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2:30 PM ET, November 3, 2008

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Adam Smith / The Buzz:
Tampa McCain rally: Where is everybody?  —  About 30 minutes before John McCain is scheduled to lead a rally outside Raymond James Stadium, looks like there's maybe 1,000 people here.  What's up with that?  On the day before the election?  Bush drew at least 15,000 people to a rally …
RELATED:
CNN:
McCain draws small Florida crowd on race's final day  —  TAMPA, Florida (CNN) - Barack Obama may lead John McCain by just 2 points in the latest CNN Florida poll of polls, but the enthusiasm gap appears a bit wider.  —  John McCain's first rally of the day, in Tampa outside Raymond James Stadium, only drew about 1,100 people.
Jill Zuckman / The Swamp:
McCain, fueled by coffee, sees win
RELATED:
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight.com:
Today's Polls, 3 AM Edition (11/3)  —  Barack Obama's position has become somewhat stronger since our update this afternoon.  We now have him with a 5.8 point lead in the national popular vote, and winning the election 96.3 percent of the time.  Earlier today, those figures were 5.4 and 93.7, respectively.
Marc Ambinder:
In One Weekend, 1.8 million Doors Knocked For Obama
Discussion: Spin Cycle
Paul Krugman / New York Times:
The Republican Rump  —  Maybe the polls are wrong, and John McCain is about to pull off the biggest election upset in American history.  But right now the Democrats seem poised both to win the White House and to greatly expand their majorities in both houses of Congress.
RELATED:
Kevin Drum / Mother Jones:
THE FUTURE....So what does the political world look like on Wednesday …
Discussion: Brian Beutler
William Kristol / New York Times:
Hey Liberals, Don't Worry  —  Barack Obama will probably win the 2008 presidential election.  If he does, we conservatives will greet the news with our usual resolute stoicism or cheerful fatalism.  Being conservative means never being too surprised by disappointment.  —  But what if John McCain pulls off an upset?
Carla Marinucci / San Francisco Chronicle:
Palin suggests Chronicle withheld Obama remarks  —  (11-02) 20:33 PST — Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, in a campaign appearance Sunday, criticized comments about coal technology that Sen. Barack Obama made to The Chronicle editorial board in January, and suggested that the newspaper withheld …
RELATED:
Jeffrey Hart / The Daily Beast:
Obama is the Real Conservative  —  Romney's Game Plan for 2012 by Tucker Carlson  —  A speechwriter for Reagan and Nixon—who worked at the National Review for four decades—on why he's voting for Obama.  —  It may be something of a surprise that, as a long time conservative, I now support Barack Obama.
Amanda Terkel / Think Progress:
Romney Can't Bring Himself To Say That McCain Has Conducted A ‘Dignified And Honest’ Campaign  —  This morning on NBC's Today Show, host Meredith Vieira asked McCain campaign surrogate Mitt Romney about a new University of Wisconsin analysis, which found that more of McCain's ads have been negative than Obama's in the past week.
Marty / Martin Eisenstadt's Blog:
Joe the Plumber canoodled cast member at SNL after-party?  —  So we all know who's been traveling to all the McCain events this past week, Joe “the Plumber” Wurzelbacher.  Sure enough, when I got to 30 Rockefeller Center to meet up with the McCain advance team, along with many of the campaign staff, there was Joe.
Discussion: The Heretik and Ace of Spades HQ
Steve Benen / Washington Monthly:
ADVICE TO BE IGNORED.... We'll know soon enough whether Democrats have a good Election Day or not, but Doug Schoen is already urging the party not to perceive potentially sweeping victories as an endorsement of the Democratic agenda. … I see.  So, if voters turn out in record numbers …
Discussion: Liberal Values, Open Left and Eschaton
RELATED:
Myglesias / Matthew Yglesias:
What to Fear  —  Starting Wednesday I think we can expect …
Discussion: Kevin Drum
Jessica Pressler / New York Magazine:
The Dr. Maddow Show  —  The secret to the success of a wonky lesbian pundit with no TV experience?  A Ph.D. from Oxford, a dry sense of humor, and the ability to be nice to Pat Buchanan.  —  E  —  ver heard of something called Dada?  Rachel Maddow is trying to make an analogy.
Discussion: TVNewser and Alternate Brain
Times of London:
How The Times followed a trail to find Barack Obama's aunt  —  The trail that led to “Aunt Zeituni”, the relative of Barack Obama who was traced by The Times last week, started with Mr Obama's memoir, one of the most widely read political autobiographies of all time.
