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4:15 PM ET, November 1, 2021

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 Top Items: 
Sabato's Crystal Ball:
A Last Word on Virginia  —  Dear Readers: Join us Thursday, Nov. 4 from 6:30 p.m. to 8 p.m. for our annual American Democracy Conference.  The virtual event will begin with a presentation by Project Home Fire's Larry Schack and Mick McWilliams on our ongoing polling and data analytics project.
RELATED:
Bob Barnard / WTTG-TV:
FOX 5 EXCLUSIVE: Youngkin ahead of McAuliffe in FOX 5 exclusive Virginia gubernatorial race poll  —  FOX 5 EXCLUSIVE: Exclusive new poll shows Youngkin ahead of McAuliffe in Virginia's gubernatorial race  —  The results of an exclusive new poll reveal just how close Virginia's gubernatorial …
Jeff Greenfield / Politico:
Virginia Buries an Enduring Political Myth
Allahpundit / HotAir:
On second thought: This Virginia race isn't about Trump, says McAuliffe
Discussion: Fox News, Townhall and Washington Post
Byron York / Washington Examiner:
Byron York's Daily Memo: Note to Democrats: It's not 2020 anymore
Discussion: HotAir
Politico:
Last-ditch fight for Black votes could swing Virginia
Cleve R. Wootson Jr / Washington Post:
Virginia went big for Biden, but on eve of another pivotal election, many voters say Democrats have not delivered for them
Discussion: Breitbart and CBS News
Emily Brooks / Washington Examiner:
Trump urges Virginians to vote for Youngkin while casting doubt on state voting system
Ian Millhiser / Vox:
An unusual alliance appears likely to fracture Texas's abortion ban  —  Most of the justices seem to understand that SB 8 is a direct attack on the Constitution.  —  The abortion providers suing to block SB 8, Texas's aggressive anti-abortion law, came into Monday's Supreme Court argument with four votes on their side.
RELATED:
Adam Liptak / New York Times:
Supreme Court Appears Open to Letting Providers Challenge Texas Abortion Law  —  The Supreme Court heard two challenges on Monday to the law, which bars most abortions in Texas after about six weeks of pregnancy.  The first was brought by abortion providers in Texas, and the second was brought by the Justice Department.
Robert Barnes / Washington Post:
Supreme Court turns down chance to consider whether a Catholic hospital can be sued over transgender rights
Discussion: UPI, National Review and NBC News
Washington Post:
Manchin calls on Democrats to slow down on $1.75 trillion spending package, putting imminent House vote in jeopardy  —  West Virginia Democrat raised concerns about debt and inflation and demanded that House lawmakers approve a separate infrastructure bill.  —  Sen. Joe Manchin III (D-W.Va.) …
RELATED:
Susan Ferrechio / Washington Examiner:
Manchin threatens to scuttle spending deal again, accuses Democrats of playing ‘shell games’  —  Sen. Joe Manchin hit the brakes on a newly touted social welfare spending deal, arguing it needs much more work and consideration before he throws his support behind it.
Discussion: ABC News, Politico and CBS News
Allahpundit / HotAir:
Whoa: Manchin slams the brakes on reconciliation, tells House to stop holding the bipartisan infrastructure bill hostage
RELATED:
Domenico Montanaro / NPR:
Most Americans trust elections are fair, but sharp divides exist, a new poll finds
Juan Williams / The Hill:
‘Parents’ rights' is code for white race politics  —  After white supremacists spilled blood in defense of keeping up Confederate statues in 2017, the GOP candidate for governor of Virginia, Ed Gillespie, said the monuments should stay up as a matter of heritage and history.
Discussion: Reason, The Daily Caller and Twitchy
RELATED:
Jeremiah Poff / Washington Examiner:
Juan Williams says ‘parents’ rights' is ‘code’ for racism and defends NSBA domestic terrorists letter
Discussion: Fox News
Sara Fischer / Axios:
Big Tech finally reckons with climate denialism  —  Tech companies are cracking down on climate misinformation ahead of this year's United Nations COP26 climate summit, in an effort to get ahead of an expected surge in climate misinformation during the global conference.
