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1:25 PM ET, January 3, 2008

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Zogby:
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Daily Tracking Poll: Obama Moves Into Lead Followed by Edwards; Huckabee Lead Widens  —  Clinton, Romney dip as Ron Paul gains  —  UTICA, New York - Democrat Barack Obama continued his upward momentum through the evening before the Iowa caucuses, capturing the lead ahead …
RELATED:
Chase Martyn / Iowa Independent:
Richardson Set to Send Obama Second-Choice Support  —  [Exclusive] Gov. Bill Richardson's campaign is expected to direct their supporters to caucus for Sen. Barack Obama in the second round of voting at Thursday's caucuses in precincts where he is not viable.
Tim Dickinson / Rolling Stone:
The Iowa Caucuses: Five Not-So-Unlikely Surprises  —  The smart money — not to mention the latest polls — gives an edge to Barack Obama and Mike Huckabee in tonight's Iowa caucuses.  —  But take a couple hundred thousand Midwesterners, pack them into gyms and libraries and town halls …
Discussion: Newsweek and RealClearPolitics
John Deeth / Iowa Independent:
Clinton Understood Surface, Not Spirit, Of Caucuses
Discussion: Crooks and Liars
The Politico:
Thompson may drop out, back McCain  —  DES MOINES, Iowa - Several Republican officials close to Fred Thompson's presidential campaign said they expect the candidate will drop out of the race within days if he finishes poorly in Thursday's Iowa caucus.  —  Thompson's campaign …
RELATED:
Byron York / The Corner:
Team Fred Strongly Denies...  Good morning from Des Moines.  I just got off the phone with Rich Galen, a top adviser to Fred Thompson, and it would be an understament to say that he is strongly denying the Politico story reporting that Thompson “will drop out of the race within days if he finishes poorly in Thursday's caucus.”
IowaPolitics.com Caucus Countdown Blog:
Thompson: Poor finish in Iowa won't end campaign  —  GOP presidential hopeful Fred Thompson said in an in-studio interview with KCCI-TV in Des Moines that there is no truth to rumors that his campaign will fold before New Hampshire if he doesn't have a strong showing in Iowa.
CNN:
Caucuses 101: Mastering rules could lead to victory  —  (CNN) — The arcane rules governing Thursday's Iowa Democratic caucuses will test even the most organized campaign, but mastery of the process could launch a candidate on a path to the White House.  —  Most Americans are familiar …
RELATED:
Thomas Beaumont / Des Moines Register:
Independents plan to caucus with Dems
Discussion: MSNBC, New York Times and PoliGazette
Blue Texan / Firedoglake:
Iowa Independents Prefer Democrats 2:1 Over Republicans
Jeff Zeleny / New York Times:
Candidates Offer Final Messages to Iowa Voters  —  DES MOINES — With an eye on the weather forecast and faith in their organizations, the presidential candidates wound down their Iowa caucus campaigns on Thursday and sought to manage their expectations as they nervously awaited a verdict …
RELATED:
Foreign Policy:
Seven Questions: Gen. David Petraeus on Winding down the Surge  —  By the end of July, 25 percent of American combat troops are due to withdraw from Iraq.  FP sat down with Gen. David Petraeus, the top U.S. commander in Iraq, to find out how he plans to draw down without leaving chaos behind.
RELATED:
Pig / WanderingGoblin.com:
Goblin Literature  —  Ron Paul, the Future President of Azeroth  —  Ron Paul, the Future President of Azeroth  —  I am, by my own admission, the worst journalist in gaming.  Before I begin writing about the World of Warcraft Ron Paul rally, it's important that you understand this.
RELATED:
Andrew Sullivan / The Daily Dish:   Ron Paul: For President Of Azeroth!
Marc Ambinder:
Caucus: Clinton Revises Turnout Model Up  —  ** Hillary Clinton's team has revised its turnout model.  The same senior campaign source who projected a turnout of 140,000 voters is now predicting that 150,000 voters will show, and says that, according to the turnout model the campaign is employing …
Chuck Todd / MSNBC:
Get your post-caucus spin now  —  With this guide, you can analyze any result — before the Iowans gather  —  DES MOINES, Iowa - In a matter of hours, following the results of the Iowa caucuses, a contest will begin.  It will take place among the slew of national media trying to determine exactly what happened.
John Kass / Chicago Tribune:
For Marine's sendoff, his car is keyed  —  Marine Sgt. Michael McNulty — now on his way to Iraq for his second tour of duty in the war — took meticulous care of his car.  —  It is a black two-door BMW, an expensive ride for a young Marine from Chicago, but then, McNulty didn't exactly join …
Discussion: UrbanGrounds
Richelieu / Weekly Standard:
Richelieu: Predictions  —  Your Cardinal has been busy converting the wicked in the bars and political back-rooms of icy Iowa, and offers a few final thoughts and predictions.  —  1.)  Obama is going to win and could do so by a strong margin.  Hillary and Edwards trail, with 60% chance Hillary comes in third.
Discussion: Washington Post and No Left Turns
New York Post:
ROCK MAKES THE GARDEN HOWL  —  RAUNCHY stand-up Chris Rock had Madison Square Garden in stitches Monday night, when he kicked off his six-month tour performing for a sold-out New Year's Eve audience of 20,000 fans who gave him a midnight standing ovation.  —  The comic from Bed-Stuy proclaimed …
Matthew Yglesias:
The Independents  —  John Judis and Ruy Teixeira take a look at the demographic and ideological characteristics of self-described independents and their potential role in the presidential election.  It's clear that the post-partisan rhetoric from Barack Obama that's annoyed a lot of bloggers …
 
 
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 More Items: 
Dana Milbank / Washington Post:
Obama Has to Hope Cheers Equal Votes
Aaron Blake / The Hill:
Romney is giving Bush some love
Discussion: Think Progress
Josh Kraushaar / The Crypt's Blogs:
Peterson to retire
Discussion: TIME
Associated Press:
Bush not waiting up for Iowa results
Discussion: Think Progress
Atlanta Journal-Constitution:
Von Spakovsky says good-bye to that job at the FEC
Discussion: The Crypt's Blogs
Daily Mail:
Flashman author George MacDonald Fraser dies aged 82 after cancer battle
Thomas F. Schaller / American Prospect:
Why Iowa Means Nothing to the GOP
Vanity Fair:
Karl Rove  —  A principal architect of the disastrous presidency …
Discussion: Rising Hegemon
 Earlier Items: 
Nikki Finke / Deadline Hollywood Daily:
Mike Huckabee Slammed By WGA Pickets; Hillary Clinton Gets Cameo On Letterman
Discussion: BuzzFlash.org
Walter Alarkon / The Hill:
Democrats say Bush can't pocket veto defense bill
Discussion: TPMmuckraker
The Big Trunk / Power Line:
A WORD FROM PHILIP ZELIKOW
Discussion: Captain's Quarters
Diane Cardwell / New York Times:
Political Field Is Panned by Bloomberg
Mark Steyn / The Corner:
Re: Fred's end?
Michael Moore:
Who Do We Vote For This Time Around? A Letter from Michael Moore
Shaun Waterman / Washington Times:
Press, political pressure helped ‘lose’ Fallujah, report says