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4:30 PM ET, November 4, 2018

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
John Harwood / CNBC:
Democrats hold 7 point advantage ahead of midterms as Trump's base comes back home: NBC-WSJ poll  — The election-eve NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll shows Democrats leading by seven percentage points, 50 percent to 43 percent, among likely voters.  That's down from a nine-percentage point lead last month.
RELATED:
CBS News:
House Democrats in position to gain but still face hurdles — CBS News poll  —  It may not be easy for Democrats to take the House majority, as they have to win a string of districts in Republican territory and get strong turnout, but they head into Tuesday in position to do so — even if narrowly.
Discussion: Politico and Political Wire
Mark Murray / NBC News:
Democrats hold 7-point edge in final national NBC/WSJ poll  —  Fifty percent of likely voters say they prefer a Democratic-controlled Congress, while 43 percent want Republicans in charge.  —  WASHINGTON — Democrats hold a 7-point advantage over Republicans in the final national NBC News …
Harry Enten / CNN:
The Forecast: Democrats are still favored to win the House.  But it's far from a sure thing.  —  (CNN)House forecast: Democrats will win 226 seats (and the House majority) while Republicans will win just 209 seats.  A Democratic win of 203 seats and 262 seats is within the margin of error.
Washington Post:
Democrats lead in House preferences, but positive views of the economy and concern about border …
Discussion: Axios, Townhall and Des Moines Register
New York Times:
Brian Kemp's Office, Without Citing Evidence, Investigates Georgia Democrats Over Alleged ‘Hack’  —  ATLANTA — The office of Georgia's secretary of state, Brian Kemp, who is also the Republican nominee for governor, said Sunday that the authorities had opened an inquiry into the Democratic Party …
RELATED:
Allan Smith / NBC News:
Kemp charges Georgia Democrats with attempted voter hack.  Abrams fires back: ‘Desperate.’  —  The secretary of state provided no evidence for his claim.  Democrats called it a ‘political stunt’ two days before the election.  —  Georgia Secretary of State Brian Kemp …
Mark Niesse / Atlanta Journal-Constitution:
Kemp's office investigates Georgia Democrats after alleged hacking attempt  —  The Georgia Secretary of State Office, run by Republican candidate for governor Brian Kemp, has launched an investigation into the Democratic Party of Georgia after an alleged attempt to hack the state's voter registration system.
New York Times:   Senate Latest, Brian Kemp and Alleged ‘Hack,’ Gun Mailer in Florida: 2 Days to Go
Jon Ralston / The Nevada Independent:
Predictions for Tuesday  —  Six years ago, Dean Heller was in trouble.  —  The Democratic machine had built up a seemingly insurmountable lead in early votes, amassing a 71,000-ballot edge in Clark County and 50,000 statewide.  —  When it came time for me to pen my biennial election predictions column …
Discussion: Hot Air
Aaron Blake / Washington Post:
Could losing the House actually help Trump in 2020?  —  We're now three days from the 2018 election — an election in which Republicans appear likely to lose the House.  The funny thing is that President Trump seems at peace with that.  His late strategy seems to be all about motivating the base for key red-state Senate races.
Discussion: Althouse and ABC News
RELATED:
Reuters:
Non-stop ads and robocalls: welcome to America's costliest election
Discussion: The Week
Ben Schreckinger / Politico:
Democrats traumatized by 2016 are having pre-midterms nightmares
Discussion: Townhall
Mark Z. Barabak / Los Angeles Times:
With Democrats well-positioned to take the House, Republicans scurry to save the Senate
Wall Street Journal:   A Test of Trump: Midterms Could Result in a Mixed Verdict
New York Times:
Two Capitals, One Russian Oligarch: How Oleg Deripaska Is Trying to Escape U.S. Sanctions  —  This spring, a British lord with deep ties to the governing Conservative Party and a reputation as a do-gooder environmentalist arrived in Washington on an unlikely mission: to save the business empire …
Nicholas Fondacaro / NewsBusters:
‘SNL’ Mocks ‘Gross’ GOP Candidate Who Lost His Eye to an IED Blast  —  Since the Vietnam War, liberals have been known for their great disdain for America's service members, despite their efforts to hide it.  During NBC's latest edition of Saturday Night Live, that disdain poked its ugly head …
Discussion: Townhall and Instapundit
RELATED:
Louis Casiano / Fox News:
‘No evidence’ to back Kavanaugh accusers' claims, Senate panel's report on FBI probe finds  —  An investigation into sexual misconduct allegations against Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh by multiple women found that no witnesses could provide evidence to substantiate their claims …
RELATED:
Stephen Dinan / Washington Times:
Another Kavanaugh accuser admits to fabricating rape story
Discussion: Louder With Crowder
Aiden Pink / The Forward:
GOP Candidate: No Peace In Israel Until Jews Convert To Christianity  —  A Republican congressional candidate in a competitive race in North Carolina said in a sermon that there would be no peace in Israel unless Jews and Muslims converted to Christianity, CNN reported Friday.
Discussion: Splinter and Political Wire
Martin Walsh / The American Mirror:
OBAMA UNHINGED: Mocks Hillary's emails, Ebola, Trump, migrant caravan — in under 90 seconds!  —  Former President Barack Obama has had a hard time staying focused on the campaign trail lately.  —  While stumping in Miami, Florida, with Sen. Bill Nelson, D-FL, and Florida Democratic …
RELATED:
Jacob Ogles / Florida Politics:   Ron DeSantis to Donald Trump: ‘We can save you a lot of money’
New York Times:
Consulting Firms Keep a Lucrative Saudi Alliance, Shaping Crown Prince's Vision  —  As Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman of Saudi Arabia charmed Goldman Sachs bankers and Silicon Valley executives on an American tour this spring, some of his most trusted lieutenants were taking care of business in Washington.
Discussion: Politico
Philip Rucker / Washington Post:
A ‘there-it-is’ moment: Trump wows fans by using Air Force One as a campaign prop  —  PENSACOLA, Fla. — The setting sun was painting the skies here a brilliant orange when Air Force One touched down Saturday evening and President Trump roared into his latest campaign rally.
Tom Nichols / USA Today:
This election is a referendum on Donald Trump's corrosive impact on our politics  —  I wish Republicans had checked Trump and been faithful to the Constitution.  But my former party failed.  Democrats are better bet to preserve democracy.  —  CONNECT  —  The midterm election Tuesday …
New York Times:
Far-Right Internet Groups Listen for Trump's Approval, and Often Hear It  —  On Wednesday, minutes after President Trump posted an incendiary campaign ad falsely accusing Democrats of flooding the country with murderous illegal immigrants, virulent racists on an online message board erupted in celebration.
John Solomon / The Hill:
Falsehood shames Clapper, Brennan and pledge to protect whistleblowers  —  In the summer of 2014, then-Director of National Intelligence James Clapper sent a letter assuring Sens. Charles Grassley (R-Iowa) and Ron Wyden (D-Ore.) that enhanced monitoring of Intelligence Community workers …
Tom Orsborn / MySanAntonio.com:
Popovich sports Beto O'Rourke cap, calls Cruz tactics ‘scary’  —  SAN ANTONIO - One day after he wore a cap emblazoned with “Beto” to practice, Spurs coach Gregg Popovich issued an impassioned plea Saturday for voters to side with Democratic Rep. Beto O'Rourke over Republican Sen. Ted Cruz …
New York Times:
'They Don't Really Want Us to Vote': How Republicans Made it Harder  —  PRAIRIE VIEW, Tex. — Damon Johnson is a 19-year-old sophomore studying chemical engineering at historically black Prairie View A&M University.  He's learning a lot about voting, too.  —  Mr. Johnson is one of the plaintiffs …
Discussion: BuzzFeed News and ThinkProgress
 
