:
Trump's White Nationalist Supporters Love His “Nazi” Closing Ad Because It “Blasts” The “Evil Jews”  —  Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump's closing campaign ad did not disappoint his anti-Semitic fans in the white nationalist movement.  They called the two-minute ad …
TMZ.com:
Hillary Clinton — Pulls Plug On Election Night Fireworks  —  EXCLUSIVE  —  Hillary Clinton will NOT light up the sky over NYC if she wins the Presidency — her campaign is calling off a planned fireworks show ... TMZ has learned.  —  The Clinton campaign had contacted the Coast Guard …
RELATED:
Jeremy Diamond / CNN:
Donald Trump mocks hip hop as ‘talking’  —  Sarasota, Florida (CNN)Donald Trump on Monday mocked hip-hop music as he once again criticized the performance Jay Z and Beyonce delivered at a rally for Hillary Clinton, asking whether it was “talking or singing.”  —  “The language is so bad and as they were singing — singing right?
Discussion: Balloon Juice
Marc Santora / New York Times:
Woman Thrown in Front of Train at Times Square Subway Station Is Killed  —  A 46-year-old Queens woman was killed after being pushed in front of a subway train in Times Square on Monday, the New York Police Department said.  The attack disrupted traffic at the city's busiest transit hub …
Jeremy W. Peters / New York Times:
Spread of Early Voting Is Forging New Habits and Campaign Tactics  —  In 1977, a flood control measure on the ballot in Monterey, Calif., became what historians say was the first modern American election decided by people who voted before Election Day.  —  It was a strange moment …
Evan Perez / CNN:
Clinton campaign sends legal warning on ads claiming she's ‘under investigation’  —  (CNN)Hillary Clinton's campaign sent cease-and-desist letters to broadcasters advising that they shouldn't air ads from pro-Donald Trump PACs that include the claim that Clinton is “under investigation by the FBI.”
Nate Cohn / New York Times:
This Time, There Really Is a Hispanic Voter Surge  —  Hispanic voters were largely credited with President Obama's victory in 2012, but they weren't as crucial as many believed.  Mr. Obama didn't even need to win the Hispanic vote to put him over the top, thanks to high black turnout and support among white voters in the North.
Discussion: Instapundit
RELATED:
Joshua Green / Bloomberg:
In Trump's Most Important County, a Surge of Hispanic Voters
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
Election Update: Clinton Gains, And The Polls Magically Converge  —  First things first: Hillary Clinton has a 70 percent chance of winning the election, according to both the FiveThirtyEight polls-only and polls-plus models.  That's up from a 65 percent chance on Sunday night …
Nicholas Schmidle / New Yorker:
Glenn Beck Tries Out Decency  —  After the pundit watched Michelle Obama's speech about Trump's treatment of women, he rethought some things.  —  One recent morning, after the release of Donald Trump's Tic Tac tape and his subsequent mansplanation about locker-room talk …
Josh Gerstein / Politico:
Judges refuse voter-intimidation orders against GOP and Trump in Pennsylvania, North Carolina  —  Federal judges in North Carolina and Pennsylvania have turned down Democratic Party requests for orders barring their Republican counterparts from harassing voters at the polls.
Sabato's Crystal Ball:
Our Final 2016 Picks  —  Clinton 322, Trump 216; 50-50 Senate; GOP holds House  —  Larry J. Sabato, Kyle Kondik, and Geoffrey Skelley, UVA Center for Politics November 7th, 2016  —  After a nearly two-year campaign — kicked off in December 2014 by Jeb Bush (remember him?)  — we've come to it at last.
John Frank / Denver Post:
Purple State Memo: Republicans hold lead in Colorado early voting entering Election Day  —  A weekly newsletter that looks at the Colorado election in 2016  —  EARLY VOTING NUMBERS SHIFT AHEAD OF BIG DAY  —  Republicans took the lead in early voting in Colorado at the end of the day Friday …
Gary Langer / ABC News:
2016 Race Stays at 47-43 through Sunday (POLL)  —  Rolling forward to interviews conducted Thursday through Sunday, the ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll shows the same results as its previous estimate of 47 percent for Hillary Clinton and 43 percent for Donald Trump …
Discussion: Hot Air, The Week, Politico and Bloomberg
Josh Gerstein / Politico:
Judge balks at five-year timeline for release of Clinton emails  —  A federal judge signaled Monday that he's not inclined to agree to a timetable for the release of FBI-recovered Hillary Clinton emails that could have the records dribbling out over the next five years.
RELATED:
Fox News:
State Department contractors detail how Clinton and her team ignored security rules
Discussion: TheBlaze and Hot Air
Associated Press:
High Court Raises Doubts About Temporary Presidential Picks  —  The Supreme Court on Monday raised doubts about the temporary appointment of a former labor official in a case that could limit the president's power to fill top government posts.  —  The justices considered whether Lafe Solomon …
Discussion: Washington Post
Matthew Yglesias / Vox:
Why I think Nate Silver's model underrates Clinton's odds  —  The uncertainty is real, but it's not balanced.  —  People want to know who will win the election on Tuesday and are also nervous about it.  Indeed, some people seem to want to be nervous about it.
Numbers / Pew Research Center:
Social media causes some users to rethink their views on an issue  —  Politics on social media - as in real life - isn't always pretty.  In an election season marked by partisan animosity, a recent Pew Research Center report found that many social media users describe their political encounters online …
Everett Rosenfeld / CNBC:
Campaign manager on Trump charity donations: 'I've seen him write checks'  —  Watch Larry Kudlow push Kellyanne Conway over Trump's lack of charity  —  Kellyanne Conway, Trump campaign manager, pushes back against the assertion that Donald Trump is not charitable or generous.
 
 
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 More Items: 
Michael M. Grynbaum / New York Times:
TV Networks Face a Skeptical Public on Election Night
Julia Hahn / Breitbart:
Jill Stein Agrees with Trump: Hillary Clinton Presidency Means Nuclear War, a ‘Mushroom Cloud Waiting to Happen’
William Finnegan / New Yorker:
Venezuela, a Failing State
Sophia Bollag / Los Angeles Times:
California ballot propositions rake in a record $473 million in campaign cash
Kurt Schlichter / Townhall.com:
Stop Hillary  —  I was not happy to vote for Donald Trump …
Discussion: Israel Matzav
Ross Rosenfeld / The Hill:
4 ways the election really is rigged, Mr. Trump
Discussion: alan.com
 Earlier Items: 
Gabriel Debenedetti / Politico:
They Always Wanted Trump
Discussion: Power Line, The Atlantic and The Week
Washington Post:
The Trump campaign's war on reality made me question what I saw
Vanessa Friedman / New York Times:
On Election Day, the Hillary Clinton White Suit Effect
U.S. Department of Justice:
Justice Department to Monitor Polls in 28 States on Election Day
Sam Wang / Princeton Election Consortium:
Is 99% a reasonable probability?  —  Three sets of data point in the same direction: