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9:35 AM ET, January 9, 2008

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Maureen Dowd / New York Times:
Can Hillary Cry Her Way Back to the White House?  —  DERRY, N.H.  —  When I walked into the office Monday, people were clustering around a computer to watch what they thought they would never see: Hillary Clinton with the unmistakable look of tears in her eyes.  —  A woman gazing at the screen was grimacing, saying it was bad.
RELATED:
Adam Nagourney / New York Times:
Clinton Escapes to Fight Another Day  —  MANCHESTER, N.H. — Hillary Rodham Clinton is back.  —  With solid support from registered Democrats and the backing of women who deserted her in Iowa, Senator Clinton beat Senator Barack Obama of Illinois with a margin that — if not particularly wide …
RELATED:
Greg Veis / The Plank:
What We Can Learn From The Democratic Exit Polls  —  I've looked at the current Democratic exit polls, which, incidentally, are adjusted later to fit the final results, so what I have to say here must taken as subject to revision.  What they show is that the pattern that held up earlier …
Washington Post:
N.Y. Senator Defies Polls, Edges Obama  —  As early returns showed a neck-and-neck race in the Democratic presidential primary, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton prepared to proclaim herself the latest comeback candidate to emerge from New Hampshire after defying predictions that she would be swamped by Sen. Barack Obama.
Taegan Goddard's Political Wire:
Giuliani Sinks to Fourth in Florida  —  A new Datamar poll in Florida finds Mike Huckabee leading the Republican presidential primary race with 24% support, followed by Mitt Romney at 20%, Sen. John McCain at 18% and Rudy Giuliani now back in fourth place at 16%.  —  Two months ago, Giuliani led the GOP race.
RELATED:
Kathleen Gray / Detroit Free Press:
McCain, Romney about to take Michigan by storm  —  Starting today, it's Michigan's turn.  —  And the state's presidential primary, at least on the Republican side, apparently has come down to a two-man battle between Arizona Sen. John McCain, fresh off Tuesday's victory in the New Hampshire primary …
Hugh Hewitt / Townhall.com:
On To Michigan (and South Carolina, Nevada and Florida and 2/5)
Discussion: Punditry and alicublog
Forbes Blogger / Digital Rules:
GOP Chances, Tonight And Beyond
Discussion: Ross Douthat and Eunomia
Andrew Sullivan / The Daily Dish:
The Return Of The Bradley Effect?  —  It's one explanation for the big gap between the final polls and the result: … Tonight is the first primary - not a caucus.  People get to vote in a secret ballot - not in front of their largely liberal peers, as in Iowa.
RELATED:
Will / Attytood:
Is “Bradley effect” behind the Clinton surge?  —  Does Hillary Clinton's unexpectedly strong showing in New Hampshire tonight mean that the racially charged Bradley effect" is still hanging around in American politics?  —  The “Bradley effect” is the name that some political pundits gave …
Discussion: The Moderate Voice
Daniel Gross / Slate:
WHY WERE THE POLITICAL FUTURES MARKETS SO WRONG ABOUT OBAMA AND CLINTON?  —  So, I've been watching the action in one of the political futures markets this evening, Intrade.  And the action in this prediction market has reinforced my opinion that these are less futures markets than immediate-past markets.
RELATED:
Gary Langer / The Numbers:
New Hampshire's Polling Fiasco  —  There will be a serious, critical look at the final pre-election polls in the Democratic presidential primary in New Hampshire; that is essential.  It is simply unprecedented for so many polls to have been so wrong.  We need to know why.
Ed Morrissey / Captain's Quarters:
Did The Ronulans Disappear Overnight?  —  A funny thing happened on my way to the predictable onslaught of Ron Paul supporters in my comments section after yesterday's post about his newsletters.  The onslaught never arrived — and neither did the supposed Revolution from New Hampshire.
RELATED:
Ron Paul 2008:
Press Releases › Ron Paul Statement on The New Republic …
The New Republic:
Selections From Ron Paul's Newsletters
Matthew Yglesias:
How Wrong Were The Polls?  —  Commenter Brian makes an observation “No one is talking about how the polls actually nailed Obama's number.  Obama didn't lose this election.  He stayed steady and Hillary surged ahead."  That seems to be true.  Here's a chart comparing the actual results …
Discussion: MoJoBlog, Betsy's Page and Whiskey Fire
Barbara Raab / MSNBC:
ABOUT LAST NIGHT  —  By Brian Williams, Anchor and managing editor  —  I see from a tour of the web that we find ourselves in the position of having our own words and reporting turned back around on us, and I wanted to clarify something we posted yesterday.
Discussion: FishBowlDC and NewsBusters.org
Houston Chronicle:
More e-mails emerge in Harris County DA scandal  —  County GOP says Chuck Rosenthal should resign  —  New e-mails released Tuesday show District Attorney Chuck Rosenthal sent and received racist jokes and strategized with political consultants and colleagues about his re-election campaign on his county e-mail account.
Brad Friedman / The BRAD BLOG:
NH Primary: Pre-Election Polls Wildly Different Than Results Announced for Clinton/Obama  —  [UPDATED several times at end of article, and still developing with new updates...]  —  I'm not sure why Obama would have conceded so soon, given the virtually inexplicable turn of events in New Hampshire tonight.
 
 
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 More Items: 
Matthew Mosk / Washington Post:
FEC Reduced to Offering Advice
Ezra Klein / American Prospect:
PICKING, AND PICKING ON, BILL KRISTOL.
Discussion: Wizbang
Kenneth Lovett / New York Post:
BARACK'S ‘FAIRY TALE’
Rose Garden / White House:
President Bush Participates in Video Teleconference with Iraq …
Discussion: First Draft and Think Progress
Rudolph W. Giuliani / Opinion Journal:
The Resilient Society  —  A blueprint for homeland security.
Discussion: The Strata-Sphere
ABCNEWS:
US Releases Dramatic Video of Iran Boat Incident
Slate:
INDIANA'S VOTER-ID LAW IS HARMFUL AND WORTHLESS.
James Taranto / Opinion Journal:
Best of the Web  —  Coming Soon: a new and improved OpinionJournal.
Discussion: Stop The ACLU
 Earlier Items: 
Marc Ambinder:
Obama Still Expected To Get Culinary Workers Endorsement
Discussion: MyDD
John McCain / CNN:
Last-minute decisions drive many, exit polls show
Discussion: Citizen Crain
Dr. Clarissa Pinkola Estés / The Moderate Voice:
Polling, Schmolling: Biggest News Not Hillary NH: But Seduction …
Andrew Sullivan / The Daily Dish:
Some Reader Reax
Discussion: Matt Zeitlin and race42008.com
The Corner:
The big no-mo  —  Looking at the winners and losers …
Discussion: TigerHawk
John McCain / CNN:
Early exit polls: GOP feelings on Bush administration
New York Times:
Details of the Nominating Process