 
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 More Items: 
Byron York / Washington Examiner:
Yes, Trump is huge factor in midterms. But which Trump?
Michael R. Gordon / Wall Street Journal:
Trump Digs In for a Long, Cold War With Iran
Benjy Sarlin / NBC News:
Why the most boring midterm race in America matters big time
Emily Birnbaum / The Hill:
Ken Starr: I haven't seen Trump commit anything ‘close’ to an impeachable offense
TMZ.com:
Don Lemon's Racist Twitter Troll Won't Be Charged for Death Threats
Discussion: Raw Story
Tim Murphy / Mother Jones:
Donald Trump Jr. Is Basically Tweeting About White Genocide Now
Discussion: Hill Reporter, Splinter and Mediaite
Christopher Miller / Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty:
Ukrainian Activist Doused With Acid Dies
David Beavers / Politico:
Tillis: Trump ‘is right’ to put troops on the Southern border
Discussion: ABC News
 Earlier Items: 
Laura Washington / Chicago Sun Times:
Hillary Clinton remains the Democrats best chance to defeat Trump in 2020
Discussion: Althouse
Ben Jacobs / The Guardian:
In Illinois, a world turned upside down: once-red suburbs swing blue
Discussion: Chicago Tribune
Vann R. Newkirk II / The Atlantic:
Andrew Gillum Is Florida's Homecoming King
Kevin Robillard / HuffPost:
The GOP Is Flooding The Airwaves With Ads About Crime
Discussion: Political Wire
Benjamin Kentish / The Independent:
Labour Party branch ‘voted down motion condemning Pittsburgh synagogue attack’
gofundme.com:
Mayor Brent Taylor and Family
Discussion: RedState
Washington Post:
U.S. militia groups head to border, stirred by Trump's call to arms
 

 
From Mediagazer:

Jessica Toonkel / Wall Street Journal:
Sources: Paramount Global's board is considering replacing CEO Bob Bakish with an “Office of the CEO” made up of division heads on an interim basis

Jeff Jarvis / BuzzMachine:
The New York Times is broken, shown by its entitled, petulant reaction to Politico's report on its tense relationship with Biden

Andrew Marchand / The Athletic:
Sources: Amazon Prime Video has a framework deal for NBA broadcast rights for at least a decade, starting in 2025-26; ESPN/ABC is expected to keep the finals

 
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