Polymarket Iran Bets Hit $529 Million as New Wallets Draw Notice  —  As US and Israeli bombs fell on Iran this weekend, bettors on Polymarket — where $529 million was traded on contracts tied to the timing of the strikes — were cashing in.  Almost immediately, blockchain sleuths began hunting for unusual patterns in recent bets.

X Is Drowning in Disinformation Following US and Israeli Attack on Iran  —  WIRED has reviewed hundreds of posts on X that promote misleading claims about the locations and scale of the attack.  —  Minutes after Donald Trump announced that the US and Israeli governments had launched a …

ISRAEL SAYS IRAN SUPREME LEADER KHAMENEI IS DEAD … - An Israeli official confirmed to Axios that Khamenei is dead, according to Israeli intelligence. … His death is a massive blow to the regime and could accelerate its collapse, which U.S. and Israeli officials have stated as a goal of their operation.

The C.I.A. Helped Pinpoint a Gathering of Iranian Leaders.  Then Israel Struck.  —  The killing of Iran's supreme leader and other top Iranian officials came after close intelligence sharing between the United States and Israel, according to people familiar with the operation.

Trump starts a war with Iran that few Americans support  —  This is a special early version of my weekly Sunday roundup of new political data published over the last seven days.  —  The United States and Israel launched a new round of military strikes against Iran on Saturday, Feb. 28 …

Trump has no realistic plan for Iran's future  —  The US president has not understood the lessons of past wars for regime change in Iraq and Afghanistan  —  The US-led invasions of Afghanistan and Iraq in 2001 and 2003 underlined the dangers of “regime change” wars.

Push from Saudis, Israel helped move Trump to attack Iran  —  U.S. intelligence assessments saw no imminent threat, but regional allies argued now was the time to strike.  —  President Donald Trump launched Saturday's wide-ranging attack on Iran after a weeks-long lobbying effort …

Iran Strikes Will Be Nasty for Oil Prices, But Not a Shock  —  One can look at oil and the Middle East through two lenses.  Magnify every detail from the attacks on Iran and its responses and a chaotic picture emerges.  When the market reopens on Sunday night, oil prices are likely to jump 10%-15% as a result.

Trump Has No Plan for the Iranian People  —  The mere act of bombing Iran will not by itself create a stable regime.  —  The American bombardment of Iran has been launched without explanation, without Congress, without even an attempt to build public support.

U.S. Races to Accomplish Iran Mission Before Munitions Run Out  —  Trump says the Iran campaign might last a week or longer, but dwindling stockpiles could limit his options  —  When the U.S. military's top general laid out the risks to President Trump of launching a major and extended attack on Iran …