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8:25 PM ET, January 29, 2008

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
The Campaign Spot:
First (?) Wave of Florida Exits, Revealed  —  The first wave of exit poll numbers, including absentees: McCain 34.3 percent, Romney 32.6 percent, Giuliani 15.3 percent, Huckabee 12 percent.  —  UPDATE: Interestingly a second source — yes, guardians of the exit poll data …
RELATED:
Robert Perez / Orlando Sentinel:
Area voters in Florida Primary are reporting problems at polls  —  One voter was told by poll workers there was no Democratic primary today  —  On Florida Primary day, voters are reporting problems across Central Florida from Daytona Beach to Hunter's Creek.
Associated Press:
Early FL exit poll highlights  —  Some highlights of preliminary data from exit polls conducted for The Associated Press and television networks in the Florida presidential primary Tuesday:  —  ___  —  RISING IMPORTANCE FOR FALLING ECONOMY  —  Given four choices, nearly half …
Paul Kiel / TPMmuckraker:   What Democratic Primary?  —  The Orlando Sentinel reports …
New Hampshire Union Leader:
Hillary's word: It's worth nothing  —  COURTING VOTERS in Iowa and New Hampshire, last August Sen. Hillary Clinton signed a pledge not to “campaign or participate” in the Michigan or Florida Democratic primaries.  She participated in both primaries and is campaigning in Florida.
RELATED:
Marc Ambinder:
Tonight: Clinton Parties In Florida  —  Note: polls close in Florida at 7...and 8.  This event begins at 7.  —  Will this really help her?  She is going to be overshadowed tonight by the GOP contest.  This is would be like the New England Patiots celebrating a pre-season victory.  Weird.
Ben Smith / Ben Smith's Blogs:
A pro-Hillary robo-call in Florida
Discussion: TPM Election Central
Sam Stein / The Huffington Post:
McCain Accused Of Gay Baiting In Anti-Romney Attack  —  On the eve of the Florida Republican primary, Sen. John McCain launched a robo-call campaign attacking his rival Mitt Romney that some gay rights groups say amounts to gay baiting.  —  The call, which comes at the end of a hotly contested election …
RELATED:
Rich Lowry / The Corner:
McCain 33, Romney 32?  —  That's what's going around as the early exits.  If you haven't voted, get out and do it—every vote might really count down there.  I asked a friend (not supporting anyone) if Romney still has a chance if that exit poll is accurate: “Oh yes.  That's well within the margin of error.
You Decide 08!:
EARLY EXIT POLLS: SENIORS AND HISPANICS STRONG FOR MCCAIN
Discussion: Captain's Quarters
Chris Cillizza / The Fix:   Florida Primary: What to Watch For Tonight
Philip Klein / American Spectator:
Mitt Shouldn't Get A Free Pass
Washington Post / The Trail:
Richardson's Choice  —  SANTA FE, N.M. — Gov. Bill Richardson's phone has been ringing off the hook.  Sen. Hillary Clinton called Sunday night.  That was followed by a call from former president Bill Clinton, then a call from Pennsylvania Gov. Ed Rendell, who's supporting Clinton.
RELATED:
Ben Smith / Ben Smith's Blogs:
More Florida spin  —  The Clinton campaign convened a conference call this afternoon to keep pushing its line on how much Florida matters.  —  We'll be able to judge their success with this spin, my colleague David Kuhn points out, in terms of whether the television networks pay much attention to Hillary's numbers tonight in Florida.
RELATED:
Noam Scheiber / The New Republic:
Did Obama Hand the Clintons a Talking Point?
Discussion: Democratic Strategist
Amanda / Think Progress:
Bush Issues Signing Statement On Defense Act, Waiving Ban On Permanent Bases In Iraq  —  President Bush yesterday signed the 2008 National Defense Authorization Act after initially rejecting Congress's first version because it would have allegedly opened the Iraqi government to “expensive lawsuits.”
Paul Krugman:
An Iraq recession?  —  One thing I get asked fairly often is whether the Iraq war is responsible for our economic difficulties.  The answer (with slight qualifications) is no.  —  Just to be clear: I yield to nobody in my outrage over the way we were lied into a disastrous, unnecessary war.
Anne Applebaum / Slate:
Where Did All Those Gorgeous Russians Come From?  —  THE SAME PLACE AS THE UNGLAMOROUS ASSEMBLY-LINE WORKERS.  —  There was a particular historical moment, round about 1995 or so, when anyone entering a well-appointed drawing room, dining room, or restaurant in London was sure to encounter a beautiful Russian woman.
Ari Shapiro / NPR:
Army Blocks Disability Paperwork Aid at Fort Drum  —  Listen Now  —  · Army officials in upstate New York instructed representatives from the Department of Veterans Affairs not to help disabled soldiers at Fort Drum Army base with their military disability paperwork last year.
Ben Smith / Ben Smith's Blogs:
Obama: ‘El nos entiende’  —  Obama's up with this spot in Arizona and California, starring Rep. Luis Gutierrez, Chicago's Hispanic congressman.  —  But there's a hint of more to come: It opens with a still of Teddy Kennedy.  —  Earlier Spanish-language spots tried to make an immigrant connection …
Discussion: Spin Cycle
Mark Steyn / The Corner:
Mitt'n'Mac  —  I think I agree with Andrew Stuttaford from a gazillion hours ago this morning - that the outcome hinges on what the Dems do.  If they nominate Obama, then (as Andrew says) it will be a “narrative” election.  If the GOP nominates McCain, then it's young, gifted and black vs old, cranky and weathered.
 
 
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 More Items: 
Cliff May / The Corner:
Re: Re: A Simple Warning
Discussion: TBogg
Reuters:
Cannabis bigger cancer risk than cigarettes: study
Jeralyn / TalkLeft:
Florida Primary Results: First Live Thread
Discussion: The Page
Megan McArdle:
Prophets of profit
Michelle Malkin:
All eyes on the Sunshine State
Melissa McEwan / Shakespeare's Sister:
I Have Questions for Barack Obama
John Tierney / New York Times:
Hitting It Off, Thanks to Algorithms of Love
Discussion: Brian Beutler
Randyj / The Page:
Looking at Numbers  —  FOX NEWS EXIT POLL RESULTS
Discussion: Commentary
 Earlier Items: 
The Sideshow:
Feeling the currents  —  Watching the TPM Clinton Pile …
Hillary Clinton / CNN:
Obama: I didn't snub Clinton
Steven Rattner / Wall Street Journal:
Let's Get Real About the Economy
Evan Perez / Wall Street Journal:
U.S. Probes 14 Companies In Subprime Investigation
Discussion: Eschaton and Calculated Risk
Andrew Sullivan / The Daily Dish:
SOTU  —  I tried not to watch it and failed.  It felt phoned in.
Discussion: protein wisdom
Pam / Pam's House Blend:
The fantasy of a ‘post-racial’ election
Carl Hulse / New York Times:
For Democrats, a Gleeful State of the Union