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2:15 PM ET, November 19, 2025

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Marist Poll:
A Look to the 2026 Midterms, November 2025  —  Democrats with Double-Digit Lead on 2026 Generic Ballot  —  The Democrats currently have a 14-point lead against the Republicans among registered voters nationally on the 2026 generic congressional ballot question.  This has changed considerably.
RELATED:
New Republic:
Trump's Plot to Rig 2026 Is Falling Apart, and Boy Is He Mad About It  —  Suddenly, President Trump's effort to rig the 2026 midterms with corrupt gerrymanders appears in trouble.  A panel of judges just blocked the GOP gerrymander in Texas, which had added five seats.
Politico:
‘Democrats are going to come to regret this’: After Epstein vote, Trump ready to attack … Her office did not respond to a request for comment, but a staffer told the Washington Post that Plaskett had received texts from Epstein, along with “staff, constituents and the public at large,” during a hearing.
Reuters:
Brutal New Poll Shows Just How Badly Donald Trump Is Tanking On Epstein And The Economy  —  The four-day poll comes as the president's grip on his Republican Party shows signs of weakening.  —  President Donald Trump's approval rating fell to 38%, the lowest since his return to power …
Discussion: Mediaite, Newsweek, SundayTimes and The Hill
William Kristol / The Bulwark:
The Epstein Saga Has Only Just Begun  —  This morning, a remarkable vibe-shift data point out of Marist College: Their latest poll gives Democrats a whopping 14-point lead among registered voters on the national generic ballot, 55-41, up from a 48-48 split in their poll last year.
Lakshya Jain / The Argument:   2026 is looking terrible for Republicans
Natasha Korecki / NBC News:   Democrats see a plan to undermine elections in Trump's surge of federal agents in cities
Jennifer Rubin / The Contrarian:   Trump is in Full Retreat
RELATED:
Ella Lee / The Hill:
DOJ admits full grand jury never reviewed final Comey indictment, further imperiling case
RELATED:
Ross O'Keefe / Washington Examiner:
House votes down censure resolution against Stacey Plaskett over Epstein texts
Nicholas Wu / Politico:
Plaskett narrowly escapes censure over her Epstein texts
Reuters:
The Charlie Kirk purge: How 600 Americans were punished in a pro-Trump crackdown  —  Two months after Charlie Kirk's assassination, a government-backed campaign has led to firings, suspensions, investigations and other action against more than 600 people.  Republican officials have endorsed …
Discussion: Alternet.org
Axios:
Scoop: U.S. secretly drafting new plan to end Ukraine war  —  The Trump administration has been secretly working in consultation with Russia to draft a new plan to end the war in Ukraine, U.S. and Russian officials tell Axios. … A top Russian official told Axios he's optimistic about the plan.
RELATED:
Phillips P. OBrien / Phillips's Newsletter:
Trump Was Working With Putin The Entire Time  —  Phillips's Newsletter is a reader-supported publication.  To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.  —  Well, the story is out and the fait accompli to screw Ukraine (and Europe) will soon be delivered to Kyiv.
Barak Ravid / Axios:
Scoop: Trump plan asks Ukraine to cede additional territory for security guarantee
Discussion: Daily Mail
Ana Swanson / New York Times:
Trump's Tariffs Sent Trade Plummeting in August  —  The steep tariffs President Trump issued in August led to a contraction in imports and the trade deficit, newly released data shows.  —  President Trump's sweeping tariffs took a toll on trade in August, as imports of goods …
RELATED:
Mother Jones:
This Is All John Roberts' Fault  —  Imagine: You are at a baseball game, but something is off.  When the blue team is at bat, the umpire calls every pitch a strike.  But when the red team is up, the umpire won't call a single one.  When a red batter hits the ball into a blue player's glove …
Discussion: NewsMax.com
RELATED:
Joyce Vance / Civil Discourse with Joyce Vance:
“Quiet Piggy!”  —  Subscribe to Civil Discourse and become part of a community that believes we have the power to save democracy, and that we don't have to obey a president who wants us to give up our rights so he can be a king.  Being informed is our superpower.  —  Subscribe now
RELATED:
Reuters:
US Justice Department will release Epstein files within 30 days, Bondi says
ProPublica:
“Ticking Time Bomb”: A Pregnant Mother Kept Getting Sicker.  She Died After She Couldn't Get an Abortion in Texas.  —  Tierra Walker had reached her limit.  In the weeks since she'd learned she was pregnant, the 37-year-old dental assistant had been wracked by unexplained seizures and mostly confined to a hospital cot.
Discussion: LifeNews.com and Mother Jones
Jamelle Bouie / New York Times:
The White House Gold Rush Is On  —  Here is a small selection of stories concerning either the president, a member of his family or a member of his cabinet.  —  This week, President Trump welcomed Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman of Saudi Arabia with a lavish reception at the White House.
Filip Timotija / The Hill:
How Trump's Saudi F-35 deal could alter Mideast balance of power  —  President Trump's deal to allow the sale of F-35 advanced fighter jets to Saudi Arabia has the potential to alter the military balance of power in the Middle East.  —  The package of fifth-generation stealth fighters …
Josh Gerstein / Politico:
Appeals court panel mulls $1M penalty for Trump in lawsuit against Hillary Clinton … “I can read this complaint,” said Pryor, a George W. Bush appointee.  “It seems a classic shotgun complaint.  It incorporates, by reference, hundreds of paragraphs into succeeding counts.”
Alan Feuer / New York Times:
F.B.I. Trainee Sues After Being Abruptly Fired Over Display of Gay Pride Flag  —  He described his dismissal as the latest move by senior F.B.I. officials to play politics, damaging morale and hindering the bureau's ability to carry out its public safety mission.
Discussion: CBS News
Mike Tomko / American Farm Bureau Federation:
Cost of Thanksgiving Dinner Declines  —  Cooking a Thanksgiving dinner for your friends and family will cost less than last year, marking the third straight year of price declines.  The American Farm Bureau Federation's 40th annual Thanksgiving dinner survey provides a snapshot of the average cost …
David Dayen / American Prospect:
The AI Bubble Is Bigger Than You Think  —  One thing I've been tracking this year is the areas where Wall Street and Silicon Valley are going to war.  Tech firms clearly want to become banking apps and receive special charters, private equity and crypto are jostling for position in worker 401 …
Epstein Larry Summers Openai / Associated Press:
Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers quits OpenAI board after release of Epstein emails  —  Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Larry Summers is resigning from OpenAI's board of directors, the ChatGPT maker and his office said Wednesday.  —  His departure comes after the release of emails showing …
Simon J. Levien / Politico:
Cassidy pushes his Obamacare plan.  Democrats aren't biting.  —  Senators appeared stuck in a health policy doom loop Wednesday, rehashing talking points over the looming expiration of Obamacare subsidies that led to the country's longest government shutdown.
Courtenay Brown / Axios:
BLS cancels October jobs report due to government shutdown  —  The Bureau of Labor Statistics will not release the October jobs report, citing the impact from the government shutdown, the agency said on Wednesday. … - The BLS said it would incorporate the payrolls data, sourced from business establishments, into the November report.
Discussion: Politico, Mediaite and NewsMax.com
Jonathan V. Last / The Bulwark:
Spoiler: We . . . Win?  —  I come to you at the turning of the tide.  —  ∙ Paid  —  1. A Year of Living Dangerously  —  This was the year of maximum peril.  Next year the government will be somewhat immobilized as it prepares for midterm elections.
Sarah Fortinsky / The Hill:
NYPD Commissioner Jessica Tisch confirms she will lead police under Mamdani  —  New York City Police Commissioner Jessica Tisch confirmed Wednesday she will remain in her post under Mayor-elect Zohran Mamdani, ensuring continuity as she leads the city's effort to reduce crime.
Rachel Frazin / The Hill:
Appeals court pauses California law requiring companies to disclose climate risks  —  A federal appeals court on Tuesday halted a California law requiring companies to disclose the risks that climate change poses to their business.  —  The Ninth Circuit issued a motion holding up the enforcement …
Discussion: NewsMax.com and Los Angeles Times
 
