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8:45 PM ET, November 5, 2022

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Benjamin Wallace-Wells / New Yorker:
Why Republican Insiders Think the G.O.P. Is Poised for a Blowout  —  The consensus among pollsters and consultants is this Tuesday's election will be a “bloodbath” for the Democratic Party.  —  On Wednesday afternoon, I spoke with a leading Republican political consultant about the Senate campaign in Georgia.
RELATED:
Politico:
Manchin-Biden coal clash highlights Democratic divisions at a perilous moment  —  Joe Manchin clashed Saturday with President Joe Biden over the politics of coal — a poorly timed breach between a pair of Democratic heavyweights just three days before voters head to the polls.
New York Times:
Trump, Biden and Obama Will Campaign in Pennsylvania in Midterm Finale
Alex Gangitano / The Hill:
Biden on people calling him a socialist: ‘Give me a break, what idiots’
Frances Robles / New York Times:
Pranks, Parties and Politics: Ron DeSantis's Year as a Schoolteacher  —  At a private school 20 years ago, the future Florida governor was a popular history teacher and coach.  But some students were taken aback by his comments on the Civil War and abortion.  —  Reporting from Rome, Ga.
Washington Post:
U.S. privately asks Ukraine to show it's open to negotiate with Russia  —  The encouragement is aimed not at pushing Ukraine to the negotiating table, but ensuring it maintains a moral high ground in the eyes of its international backers  —  The Biden administration is privately encouraging Ukraine's leaders …
Paul Farhi / Washington Post:
NBC retracts erroneous Paul Pelosi story that fueled conspiracy theories  —  People at the network said the ‘Today’ show report was based on ‘unreliable’ information from a source who was unnamed in the story.  —  NBC News reporter Miguel Almaguer had what seemed like a scoop on Friday …
New York Times:
How Republicans Fed a Misinformation Loop About the Pelosi Attack  —  Suggested Mr. Pelosi knew his attacker. Suggested the attack involved male prostitution. Repeated a false report that the attacker was in his underwear. Suggested Mr. Pelosi knew his attacker. Suggested the attack involved male prostitution. Repeated a false report
Hannah Sampson / Washington Post:
Ron DeSantis, who denounced Disney, actually got married there  —  The Florida governor passed a law in April to revoke Disney's special taxing status  —  Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) has been on the offense against the Walt Disney Co. for months, criticizing the entertainment giant …
Discussion: Twitchy, Occupy Democrats and Insider
Nate Cohn / New York Times:
Polling Averages Can Be Useful, but What's Underneath Has Changed  —  This year, a wave of polls from Republican-leaning firms is driving the averages.  —  The polls show Republicans gaining heading into the final stretch.  They've pulled ahead on the generic ballot in the race for the House …
Des Moines Register:
Iowa Poll: Chuck Grassley widens lead over Mike Franken in US Senate race  —  Brianne Pfannenstiel Stephen Gruber-MillerDes Moines Register  —  Republican Sen. Chuck Grassley has gained a double-digit lead over Democrat Mike Franken in the closing days of Iowa's U.S. Senate race, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows.
Discussion: Fox News and Vox
Jazmine Ulloa / New York Times:
In Arizona, Kari Lake Worked in Local TV News.  Now, She Calls Reporters ‘Monsters.’  —  Former friends and colleagues of Ms. Lake, the Republican nominee for governor, say they remember her far differently from the candidate they see today.  —  One longtime former co-worker …
Rachel Metz / CNN:
With Twitter in chaos, Mastodon is on fire  —  Will Twitter advertiser dollars affect Musk's promise to Trump?  —  Inside Musk's Twitter, Musk echoes Donald Trump, and an antitrust earthquake  —  The dangers of TikTok as a news source, MrBeast's billions, and mortgage rates top 7%
Miami Herald:
Assailant encouraged GOP canvasser to ‘do your job’ — raising questions about Rubio's account  —  The man accused of a politically motivated attack on a Republican Party canvasser in Hialeah last month actually encouraged the canvasser to keep handing out fliers just moments before the fight started …
Discussion: Raw Story
Hayley Dixon / Telegraph:
Trans criminals can use ‘loophole’ to hide previous convictions when applying for jobs  —  Report by Keep Prisons Single Sex warns the system could be ‘abused’ by those wanting to gain access to children and vulnerable young people  —  Criminals who claim they are transgender are able to use a …
Maureen Dowd / New York Times:
The Marjorie Taylor Greene-ing of America  —  WASHINGTON — Are we ready for our new Republican overlords?  —  Are we ready for an empowered Marjorie Taylor Greene?  —  Are we ready for a pumped-up, pistol-packing Lauren Boebert?  —  “How many AR-15s do you think Jesus would have had?”
Rosie Gray / New York Times:
The Unruly Heirs of Sarah Palin  —  Whether for her pathbreaking role as the first woman on a Republican presidential ticket or for rapping “Baby Got Back” on the Masked Singer, Sarah Palin has, since her debut on the national scene in 2008, made an art of attracting the spotlight.
Discussion: Althouse
Jon Levine / New York Post:
Insiders say Eric Adams wouldn't be upset with Zeldin win  —  An Election Day loss for Gov. Hochul might be a win for Mayor Adams.  —  Adams is actively campaigning for Hochul and not openly supporting her GOP rival Rep. Lee Zeldin, but multiple insiders told The Post that the mayor sees …
Piper French / Bolts:
In San Francisco, “No Intention to Seek Justice”  —  San Francisco police shot Sean Moore, a Black man suffering from schizophrenia, right outside his own home.  He died three years later of his injuries.  Police say they opened fire on Luis Góngora Pat, an unhoused Mayan Mexican man …
Washington Post:
Boris Epshteyn's loyalty to Trump pays off as investigations deepen  —  Pugilistic adviser has clashed with other lawyers for Donald Trump on whether to be confrontational or conciliatory  —  Few people speak to former president Donald Trump more these days than Boris Epshteyn.
Discussion: Raw Story and Wall Street Journal
Nico Grant / New York Times:
YouTube May Have Misinformation Blind Spots, Researchers Say  —  The video platform said it had limited the spread of misinformation ahead of Election Day, but new research showed that false narratives continued to slip through.  —  No, China has not worked with Democrats to steal the midterm elections …
Discussion: The Hill
Patrick Marley / Washington Post:
Lawsuit seeks to block counting of military ballots in Wisconsin  —  MADISON, Wis. — A Wisconsin lawmaker who has been a frequent promoter of false election claims is suing to prevent the immediate counting of military ballots in her state after she received three ballots under fake names.
The White House:
Statement by Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre  —  President Biden knows that the men and women of coal country built this nation: they powered its steel mills and factories, kept its homes and schools and offices warm.  They made this the most productive and powerful nation on Earth.
Tallahassee Democrat:
Florida election crimes unit sends out last-minute felons-removal list, causes confusion  —  James Call John KennedyUSA TODAY NETWORK - FLORIDA  —  Lists containing the names of hundreds of voters have been sent to county elections supervisors around Florida by Gov. Ron DeSantis' new Office …
Jeff Coltin / City & State New York:
Is gender bias hurting Kathy Hochul?  —  The first woman governor of New York is trailing among men, and political consultants said this is a very familiar “likeability” issue.  —  Vice President Kamala Harris, Gov. Kathy Hochul and Hillary Clinton campaigned this week in New York City.
Discussion: HotAir, DNyuz and Twitchy
Jack Nicas / New York Times:
What Can U.S. Democracy Learn From Brazil?  —  Both nations had presidents who attacked their elections.  But their responses — and the aftermaths — were much different.  —  BRASÍLIA — The run-ups to the most recent presidential elections in the Western Hemisphere's two largest democracies were remarkably similar.
 
