Red Wave Looks More Like a Ripple  —  That sound you hear is the crash of expectations of big GOP gains in the House this fall.  Democrats notched a huge victory in New York's 19th CD last night as Democrat Pat Ryan defeated Republican Marc Molinaro 51% to 49% in a Hudson Valley special election both parties had invested in.

Growing Evidence Against a Republican Wave  —  Since the fall of Roe v. Wade, it's increasingly hard to see the once-clear signs of a G.O.P. advantage.  —  At the beginning of this year's midterm campaign, analysts and political operatives had every reason to expect a strong Republican showing this November.

GOP prospects narrow in House as Democrats overperform in early contests  —  Republicans are facing dimming prospects for an overwhelming sweep in the House this fall, according to independent analysts and strategists across parties, as Democrats defy a long-predicted red wave in early contests …

Biden's student loan ‘fix’?  It's perfect for making the problem worse.  —  There are so many things wrong with President Biden's newly unveiled policy on student loans that one hardly knows where to begin.  So I might as well start with ... the Medicare doc fix.

CREW gets secret Barr memo on Trump obstruction  —  Following a victory in appeals court, Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington obtained the secret Department of Justice memo then-Attorney General Bill Barr pointed to in order to undermine the Mueller Report and justify …