PR Newswire:
Ohio Coal Association Says Obama Remarks Make It Clear: Obama Ticket Not Supportive of Coal  —  COLUMBUS, Ohio, Nov 03, 2008 /PRNewswire—USNewswire via COMTEX/ — Mike Carey, president of the Ohio Coal Association (OCA), today issued the following statement in response to just-released remarks …
Peter Beinart / Washington Post:
Last of the Culture Warriors  —  Why has America turned on Sarah Palin?  Obviously, her wobbly television interviews haven't helped.  Nor have the drip, drip of scandals from Alaska, which have tarnished her reformist image.  But Palin's problems run deeper, and they say something fundamental about the political age being born.
Mike Stuckey / MSNBC:
Free sex toys — and much more — for voting  —  Businesses across nation ready to reward citizens for casting their ballots  —  “I Voted” stickers, like these being given to early voters in Las Vegas, could be your ticket to free doughnuts, ice cream or even sex toys.  —  msnbc.com
Discussion: Moonbattery and Wake up America
Greg Sargent / TPM Election Central:
Poll: McCain's Attacks On Obama Completely Flopped  —  Some interesting numbers from the internals of the new NBC/WSJ poll illustrate as clearly as you could want that every one of McCain's major attack lines has been a complete flop:  —  * Despite months of attacks on Obama's allegedly sinister background …
Discussion: MyDD and Political Machine
Ali Frick / Think Progress:
Palin Blows Off Fox News, Lies About Agreeing To Appear With Megyn Kelly  —  Last week, Fox News host Megyn Kelly complained that Gov. Sarah Palin (R-AZ) hadn't done enough interviews on Fox.  “She has yet to do any Fox daytime.  She has not gone on this broadcast.  She hasn't gone on Fox and Friends.
Discussion: The Impolitic
VOX / Vox Popoli:
Presidential prediction - McCain wins  —  Over the last week, numerous people have emailed me and asked for my prediction regarding the election.  My predictions are of limited value, of course, given my notorious inability to correctly predict either 2008 nomination in 2003 …
Discussion: BobKrumm.com
Jonathan Martin / The Politico:
What if Wright played a bigger role in campaign?  —  It was the dog that didn't bark — or at least did little more than whimper.  —  Even as the Pennsylvania GOP went on TV this weekend with a last-ditch ad reminding Keystone state voters of Barack Obama's former pastor …
Discussion: Commentary, Newsweek Blogs and Hot Air
Greg Robb / MarketWatch:
U.S. ISM factory index plunges again in October  —  WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) - The nation's manufacturers continued to cut back production sharply in October for the second straight month, the Institute for Supply Management reported Monday.  The ISM index fell to 38.9% in October from 43.5% in September.
Discussion: MoJoBlog
Howard Kurtz / Washington Post:
Obama's Talk Show Advantage Is No Idle Chatter  —  The presidential candidates have made it through a two-year media maze that at times dwelled on cleavage, cackling, Paris Hilton, lipstick, haircuts, houses, preachers, pregnancy, flag pins, witchcraft, designer wardrobes and Joe Wurzelbacher.
Ambrose Evans-Pritchard / Telegraph:
Revenge of the Left across the world  —  Whatever the exact result of the US elections tomorrow, we must assume that the whole governing machinery of Washington and the state capitols will soon be hostile to laissez-faire thinking.  —  It is not just that the Democrats will win a crushing victory …
Discussion: Blogs of War
Nathan Hodge / Danger Room:
Mercenary Firm Offers to ‘Detain Troublemakers’ on Election Day (Updated)  —  CIA-linked private military contractor Evergreen Defense & Security Services offered to post sentries at Oregon election offices on Tuesday, “detaining troublemakers” and making sure voters “do not get out of control.”
 
 
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 More Items: 
Ta-Nehisi Coates:
Billy Dee Williams says “Young man, pull up your pants...”
Discussion: Matthew Yglesias
Washington Wire:
McCain Rally: Salter Is Smiling
Peter Hamby / CNN:
Palin campaign stonewalls on medical records
Discussion: Washington Monthly
Casper Star-Tribune:
Obama can lead us through troubled times
Christopher Hitchens / Slate:
The Republicans' appalling attack on Rashid Khalidi.
Discussion: New York Magazine
 Earlier Items: 
Roger Kimball / Pajamas Media:
Thoughts on the instinct of self-preservation or, Why I still …
Discussion: HazZzMat
Krooney / TIME.com:
McCain: “We're Going to Win This Election”
Discussion: The New Republic
Glenn Harlan Reynolds / New York Post:
STEALING AN ELECTION?  —  OBAMA'S DUBIOUS ALLIES
Discussion: Power Line and Ms Placed Democrat