Discussion: Protocol
RELATED:
Sarah D. / Twitchy:   Axios is pleased to report that Twitter will “pre-bunk' climate misinformation,' i.e. any inconvenient truths that hurt preferred climate change narrative
Tim Miller / The Bulwark:
Donald Trump Is Now the Odds-On Favorite to Be President in 2025  —  Be very afraid.  —  So Donald Trump is now the odds-on favorite to be president of the United States in 2025.  —  I know that lede sentence was also the headline, but I wanted you to read it one more time just to let it really settle …
Richard Hanania / Richard Hanania's Newsletter:
Liberals Read, Conservatives Watch TV  —  Explaining why Trump emerged on the right, why only liberals debate filibuster reform, how anti-vax became a partisan issue, how David Shor is half right, “Dems are the real racists” and much else. … How are conservatives and liberals different?
Natasha Khan / Wall Street Journal:
China Locks 30,000 Visitors Inside Shanghai Disneyland After One Guest Got Covid-19  —  Guests are required to take coronavirus test to exit after a positive case shuts down the park  —  HONG KONG—Shanghai Disneyland was temporarily shut down from Sunday after a visitor was found to be Covid-19-positive …
Discussion: CBS News, TheBlaze, NPR and ABC7
The Atlantic:
What Will Drive China to War?  —  President Xi Jinping declared in July that those who get in the way of China's ascent will have their “heads bashed bloody against a Great Wall of steel.”  The People's Liberation Army Navy is churning out ships at a rate not seen since World War II …
Kaitlan Collins / CNN:
Emergency vaccine rule for large employers will be issued ‘in the coming days’  —  Fauci: ‘Very, very few’ religions actually oppose vaccines  —  (CNN)The Federal Register will publish within days the Labor Department's rule requiring private businesses with 100 or more employees to vaccinate …
Discussion: UPI, POLITICUSUSA and The Daily Caller
RELATED:
Spencer Kimball / CNBC:   Biden administration to publish details on Covid vaccine mandate for businesses in coming days
Lindsay Ellis / Chronicle of Higher Education:
U. of Florida's Accreditor Will Investigate Denial of Professors' Voting-Rights Testimony  —  The University of Florida's accreditor plans to investigate the flagship campus over the revelation that administrators denied three professors' requests to serve as paid experts in a voting-rights lawsuit.
Discussion: Washington Post, Daily Kos and Reason
Steady:
A Party Embraces Vulgarity  —  I have tried for some time to avoid commenting on a topic that I felt should be so far beneath our political discourse that to give it the oxygen of attention would be to play into the strategic hopes of those who are seeking to debase our democracy.
Discussion: TheBlaze and Twitchy
Eli Yokley / Morning Consult:
A Year Ahead of the Midterms, Suburban Erosion Has Driven Biden's State-by-State Decline  —  Polling in all 50 states shows suburbanites who have been key to Democratic victories have largely turned on the president  — In most states, the change in sentiment about Biden among suburban voters tracks …
Terry Jones / Issues & Insights:
I&I/TIPP Poll: Just 42% Now Think Biden Is ‘Mentally Sharp’  —  Concerns about President Joe Biden's mental abilities have gone mainstream.  —  Although the press has largely overlooked Biden's gaffes, his disastrous performance at a decidedly friendly CNN townhall prompted the Wall Street Journal …
 
 
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 More Items: 
Hunter Woodall / Star Tribune:
Leading Minnesota Democrats skip campaigning against policing question
The Boston Globe:
A CITY ON THE BRINK OF HISTORY
George Joseph / Gothamist:
Judge Tosses Staten Island Man's Conviction Following NYPD Drug Planting Allegations
Roger Kimball / Real Clear Politics:
The January 6 Insurrection Hoax
Discussion: Althouse
Virginia Aabram / Washington Examiner:
Sleepy Joe: Biden appears to nod off during climate conference opening remarks
Hannah Sparks / New York Post:
Bat named ‘Bird of the Year 2021’ in controversial decision
 Earlier Items: 
Waitman Wade Beorn / Washington Post:
Can aggressors be ‘victims’? Ideologues on the right think so.
Discussion: Raw Story
Glenn Youngkin / Fox News:
Parents matter in education - Virginia election will decide fate of students, schools
Discussion: Breitbart
Los Angeles Times:
The day Alec Baldwin shot Halyna Hutchins and Joel Souza
Mike Pearl / The Daily Beast:
This Is Where the First Climate Wars Will Break Out
David A. Graham / The Atlantic:
Josh Mandel Might Be Craven Enough to Win