 
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 More Items: 
New York Times:
A Climate ‘Shock’ Is Eroding Some Home Values. New Data Shows How Much.
Jory Heckman / Federal News Network:
SBA told laid-off employees they could get their jobs back. It rescinded that offer a day later
Jennifer Weiner / New York Times:
Jeffrey Epstein's Victims Are the Real Story
Discussion: NPR
Ron Filipkowski / Meidas+:
19 Clips of Trump Demeaning Female Reporters in Last Few Months
Jane C. Timm / NBC News:
Texas Republicans in some counties are pushing to count ballots by hand in next year's primary
Paul Krugman:
Reminder: Crypto Is a Trump Trade
Discussion: Alternet.org
Joseph Gedeon / The Guardian:
State department to cut 38 universities from research program over DEI policies
Discussion: Joe.My.God.
 Earlier Items: 
David Kurtz / Talking Points Memo:
What Is Lindsey Halligan Hiding From Letitia James?
Discussion: CNN and Raw Story
Lauren McGaughy / ProPublica:
Gov. Greg Abbott Was Ordered to Release Some of His Emails With Elon Musk. Most Are Blacked Out.
Tom Joscelyn / Just Security:
State Dept's Foreign Terrorist Designations Undermine Claims of “Antifa” Threat
Ben Jacobs / Politico:
Forget Joe Rogan. The Next Big Podcast Bro Is in the Senate.
David Bauder / Associated Press:
Trump attacks ABC reporter after question about killing of Saudi journalist Khashoggi
 

 
From Techmeme:

Suzanne Smalley / The Record:
Pennsylvania's Supreme Court rules that police can get Google search data without a warrant; an expert warns it may encourage warrantless searches nationwide

Jake Kanter / Deadline:
YouTube terminates Screen Culture and KH Studio, two large channels that used AI to create fake movie trailers; the platform earlier suspended the channels' ads

Meghan Bobrowsky / Wall Street Journal:
Sources: Meta is developing a new image and video-focused AI model codenamed Mango, expected to be released in H1 2026 along with its new LLM dubbed Avocado

 
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