 
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 More Items: 
Knight Foundation:
IN THE RUN-UP TO MIDTERM ELECTIONS, MOST AMERICANS BELIEVE THEY WON'T BE SWAYED BY DISINFORMATION—BUT THINK OTHERS MIGHT
Discussion: The Hill
Michael Shellenberger:
Why Elites Like Greta Thunberg Hate Capitalism
Discussion: Harnessing Insomnia
Shan Wu / The Daily Beast:
Appointing a Special Counsel for Trump Would Be a Mistake
Discussion: Raw Story and Mediaite
Melissa Chan / NBC News:
Voters will have a say on abortion in 5 states with high-stakes ballot measures
Discussion: Deseret News
Jonah Goldberg / The Dispatch:
Democracy Is Not on the Ballot … Dear Reader (Including those of you who dropped your lattes),
 Earlier Items: 
Jonathan M. Ladd / Mischiefs of Faction:
These Two Big Unknowns Make the 2022 Midterms Unusually Unpredictable
Discussion: Telling the Future
Sophia Cai / Axios:
Scoop: House Republicans cry politics over IRS outreach
Shannon Pettypiece / NBC News:
Evictions are piling up across the U.S. as Covid-era protections end and rents climb
Discussion: The Colorado Sun and MLive.com
Marisa Kabas / MSNBC:
Women under 25 could be the MVPs of the midterms
Discussion: Bloomberg, RedState and Daily Kos
Patrick Gillespie / Bloomberg:
Argentina's Kirchner Stokes Speculation On Presidential Run
JSOnline:
Ron Johnson fought for a tax cut as his family was amassing luxury real estate around the country
Discussion: Associated Press
Josh Gerstein / Politico:
Psaki, DOJ fight social-media speech suit subpoena
Timmy Facciola / The Intercept:
GOP Candidate Playing Up Veteran Status Finds Loophole for His Claim
 

 
From Techmeme:

Aaron Holmes / The Information:
Sources: Microsoft is training a new, in-house AI model that will have ~500B parameters, or large enough to rival top models from Google, Anthropic, and OpenAI

Counterpoint Research:
iPhone 15 Pro Max was Q1's best-selling smartphone; Pro phones were 50% of Apple's sales, up from 24% in 2020; Apple and Samsung each had five phones in top 10

Kyle Wiggers / TechCrunch:
Stack Overflow signs a deal with OpenAI to supply data to its models; new integrations between Stack Overflow and OpenAI should be available by the end of June

 
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